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Prediction of Mateo Castaneda vs Viacheslav Ovchinnikov Head-to-Head, Best Odds & Picks At Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

Recent Form Stats

Mateo Castaneda vs Viacheslav Ovchinnikov Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Castaneda 0 - 1 Ovchinnikov

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Castaneda has won 46.2% of points on their second serve, while Ovchinnikov has won 50%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Castaneda, in recent form, has won 51.87% of their opponent's second serve points, while Ovchinnikov has won 54.29%. The same stats for first serve returns are 36.01% and 30.67% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Castaneda has saved 45.3% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Ovchinnikov has saved 33.33% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Castaneda has won 54.55% of matches played (W/L 18/ 15), with Ovchinnikov winning 45.45% (W/L 15/ 18) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Castaneda has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 52% (W/L 15/ 14), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 42% (W/L 8/ 11). Ovchinnikov has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 43% (W/L 15/ 20), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 20% (W/L 1/ 4).
  • Player level: In the last year, Castaneda has played most of their matches on the Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, winning 57.14% of matches (W/L 16/ 12), where as Ovchinnikov has played most of their matches on the Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, winning 45.45% of matches (W/L 15/ 18). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 1 times before with Castaneda winning 0 times and Ovchinnikov being victorious 1 times. They have played 3 sets in total, with Castaneda winning 1 and Ovchinnikov winning 2. The last match between Castaneda and Ovchinnikov was at the M15 Kayseri, 14-10-2024, Q2 round, Hard with Viacheslav Ovchinnikov getting the victory 7-5 2-6 10-8.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:45:0.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Castaneda and Ovchinnikov have played a deciding set 1 times, with Castaneda winning 0 times and Ovchinnikov 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Castaneda winning 0, and Ovchinnikov 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Castaneda has played against opponents with an average rank of 161.82 while Ovchinnikov has played against players with an average rank of 49.64.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Castaneda has won 40% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Ovchinnikov has won 58% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Castaneda has converted 50.51% of breakpoint opportunities, and Ovchinnikov has converted 37.5% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
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Castaneda VS Ovchinnikov H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Mateo Castaneda Viacheslav Ovchinnikov
All H2H Matches 0 1
Sets Won 1 2
Games Won 19 19
Aces (Total) 0 2
DFs Total 4 7
Avg Match Time 1:45:0 1:45:0
1st Serve % 74% (55/74) 52% (34/65)
1st Serve Win% 60% (33/55) 68% (23/34)
2nd Serve Win% 58% (11/19) 52% (16/31)
BPs Won% (Total) 75% (3/4) 29% (2/7)
Return Points W% 40% (26/65) 41% (30/74)
Best of 3 Sets W% 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, W 0% (0/0) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, L 0% (0/0) 0% (1/0)
1st set L, W 0% (1/0) 0% (0/0)

Castaneda VS Ovchinnikov H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
7-5 2-6 10-8
cross
Viacheslav Ovchinnikov
Player
Mateo Castaneda
52% ( 34 of 65)
1st Serve %
74% ( 55 of 74)
2
Aces
0
7
Double Faults
4
68% ( 23 of 34)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 33 of 55)
52% ( 16 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 11 of 19)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
40% ( 26 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 30 of 74)
69
Total Points Won
70

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Mateo Castaneda Viacheslav Ovchinnikov
YTD W/L 55% (18/15) 45% (15/18)
Sets Win/Loss 55% (42/34) 45% (35/42)
Games Win/Loss 52% (391/361) 48% (364/400)
Hard Win/Loss 47% (7/8) 40% (4/6)
Clay Win/Loss 61% (11/7) 52% (11/10)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/2)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.02 0.01
Aces Total 8 2
DFs per game 0.18 0.04
DFs Total 65 14
Avg Match Time 1st Match 1st Match
Avg Opp Rank 161.82 49.64
1st Serve % 68% (800/1185) 54% (77/143)
1st Serve W% 58% (467/800) 60% (46/77)
2nd Serve W% 46% (178/385) 45% (30/66)
BPs Won% Total 51% (58/114) 31% (4/13)
Return Pts W% 42% (473/1134) 36% (55/153)
Slam W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Masters W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 40% (2/3) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 57% (16/12) 45% (15/18)
Best of 3 Sets W% 55% (18/33) 47% (15/32)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 78% (7/9) 50% (2/4)
Deciding Set W% 40% (4/10) 58% (7/12)
1st set W, W 80% (20/16) 80% (15/12)
1st set W, L 20% (20/4) 20% (15/3)
1st set L, W 15% (13/2) 17% (18/3)

Mateo Castaneda Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R1
cross
Bora Sengul
Player
Mateo Castaneda
65% ( 47 of 72)
1st Serve %
68% ( 52 of 77)
3
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
6
70% ( 33 of 47)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 30 of 52)
60% ( 15 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 11 of 25)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
33% ( 24 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 36 of 77)
84
Total Points Won
65
L
4-6 6-4 6-0 H2H
Q1
L
6-3 6-4 H2H
Q2
cross
Viacheslav Ovchinnikov
Player
Mateo Castaneda
52% ( 34 of 65)
1st Serve %
74% ( 55 of 74)
2
Aces
0
7
Double Faults
4
68% ( 23 of 34)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 33 of 55)
52% ( 16 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 11 of 19)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
40% ( 26 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 30 of 74)
69
Total Points Won
70
L
7-5 2-6 10-8 H2H
Q1
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
Q1
cross
Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios
Player
Mateo Castaneda
47% ( 41 of 88)
1st Serve %
68% ( 60 of 88)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
2
63% ( 26 of 41)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 32 of 60)
47% ( 22 of 47)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 15 of 28)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
64% ( 7 of 11)
45% ( 40 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 41 of 88)
89
Total Points Won
87
L
2-6 6-4 7-6(5) H2H
R2
cross
Roberto Cid Subervi
Player
Mateo Castaneda
72% ( 33 of 46)
1st Serve %
55% ( 26 of 47)
1
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
6
67% ( 22 of 33)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 13 of 26)
46% ( 6 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
24% ( 5 of 21)
75% ( 6 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
39% ( 18 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
62% ( 29 of 47)
57
Total Points Won
36
L
6-1 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Mateo Castaneda
Player
Luis Jose Nakamine
59% ( 24 of 41)
1st Serve %
81% ( 38 of 47)
-
Aces
-
3
Double Faults
4
88% ( 21 of 24)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 18 of 38)
35% ( 6 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
34% ( 14 of 41)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 26 of 47)
53
Total Points Won
35
W
6-1 3-2 ret. H2H
QF
cross
Mateo Castaneda
Player
Carlos Maria Zarate
64% ( 38 of 59)
1st Serve %
54% ( 34 of 63)
1
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
4
68% ( 26 of 38)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 21 of 34)
52% ( 11 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 12 of 29)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
37% ( 22 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 30 of 63)
67
Total Points Won
55
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
Q1
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Tomas Farjat
Player
Mateo Castaneda
50% ( 21 of 42)
1st Serve %
48% ( 20 of 42)
10
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
3
95% ( 20 of 21)
1st Serve Won
45% ( 9 of 20)
57% ( 12 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 11 of 22)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
24% ( 10 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 22 of 42)
54
Total Points Won
30
L
6-2 6-1 H2H

Viacheslav Ovchinnikov Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
QF
cross
Ruslan Kastsiukevich
Player
Viacheslav Ovchinnikov
56% ( 20 of 36)
1st Serve %
56% ( 22 of 39)
5
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
6
95% ( 19 of 20)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 13 of 22)
31% ( 5 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 8 of 17)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
33% ( 12 of 36)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 18 of 39)
42
Total Points Won
33
L
6-4 2-0 ret. H2H
Q2
cross
Viacheslav Ovchinnikov
Player
Mateo Castaneda
52% ( 34 of 65)
1st Serve %
74% ( 55 of 74)
2
Aces
0
7
Double Faults
4
68% ( 23 of 34)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 33 of 55)
52% ( 16 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 11 of 19)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
40% ( 26 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 30 of 74)
69
Total Points Won
70
W
7-5 2-6 10-8 H2H
Q1
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
Q1
L
6-2 4-6 12-10 H2H
Q1
L
6-1 6-4 H2H
Q2
W
1-6 7-5 10-4 H2H
QF
L
6-3 6-2 H2H
Q1
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
Q2
L
6-0 ret. H2H
Q1
W
6-3 3-6 10-8 H2H

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