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Marin Cilic vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Cilic vs Carreno-Busta analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Marin Cilic vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Cilic 5 - 1 Carreno-Busta

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Cilic has won 53.8% of points on their second serve, while Carreno-Busta has won 47.95%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Cilic, in recent form, has won 46.56% of their opponent's second serve points, while Carreno-Busta has won 48.44%. The same stats for first serve returns are 31.78% and 31.77% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Cilic has saved 57.14% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Carreno-Busta has saved 57.89% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Cilic has won 33.33% of matches played (W/L 3/ 6), with Carreno-Busta winning 47.37% (W/L 9/ 10) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Cilic has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 72% (W/L 85/ 33), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 62% (W/L 181/ 109). Carreno-Busta has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 340/ 171), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 30% (W/L 6/ 14).
  • Player level: In the last year, Cilic has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 60% of matches (W/L 3/ 2), where as Carreno-Busta has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 33.33% of matches (W/L 2/ 4). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 6 times before with Cilic winning 5 times and Carreno-Busta being victorious 1 times. They have played 16 sets in total, with Cilic winning 12 and Carreno-Busta winning 4. The last match between Cilic and Carreno-Busta was at the Davis Cup, Finals, QF, CRO-ESP 2-0, 23-11-2022, Rubber 2, I.hard with Marin Cilic getting the victory 5-7 6-3 7-6(5).
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:41:1.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Cilic and Carreno-Busta have played a deciding set 2 times, with Cilic winning 1 times and Carreno-Busta 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 6 tiebreaks against each other with Cilic winning 5, and Carreno-Busta 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Cilic has played against opponents with an average rank of 209.56 while Carreno-Busta has played against players with an average rank of 109.95.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Cilic has won 20% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Carreno-Busta has won 60% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Cilic has converted 33.33% of breakpoint opportunities, and Carreno-Busta has converted 46.49% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Marin Cilic

24

Total

1

Mast

2

Chall

1

Slam

18

Main

2

Minor

674

Rank

3

High

35

Age

R

Plays

5

Total

1

2

Hard

1

1

Clay

0

2

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

213

Rank

10

High

33

Age

R

Plays

Pablo Carreno-Busta

30

Total

1

Mast

11

Chall

0

Slam

6

Main

12

Minor

5

Total

1

2

Hard

1

1

Clay

0

2

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

L L L L L W L W W L

Form

L W W L W W W W L L

64% (677-374)

Career Total W/L

64% (568-323)

33% (3-6)

YTD W/L

50% (8-8)

$22,785,820

Career Prize Money

$10,122,680

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Cilic VS Carreno-Busta H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Marin Cilic Pablo Carreno-Busta
All H2H Matches 5 1
Sets Won 12 4
Games Won 97 77
Aces (Total) 51 27
DFs Total 19 11
Avg Match Time 1:41:1 1:41:1
1st Serve % 56% (217/386) 69% (304/442)
1st Serve Win% 84% (182/217) 67% (203/304)
2nd Serve Win% 59% (96/162) 50% (69/137)
BPs Won% (Total) 50% (16/32) 53% (8/15)
Return Points W% 38% (167/442) 27% (104/386)
Best of 3 Sets W% 80% (4/5) 20% (1/5)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 83% (5/6) 17% (1/6)
Deciding Set Win% 50% (1/2) 50% (1/2)
1st set W, W 75% (4/3) 0% (2/0)
1st set W, L 25% (4/1) 100% (2/2)
1st set L, W 100% (2/2) 25% (4/1)

Cilic VS Carreno-Busta H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
5-7 6-3 7-6(5)
5-7 6-4 6-4
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Marin Cilic
80% ( 77 of 96)
1st Serve %
52% ( 46 of 88)
6
Aces
9
1
Double Faults
7
74% ( 57 of 77)
1st Serve Won
83% ( 38 of 46)
61% ( 11 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
71% ( 25 of 35)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
28% ( 27 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
22% ( 18 of 81)
93
Total Points Won
91
7-6(7) 6-4
cross
Marin Cilic
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
52% ( 32 of 61)
1st Serve %
65% ( 51 of 78)
7
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
4
88% ( 28 of 32)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 35 of 51)
52% ( 15 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 10 of 27)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
30% ( 18 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 33 of 78)
76
Total Points Won
63
6-3 6-3
cross
Marin Cilic
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
53% ( 23 of 43)
1st Serve %
58% ( 30 of 52)
5
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
1
96% ( 22 of 23)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 20 of 30)
70% ( 14 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 12 of 22)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
16% ( 7 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 20 of 52)
56
Total Points Won
39
6-7(2) 6-3 7-6(0) 7-6(3)
cross
Marin Cilic
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
62% ( 83 of 133)
1st Serve %
70% ( 107 of 152)
20
Aces
9
4
Double Faults
3
81% ( 67 of 83)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 67 of 107)
50% ( 25 of 50)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 25 of 45)
43% ( 6 of 14)
Break Points Won
67% ( 4 of 6)
31% ( 41 of 133)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 60 of 152)
152
Total Points Won
133
6-0 7-6(4)
cross
Marin Cilic
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
54% ( 33 of 61)
1st Serve %
61% ( 39 of 64)
10
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
2
82% ( 27 of 33)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 24 of 39)
61% ( 17 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 11 of 25)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
28% ( 17 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 29 of 64)
73
Total Points Won
52

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Marin Cilic Pablo Carreno-Busta
YTD W/L 33% (3/6) 50% (8/8)
Sets Win/Loss 44% (11/14) 49% (19/20)
Games Win/Loss 49% (125/131) 51% (195/189)
Hard Win/Loss 43% (3/4) 64% (7/4)
Clay Win/Loss 0% (0/1) 25% (1/3)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1)
Aces pg 0.9 0.29
Aces Total 114 55
DFs per game 0.43 0.26
DFs Total 54 50
Avg Match Time 2:15:30 1:52:5
Avg Opp Rank 209.56 115.88
1st Serve % 54% (449/825) 63% (793/1256)
1st Serve W% 75% (335/449) 68% (543/793)
2nd Serve W% 49% (186/376) 48% (222/463)
BPs Won% Total 33% (23/69) 46% (53/114)
Return Pts W% 35% (284/814) 39% (466/1197)
Slam W/L 0% (0/1) 0% (0/2)
Masters W/L 0% (0/0) 60% (3/2)
Cups W/L 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 0% (0/2) 67% (4/2)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 60% (3/2) 33% (1/2)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 38% (3/8) 57% (8/14)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/1) 0% (0/2)
TBs Win% (Total) 17% (1/6) 30% (3/10)
Deciding Set W% 20% (1/5) 50% (2/4)
1st set W, W 50% (4/2) 88% (8/7)
1st set W, L 50% (4/2) 13% (8/1)
1st set L, W 20% (5/1) 13% (8/1)

Marin Cilic Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
QF
cross
Adria Soriano Barrera
Player
Marin Cilic
59% ( 53 of 90)
1st Serve %
51% ( 38 of 74)
13
Aces
10
0
Double Faults
3
74% ( 39 of 53)
1st Serve Won
79% ( 30 of 38)
65% ( 24 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 22 of 36)
33% ( 1 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
30% ( 27 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
30% ( 22 of 74)
85
Total Points Won
79
L
7-6(4) 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Marin Cilic
Player
Kyle Edmund
65% ( 42 of 65)
1st Serve %
50% ( 35 of 70)
19
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
5
76% ( 32 of 42)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 23 of 35)
43% ( 10 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 14 of 35)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
35% ( 23 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 33 of 70)
75
Total Points Won
60
W
6-2 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Marin Cilic
Player
Ugo Blanchet
49% ( 55 of 113)
1st Serve %
56% ( 70 of 124)
17
Aces
13
11
Double Faults
5
76% ( 42 of 55)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 43 of 70)
50% ( 29 of 58)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 28 of 54)
33% ( 5 of 15)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
37% ( 42 of 113)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 53 of 124)
124
Total Points Won
113
W
6-7(5) 6-2 7-6(4) H2H
R2
cross
Duje Ajdukovic
Player
Marin Cilic
60% ( 62 of 103)
1st Serve %
62% ( 51 of 82)
17
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
3
76% ( 47 of 62)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 38 of 51)
56% ( 23 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 19 of 31)
100% ( 2 of 2)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
32% ( 33 of 103)
Rtn Points Won
30% ( 25 of 82)
95
Total Points Won
90
L
7-6(4) 4-6 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Marin Cilic
Player
Alberto Barroso Campos
57% ( 30 of 53)
1st Serve %
63% ( 38 of 60)
10
Aces
2
6
Double Faults
2
87% ( 26 of 30)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 24 of 38)
52% ( 12 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 12 of 22)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
28% ( 15 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 24 of 60)
62
Total Points Won
51
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Laslo Djere
Player
Marin Cilic
60% ( 39 of 65)
1st Serve %
57% ( 48 of 84)
5
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
4
77% ( 30 of 39)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 30 of 48)
73% ( 19 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 17 of 36)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
25% ( 16 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 37 of 84)
86
Total Points Won
63
L
4-6 6-3 6-0 H2H
Rubber 1
cross
Zizou Bergs
Player
Marin Cilic
66% ( 57 of 87)
1st Serve %
57% ( 56 of 99)
15
Aces
9
1
Double Faults
6
79% ( 45 of 57)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 42 of 56)
60% ( 18 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 21 of 43)
13% ( 2 of 16)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
28% ( 24 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 36 of 99)
99
Total Points Won
87
L
6-4 4-6 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Fabian Marozsan
Player
Marin Cilic
65% ( 59 of 91)
1st Serve %
52% ( 65 of 125)
10
Aces
16
3
Double Faults
6
80% ( 47 of 59)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 46 of 65)
59% ( 19 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 25 of 60)
35% ( 6 of 17)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
27% ( 25 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 54 of 125)
120
Total Points Won
96
L
6-1 2-6 6-2 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Jan-Lennard Struff
Player
Marin Cilic
56% ( 69 of 124)
1st Serve %
49% ( 64 of 130)
11
Aces
20
4
Double Faults
12
71% ( 49 of 69)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 49 of 64)
47% ( 26 of 55)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 31 of 66)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
40% ( 49 of 124)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 50 of 130)
125
Total Points Won
129
L
3-6 7-6(4) 7-6(7) H2H
R1
cross
Flavio Cobolli
Player
Marin Cilic
56% ( 31 of 55)
1st Serve %
60% ( 43 of 72)
3
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
3
74% ( 23 of 31)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 26 of 43)
71% ( 17 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 13 of 29)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
27% ( 15 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 33 of 72)
73
Total Points Won
54
L
6-4 6-3 H2H

Pablo Carreno-Busta Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R1
cross
Arthur Cazaux
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
47% ( 35 of 74)
1st Serve %
58% ( 42 of 73)
11
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
5
83% ( 29 of 35)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 25 of 42)
54% ( 21 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 9 of 31)
78% ( 7 of 9)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
32% ( 24 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 39 of 73)
89
Total Points Won
58
L
6-1 6-3 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Alex Michelsen
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
67% ( 31 of 46)
1st Serve %
63% ( 38 of 60)
2
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
5
71% ( 22 of 31)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 24 of 38)
40% ( 6 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 9 of 22)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
39% ( 18 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 27 of 60)
55
Total Points Won
51
L
7-6(5) 2-1 ret. H2H
QF
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Learner Tien
70% ( 47 of 67)
1st Serve %
72% ( 39 of 54)
2
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
0
64% ( 30 of 47)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 21 of 39)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 8 of 15)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
36% ( 24 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 25 of 54)
68
Total Points Won
53
W
6-4 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Aleksandar Vukic
70% ( 56 of 80)
1st Serve %
45% ( 39 of 87)
3
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
6
75% ( 42 of 56)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 29 of 39)
54% ( 13 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 19 of 48)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
31% ( 25 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 39 of 87)
94
Total Points Won
73
W
6-3 4-6 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Alexander Shevchenko
43% ( 23 of 53)
1st Serve %
48% ( 24 of 50)
2
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
3
87% ( 20 of 23)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 15 of 24)
50% ( 15 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 8 of 26)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
34% ( 18 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 27 of 50)
62
Total Points Won
41
W
6-2 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Omni Kumar
55% ( 26 of 47)
1st Serve %
60% ( 24 of 40)
6
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
4
77% ( 20 of 26)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 13 of 24)
57% ( 12 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
25% ( 4 of 16)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
32% ( 15 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 23 of 40)
55
Total Points Won
32
W
6-2 6-0 H2H
R3
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
56% ( 42 of 75)
1st Serve %
61% ( 50 of 82)
8
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
7
71% ( 30 of 42)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 36 of 50)
67% ( 22 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 13 of 32)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
31% ( 23 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 33 of 82)
85
Total Points Won
72
L
7-5 7-6(6) H2H
R2
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Max Purcell
63% ( 27 of 43)
1st Serve %
47% ( 21 of 45)
11
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
1
85% ( 23 of 27)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 15 of 21)
81% ( 13 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 13 of 24)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
16% ( 7 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 17 of 45)
53
Total Points Won
35
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Sebastian Korda
67% ( 44 of 66)
1st Serve %
61% ( 27 of 44)
7
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
0
77% ( 34 of 44)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 20 of 27)
59% ( 13 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 7 of 17)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
29% ( 19 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 17 of 44)
64
Total Points Won
46
W
7-5 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
58% ( 25 of 43)
1st Serve %
57% ( 33 of 58)
4
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
3
76% ( 19 of 25)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 21 of 33)
78% ( 14 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 10 of 25)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 10 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 27 of 58)
60
Total Points Won
41
L
6-1 6-3 H2H

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