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Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De Minaur Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Musetti vs Minaur analysis and find out who is favored!

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Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De Minaur Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Musetti 1 - 1 Minaur

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Musetti has won 52.24% of points on their second serve, while Minaur has won 54.46%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Musetti, in recent form, has won 49.93% of their opponent's second serve points, while Minaur has won 57.04%. The same stats for first serve returns are 30.27% and 36.03% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Musetti has saved 58.64% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Minaur has saved 59.6% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Musetti has won 54.17% of matches played (W/L 39/ 33), with Minaur winning 71.43% (W/L 60/ 24) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Musetti has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 64% (W/L 18/ 10), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 48% (W/L 29/ 32). Minaur has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 69% (W/L 51/ 23), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 56% (W/L 65/ 51).
  • Player level: In the last year, Musetti has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 51.52% of matches (W/L 17/ 16), where as Minaur has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 72.22% of matches (W/L 26/ 10). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Musetti winning 1 times and Minaur being victorious 1 times. They have played 7 sets in total, with Musetti winning 3 and Minaur winning 4. The last match between Musetti and Minaur was at the cinch Championships - London, 18-06-2024, First, Grass with Lorenzo Musetti getting the victory 1-6 6-4 6-2.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:16:48.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Musetti and Minaur have played a deciding set 1 times, with Musetti winning 1 times and Minaur 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Musetti winning 0, and Minaur 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Musetti has played against opponents with an average rank of 180.71 while Minaur has played against players with an average rank of 89.12.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Musetti has won 67% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Minaur has won 67% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Musetti has converted 38.94% of breakpoint opportunities, and Minaur has converted 43.83% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Lorenzo Musetti

6

Total

0

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

2

Main

2

Minor

25

Rank

15

High

22

Age

R

Plays

1

Total

1

0

Hard

1

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

1

Grass

0

9

Rank

7

High

25

Age

R

Plays

Alex De Minaur

11

Total

0

Mast

1

Chall

0

Slam

9

Main

1

Minor

1

Total

1

0

Hard

1

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

1

Grass

0

W W W L W W W W W L

Form

W L W W W W L W W W

58% (204-148)

Career Total W/L

64% (346-197)

59% (29-20)

YTD W/L

75% (36-12)

$4,554,935

Career Prize Money

$9,480,840

0

YTD Titles

2

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Musetti VS Minaur H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Lorenzo Musetti Alex De Minaur
All H2H Matches 1 1
Sets Won 3 4
Games Won 25 33
Aces (Total) 9 4
DFs Total 5 2
Avg Match Time 2:16:48 2:16:48
1st Serve % 60% (130/215) 62% (98/157)
1st Serve Win% 63% (82/130) 72% (71/98)
2nd Serve Win% 39% (33/85) 53% (31/59)
BPs Won% (Total) 70% (7/10) 36% (12/33)
Return Points W% 35% (55/157) 47% (100/215)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set Win% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
1st set W, W 0% (1/0) 0% (1/0)
1st set W, L 100% (1/1) 100% (1/1)
1st set L, W 100% (1/1) 100% (1/1)

Musetti VS Minaur H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
1-6 6-4 6-2
cross
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Alex De Minaur
60% ( 61 of 102)
1st Serve %
54% ( 35 of 65)
7
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
2
72% ( 44 of 61)
1st Serve Won
83% ( 29 of 35)
32% ( 13 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 12 of 30)
100% ( 4 of 4)
Break Points Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
44% ( 45 of 102)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 24 of 65)
81
Total Points Won
86
3-6 6-3 6-0 6-3
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
68% ( 63 of 92)
1st Serve %
61% ( 69 of 113)
4
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
67% ( 42 of 63)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 38 of 69)
66% ( 19 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 20 of 44)
38% ( 8 of 21)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
34% ( 31 of 92)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 55 of 113)
116
Total Points Won
89

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Lorenzo Musetti Alex De Minaur
YTD W/L 59% (29/20) 75% (36/12)
Sets Win/Loss 55% (72/58) 71% (87/36)
Games Win/Loss 51% (656/624) 58% (658/486)
Hard Win/Loss 46% (6/7) 75% (15/5)
Clay Win/Loss 56% (10/8) 67% (10/5)
Indoor Hard W/L 33% (1/2) 80% (4/1)
Grass Win/Loss 80% (12/3) 88% (7/1)
Aces pg 0.26 0.36
Aces Total 162 200
DFs per game 0.12 0.2
DFs Total 76 110
Avg Match Time 2:6:38 1:53:35
Avg Opp Rank 205.49 89.13
1st Serve % 65% (2604/4032) 55% (1835/3354)
1st Serve W% 71% (1839/2604) 73% (1336/1835)
2nd Serve W% 53% (751/1428) 55% (836/1519)
BPs Won% Total 39% (142/366) 44% (190/432)
Return Pts W% 38% (1565/4143) 44% (1658/3803)
Slam W/L 73% (8/3) 83% (10/2)
Masters W/L 50% (5/5) 64% (9/5)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 50% (10/10) 77% (17/5)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 75% (6/2) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 54% (20/37) 71% (25/35)
Best of 5 Sets W% 75% (9/12) 85% (11/13)
TBs Win% (Total) 58% (15/26) 62% (8/13)
Deciding Set W% 67% (8/12) 50% (5/10)
1st set W, W 96% (23/22) 94% (31/29)
1st set W, L 4% (23/1) 6% (31/2)
1st set L, W 27% (26/7) 41% (17/7)

Lorenzo Musetti Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
SF
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
67% ( 69 of 103)
1st Serve %
74% ( 82 of 111)
6
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
1
75% ( 52 of 69)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 50 of 82)
44% ( 15 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 12 of 29)
31% ( 4 of 13)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
35% ( 36 of 103)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 49 of 111)
116
Total Points Won
98
L
6-4 7-6(2) 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Taylor Fritz
61% ( 83 of 137)
1st Serve %
61% ( 88 of 144)
7
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
1
76% ( 63 of 83)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 57 of 88)
54% ( 29 of 54)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 32 of 56)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
33% ( 45 of 137)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 55 of 144)
147
Total Points Won
134
W
3-6 7-6(5) 6-2 3-6 6-1 H2H
R4
cross
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
72% ( 63 of 88)
1st Serve %
65% ( 70 of 108)
3
Aces
10
0
Double Faults
8
79% ( 50 of 63)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 47 of 70)
84% ( 21 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 20 of 38)
33% ( 5 of 15)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
19% ( 17 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 41 of 108)
112
Total Points Won
84
W
4-6 6-3 6-3 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Francisco Comesana
68% ( 96 of 141)
1st Serve %
63% ( 98 of 155)
4
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
3
72% ( 69 of 96)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 67 of 98)
71% ( 32 of 45)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 31 of 57)
19% ( 3 of 16)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
28% ( 40 of 141)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 57 of 155)
158
Total Points Won
138
W
6-2 6-7(4) 7-6(3) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Luciano Darderi
74% ( 105 of 141)
1st Serve %
63% ( 121 of 191)
13
Aces
10
4
Double Faults
7
79% ( 83 of 105)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 83 of 121)
61% ( 22 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 34 of 70)
31% ( 5 of 16)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
26% ( 36 of 141)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 74 of 191)
179
Total Points Won
153
W
6-4 4-6 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Constant Lestienne
66% ( 90 of 137)
1st Serve %
58% ( 77 of 133)
12
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
5
63% ( 57 of 90)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 54 of 77)
51% ( 24 of 47)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 18 of 56)
53% ( 8 of 15)
Break Points Won
31% ( 5 of 16)
41% ( 56 of 137)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 61 of 133)
142
Total Points Won
128
W
4-6 7-6(4) 6-2 6-2 H2H
F
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
68% ( 47 of 69)
1st Serve %
77% ( 43 of 56)
6
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
0
77% ( 36 of 47)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 28 of 43)
59% ( 13 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 8 of 13)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
29% ( 20 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 20 of 56)
69
Total Points Won
56
L
6-1 7-6(8) H2H
SF
cross
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Jordan Thompson
69% ( 60 of 87)
1st Serve %
55% ( 49 of 89)
2
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
0
75% ( 45 of 60)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 33 of 49)
52% ( 14 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 22 of 40)
27% ( 3 of 11)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
32% ( 28 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 34 of 89)
93
Total Points Won
83
W
6-3 3-6 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Billy Harris
52% ( 33 of 63)
1st Serve %
68% ( 46 of 68)
4
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
1
85% ( 28 of 33)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 29 of 46)
73% ( 22 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 13 of 22)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
21% ( 13 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 26 of 68)
76
Total Points Won
55
W
6-3 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Brandon Nakashima
66% ( 70 of 106)
1st Serve %
57% ( 53 of 93)
6
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
0
74% ( 52 of 70)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 37 of 53)
47% ( 17 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 20 of 40)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
17% ( 2 of 12)
35% ( 37 of 106)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 36 of 93)
105
Total Points Won
94
W
6-4 4-6 6-4 H2H

Alex De Minaur Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
QF
L
w/o H2H
R4
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Arthur Fils
54% ( 60 of 112)
1st Serve %
57% ( 71 of 124)
2
Aces
8
4
Double Faults
7
72% ( 43 of 60)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 40 of 71)
52% ( 27 of 52)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 23 of 53)
56% ( 9 of 16)
Break Points Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
38% ( 42 of 112)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 61 of 124)
131
Total Points Won
105
W
6-2 6-4 4-6 6-3 H2H
R3
W
w/o H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Jaume Antoni Munar Clar
56% ( 45 of 81)
1st Serve %
47% ( 41 of 88)
8
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
9
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 26 of 41)
56% ( 20 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 15 of 47)
47% ( 8 of 17)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
36% ( 29 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 47 of 88)
99
Total Points Won
70
W
6-2 6-2 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
James Duckworth
51% ( 63 of 124)
1st Serve %
58% ( 100 of 173)
16
Aces
9
7
Double Faults
4
81% ( 51 of 63)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 64 of 100)
49% ( 30 of 61)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 34 of 73)
16% ( 3 of 19)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
35% ( 43 of 124)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 75 of 173)
156
Total Points Won
141
W
7-6(1) 7-6(3) 7-6(4) H2H
R1
cross
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Alex De Minaur
60% ( 61 of 102)
1st Serve %
54% ( 35 of 65)
7
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
2
72% ( 44 of 61)
1st Serve Won
83% ( 29 of 35)
32% ( 13 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 12 of 30)
100% ( 4 of 4)
Break Points Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
44% ( 45 of 102)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 24 of 65)
81
Total Points Won
86
L
1-6 6-4 6-2 H2H
F
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Sebastian Korda
53% ( 30 of 57)
1st Serve %
61% ( 44 of 72)
2
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
4
77% ( 23 of 30)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 24 of 44)
37% ( 10 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
42% ( 24 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 38 of 72)
71
Total Points Won
58
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
SF
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Ugo Humbert
57% ( 39 of 68)
1st Serve %
56% ( 44 of 78)
2
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
1
79% ( 31 of 39)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 31 of 44)
52% ( 15 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 13 of 34)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
32% ( 22 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 34 of 78)
80
Total Points Won
66
W
7-6(4) 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Milos Raonic
52% ( 30 of 58)
1st Serve %
58% ( 34 of 59)
3
Aces
8
2
Double Faults
3
77% ( 23 of 30)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 26 of 34)
61% ( 17 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
24% ( 6 of 25)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
31% ( 18 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 27 of 59)
67
Total Points Won
50
W
7-5 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Zizou Bergs
63% ( 37 of 59)
1st Serve %
61% ( 43 of 71)
4
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
86% ( 32 of 37)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 29 of 43)
50% ( 11 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 14 of 28)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
27% ( 16 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 28 of 71)
71
Total Points Won
59
W
7-5 6-4 H2H

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