Mai Hontama vs Alina Charaeva Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Charaeva has a slight advantage on second serve performance, winning 40.22% of points compared to Hontama's 37.72%. Could this edge be significant?
• When it comes to returning second serves, Charaeva also edges out Hontama, with 53.21% success versus 51.38%.
• For first serve returns, Hontama shows a marginal lead, winning 35.32% of points compared to Charaeva's 34.71%.
• Under pressure, Charaeva seems more resilient, saving 48.59% of breakpoints, while Hontama saves 44.48%.
• Charaeva has a better overall match win percentage over the last year at 60.76%, compared to Hontama's 48.28%.
• Surface preference could play a critical role: Charaeva excels on clay, while Hontama prefers hard courts.
• Both players have mainly competed at the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K level, with Charaeva winning 60.81% of those matches and Hontama winning 51.61%.
• Hontama has faced higher-ranked opponents on average (265.21) compared to Charaeva (293.37), suggesting a potentially tougher competition.
• In deciding sets, Charaeva exhibits greater success, winning 54% versus Hontama’s 33%.
• Charaeva shows a more efficient breakpoint conversion rate at 39.88%, while Hontama stands at 36.11%.

Editorial Prediction (September 11, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the data holistically, Charaeva appears to have the upper hand across multiple performance metrics. Her edge in second serve and return points, as well as her higher success rate in breakpoint situations, suggest a slight advantage.

However, Hontama's experience against higher-ranked opponents could mean she's better prepared for high-pressure scenarios, despite her lower breakpoint conversion and deciding set statistics.

Charaeva’s stronger mental resilience under pressure and her higher overall win percentage over the past year further tilt the scales in her favor. Taking into account the patterns and trends observed, Charaeva is the more likely winner for this upcoming tennis match.