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Prediction of Madison Keys vs Venus Williams Head-to-Head, Best Odds & Picks At Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Keys vs Williams analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Madison Keys vs Venus Williams Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Keys 4 - 2 Williams

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Keys has won 45.25% of points on their second serve, while Williams has won 0%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Keys, in recent form, has won 58.61% of their opponent's second serve points, while Williams has won 0%. The same stats for first serve returns are 37.95% and 0% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Keys has saved 59.28% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Williams has saved 0% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Keys has won 63.16% of matches played (W/L 24/ 14), with Williams winning 0% (W/L 0/ 2) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 72% (W/L 50/ 19), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 53% (W/L 17/ 15). Williams has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 82% (W/L 74/ 16), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 71% (W/L 169/ 68).
  • Player level: In the last year, Keys has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 57.14% of matches (W/L 12/ 9), where as Williams has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 0% of matches (W/L 0/ 2). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 6 times before with Keys winning 4 times and Williams being victorious 2 times. They have played 15 sets in total, with Keys winning 9 and Williams winning 6. The last match between Keys and Williams was at the Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal, 08-08-2023, First, Hard with Madison Keys getting the victory 6-2 7-5.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:23:51.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Keys and Williams have played a deciding set 3 times, with Keys winning 2 times and Williams 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 2 tiebreaks against each other with Keys winning 0, and Williams 2.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Keys has played against opponents with an average rank of 41.03 while Williams has played against players with an average rank of 79.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Keys has won 63% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Williams has won 0% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Keys has converted 44.06% of breakpoint opportunities, and Williams has converted 0% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
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Madison Keys

12

Total

1

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

8

Main

1

Minor

20

Rank

7

High

29

Age

R

Plays

4

Total

2

4

Hard

0

0

Clay

1

0

Indoor

1

0

Grass

0

833

Rank

2

High

44

Age

R

Plays

Venus Williams

49

Total

9

Mast

0

Chall

7

Slam

32

Main

0

Minor

4

Total

2

4

Hard

0

0

Clay

1

0

Indoor

1

0

Grass

0

W L L W W L W W L L

Form

L W L L L W L L L L

64% (384-219)

Career Total W/L

74% (806-277)

67% (24-12)

YTD W/L

0% (0-2)

$15,877,272

Career Prize Money

$19,667,262

1

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Keys VS Williams H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Madison Keys Venus Williams
All H2H Matches 4 2
Sets Won 9 6
Games Won 80 64
Aces (Total) 30 9
DFs Total 15 14
Avg Match Time 1:23:51 1:23:51
1st Serve % 60% (235/392) 65% (261/404)
1st Serve Win% 69% (161/235) 63% (164/261)
2nd Serve Win% 46% (72/157) 42% (60/143)
BPs Won% (Total) 52% (23/44) 50% (17/34)
Return Points W% 45% (180/404) 41% (159/392)
Best of 3 Sets W% 67% (4/6) 33% (2/6)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/2) 100% (2/2)
Deciding Set Win% 67% (2/3) 33% (1/3)
1st set W, W 80% (5/4) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, L 20% (5/1) 0% (1/0)
1st set L, W 0% (1/0) 20% (5/1)

Keys VS Williams H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-2 7-5
6-2 6-3
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Venus Williams
63% ( 41 of 65)
1st Serve %
64% ( 41 of 64)
5
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
8
78% ( 32 of 41)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 26 of 41)
50% ( 12 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
32% ( 21 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 30 of 64)
74
Total Points Won
55
6-1 6-7(2) 6-3
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Venus Williams
62% ( 56 of 91)
1st Serve %
73% ( 80 of 110)
12
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
2
71% ( 40 of 56)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 44 of 80)
60% ( 21 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 17 of 30)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
33% ( 30 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 49 of 110)
110
Total Points Won
91
3-6 7-6(5) 6-1
cross
Venus Williams
Player
Madison Keys
64% ( 61 of 95)
1st Serve %
61% ( 52 of 85)
2
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
4
64% ( 39 of 61)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 31 of 52)
35% ( 12 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 12 of 33)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
67% ( 6 of 9)
46% ( 44 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 42 of 85)
93
Total Points Won
87
6-3 4-6 6-4
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Venus Williams
54% ( 50 of 92)
1st Serve %
51% ( 42 of 82)
6
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
1
68% ( 34 of 50)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 29 of 42)
43% ( 18 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 12 of 40)
78% ( 7 of 9)
Break Points Won
50% ( 5 of 10)
43% ( 40 of 92)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 41 of 82)
93
Total Points Won
81
6-4 6-4
cross
Venus Williams
Player
Madison Keys
70% ( 37 of 53)
1st Serve %
61% ( 36 of 59)
2
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
70% ( 26 of 37)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 24 of 36)
69% ( 11 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 9 of 23)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
30% ( 16 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 26 of 59)
63
Total Points Won
49

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Madison Keys Venus Williams
YTD W/L 67% (24/12) 0% (0/2)
Sets Win/Loss 65% (53/28) 20% (1/4)
Games Win/Loss 56% (428/342) 37% (15/26)
Hard Win/Loss 54% (7/6) 0% (0/2)
Clay Win/Loss 76% (13/4) 0% (0/0)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 67% (4/2) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.36 0.45
Aces Total 135 9
DFs per game 0.26 0.8
DFs Total 98 16
Avg Match Time 1:37:16 1:40:30
Avg Opp Rank 41.75 79
1st Serve % 69% (1726/2503) 60% (93/156)
1st Serve W% 66% (1135/1726) 60% (56/93)
2nd Serve W% 46% (358/777) 30% (19/63)
BPs Won% Total 44% (143/328) 54% (7/13)
Return Pts W% 44% (1144/2580) 41% (46/112)
Slam W/L 70% (7/3) 0% (0/0)
Masters W/L 63% (12/7) 0% (0/2)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 71% (5/2) 0% (0/0)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 71% (24/34) 0% (0/2)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/2) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 77% (10/13) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set W% 63% (5/8) 0% (0/1)
1st set W, W 88% (26/23) 0% (1/0)
1st set W, L 12% (26/3) 100% (1/1)
1st set L, W 10% (10/1) 0% (1/0)

Madison Keys Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R1
cross
Beatriz Haddad Maia
Player
Madison Keys
67% ( 62 of 93)
1st Serve %
69% ( 46 of 67)
1
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
2
68% ( 42 of 62)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 25 of 46)
42% ( 13 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 9 of 21)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
25% ( 3 of 12)
41% ( 38 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 33 of 67)
88
Total Points Won
72
L
7-6(7) 6-2 H2H
R4
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Madison Keys
72% ( 31 of 43)
1st Serve %
73% ( 43 of 59)
1
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
6
84% ( 26 of 31)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 24 of 43)
33% ( 4 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 6 of 16)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
30% ( 13 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 29 of 59)
59
Total Points Won
43
L
6-4 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Beatriz Haddad Maia
71% ( 35 of 49)
1st Serve %
55% ( 36 of 65)
3
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
5
60% ( 21 of 35)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 18 of 36)
50% ( 7 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 11 of 29)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
43% ( 21 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 36 of 65)
64
Total Points Won
50
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
78% ( 38 of 49)
1st Serve %
74% ( 45 of 61)
3
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
5
82% ( 31 of 38)
1st Serve Won
44% ( 20 of 45)
18% ( 2 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 6 of 16)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
33% ( 16 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 35 of 61)
68
Total Points Won
42
W
6-2 6-1 H2H
R3
cross
Elise Mertens
Player
Madison Keys
51% ( 56 of 110)
1st Serve %
76% ( 94 of 124)
4
Aces
7
10
Double Faults
8
80% ( 45 of 56)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 57 of 94)
46% ( 25 of 54)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 13 of 30)
31% ( 5 of 16)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
36% ( 40 of 110)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 54 of 124)
124
Total Points Won
110
L
6-7(5) 7-5 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Maya Joint
63% ( 34 of 54)
1st Serve %
60% ( 29 of 48)
4
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
3
74% ( 25 of 34)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 22 of 29)
60% ( 12 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
16% ( 3 of 19)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
31% ( 17 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 23 of 48)
60
Total Points Won
42
W
6-4 6-0 H2H
R1
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Katerina Siniakova
75% ( 36 of 48)
1st Serve %
52% ( 32 of 62)
1
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
11
69% ( 25 of 36)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 21 of 32)
67% ( 8 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 10 of 30)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
31% ( 15 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 31 of 62)
64
Total Points Won
46
W
6-4 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Peyton Stearns
Player
Madison Keys
66% ( 50 of 76)
1st Serve %
61% ( 54 of 89)
4
Aces
10
4
Double Faults
5
74% ( 37 of 50)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 35 of 54)
50% ( 13 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 14 of 35)
29% ( 4 of 14)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
34% ( 26 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 40 of 89)
90
Total Points Won
75
L
3-6 7-5 3-0 ret. H2H
R4
cross
Jasmine Paolini
Player
Madison Keys
72% ( 73 of 102)
1st Serve %
70% ( 82 of 117)
2
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
3
60% ( 44 of 73)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 45 of 82)
45% ( 13 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 15 of 35)
54% ( 7 of 13)
Break Points Won
75% ( 6 of 8)
44% ( 45 of 102)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 57 of 117)
114
Total Points Won
105
L
6-3 6-7(6) 5-5 ret. H2H
R3
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Marta Kostyuk
82% ( 45 of 55)
1st Serve %
70% ( 46 of 66)
2
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
2
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 26 of 46)
60% ( 6 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
31% ( 17 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 30 of 66)
68
Total Points Won
53
W
6-4 6-3 H2H

Venus Williams Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R1
cross
Diana Shnaider
Player
Venus Williams
59% ( 30 of 51)
1st Serve %
56% ( 36 of 64)
2
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
6
77% ( 23 of 30)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 23 of 36)
38% ( 8 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
25% ( 7 of 28)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
100% ( 3 of 3)
39% ( 20 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 34 of 64)
65
Total Points Won
50
L
6-3 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Nao Hibino
Player
Venus Williams
70% ( 43 of 61)
1st Serve %
62% ( 57 of 92)
1
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
10
58% ( 25 of 43)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 33 of 57)
56% ( 10 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
34% ( 12 of 35)
47% ( 7 of 15)
Break Points Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
43% ( 26 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 47 of 92)
82
Total Points Won
71
L
2-6 6-3 6-0 H2H
R1
L
6-1 6-1 H2H
R2
L
1-6 6-2 6-1 H2H
R1
W
6-4 7-5 H2H
R1
L
6-2 7-5 H2H
R1
L
6-4 6-3 H2H
R2
L
6-3 5-7 6-3 H2H
R1
W
7-6(5) 4-6 7-6(6) H2H
R1
L
3-6 7-6(3) 6-2 H2H

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