Madison Keys vs Naomi Osaka Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Keys vs Osaka analysis and find out who is favored!
Madison Keys vs Naomi Osaka Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Keys has won 50% of points on his second serve, while Osaka has won 52.33%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Keys, in recent form, has won 47.95% of his opponent's second serve points, while Osaka has won 51.97%. The same stats for first serve returns are 30.29% and 30.17% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Keys has saved 62.12% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Osaka has saved 62.96% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Keys has won 64.71% of matches played (W/L 22/ 12), with Osaka winning 53.33% (W/L 8/ 7) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 73% (W/L 46/ 17), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 53% (W/L 17/ 15). Osaka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 67% (W/L 203/ 102), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 56% (W/L 18/ 14).
- Player level: In the last year, Keys has played most of their matches on the Grand Slam, winning 76.92% of matches (W/L 10/ 3), where as Osaka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 6/ 3). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Keys winning 3 times. They have played 9 sets in total, with Keys winning 6 and Osaka winning 3. The last match between Keys and Osaka was at the U.S. Open - New York, 06-09-2018, Semifinals, Hard with Naomi Osaka getting the victory .
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:28:31.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Keys and Osaka have played a deciding set 1 times, with Keys winning 1 times and Osaka 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 2 tiebreaks against each other with Keys winning 2, and Osaka 0.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Keys has played against opponents with an average rank of 122.15 while Osaka has played against players with an average rank of 66.47.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Keys has won 44% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Osaka has won 0% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Keys has converted 35.29% of breakpoint opportunities, and Osaka has converted 36.36% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Keys 3 - 1 Osaka
11
Total
1
Mast
2
Chall
0
Slam
7
Main
1
Minor
20
Rank
7
High
29
Age
R
Plays
3
Total1
2
Hard1
1
Clay0
0
Indoor0
0
Grass0
197
Rank
1
High
26
Age
R
Plays
7
Total
2
Mast
0
Chall
4
Slam
1
Main
0
Minor
Form
63% (363-210)
Career Total W/L
64% (292-162)
50% (3-3)
YTD W/L
53% (8-7)
$14,618,837
Career Prize Money
$21,251,455
0
YTD Titles
0
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
stats | Madison Keys | Naomi Osaka |
---|---|---|
All H2H Matches | 3 | 1 |
Sets Won | 6 | 3 |
Games Won | 49 | 41 |
Aces (Total) | 20 | 9 |
DFs (Total) | 9 | 12 |
Avg Match Time | 1:28:31 | 1:28:31 |
1st Serve % | 64% (176/275) | 61% (189/308) |
1st Serve Win% | 76% (133/176) | 65% (122/189) |
2nd Serve Win% | 44% (44/99) | 48% (57/119) |
BPs Won% (Total) | 34% (11/32) | 50% (9/18) |
Return Points W% | 42% (129/308) | 36% (98/275) |
Best of 3 Sets W% | 75% (3/4) | 25% (1/4) |
Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
TBs Win% (Total) | 100% (2/2) | 0% (0/2) |
Deciding Set Win% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
1st set W, W | 100% (3/3) | 100% (1/1) |
1st set W, L | 0% (3/0) | 0% (1/0) |
1st set L, W | 0% (1/0) | 0% (3/0) |
Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6-2 6-4 |
Naomi Osaka
Player
Madison Keys
70%
(
61 of
87)
1st Serve %
72%
(
34 of
47)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
64%
(
39 of
61)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
23 of
34)
58%
(
15 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
5 of
13)
75%
(
3 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
13)
38%
(
33 of
87)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
19 of
47)
73
Total Points Won
61
|
||||
6-1 7-6(7) |
Madison Keys
Player
Naomi Osaka
61%
(
40 of
66)
1st Serve %
50%
(
36 of
72)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
78%
(
31 of
40)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
20 of
36)
42%
(
11 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
17 of
36)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
36%
(
24 of
66)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
35 of
72)
77
Total Points Won
61
|
||||
6-1 6-4 |
Madison Keys
Player
Naomi Osaka
71%
(
41 of
58)
1st Serve %
68%
(
32 of
47)
8
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
4
73%
(
30 of
41)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
23 of
32)
59%
(
10 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
20%
(
3 of
15)
75%
(
3 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
4)
31%
(
18 of
58)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
21 of
47)
61
Total Points Won
44
|
||||
7-5 4-6 7-6(3) |
Madison Keys
Player
Naomi Osaka
59%
(
61 of
104)
1st Serve %
59%
(
60 of
102)
6
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
4
80%
(
49 of
61)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
40 of
60)
42%
(
18 of
43)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
22 of
42)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
80%
(
4 of
5)
36%
(
37 of
104)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
40 of
102)
107
Total Points Won
99
|
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
stats | Madison Keys | Naomi Osaka |
---|---|---|
YTD W/L | 50% (3/3) | 53% (8/7) |
Sets Win/Loss | 50% (7/7) | 55% (17/14) |
Games Win/Loss | 48% (67/72) | 52% (171/157) |
Hard Win/Loss | 60% (3/2) | 54% (7/6) |
Clay Win/Loss | 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/1) |
Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 100% (1/0) |
Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Aces pg | 0.36 | 0.79 |
Aces Total | 24 | 127 |
DFs per game | 0.24 | 0.28 |
DFs Total | 16 | 45 |
Avg Match Time | 1:45:23 | 1:36:16 |
Avg Opp Rank | 209.67 | 66.47 |
1st Serve % | 65% (309/476) | 54% (561/1033) |
1st Serve W% | 64% (198/309) | 76% (426/561) |
2nd Serve W% | 49% (82/167) | 52% (247/472) |
BPs Won% Total | 40% (17/42) | 36% (36/99) |
Return Pts W% | 40% (184/458) | 38% (405/1067) |
Slam W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/1) |
Masters W/L | 60% (3/2) | 67% (6/3) |
Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 100% (1/0) |
Main Tour W/L | 0% (0/1) | 25% (1/3) |
Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Best of 3 Sets W% | 50% (3/6) | 53% (8/15) |
Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
TBs Win% (Total) | 100% (2/2) | 44% (4/9) |
Deciding Set W% | 50% (1/2) | 0% (0/1) |
1st set W, W | 75% (4/3) | 89% (9/8) |
1st set W, L | 25% (4/1) | 11% (9/1) |
1st set L, W | 0% (2/0) | 0% (6/0) |
Madison Keys Recent Matches Played
opponent | Score | H2H | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
R2 |
Jaqueline Cristian
Player
Madison Keys
52%
(
45 of
86)
1st Serve %
66%
(
56 of
85)
0
Aces
8
5
Double Faults
4
67%
(
30 of
45)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
33 of
56)
49%
(
20 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
14 of
29)
40%
(
6 of
15)
Break Points Won
50%
(
4 of
8)
42%
(
36 of
86)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
38 of
85)
88
Total Points Won
83
|
3-6 6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
R4 |
Elena Rybakina
Player
Madison Keys
65%
(
41 of
63)
1st Serve %
75%
(
47 of
63)
5
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
80%
(
33 of
41)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
29 of
47)
50%
(
11 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
7 of
16)
38%
(
3 of
8)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
30%
(
19 of
63)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
27 of
63)
71
Total Points Won
55
|
6-3 7-5 | H2H | ||
R3 |
Madison Keys
Player
Xinyu Wang
59%
(
42 of
71)
1st Serve %
58%
(
51 of
88)
3
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
0
71%
(
30 of
42)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
34 of
51)
66%
(
19 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
54%
(
20 of
37)
29%
(
2 of
7)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
31%
(
22 of
71)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
34 of
88)
83
Total Points Won
76
|
6-4 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
R2 |
Madison Keys
Player
Diana Shnaider
73%
(
49 of
67)
1st Serve %
69%
(
35 of
51)
8
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
3
73%
(
36 of
49)
1st Serve Won
57%
(
20 of
35)
44%
(
8 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
31%
(
5 of
16)
100%
(
4 of
4)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
34%
(
23 of
67)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
26 of
51)
70
Total Points Won
48
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
R3 |
Yulia Putintseva
Player
Madison Keys
65%
(
36 of
55)
1st Serve %
56%
(
32 of
57)
0
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
1
72%
(
26 of
36)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
17 of
32)
53%
(
10 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
11 of
25)
71%
(
5 of
7)
Break Points Won
13%
(
1 of
8)
35%
(
19 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
29 of
57)
65
Total Points Won
47
|
6-4 6-1 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Madison Keys
Player
Hailey Baptiste
62%
(
83 of
133)
1st Serve %
51%
(
59 of
115)
2
Aces
3
8
Double Faults
9
64%
(
53 of
83)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
39 of
59)
46%
(
23 of
50)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
26 of
56)
38%
(
5 of
13)
Break Points Won
31%
(
5 of
16)
43%
(
57 of
133)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
50 of
115)
126
Total Points Won
122
|
6-4 4-6 7-6(4) | H2H | ||
Robin |
Caroline Garcia
Player
Madison Keys
54%
(
36 of
67)
1st Serve %
74%
(
49 of
66)
5
Aces
12
2
Double Faults
1
83%
(
30 of
36)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
36 of
49)
68%
(
21 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
65%
(
11 of
17)
33%
(
1 of
3)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
24%
(
16 of
67)
Rtn Points Won
29%
(
19 of
66)
70
Total Points Won
63
|
6-3 7-6(3) | H2H | ||
Robin |
Beatriz Haddad Maia
Player
Madison Keys
68%
(
47 of
69)
1st Serve %
67%
(
37 of
55)
5
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
68%
(
32 of
47)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
25 of
37)
64%
(
14 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
8 of
18)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
14%
(
1 of
7)
33%
(
23 of
69)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
22 of
55)
68
Total Points Won
56
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Emma Navarro
Player
Madison Keys
64%
(
46 of
72)
1st Serve %
64%
(
44 of
69)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
5
61%
(
28 of
46)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
28 of
44)
58%
(
15 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
9 of
25)
71%
(
5 of
7)
Break Points Won
60%
(
3 of
5)
40%
(
29 of
72)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
32 of
69)
75
Total Points Won
66
|
6-2 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
SF |
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Madison Keys
65%
(
64 of
98)
1st Serve %
69%
(
76 of
110)
12
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
3
64%
(
41 of
64)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
47 of
76)
56%
(
19 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
16 of
34)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
55%
(
6 of
11)
39%
(
38 of
98)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
47 of
110)
107
Total Points Won
101
|
0-6 7-6(1) 7-6(5) | H2H |
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Naomi Osaka Recent Matches Played
opponent | Score | H2H | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
R1 |
Martina Trevisan
Player
Naomi Osaka
67%
(
42 of
63)
1st Serve %
53%
(
32 of
60)
3
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
2
74%
(
31 of
42)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
21 of
32)
48%
(
10 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
11 of
28)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
13%
(
1 of
8)
35%
(
22 of
63)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
28 of
60)
69
Total Points Won
54
|
6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
Rubber 2 |
Naomi Osaka
Player
Yulia Putintseva
59%
(
38 of
64)
1st Serve %
75%
(
53 of
71)
15
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
2
82%
(
31 of
38)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
34 of
53)
65%
(
17 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
56%
(
10 of
18)
40%
(
2 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
25%
(
16 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
27 of
71)
75
Total Points Won
60
|
6-2 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
R3 |
Caroline Garcia
Player
Naomi Osaka
65%
(
51 of
79)
1st Serve %
61%
(
46 of
76)
12
Aces
16
4
Double Faults
2
75%
(
38 of
51)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
32 of
46)
50%
(
14 of
28)
2nd Serve Won
60%
(
18 of
30)
22%
(
2 of
9)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
34%
(
27 of
79)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
26 of
76)
78
Total Points Won
77
|
7-6(4) 7-5 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Naomi Osaka
Player
Elina Svitolina
59%
(
38 of
64)
1st Serve %
65%
(
40 of
62)
5
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
0
71%
(
27 of
38)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
27 of
40)
65%
(
17 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
55%
(
12 of
22)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
31%
(
20 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
23 of
62)
67
Total Points Won
59
|
6-2 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
R1 |
Naomi Osaka
Player
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
41%
(
20 of
49)
1st Serve %
61%
(
36 of
59)
6
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
2
85%
(
17 of
20)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
23 of
36)
79%
(
23 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
11 of
23)
29%
(
2 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
18%
(
9 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
25 of
59)
65
Total Points Won
43
|
6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
R3 |
Elise Mertens
Player
Naomi Osaka
62%
(
49 of
79)
1st Serve %
38%
(
29 of
76)
5
Aces
7
7
Double Faults
6
65%
(
32 of
49)
1st Serve Won
79%
(
23 of
29)
50%
(
15 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
17 of
47)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
33%
(
3 of
9)
41%
(
32 of
79)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
36 of
76)
83
Total Points Won
72
|
7-5 6-4 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Naomi Osaka
Player
Liudmila Samsonova
47%
(
32 of
68)
1st Serve %
48%
(
30 of
63)
4
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
6
66%
(
21 of
32)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
20 of
30)
67%
(
24 of
36)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
17 of
33)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
34%
(
23 of
68)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
26 of
63)
71
Total Points Won
60
|
7-5 6-3 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Naomi Osaka
Player
Sara Errani
52%
(
32 of
62)
1st Serve %
82%
(
47 of
57)
9
Aces
0
9
Double Faults
2
75%
(
24 of
32)
1st Serve Won
47%
(
22 of
47)
43%
(
13 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
20%
(
2 of
10)
46%
(
6 of
13)
Break Points Won
20%
(
2 of
10)
40%
(
25 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
58%
(
33 of
57)
70
Total Points Won
49
|
6-3 6-1 | H2H | ||
QF |
Karolina Pliskova
Player
Naomi Osaka
73%
(
63 of
86)
1st Serve %
60%
(
52 of
86)
8
Aces
10
6
Double Faults
2
70%
(
44 of
63)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
38 of
52)
48%
(
11 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
17 of
34)
29%
(
2 of
7)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
36%
(
31 of
86)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
31 of
86)
86
Total Points Won
86
|
7-6(6) 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
R3 | w/o | H2H |
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