Madison Keys vs Polona Hercog Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
M. Keys vs P. Hercog

Madison Keys

USA

1

Win

Played

1

Win

Age

1.78m

Height

1.85m

C. Rank

899

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$20.8M

Career Money

$2.4M

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Plays

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Polona Hercog

SLO

1

Win

Played

1

Win

Age

1.78m

Height

1.85m

C. Rank

899

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$20.8M

Career Money

$2.4M

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Plays

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Head-to-head: Keys 1 - 1 Hercog

They have played 4 sets in total, with Madison Keys winning 2 and Polona Hercog winning 2. The last match between Polona Hercog and Madison Keys was at the Wimbledon - London, 03-07-2019, Round: R2, Surface: Grass, with Polona Hercog getting the victory 6-2 6-4.

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Keys	1
Hercog	1

Last 2 H2H Matches:

(R2) Wimbledon - London(07-03-19)

Stats

Polona Hercog

Madison Keys

(R1) Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome(05-13-19)

Stats

Madison Keys

Polona Hercog

M. Keys vs P. Hercog H2H Profile

M. Keys	Stats	P. Hercog
$20,819,148	Career Prize Money	$2,443,410
64.27% (421-234)	Career Total W/L	57.57% (479-353)
1	Clay	0
0	Grass	1
14	Titles	22
1	Total H2H Matches	1
71.15% (37-15)	YTD Win/Loss	0% (0-0)
2	YTD Titles	0

M. Keys vs P. Hercog Match Preview:

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Madison Keys has won 40.96% of points on their second serve, while Polona Hercog has won 44.77%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Madison Keys, in recent form, has won 49.77% of their opponent's second serve points, while Polona Hercog has won 47.94%. The same stats for first serve returns are 29.25% and 30.86% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Madison Keys has saved 57.20% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Polona Hercog has saved 45.00% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Madison Keys has won 71.15% of matches played (W/L 37/15), with Polona Hercog winning 30.00% (W/L 3/7) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Madison Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 71% (W/L 54/22), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 50% (W/L 17/17). Polona Hercog has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 71% (W/L 317/152), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 44% (W/L 114/144).
Player level: In the last year, Madison Keys has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 63.64% of matches (W/L 14/8), where as Polona Hercog has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 37.50% of matches (W/L 3/5). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Madison Keys winning 1 times and Polona Hercog being victorious 1 times. They have played 4 sets in total, with Madison Keys winning 2 and Polona Hercog winning 2.
The last match between Madison Keys and Polona Hercog was at the Wimbledon - London, 03-07-2019, Round: R2, Surface: Grass, with Polona Hercog getting the victory 6-2 6-4.
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:24:40.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Madison Keys has played against opponents with an average rank of 48.37 while Polona Hercog has played against players with an average rank of 263.6.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Madison Keys has won 71% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Polona Hercog has won 33% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Madison Keys has converted 36.48% of breakpoint opportunities, and Polona Hercog has converted 35.48% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Madison Keys vs Polona Hercog Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

M. Keys vs P. Hercog H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

M. Keys	Stats	P. Hercog
1	H2H Matches Won	1
2	Sets Won	2
19	Games Won	22
8	Aces (Total)	1
6	Total Double Faults	6
1:24:40	Average Match Time	1:24:40
60% (73/122)	1st Serve %	64% (87/135)
70% (51/73)	1st Serve Win %	60% (52/87)
47% (23/49)	2nd Serve Win %	56% (27/48)
29% (4/14)	Break Pts Won %	46% (6/13)
41% (56/135)	Return Points Win %	39% (48/122)
50% (1/2)	Best‑of‑3 Win %	50% (1/2)
100% (1/1)	1st Set Won, Won Match	100% (1/1)
0% (0/1)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	0% (0/1)
0% (0/1)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	0% (0/1)

Recent Performance Stats

M. Keys Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
WTA Finals - Riyadh - 03-11-2025
Robin Amanda AnisimovaA. Anisimova	L	4-6 6-3 6-2	Stats
Robin Iga SwiatekI. Swiatek	L	6-1 6-2	Stats
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
R1 Renata ZarazuaR. Zarazua	L	6-7(10) 7-6(3) 7-5	Stats
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025
R4 Elena RybakinaE. Rybakina	L	6-7(3) 6-4 6-2	Stats
R3 Aoi ItoA. Ito	W	6-4 6-0	Stats

View All

P. Hercog Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Tucuman Open - Tucuman - 03-11-2025
R1 Mayar SherifM. Sherif	L	7-6(4) 7-6(6)	Stats
Cali Open - Cali - 27-10-2025
R1 Tina Nadine SmithT. Nadine	L	6-3 6-4	Stats
Engie Open - Florianopolis - 20-10-2025
R1 Julia RieraJ. Riera	L	6-7(2) 6-4 6-2	Stats
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
Q1 Tessah AndrianjafitrimoT. Andrianjafitrimo	L	5-7 6-2 6-4	Stats
W50 Ourense - 04-08-2025
SF Polina IatcenkoP. Iatcenko	L	6-4 6-1	Stats

View All

M. Keys vs P. Hercog Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

M. Keys	Stats	P. Hercog
64.27% (421/234)	YTD Win/Loss	57.63% (476/350)
62.25% (935/567)	Sets Win/Loss	56.13% (1058/827)
54.63% (7694/6389)	Games Win/Loss	52.55% (9058/8178)
64.12% (252/141)	Hard Win/Loss	44.19% (114/144)
64.47% (98/54)	Clay Win/Loss	67.59% (317/152)
50.00% (17/17)	Indoor Hard W/L	44.00% (22/28)
71.05% (54/22)	Grass Win/Loss	46.94% (23/26)
0.42	Aces Per Game	0.21
2893	Aces Total	1780
0.21	Double Faults Per Game	0.25
1416	Total Double Faults	2094
1:19:25	Average Match Time	1:11:42
352.72	Average Opponent Rank	478.25
63% (25508/40424)	1st Serve %	60% (26861/44782)
69% (17495/25508)	1st Serve Win %	65% (17363/26861)
48% (7162/14899)	2nd Serve Win %	47% (8508/17916)
44% (2121/4838)	Break Points Won % (Total)	48% (2450/5157)
43% (18091/41631)	Return Points Win %	43% (19661/45293)
70.86% (124/51)	Slam W/L	40.22% (37/55)
55.77% (116/92)	Masters W/L	51.94% (67/62)
44.44% (4/5)	Cups W/L	53.85% (7/6)
66.32% (126/64)	Main Tour W/L	51.54% (151/142)
64.91% (37/20)	Challenger W/L	70.19% (186/79)
87.50% (14/2)	Futures W/L	82.35% (28/6)
65% (417/643)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	57% (465/811)
25% (1/4)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	100% (2/2)
58% (102/177)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	52% (90/173)
53% (104/197)	Deciding Set Win %	53% (129/244)
87% (426/369)	1st Set Won, Won Match	85% (471/402)
13% (426/56)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	14% (471/66)
22% (229/51)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	20% (355/71)