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Marta Kostyuk vs Daria Kasatkina Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Kostyuk vs Kasatkina analysis and find out who is favored!

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Marta Kostyuk vs Daria Kasatkina Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Kostyuk 2 - 4 Kasatkina

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Kostyuk has won 43.37% of points on their second serve, while Kasatkina has won 45.47%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Kostyuk, in recent form, has won 56.58% of their opponent's second serve points, while Kasatkina has won 56.96%. The same stats for first serve returns are 40.01% and 41.4% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Kostyuk has saved 55.67% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Kasatkina has saved 55.42% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Kostyuk has won 57.14% of matches played (W/L 28/ 21), with Kasatkina winning 66.67% (W/L 46/ 23) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Kostyuk has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 66% (W/L 69/ 36), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 50% (W/L 16/ 16). Kasatkina has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 70% (W/L 131/ 55), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 58% (W/L 160/ 114).
  • Player level: In the last year, Kostyuk has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 60.87% of matches (W/L 14/ 9), where as Kasatkina has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 73.53% of matches (W/L 25/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 6 times before with Kostyuk winning 2 times and Kasatkina being victorious 4 times. They have played 14 sets in total, with Kostyuk winning 6 and Kasatkina winning 8. The last match between Kostyuk and Kasatkina was at the Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin, 17-06-2024, First, Grass with Daria Kasatkina getting the victory 4-6 7-6(6) 6-3.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:44:28.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Kostyuk and Kasatkina have played a deciding set 2 times, with Kostyuk winning 0 times and Kasatkina 2 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Kostyuk winning 0, and Kasatkina 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Kostyuk has played against opponents with an average rank of 102.1 while Kasatkina has played against players with an average rank of 106.23.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Kostyuk has won 68% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Kasatkina has won 72% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Kostyuk has converted 43.95% of breakpoint opportunities, and Kasatkina has converted 50.28% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Marta Kostyuk

4

Total

0

Mast

3

Chall

0

Slam

1

Main

0

Minor

19

Rank

16

High

22

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

4

1

Hard

2

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

2

12

Rank

8

High

27

Age

R

Plays

Daria Kasatkina

14

Total

0

Mast

6

Chall

0

Slam

7

Main

1

Minor

2

Total

4

1

Hard

2

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

2

L L L W L L L W W L

Form

W L W W W W W W W L

63% (206-121)

Career Total W/L

64% (373-208)

63% (22-13)

YTD W/L

67% (28-14)

$3,391,402

Career Prize Money

$8,446,799

0

YTD Titles

1

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Kostyuk VS Kasatkina H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Marta Kostyuk Daria Kasatkina
All H2H Matches 2 4
Sets Won 6 8
Games Won 66 67
Aces (Total) 15 4
DFs Total 26 33
Avg Match Time 1:44:28 1:44:28
1st Serve % 59% (282/474) 65% (306/468)
1st Serve Win% 62% (174/282) 61% (186/306)
2nd Serve Win% 39% (74/192) 39% (63/162)
BPs Won% (Total) 48% (28/58) 50% (29/58)
Return Points W% 47% (219/468) 48% (226/474)
Best of 3 Sets W% 33% (2/6) 67% (4/6)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/2) 100% (2/2)
1st set W, W 50% (4/2) 100% (2/2)
1st set W, L 50% (4/2) 0% (2/0)
1st set L, W 0% (2/0) 50% (4/2)

Kostyuk VS Kasatkina H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
4-6 7-6(6) 6-3
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Marta Kostyuk
64% ( 84 of 132)
1st Serve %
60% ( 66 of 110)
4
Aces
1
8
Double Faults
10
61% ( 51 of 84)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 44 of 66)
50% ( 24 of 48)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 18 of 44)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
43% ( 57 of 132)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 48 of 110)
123
Total Points Won
119
6-3 6-4
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Marta Kostyuk
55% ( 28 of 51)
1st Serve %
61% ( 45 of 74)
0
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
4
75% ( 21 of 28)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 26 of 45)
43% ( 10 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 9 of 29)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
39% ( 20 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 39 of 74)
70
Total Points Won
55
3-6 6-4 6-3
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Marta Kostyuk
73% ( 89 of 122)
1st Serve %
49% ( 42 of 85)
0
Aces
6
8
Double Faults
3
57% ( 51 of 89)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 23 of 42)
33% ( 11 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 16 of 43)
80% ( 8 of 10)
Break Points Won
44% ( 7 of 16)
49% ( 60 of 122)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 46 of 85)
108
Total Points Won
99
6-2 7-5
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Marta Kostyuk
61% ( 40 of 66)
1st Serve %
63% ( 39 of 62)
0
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
0
70% ( 28 of 40)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 21 of 39)
42% ( 11 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
75% ( 6 of 8)
Break Points Won
27% ( 3 of 11)
41% ( 27 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 33 of 62)
72
Total Points Won
56
6-3 6-4
cross
Marta Kostyuk
Player
Daria Kasatkina
61% ( 56 of 92)
1st Serve %
75% ( 41 of 55)
3
Aces
0
6
Double Faults
5
63% ( 35 of 56)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 25 of 41)
44% ( 16 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
21% ( 3 of 14)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
25% ( 3 of 12)
45% ( 41 of 92)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 27 of 55)
78
Total Points Won
69
6-1 6-2
cross
Marta Kostyuk
Player
Daria Kasatkina
67% ( 34 of 51)
1st Serve %
57% ( 24 of 42)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
5
74% ( 25 of 34)
1st Serve Won
42% ( 10 of 24)
41% ( 7 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
22% ( 4 of 18)
75% ( 6 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
37% ( 19 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
67% ( 28 of 42)
60
Total Points Won
33

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Marta Kostyuk Daria Kasatkina
YTD W/L 63% (22/13) 67% (28/14)
Sets Win/Loss 56% (47/37) 60% (61/40)
Games Win/Loss 52% (419/390) 53% (506/443)
Hard Win/Loss 71% (15/6) 60% (12/8)
Clay Win/Loss 56% (5/4) 67% (8/4)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 40% (2/3) 80% (8/2)
Aces pg 0.24 0.14
Aces Total 95 63
DFs per game 0.58 0.42
DFs Total 231 194
Avg Match Time 1:52:52 1:49:4
Avg Opp Rank 98.74 111.55
1st Serve % 59% (1635/2778) 67% (2154/3204)
1st Serve W% 64% (1050/1635) 61% (1308/2154)
2nd Serve W% 43% (495/1143) 44% (461/1050)
BPs Won% Total 45% (157/347) 49% (209/429)
Return Pts W% 46% (1264/2761) 47% (1519/3220)
Slam W/L 70% (7/3) 57% (4/3)
Masters W/L 50% (4/4) 50% (6/6)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 65% (11/6) 78% (18/5)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 65% (22/34) 67% (28/42)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 64% (7/11) 60% (6/10)
Deciding Set W% 80% (12/15) 71% (12/17)
1st set W, W 89% (18/16) 88% (24/21)
1st set W, L 11% (18/2) 13% (24/3)
1st set L, W 35% (17/6) 39% (18/7)

Marta Kostyuk Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R3
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Marta Kostyuk
82% ( 45 of 55)
1st Serve %
70% ( 46 of 66)
2
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
2
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 26 of 46)
60% ( 6 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
31% ( 17 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 30 of 66)
68
Total Points Won
53
L
6-4 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Marta Kostyuk
Player
Daria Saville
63% ( 77 of 123)
1st Serve %
61% ( 71 of 117)
4
Aces
0
15
Double Faults
9
68% ( 52 of 77)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 41 of 71)
26% ( 12 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 18 of 46)
38% ( 8 of 21)
Break Points Won
50% ( 8 of 16)
48% ( 59 of 123)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 58 of 117)
122
Total Points Won
118
W
4-6 7-6(2) 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Marta Kostyuk
Player
Rebecca Sramkova
63% ( 32 of 51)
1st Serve %
52% ( 34 of 65)
4
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
3
75% ( 24 of 32)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 22 of 34)
74% ( 14 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 12 of 31)
25% ( 3 of 12)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
25% ( 13 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 31 of 65)
69
Total Points Won
47
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Marta Kostyuk
64% ( 84 of 132)
1st Serve %
60% ( 66 of 110)
4
Aces
1
8
Double Faults
10
61% ( 51 of 84)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 44 of 66)
50% ( 24 of 48)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 18 of 44)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
43% ( 57 of 132)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 48 of 110)
123
Total Points Won
119
L
4-6 7-6(6) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Daria Snigur
Player
Marta Kostyuk
73% ( 40 of 55)
1st Serve %
52% ( 33 of 63)
1
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
6
78% ( 31 of 40)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 24 of 33)
47% ( 7 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 9 of 30)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
31% ( 17 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 30 of 63)
68
Total Points Won
50
L
6-3 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Donna Vekic
Player
Marta Kostyuk
55% ( 44 of 80)
1st Serve %
52% ( 45 of 87)
1
Aces
2
7
Double Faults
8
64% ( 28 of 44)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 27 of 45)
33% ( 12 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 14 of 42)
54% ( 7 of 13)
Break Points Won
33% ( 5 of 15)
50% ( 40 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 46 of 87)
86
Total Points Won
81
L
7-5 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Marta Kostyuk
Player
Laura Pigossi
51% ( 65 of 127)
1st Serve %
71% ( 98 of 138)
5
Aces
0
11
Double Faults
4
54% ( 35 of 65)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 55 of 98)
53% ( 33 of 62)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 16 of 40)
42% ( 8 of 19)
Break Points Won
46% ( 6 of 13)
46% ( 59 of 127)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 67 of 138)
135
Total Points Won
130
W
7-5 6-7(4) 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Naomi Osaka
Player
Marta Kostyuk
45% ( 20 of 44)
1st Serve %
50% ( 30 of 60)
2
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
7
85% ( 17 of 20)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 15 of 30)
58% ( 14 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 12 of 30)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
30% ( 13 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 33 of 60)
64
Total Points Won
40
L
6-3 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Mayar Sherif
Player
Marta Kostyuk
80% ( 53 of 66)
1st Serve %
69% ( 51 of 74)
0
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
4
58% ( 31 of 53)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 26 of 51)
54% ( 7 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
42% ( 28 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 40 of 74)
78
Total Points Won
62
L
6-2 7-5 H2H
F
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Marta Kostyuk
64% ( 37 of 58)
1st Serve %
52% ( 25 of 48)
0
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
6
81% ( 30 of 37)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 14 of 25)
48% ( 10 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 10 of 23)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
31% ( 18 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 24 of 48)
64
Total Points Won
42
L
6-2 6-2 H2H

Daria Kasatkina Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R3
cross
Paula Badosa Gibert
Player
Daria Kasatkina
57% ( 73 of 127)
1st Serve %
65% ( 74 of 114)
8
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
6
59% ( 43 of 73)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 45 of 74)
57% ( 31 of 54)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 21 of 40)
22% ( 4 of 18)
Break Points Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
42% ( 53 of 127)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 48 of 114)
122
Total Points Won
119
L
7-6(6) 4-6 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Yuriko Miyazaki
61% ( 20 of 33)
1st Serve %
56% ( 22 of 39)
2
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
5
85% ( 17 of 20)
1st Serve Won
45% ( 10 of 22)
69% ( 9 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
12% ( 2 of 17)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
21% ( 7 of 33)
Rtn Points Won
69% ( 27 of 39)
53
Total Points Won
19
W
6-0 6-0 H2H
R1
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Shuai Zhang
50% ( 29 of 58)
1st Serve %
58% ( 31 of 53)
3
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
0
69% ( 20 of 29)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 15 of 31)
59% ( 17 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 9 of 22)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
36% ( 21 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 29 of 53)
66
Total Points Won
45
W
6-3 6-0 H2H
F
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Leylah Annie Fernandez
75% ( 65 of 87)
1st Serve %
75% ( 49 of 65)
1
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
3
63% ( 41 of 65)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 25 of 49)
41% ( 9 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 7 of 16)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
43% ( 37 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 33 of 65)
83
Total Points Won
69
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
SF
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Jasmine Paolini
67% ( 66 of 99)
1st Serve %
57% ( 55 of 97)
0
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
3
61% ( 40 of 66)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 35 of 55)
61% ( 20 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 19 of 42)
33% ( 5 of 15)
Break Points Won
29% ( 4 of 14)
39% ( 39 of 99)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 43 of 97)
103
Total Points Won
93
W
3-6 7-5 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Emma Raducanu
73% ( 37 of 51)
1st Serve %
70% ( 42 of 60)
1
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
2
70% ( 26 of 37)
1st Serve Won
43% ( 18 of 42)
36% ( 5 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 8 of 18)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
39% ( 20 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 34 of 60)
65
Total Points Won
46
W
6-2 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Yue Yuan
60% ( 44 of 73)
1st Serve %
47% ( 37 of 78)
3
Aces
1
6
Double Faults
2
68% ( 30 of 44)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 20 of 37)
45% ( 13 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
34% ( 14 of 41)
64% ( 7 of 11)
Break Points Won
80% ( 4 of 5)
41% ( 30 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 44 of 78)
87
Total Points Won
64
W
3-6 6-4 6-0 H2H
R1
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Xinyu Wang
56% ( 40 of 71)
1st Serve %
48% ( 26 of 54)
2
Aces
3
8
Double Faults
2
65% ( 26 of 40)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 12 of 26)
32% ( 10 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
70% ( 7 of 10)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
49% ( 35 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 32 of 54)
68
Total Points Won
57
W
6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Daria Kasatkina
54% ( 26 of 48)
1st Serve %
61% ( 28 of 46)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
3
73% ( 19 of 26)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 15 of 28)
68% ( 15 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
29% ( 14 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 22 of 46)
56
Total Points Won
38
L
6-1 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Marta Kostyuk
64% ( 84 of 132)
1st Serve %
60% ( 66 of 110)
4
Aces
1
8
Double Faults
10
61% ( 51 of 84)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 44 of 66)
50% ( 24 of 48)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 18 of 44)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
43% ( 57 of 132)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 48 of 110)
123
Total Points Won
119
W
4-6 7-6(6) 6-3 H2H

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