Prediction of Marcin Andrzejczak vs Vadym Ursu at M15 Sharm ElSheikh 12-03-25

• Marcin Andrzejczak has a slight edge in second serve performance, winning 45.19% of points compared to Vadym Ursu's 41.16% over recent months.
• When it comes to returning games, Vadym Ursu excels, capturing 49.43% of opponent's second serve points against Marcin's 44.67%, and 31.47% of first serve returns over Marcin's 25.14%.
• Under pressure, Vadym Ursu shows a better ability to save breakpoints, with a 51.87% success rate, while Marcin Andrzejczak manages 44.16% in the same category.
• Looking at overall match performance in the past year, Vadym Ursu has the upper hand, winning 63.41% of his matches to Marcin's 58.33%.
• Both players excel on Hard courts, with an equal win percentage of 67%, but Vadym Ursu displays a more extensive track record on this surface.
• In terms of playing level, Vadym Ursu has been dominant at the Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K tournaments, posting a 74.14% win rate versus Marcin's 58.33% at the same level.
• Marcin Andrzejczak competes against higher-ranked opponents, with an average rank of 153.33 compared to Vadym Ursu's opponent average rank of 400.57. Could this exposure to tougher competition give Marcin the edge in adaptability?
• In deciding sets, Vadym Ursu again has the advantage, prevailing in 65% of such scenarios, while Marcin holds a 50% success rate.
• Both players show similar efficiency in converting breakpoints, with Marcin at 42.42% and Vadym at 41.30%. Does this suggest that neither player will have a significant advantage during crucial moments?

Editorial Prediction (December 2, 2025, UTC):

Considering each player's recent performance and match statistics, several factors emerge to suggest who may likely win this match. Vadym Ursu has shown stronger return game statistics and an impressive ability to save breakpoints, indicating his resilience and skill under pressure.

Moreover, Ursu's overall win rate and performance in deciding sets also tilt the balance slightly in his favor. Despite Marcin Andrzejczak's potential exposure to higher-ranked opponents, which may enhance his adaptability, Ursu's consistent performance in the Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments provides a solid foundation.

Given these insights and trends, Vadym Ursu is the more probable victor in this upcoming tennis match.