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Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

By Wojtek Kolan

Head-2-Head: Keys 0 - 2 Stearns

They have played 6 sets in total, with Keys winning 2 and Stearns winning 4. The last match between Keys and Stearns was at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome, 10-05-2025, Round: Third, Surface: Clay, with Peyton Stearns getting the victory 2-6 6-2 7-6(3).

Players Head-To-Head Match Wins
Madison Keys 0
Peyton Stearns 2

LAST H2H MATCH: Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome(10-05-2025)

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2 6
6 2
7 6
Keys vs Stearns H2H Profile
Keys Stats Stearns
80% (24-6) YTD Win/Loss 57% (16-12)
0 Head-to-Head 2
7 Ranking 28
5 Highest Rank 28
30 Age 23
R Plays -
14 Titles 6
64% (408-225) Career Total W/L 60% (174-118)
$19,985,045 Career Prize Money $1,522,399
2 YTD Titles 0
0 Hard H2H 1
0 Clay H2H 1

Today’s Tennis Tips:

Maneiro VS Nahimana PREDICTION Clay

Grand Prix De SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem - Rabat wta

21 May 2025 / Second

ODDS
OUR PREDICTION
EDGE

Sada Nahimana

To Win

42.97 %
18.87%

Pegula VS Kalinskaya PREDICTION Clay

Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg wta

20 May 2025 / Second

ODDS
OUR PREDICTION
EDGE

Anna Kalinskaya

To Win

50.34 %
19.19%

Keys VS Stearns H2H Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
2-6 6-2 7-6(3)
cross
Peyton Stearns
Player
Madison Keys
56% ( 57 of 102)
1st Serve %
66% ( 67 of 102)
2
Aces
6
4
Double Faults
6
63% ( 36 of 57)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 42 of 67)
49% ( 22 of 45)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 13 of 35)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
29% ( 5 of 17)
43% ( 44 of 102)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 47 of 102)
105
Total Points Won
99
3-6 7-5 3-0 ret.
cross
Peyton Stearns
Player
Madison Keys
66% ( 50 of 76)
1st Serve %
61% ( 54 of 89)
4
Aces
10
4
Double Faults
5
74% ( 37 of 50)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 35 of 54)
50% ( 13 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 14 of 35)
29% ( 4 of 14)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
34% ( 26 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 40 of 89)
90
Total Points Won
75

Keys VS Stearns H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Keys Vs Stearns H2H Stats
Madison Keys Keys Stats Peyton Stearns Stearns
0 H2H Matches 2
2 Sets Won 4
25 Games Won 28
16 Aces (Total) 6
11 Total Double Faults 8
2:3:43 Average Match Time 2:3:43
63% (121/191) 1st Serve % 60% (107/178)
64% (77/121) 1st Serve Win % 68% (73/107)
39% (27/70) 2nd Serve Win % 49% (35/71)
31% (8/26) Break Points Won % (Total) 32% (9/28)
39% (70/178) Return Points Win % 46% (87/191)
0% (0/1) Best of 3 Sets Win % 100% (1/1)
0% (0/1) Best of 5 Sets Win % 100% (1/1)
0% (0/1) Tiebreaks Win % (Total) 100% (1/1)
0% (0/1) Deciding Set Win % 100% (1/1)
0% (2/0) 1st Set Won, Won Match 0% (0/0)
100% (2/2) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 0% (0/0)
0% (0/0) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 100% (2/2)

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

Keys vs Stearns Match Preview :

  • How effective is each player's second serve in recent form? Stearns has a second serve win rate of 39.04%, while Keys has a slightly higher rate at 42.89%.
  • In return games, Stearns excels by winning 52.61% of her opponent's second serve points compared to Keys' 48.45%. On first serve returns, both are nearly identical, with Stearns at 31.35% and Keys at 31.44%.
  • Both players have similar ability to handle pressure, with Stearns saving 50.97% of breakpoints and Keys a slightly better 51.62%.
  • Considering the last year's performance, Stearns has a match win rate of 58.93%, while Keys leads with 75.93%.
  • Stearns' favored surface is indoor hard, winning 68% of matches, whereas Keys excels on grass with a 72% win rate.
  • In terms of competition level, Stearns has played primarily on the Main tour with a 56.52% win rate, while Keys has competed mostly in the Masters series, achieving a 66.67% success rate.
  • In their only head-to-head matchup, Stearns holds the victory. The match duration averaged 1:44:21, but without any deciding sets or tiebreaks.
  • Stearns usually faces lower-ranked players, with an average opponent rank of 107.82, while Keys' average opponent ranks at 40.5.
  • Who performs better in deciding sets? In the past year, Stearns has a 65% win rate, whereas Keys has a better 79% success rate.
  • Both players show similar proficiency in converting breakpoints, with Stearns at 36.31% and Keys slightly higher at 37.08%.

Editorial Prediction (May 8, 2025, UTC):

Based on recent performance patterns, Keys has a slight edge on second serve performance, which could prove crucial in a tight match. Her consistency under pressure is also noteworthy, though only marginally better than Stearns.

When comparing their competitive environments, Keys' experience against higher-ranked opponents could provide an invaluable edge in adapting to different styles of play.

Despite Stearns' previous head-to-head win, the overall statistics suggest Keys has been more consistent, especially in tournament settings. Given these insights, Maddison Keys is the likely favorite to win the upcoming match.

Keys vs Stearns Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88

Madison Keys Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R3
cross
Peyton Stearns
Player
Madison Keys
56% ( 57 of 102)
1st Serve %
66% ( 67 of 102)
2
Aces
6
4
Double Faults
6
63% ( 36 of 57)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 42 of 67)
49% ( 22 of 45)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 13 of 35)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
29% ( 5 of 17)
43% ( 44 of 102)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 47 of 102)
105
Total Points Won
99
L
2-6 6-2 7-6(3) H2H
R2
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Varvara Gracheva
69% ( 60 of 87)
1st Serve %
59% ( 50 of 85)
3
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
4
70% ( 42 of 60)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 27 of 50)
41% ( 11 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 16 of 35)
29% ( 4 of 14)
Break Points Won
22% ( 2 of 9)
39% ( 34 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 42 of 85)
95
Total Points Won
77
W
7-6(4) 6-1 H2H
QF
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Madison Keys
53% ( 38 of 72)
1st Serve %
69% ( 43 of 62)
3
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
3
63% ( 24 of 38)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 28 of 43)
50% ( 17 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 8 of 19)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
67% ( 4 of 6)
43% ( 31 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 26 of 62)
67
Total Points Won
67
L
0-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
R4
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Donna Vekic
64% ( 36 of 56)
1st Serve %
55% ( 32 of 58)
2
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
2
64% ( 23 of 36)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 17 of 32)
60% ( 12 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 11 of 26)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
38% ( 21 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 30 of 58)
65
Total Points Won
49
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Anna Kalinskaya
69% ( 66 of 96)
1st Serve %
65% ( 45 of 69)
4
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
2
62% ( 41 of 66)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 28 of 45)
53% ( 16 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 11 of 24)
100% ( 4 of 4)
Break Points Won
25% ( 3 of 12)
41% ( 39 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 30 of 69)
87
Total Points Won
78
W
7-5 7-6(3) H2H
R2
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Lucia Bronzetti
66% ( 31 of 47)
1st Serve %
67% ( 44 of 66)
4
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
4
68% ( 21 of 31)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 25 of 44)
63% ( 10 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 8 of 22)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
34% ( 16 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 33 of 66)
64
Total Points Won
49
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Anna Kalinskaya
Player
Madison Keys
76% ( 44 of 58)
1st Serve %
68% ( 40 of 59)
0
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
68% ( 30 of 44)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 19 of 40)
64% ( 9 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
63% ( 12 of 19)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
33% ( 19 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 28 of 59)
67
Total Points Won
50
L
6-2 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Caroline Dolehide
66% ( 48 of 73)
1st Serve %
61% ( 47 of 77)
2
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
2
77% ( 37 of 48)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 29 of 47)
48% ( 12 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 17 of 30)
25% ( 2 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
33% ( 24 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 31 of 77)
80
Total Points Won
70
W
6-3 7-6(4) H2H

Peyton Stearns Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
SF
cross
Jasmine Paolini
Player
Peyton Stearns
84% ( 58 of 69)
1st Serve %
55% ( 39 of 71)
1
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
5
60% ( 35 of 58)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 23 of 39)
45% ( 5 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
34% ( 11 of 32)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
42% ( 29 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 37 of 71)
77
Total Points Won
63
L
7-5 6-1 H2H
QF
cross
Peyton Stearns
Player
Elina Svitolina
67% ( 70 of 104)
1st Serve %
52% ( 53 of 101)
0
Aces
3
8
Double Faults
4
60% ( 42 of 70)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 28 of 53)
38% ( 13 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 23 of 48)
44% ( 8 of 18)
Break Points Won
41% ( 7 of 17)
47% ( 49 of 104)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 50 of 101)
105
Total Points Won
100
W
6-2 4-6 7-6(4) H2H
R4
cross
Peyton Stearns
Player
Naomi Osaka
60% ( 63 of 105)
1st Serve %
65% ( 56 of 86)
6
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
0
75% ( 47 of 63)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 43 of 56)
45% ( 19 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 17 of 30)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
37% ( 39 of 105)
Rtn Points Won
30% ( 26 of 86)
92
Total Points Won
99
W
6-4 3-6 7-6(4) H2H
R3
cross
Peyton Stearns
Player
Madison Keys
56% ( 57 of 102)
1st Serve %
66% ( 67 of 102)
2
Aces
6
4
Double Faults
6
63% ( 36 of 57)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 42 of 67)
49% ( 22 of 45)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 13 of 35)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
29% ( 5 of 17)
43% ( 44 of 102)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 47 of 102)
105
Total Points Won
99
W
2-6 6-2 7-6(3) H2H
R2
cross
Peyton Stearns
Player
Anna Kalinskaya
61% ( 34 of 56)
1st Serve %
60% ( 29 of 48)
3
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
4
76% ( 26 of 34)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 17 of 29)
50% ( 11 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 7 of 19)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
34% ( 19 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 24 of 48)
61
Total Points Won
43
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Peyton Stearns
Player
Nuria Brancaccio
61% ( 35 of 57)
1st Serve %
63% ( 31 of 49)
1
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
4
86% ( 30 of 35)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 19 of 31)
41% ( 9 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 6 of 18)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
32% ( 18 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 24 of 49)
63
Total Points Won
43
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
R4
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Peyton Stearns
56% ( 36 of 64)
1st Serve %
74% ( 39 of 53)
3
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
2
78% ( 28 of 36)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 22 of 39)
43% ( 12 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
8% ( 1 of 13)
38% ( 24 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 26 of 53)
66
Total Points Won
51
L
6-2 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Peyton Stearns
Player
Rebeka Masarova
62% ( 26 of 42)
1st Serve %
61% ( 27 of 44)
1
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
2
65% ( 17 of 26)
1st Serve Won
44% ( 12 of 27)
63% ( 10 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
24% ( 4 of 17)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
36% ( 15 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
64% ( 28 of 44)
55
Total Points Won
31
W
6-2 6-0 H2H
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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Keys & Stearns Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
Madison Keys Keys Stats Peyton Stearns Stearns
64% (408/225) Win/Loss 60% (174/118)
63% (905/543) Sets Win/Loss 58% (395/284)
55% (7425/6136) Games Win/Loss 54% (3431/2895)
64% (247/138) Hard Win/Loss 57% (100/74)
64% (94/53) Clay Win/Loss 63% (57/33)
53% (17/15) Indoor Hard W/L 68% (15/7)
72% (50/19) Grass Win/Loss 33% (2/4)
0.42 Aces Per Game 0.15
2806 Aces Total 470
0.2 Double Faults Per Game 0.33
1318 Total Double Faults 1006
1:18:30 Average Match Time 1:32:53
94.08 Average Opponent Rank 320.33
63% (24407/38758) 1st Serve % 66% (12374/18762)
69% (16743/24407) 1st Serve Win % 62% (7684/12374)
48% (6915/14334) 2nd Serve Win % 46% (2939/6387)
44% (2042/4640) Break Points Won % (Total) 49% (1125/2292)
44% (17356/39898) Return Points Win % 46% (8394/18179)
71% (118/48) Slam W/L 47% (9/10)
56% (111/88) Masters W/L 55% (28/23)
44% (4/5) Cups W/L 0% (0/0)
67% (124/62) Main Tour W/L 51% (24/23)
65% (37/20) Challenger W/L 64% (100/56)
88% (14/2) Futures W/L 68% (13/6)
65% (404/621) Best of 3 Sets Win % 60% (172/289)
25% (1/4) Best of 5 Sets Win % 50% (1/2)
58% (98/169) Tiebreaks Win % (Total) 45% (36/80)
52% (98/187) Deciding Set Win % 50% (47/94)
87% (415/362) 1st Set Won, Won Match 86% (176/151)
13% (415/52) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 14% (176/25)
21% (218/45) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 20% (116/23)

Keys vs. Stearns Prediction Form Trend:

Other Predictions

Grand Prix De SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem - Rabat

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21 May
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13:00
Prediction
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