Luka Mikrut vs Lorenzo Carboni Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent form, Mikrut's second serve point win rate is 42.92%, marginally higher than Carboni's 42.5%. Could this slight edge impact the match outcome?
• Conversely, Carboni excels in return games, winning 46.31% of points on opponents' second serves compared to Mikrut's 45.32%.
• With first serve return points, Carboni has a notable advantage, winning 32.05% against Mikrut's 25.23%.
• Breaking down under pressure, Carboni has a slight upper hand, saving 53.16% of breakpoints while Mikrut saves 51.65%.
• When considering yearly performance, Mikrut has a higher match win percentage at 70.59% compared to Carboni's 63.29%.
• On hard surfaces, Carboni exhibits a better career win rate at 68% compared to Mikrut's 66%.
• In Futures events, Mikrut has a higher win percentage, having won 82.86% of his matches compared to Carboni's 69.35%.
• Carboni has faced stronger competition over the past year, with opponents averaging a rank of 324.77 versus Mikrut's 433.99.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Carboni seems slightly more reliable, winning 61% of these sets compared to Mikrut's 53%.
• Carboni has been more effective at converting breakpoints recently, seizing 38.68% of opportunities, while Mikrut converts at a rate of 30%.

Editorial Prediction (September 9, 2025, UTC):

Comparing the players' second serve statistics, Mikrut exhibits a slight edge, but Carboni's superior return game might neutralize this advantage. Carboni's strength in return games, especially first serve returns, suggests an opportunity to gain pivotal points against Mikrut. Additionally, under pressure situations favor Carboni slightly, as he maintains better breakpoint saving stats.

Mikrut boasts a better match win percentage in the past year, likely due to dominating Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments, yet the quality of Carboni's competition has been higher. This experience against tougher opponents could translate into better performance in challenging match situations.

Surface compatibility seems evenly matched, both favoring hard courts, though Carboni edges slightly ahead. When factoring in deciding set performance and the ability to convert key break chances, Carboni shows a resilience and knack for making critical plays.

Based on these insights, while Mikrut's form is commendable, Carboni's abilities under pressure and proven effectiveness against higher-quality opponents suggest he is most likely to win the upcoming match.