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Matteo Arnaldi vs Frances Tiafoe Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

By Wojtek Kolan

Head-To-Head: Arnaldi 1 - 1 Tiafoe

They have played 7 sets in total, with Arnaldi winning 4 and Tiafoe winning 3. The last match between Arnaldi and Tiafoe was at the Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid, 30-04-2025, Round: Fourth, Surface: Clay, with Matteo Arnaldi getting the victory 6-3 7-5.

Players Head-To-Head Match Wins
Matteo Arnaldi 1
Frances Tiafoe 1

LAST H2H MATCH: Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid(30-04-2025)

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6 3
7 5
Arnaldi vs Tiafoe H2H Profile
Arnaldi Stats Tiafoe
52% (15-14) YTD Win/Loss 55% (17-14)
1 Head-to-Head 1
44 Ranking 12
30 Highest Rank 10
24 Age 27
- Plays R
6 Titles 11
61% (231-148) Career Total W/L 59% (396-280)
$2,356,275 Career Prize Money $9,927,955
1 Clay H2H 0
0 Grass H2H 1

Today’s Tennis Tips:

Bonzi VS Holt PREDICTION Grass

Mallorca Championships - Mallorca atp

24 Jun 2025 / First

ODDS
OUR PREDICTION
EDGE

Brandon Holt

To Win

50.65 %
21.83%

Draxl VS Lajovic PREDICTION Grass

Wimbledon - London atp

23 Jun 2025 / Q1 round

ODDS
OUR PREDICTION
EDGE

Liam Draxl

To Win

45.55 %
12.66%

Arnaldi VS Tiafoe H2H Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-3 7-5
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Frances Tiafoe
53% ( 40 of 76)
1st Serve %
63% ( 32 of 51)
6
Aces
7
1
Double Faults
0
70% ( 28 of 40)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 24 of 32)
58% ( 21 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 9 of 19)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
36% ( 27 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 18 of 51)
67
Total Points Won
60
6-7(5) 2-6 6-1 6-3 6-3
cross
Frances Tiafoe
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
61% ( 83 of 137)
1st Serve %
68% ( 93 of 137)
12
Aces
15
3
Double Faults
3
80% ( 66 of 83)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 59 of 93)
46% ( 25 of 54)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 24 of 44)
64% ( 7 of 11)
Break Points Won
50% ( 4 of 8)
34% ( 46 of 137)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 54 of 137)
145
Total Points Won
129

Arnaldi VS Tiafoe H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Arnaldi Vs Tiafoe H2H Stats
Matteo Arnaldi Arnaldi Stats Frances Tiafoe Tiafoe
1 H2H Matches 1
4 Sets Won 3
33 Games Won 34
21 Aces (Total) 19
4 Total Double Faults 3
2:23:29 Average Match Time 2:23:29
62% (133/213) 1st Serve % 61% (115/188)
65% (87/133) 1st Serve Win % 78% (90/115)
56% (45/80) 2nd Serve Win % 47% (34/73)
54% (7/13) Break Points Won % (Total) 44% (8/18)
34% (64/188) Return Points Win % 38% (81/213)
100% (1/1) Best of 3 Sets Win % 0% (0/1)
0% (0/1) Best of 5 Sets Win % 100% (1/1)
100% (1/1) Tiebreaks Win % (Total) 0% (0/1)
0% (0/1) Deciding Set Win % 100% (1/1)
50% (2/1) 1st Set Won, Won Match 0% (0/0)
50% (2/1) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 0% (0/0)
0% (0/0) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 50% (2/1)

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

Arnaldi vs Tiafoe Match Preview :

In analyzing the second serve performance over the past six months, Arnaldi has demonstrated a slightly better rate, winning 48.44% of points on his second serve compared to Tiafoe's 44.44%. This particular stat is significant as it often correlates strongly with match prediction outcomes. When examining return game statistics, Tiafoe outperforms Arnaldi by winning 45.92% of his opponent's second serve points, whereas Arnaldi captures 43.13%. The return on first serves shows Tiafoe slightly lagging at 25.54% against Arnaldi's 26.63%, a metric critical for contests between these competitors.

In terms of performance under pressure, Tiafoe has a superior breakpoint-saving ability, successfully defending 60.66% compared to Arnaldi's 54.17%. This could be important for in-game betting predictions. A comprehensive performance overview over the last year reveals Tiafoe winning 56.45% of matches played (35 wins and 27 losses), whereas Arnaldi has a 52% win rate (26 wins and 24 losses). Analyzing their playing surfaces reveals both players excel on clay, with Tiafoe and Arnaldi having career win percentages of 63% and 66% respectively. However, their performance declines sharply on indoor hard courts, with Tiafoe at 52% and Arnaldi at 38%.

Examining their playing levels, Tiafoe has mainly competed on the Main tour over the past year, securing victory in 51.85% of matches. In contrast, Arnaldi has participated primarily in the Masters series, winning 60% of encounters. The relative level of competition each player faces is essential when predicting the favorite. In past head-to-head face-offs, Tiafoe has emerged victorious in their sole encounter, which included one tie-break won by Arnaldi. Tiafoe's track record includes winning three out of five sets played against Arnaldi, highlighting a trend favorable for him in deciding sets given his 50% success rate over the last 12 months compared to Arnaldi’s 45%.

When considering average opponent ranking metrics, Tiafoe has squarely faced players with a ranking of 65.77 while Arnaldi's average opponent ranking stands at 65.2. Nonetheless, the subtle difference suggests nearly identical opposition caliber. In present form, Tiafoe has been more effective in converting break points with a rate of 34.65%, better than Arnaldi's 28%. This aspect is particularly informative for live betting during match play.

The balance of performance statistics, historical interactions, and the strength seen on prevalent surfaces, particularly clay, positions Tiafoe as a likely winner when these factors amalgamate into an informed prediction for the upcoming match. If current form continues, Tiafoe’s ability to convert points under pressure and his superior record in head-to-head matches suggest he is favored to win the upcoming contest against Arnaldi.

Arnaldi vs Tiafoe Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88

Matteo Arnaldi Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R1
cross
Jan-Lennard Struff
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
57% ( 31 of 54)
1st Serve %
58% ( 38 of 65)
10
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
90% ( 28 of 31)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 26 of 38)
57% ( 13 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 14 of 27)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
24% ( 13 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 25 of 65)
66
Total Points Won
53
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Flavio Cobolli
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
52% ( 64 of 122)
1st Serve %
47% ( 57 of 121)
1
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
8
70% ( 45 of 64)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 38 of 57)
52% ( 30 of 58)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 23 of 64)
53% ( 10 of 19)
Break Points Won
56% ( 5 of 9)
39% ( 47 of 122)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 60 of 121)
135
Total Points Won
108
L
6-3 6-3 6-7(6) 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
59% ( 102 of 172)
1st Serve %
58% ( 80 of 137)
7
Aces
8
8
Double Faults
7
72% ( 73 of 102)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 57 of 80)
46% ( 32 of 70)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 32 of 57)
29% ( 5 of 17)
Break Points Won
20% ( 4 of 20)
39% ( 67 of 172)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 48 of 137)
153
Total Points Won
156
W
5-7 2-6 6-3 6-4 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
68% ( 39 of 57)
1st Serve %
69% ( 47 of 68)
2
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
1
64% ( 25 of 39)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 31 of 47)
78% ( 14 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 9 of 21)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
32% ( 18 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 28 of 68)
67
Total Points Won
58
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Fabian Marozsan
63% ( 47 of 75)
1st Serve %
57% ( 43 of 76)
5
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
70% ( 33 of 47)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 31 of 43)
71% ( 20 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 16 of 33)
17% ( 1 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
29% ( 22 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 29 of 76)
82
Total Points Won
69
W
6-3 7-6(3) H2H
R1
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Hugo Gaston
61% ( 58 of 95)
1st Serve %
54% ( 51 of 95)
8
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
1
74% ( 43 of 58)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 33 of 51)
49% ( 18 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 25 of 44)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
36% ( 34 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 37 of 95)
98
Total Points Won
92
W
6-7(6) 6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Roberto Bautista Agut
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
68% ( 52 of 76)
1st Serve %
64% ( 35 of 55)
1
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
2
63% ( 33 of 52)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 22 of 35)
54% ( 13 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
25% ( 5 of 20)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
22% ( 2 of 9)
39% ( 30 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 28 of 55)
74
Total Points Won
57
L
6-4 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Jack Draper
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
67% ( 29 of 43)
1st Serve %
46% ( 26 of 57)
4
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
1
76% ( 22 of 29)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 14 of 26)
79% ( 11 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 15 of 31)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 10 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 28 of 57)
61
Total Points Won
39
L
6-0 6-4 H2H

Frances Tiafoe Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R1
cross
Daniel Evans
Player
Frances Tiafoe
53% ( 33 of 62)
1st Serve %
49% ( 32 of 65)
3
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
3
76% ( 25 of 33)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 21 of 32)
59% ( 17 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 14 of 33)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
32% ( 20 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 30 of 65)
72
Total Points Won
55
L
7-5 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Frances Tiafoe
70% ( 75 of 107)
1st Serve %
61% ( 69 of 114)
8
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
0
81% ( 61 of 75)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 45 of 69)
50% ( 16 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
51% ( 23 of 45)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
28% ( 30 of 107)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 46 of 114)
123
Total Points Won
98
L
6-2 4-6 7-5 6-2 H2H
R4
cross
Frances Tiafoe
Player
Daniel Altmaier
68% ( 65 of 96)
1st Serve %
57% ( 56 of 99)
6
Aces
8
0
Double Faults
3
72% ( 47 of 65)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 40 of 56)
58% ( 18 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 15 of 43)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
100% ( 3 of 3)
32% ( 31 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 44 of 99)
109
Total Points Won
86
W
6-3 6-4 7-6(4) H2H
R3
cross
Frances Tiafoe
Player
Sebastian Korda
52% ( 52 of 100)
1st Serve %
53% ( 57 of 107)
9
Aces
11
5
Double Faults
5
77% ( 40 of 52)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 42 of 57)
73% ( 35 of 48)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 27 of 50)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
25% ( 25 of 100)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 38 of 107)
113
Total Points Won
94
W
7-6(6) 6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Frances Tiafoe
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
61% ( 40 of 66)
1st Serve %
61% ( 52 of 85)
9
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
83% ( 33 of 40)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 35 of 52)
73% ( 19 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 13 of 33)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
21% ( 14 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 37 of 85)
89
Total Points Won
62
W
6-4 6-3 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Frances Tiafoe
Player
Roman Safiullin
60% ( 59 of 99)
1st Serve %
56% ( 53 of 95)
9
Aces
20
1
Double Faults
2
76% ( 45 of 59)
1st Serve Won
83% ( 44 of 53)
63% ( 25 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 15 of 42)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
29% ( 29 of 99)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 36 of 95)
106
Total Points Won
88
W
6-4 7-5 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Roberto Bautista Agut
Player
Frances Tiafoe
52% ( 32 of 62)
1st Serve %
55% ( 26 of 47)
4
Aces
5
6
Double Faults
1
81% ( 26 of 32)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 17 of 26)
53% ( 16 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 9 of 21)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
32% ( 20 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 21 of 47)
63
Total Points Won
46
L
6-2 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Frances Tiafoe
Player
Bu Yunchaokete
52% ( 33 of 63)
1st Serve %
47% ( 29 of 62)
4
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
5
79% ( 26 of 33)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 21 of 29)
57% ( 17 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 13 of 33)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
32% ( 20 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 28 of 62)
71
Total Points Won
54
W
7-5 6-2 H2H
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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Arnaldi & Tiafoe Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
Matteo Arnaldi Arnaldi Stats Frances Tiafoe Tiafoe
61% (231/148) Win/Loss 59% (396/280)
59% (538/378) Sets Win/Loss 56% (997/777)
53% (4587/4094) Games Win/Loss 51% (9042/8561)
63% (80/47) Hard Win/Loss 59% (184/130)
65% (132/70) Clay Win/Loss 63% (125/75)
37% (15/26) Indoor Hard W/L 52% (56/52)
44% (4/5) Grass Win/Loss 57% (31/23)
0.35 Aces Per Game 0.49
1486 Aces Total 4250
0.25 Double Faults Per Game 0.18
1056 Total Double Faults 1517
1:44:23 Average Match Time 1:41:11
297.97 Average Opponent Rank 346.19
59% (15494/26280) 1st Serve % 61% (30620/50586)
68% (10564/15494) 1st Serve Win % 73% (22202/30620)
50% (5407/10781) 2nd Serve Win % 52% (10344/19963)
43% (1115/2580) Break Points Won % (Total) 38% (1654/4323)
40% (10287/25643) Return Points Win % 36% (18626/51053)
60% (18/12) Slam W/L 60% (59/40)
57% (29/22) Masters W/L 51% (60/58)
80% (4/1) Cups W/L 25% (4/12)
48% (28/30) Main Tour W/L 53% (128/112)
60% (73/49) Challenger W/L 70% (98/43)
70% (78/33) Futures W/L 77% (46/14)
62% (215/349) Best of 3 Sets Win % 59% (333/568)
46% (12/26) Best of 5 Sets Win % 56% (57/101)
57% (69/121) Tiebreaks Win % (Total) 57% (203/358)
52% (65/125) Deciding Set Win % 53% (145/273)
84% (231/193) 1st Set Won, Won Match 80% (378/303)
16% (231/38) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 20% (378/74)
24% (147/36) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 31% (298/91)

Arnaldi vs. Tiafoe Prediction Form Trend:

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