Prediction of Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic at Gonet Geneva Open (05-22-25)
By Wojtek Kolan - May 22, 2025
Arnaldi is scheduled to play Djokovic on Thursday at 06:20 PM CET, in the Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva, Quarterfinals.
Form
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Form
L W W W W W L L L WArnaldi vs Djokovic Prediction
Based on the implied probability from the match winner, Djokovic has a 72.38% chance to win this match. Login / Register to find out our expert prediction.
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To Win
| Match | BOOKIE PREDICTION |
BOOKIE ODDS |
|---|---|---|
| Novak Djokovic | 72.38% | -285 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | 27.62% | +254 |
| Above is implied from odds. Login / Register to find out our expert predictions with edge / profit forecast. |
Games
| MARKET | BOOKIE PROBABILITY |
Bookie ODDS |
|---|---|---|
| Over 22 Games | 46.73% | +114 |
| Over 20 Games | 46.73% | +114 |
| Above is implied from odds. Login / Register to find out our expert predictions with edge / profit forecast. |
Head-2-Head: Arnaldi 1 - 0 Djokovic
In their head-to-head records, Matteo Arnaldi and Novak Djokovic have contested two sets, both of which were won by Arnaldi. Their most recent encounter occurred on April 26, 2025, during the Mutua Madrid Open's second round on a clay surface. Arnaldi secured the match with scores of 6-3, 6-4.
| Players | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Matteo Arnaldi | 1 |
| Novak Djokovic | 0 |
LAST H2H MATCH: Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid(26-04-2025)
Matteo Arnaldi
Novak Djokovic
6
3
6
4
| Arnaldi | Stats | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| 56% (14-11) | YTD Win/Loss | 65% (13-7) |
| 1 | Head-to-Head | 0 |
| 39 | Ranking | 6 |
| 30 | Highest Rank | 1 |
| 24 | Age | 38 |
| - | Plays | R |
| 6 | Titles | 104 |
| 61% (230-145) | Career Total W/L | 83% (1239-253) |
| $2,239,275 | Career Prize Money | $132,702,820 |
| 1 | Clay H2H | 0 |
Recent Performance Stats (Last 6 Months)
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-3 6-4 |
Stats 
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Novak Djokovic
55%
(
41 of
74)
1st Serve %
62%
(
33 of
53)
5
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
3
71%
(
29 of
41)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
24 of
33)
52%
(
17 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
8 of
20)
100%
(
3 of
3)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
38%
(
28 of
74)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
21 of
53)
67
Total Points Won
60
|
||||
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | H2H Matches | 0 |
| 2 | Sets Won | 0 |
| 12 | Games Won | 7 |
| 5 | Aces (Total) | 4 |
| 0 | Total Double Faults | 3 |
| 1:41:19 | Average Match Time | 1:41:19 |
| 55% (41/74) | 1st Serve % | 62% (33/53) |
| 71% (29/41) | 1st Serve Win % | 73% (24/33) |
| 52% (17/33) | 2nd Serve Win % | 40% (8/20) |
| 100% (3/3) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 20% (1/5) |
| 40% (21/53) | Return Points Win % | 38% (28/74) |
| 100% (1/1) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 0% (0/1) |
| 100% (1/1) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 0% (0/0) |
| 0% (1/0) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 0% (0/0) |
| 0% (0/0) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (1/0) |
Current Event Stats
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva
Clay| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Total Matches | 1 |
| 1:52:10 | Last Match | 1:17:19 |
| 4:16:43 | Total Time | 1:17:19 |
| 0.48 | Aces Per Game | 0.5 |
| 13 | Aces Total | 4 |
| 0.15 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.13 |
| 4 | Total Double Faults | 1 |
| 62% (105/170) | 1st Serve % | 73% (35/48) |
| 72% (76/105) | 1st Serve Win % | 80% (28/35) |
| 58% (38/65) | 2nd Serve Win % | 77% (10/13) |
| 40% (6/15) | Total Break Points Won % | 50% (3/6) |
| 70% (7/10) | Total Break Points Saved | 0% (0/0) |
| 89% (24/27) | Service Hold (%) | 100% (8/8) |
| 78% (21/27) | Opponent Hold % | 63% (5/8) |
| 39% (66/171) | Return Points Win % | 49% (26/53) |
| 53% (180/341) | Total Points Won | 63% (64/101) |
| 50% (1/2) | Tiebreak Win % | 0% (0/0) |
| 100% (1/1) | Deciding Set Win % | 0% (0/0) |
| 1.00 | Tiebreaks Per Match | 0.00 |
| 100% (1/1) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 100% (1/1) |
| 100% (1/1) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (0/0) |
Currently displayed stats include matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer. Who do you back to make it through to the next round? We have predictions for every match in Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva.
Arnaldi vs Djokovic Match Preview Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva:
- When examining recent second serve success, Arnaldi outperforms Djokovic, winning 48.28% of points compared to Djokovic's 42.61%. Could this hint at an edge for Arnaldi in second serve scenarios? Given the high correlation with match outcomes, it might.
- Regarding return games, Arnaldi shows superior performance with a 42.65% success rate on opponent's second serves versus Djokovic's 39.68%. On first serve returns, Arnaldi again leads with 27.2% against Djokovic's 23.38%.
- Under pressure, Djokovic excels in saving breakpoints at 56.29%, slightly better than Arnaldi's 54.4% rate. Does Djokovic have the edge in high-pressure moments?
- In terms of overall match performance over the last year, Djokovic boasts a higher win rate, achieving 77.08% versus Arnaldi's 52.94%.
- Surface proficiency reveals Djokovic's grass success rate of 86%, while Arnaldi performs best on clay with 66%, but both struggle more on indoor hard courts.
- They have one direct head-to-head matchup, in which Arnaldi emerged victorious in straight sets during their clay encounter at the Mutua Madrid Open.
- If the match extends to a deciding set, Djokovic holds a better win percentage at 60%, outweighing Arnaldi's 47%.
- Both players' breakpoint conversion rates show Djokovic leading at 32.73%, compared to Arnaldi's 27.15%.
- The quality of opponents faced recently show Djokovic generally contending with players ranked lower than those Arnaldi faces.
Editorial Prediction (May 22, 2025, UTC):
In evaluating second serve and return statistics, Matteo Arnaldi seems to hold a slight advantage over Novak Djokovic. His ability to return serves effectively could play a pivotal role in the match outcome.
Nevertheless, Djokovic's superior experience in high-pressure situations and his overall consistency across various performance metrics cannot be overlooked. His higher breakpoint conversion rate and greater success in deciding sets highlight his edge when it matters most.
While Arnaldi has shown potential by winning their previous encounter, Djokovic's comprehensive game and experience against tougher competition make him a slight favorite.
With all factors considered, Djokovic is likely to clinch the victory in this upcoming match, leveraging his experience and consistent performance in critical junctures.
Arnaldi vs Djokovic Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88
Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic Best Odds For The Match
To Win
Djokovic
-285
Arnaldi
+254
Games
> 22
+114
> 20
+114
Matteo Arnaldi Recent Matches Played
Before:
| OPPONENT | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Fabian Marozsan
63%
(
47 of
75)
1st Serve %
57%
(
43 of
76)
5
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
70%
(
33 of
47)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
31 of
43)
71%
(
20 of
28)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
16 of
33)
17%
(
1 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
29%
(
22 of
75)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
29 of
76)
82
Total Points Won
69
|
6-3 7-6(3) | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Hugo Gaston
61%
(
58 of
95)
1st Serve %
54%
(
51 of
95)
8
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
1
74%
(
43 of
58)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
33 of
51)
49%
(
18 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
57%
(
25 of
44)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
38%
(
3 of
8)
36%
(
34 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
37 of
95)
98
Total Points Won
92
|
6-7(6) 6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Roberto Bautista Agut
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
68%
(
52 of
76)
1st Serve %
64%
(
35 of
55)
1
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
2
63%
(
33 of
52)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
22 of
35)
54%
(
13 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
25%
(
5 of
20)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
22%
(
2 of
9)
39%
(
30 of
76)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
28 of
55)
74
Total Points Won
57
|
6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Jack Draper
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
67%
(
29 of
43)
1st Serve %
46%
(
26 of
57)
4
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
1
76%
(
22 of
29)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
14 of
26)
79%
(
11 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
15 of
31)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
23%
(
10 of
43)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
28 of
57)
61
Total Points Won
39
|
6-0 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Frances Tiafoe
53%
(
40 of
76)
1st Serve %
63%
(
32 of
51)
6
Aces
7
1
Double Faults
0
70%
(
28 of
40)
1st Serve Won
75%
(
24 of
32)
58%
(
21 of
36)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
9 of
19)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
14%
(
1 of
7)
36%
(
27 of
76)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
18 of
51)
67
Total Points Won
60
|
6-3 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Damir Dzumhur
55%
(
42 of
77)
1st Serve %
59%
(
38 of
64)
6
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
5
74%
(
31 of
42)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
23 of
38)
60%
(
21 of
35)
2nd Serve Won
58%
(
15 of
26)
50%
(
2 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
5)
32%
(
25 of
77)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
26 of
64)
78
Total Points Won
63
|
6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Novak Djokovic
55%
(
41 of
74)
1st Serve %
62%
(
33 of
53)
5
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
3
71%
(
29 of
41)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
24 of
33)
52%
(
17 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
8 of
20)
100%
(
3 of
3)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
38%
(
28 of
74)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
21 of
53)
67
Total Points Won
60
|
6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Borna Coric
51%
(
49 of
97)
1st Serve %
70%
(
74 of
106)
13
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
3
73%
(
36 of
49)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
54 of
74)
56%
(
27 of
48)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
12 of
32)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
35%
(
34 of
97)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
40 of
106)
103
Total Points Won
100
|
4-6 6-4 7-5 | H2H | ||
view more
Novak Djokovic Recent Matches Played
Before:
| OPPONENT | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 |
Stats
Novak Djokovic
Player
Marton Fucsovics
73%
(
35 of
48)
1st Serve %
57%
(
30 of
53)
4
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
0
80%
(
28 of
35)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
16 of
30)
77%
(
10 of
13)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
11 of
23)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
21%
(
10 of
48)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
26 of
53)
64
Total Points Won
37
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Novak Djokovic
55%
(
41 of
74)
1st Serve %
62%
(
33 of
53)
5
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
3
71%
(
29 of
41)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
24 of
33)
52%
(
17 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
8 of
20)
100%
(
3 of
3)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
38%
(
28 of
74)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
21 of
53)
67
Total Points Won
60
|
6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Alejandro Tabilo
Player
Novak Djokovic
63%
(
37 of
59)
1st Serve %
54%
(
30 of
56)
2
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
2
81%
(
30 of
37)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
20 of
30)
50%
(
11 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
11 of
26)
38%
(
3 of
8)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
31%
(
18 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
25 of
56)
66
Total Points Won
49
|
6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Jakub Mensik
Player
Novak Djokovic
67%
(
52 of
78)
1st Serve %
76%
(
56 of
74)
14
Aces
7
1
Double Faults
1
77%
(
40 of
52)
1st Serve Won
77%
(
43 of
56)
54%
(
14 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
9 of
18)
33%
(
1 of
3)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
31%
(
24 of
78)
Rtn Points Won
30%
(
22 of
74)
76
Total Points Won
76
|
7-6(4) 7-6(4) | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Novak Djokovic
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
87%
(
39 of
45)
1st Serve %
53%
(
23 of
43)
5
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
79%
(
31 of
39)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
16 of
23)
33%
(
2 of
6)
2nd Serve Won
30%
(
6 of
20)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
27%
(
12 of
45)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
21 of
43)
54
Total Points Won
34
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Novak Djokovic
Player
Sebastian Korda
83%
(
49 of
59)
1st Serve %
66%
(
37 of
56)
11
Aces
7
0
Double Faults
0
84%
(
41 of
49)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
26 of
37)
60%
(
6 of
10)
2nd Serve Won
68%
(
13 of
19)
100%
(
2 of
2)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
20%
(
12 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
30%
(
17 of
56)
64
Total Points Won
51
|
6-3 7-6(4) | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Novak Djokovic
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
70%
(
32 of
46)
1st Serve %
70%
(
39 of
56)
1
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
75%
(
24 of
32)
1st Serve Won
51%
(
20 of
39)
57%
(
8 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
6 of
17)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
30%
(
14 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
54%
(
30 of
56)
62
Total Points Won
40
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Novak Djokovic
Player
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
77%
(
49 of
64)
1st Serve %
50%
(
32 of
64)
10
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
2
80%
(
39 of
49)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
23 of
32)
47%
(
7 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
15 of
32)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
28%
(
18 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
26 of
64)
72
Total Points Won
56
|
6-1 7-6(1) | H2H | ||
view more
Where To Watch Arnaldi vs Djokovic?
When the match starts we will have live scores and stats on this page. For live streaming at TV channels of this match, see our ATP and WTA worldwide viewing pages. Free trial live streaming of Arnaldi Vs Djokovic is now available here.
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 66% (131/68) | Win/Loss | 81% (342/78) |
| 63% (290/174) | Sets Win/Loss | 75% (830/282) |
| 54% (2361/1997) | Games Win/Loss | 59% (6121/4218) |
| 0.28 | Aces Per Game | 0.27 |
| 602 | Aces Total | 1379 |
| 0.24 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.14 |
| 505 | Total Double Faults | 687 |
| 1:43:37 | Average Match Time | 1:11:19 |
| 329.43 | Average Opponent Rank | 393.77 |
| 60% (7910/13265) | 1st Serve % | 66% (17989/27343) |
| 67% (5279/7910) | 1st Serve Win % | 71% (12790/17989) |
| 50% (2691/5350) | 2nd Serve Win % | 54% (5074/9364) |
| 45% (658/1455) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 45% (1510/3346) |
| 42% (5521/13021) | Return Points Win % | 44% (12482/28493) |
| 66% (123/187) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 81% (237/294) |
| 50% (4/8) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 84% (103/122) |
| 62% (32/52) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 65% (77/118) |
| 58% (34/59) | Deciding Set Win % | 69% (78/113) |
| 87% (126/109) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 95% (311/297) |
| 13% (126/17) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 5% (311/14) |
| 28% (72/20) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 42% (108/45) |
Arnaldi vs. Djokovic Prediction Form Trend:
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Matteo Arnaldi
View full predicted draw for Arnaldi in Paris
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Novak Djokovic
View full predicted draw for Djokovic in Geneva
Other Predictions
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