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Kei Nishikori vs Milos Raonic Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Nishikori vs Raonic analysis and find out who is favored!

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Kei Nishikori vs Milos Raonic Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Nishikori 5 - 2 Raonic

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Nishikori has won 57.5% of points on their second serve, while Raonic has won 55.56%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Nishikori, in recent form, has won 46.62% of their opponent's second serve points, while Raonic has won 45.57%. The same stats for first serve returns are 25.59% and 25.99% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Nishikori has saved 59.09% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Raonic has saved 61.11% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Nishikori has won 42.86% of matches played (W/L 3/ 4), with Raonic winning 60% (W/L 9/ 6) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Nishikori has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 71% (W/L 101/ 41), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 63% (W/L 48/ 28). Raonic has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 69% (W/L 244/ 112), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 61% (W/L 70/ 45).
  • Player level: In the last year, Nishikori has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 2/ 1), where as Raonic has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 62.5% of matches (W/L 5/ 3). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 7 times before with Nishikori winning 5 times and Raonic being victorious 2 times. They have played 25 sets in total, with Nishikori winning 14 and Raonic winning 11. The last match between Nishikori and Raonic was at the Davis Cup, World Group, 1R, CAN-JPN 3-2, 08-03-2015, Rubber 4, I.hard with Kei Nishikori getting the victory 3-6 6-3 6-4 2-6 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:41:28.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Nishikori and Raonic have played a deciding set 5 times, with Nishikori winning 4 times and Raonic 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 10 tiebreaks against each other with Nishikori winning 6, and Raonic 4.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Nishikori has played against opponents with an average rank of 226.29 while Raonic has played against players with an average rank of 60.6.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Nishikori has won 50% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Raonic has won 100% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Nishikori has converted 31.25% of breakpoint opportunities, and Raonic has converted 24.56% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Kei Nishikori

20

Total

0

Mast

7

Chall

0

Slam

12

Main

1

Minor

435

Rank

4

High

34

Age

R

Plays

5

Total

2

3

Hard

1

1

Clay

0

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

1

177

Rank

3

High

33

Age

R

Plays

Milos Raonic

12

Total

0

Mast

0

Chall

0

Slam

8

Main

4

Minor

5

Total

2

3

Hard

1

1

Clay

0

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

1

W W L W W L L W L L

Form

L W W L W W W L W L

68% (563-261)

Career Total W/L

67% (475-238)

25% (1-3)

YTD W/L

60% (6-4)

$18,724,050

Career Prize Money

$15,039,629

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Nishikori VS Raonic H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Kei Nishikori Milos Raonic
All H2H Matches 5 2
Sets Won 14 11
Games Won 135 134
Aces (Total) 40 180
DFs Total 24 28
Avg Match Time 2:41:28 2:41:28
1st Serve % 64% (508/796) 63% (524/834)
1st Serve Win% 76% (384/508) 82% (428/524)
2nd Serve Win% 62% (179/288) 50% (156/310)
BPs Won% (Total) 27% (16/60) 33% (15/45)
Return Points W% 30% (250/834) 29% (233/796)
Best of 3 Sets W% 75% (3/4) 25% (1/4)
Best of 5 Sets W% 67% (2/3) 33% (1/3)
TBs Win% (Total) 60% (6/10) 40% (4/10)
Deciding Set Win% 80% (4/5) 20% (1/5)
1st set W, W 60% (5/3) 0% (2/0)
1st set W, L 40% (5/2) 100% (2/2)
1st set L, W 100% (2/2) 40% (5/2)

Nishikori VS Raonic H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
3-6 6-3 6-4 2-6 6-4
cross
Kei Nishikori
Player
Milos Raonic
64% ( 83 of 130)
1st Serve %
61% ( 79 of 129)
5
Aces
28
6
Double Faults
6
77% ( 64 of 83)
1st Serve Won
86% ( 68 of 79)
55% ( 26 of 47)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 23 of 50)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
31% ( 40 of 130)
Rtn Points Won
29% ( 38 of 129)
128
Total Points Won
131
6-7(4) 7-6(4) 7-6(4)
cross
Milos Raonic
Player
Kei Nishikori
69% ( 84 of 122)
1st Serve %
71% ( 82 of 116)
34
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
3
86% ( 72 of 84)
1st Serve Won
84% ( 69 of 82)
58% ( 22 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 21 of 34)
0% ( 0 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
23% ( 28 of 122)
Rtn Points Won
22% ( 26 of 116)
120
Total Points Won
118
7-6(5) 4-6 6-4
cross
Kei Nishikori
Player
Milos Raonic
67% ( 70 of 104)
1st Serve %
71% ( 63 of 89)
1
Aces
22
4
Double Faults
1
77% ( 54 of 70)
1st Serve Won
81% ( 51 of 63)
59% ( 20 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 15 of 26)
20% ( 1 of 5)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
29% ( 30 of 104)
Rtn Points Won
26% ( 23 of 89)
97
Total Points Won
96
4-6 7-6(4) 6-7(6) 7-5 6-4
cross
Kei Nishikori
Player
Milos Raonic
55% ( 91 of 164)
1st Serve %
55% ( 106 of 192)
8
Aces
35
7
Double Faults
10
75% ( 68 of 91)
1st Serve Won
82% ( 87 of 106)
66% ( 48 of 73)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 40 of 86)
26% ( 5 of 19)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
29% ( 48 of 164)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 65 of 192)
181
Total Points Won
175
4-6 6-1 7-6(4) 6-3
cross
Milos Raonic
Player
Kei Nishikori
66% ( 75 of 114)
1st Serve %
64% ( 72 of 113)
35
Aces
11
2
Double Faults
1
85% ( 64 of 75)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 52 of 72)
59% ( 23 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 23 of 41)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
24% ( 27 of 114)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 38 of 113)
125
Total Points Won
102
7-6(5) 7-6(5)
cross
Kei Nishikori
Player
Milos Raonic
66% ( 60 of 91)
1st Serve %
62% ( 52 of 84)
9
Aces
12
1
Double Faults
3
73% ( 44 of 60)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 40 of 52)
65% ( 20 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 18 of 32)
17% ( 1 of 6)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
30% ( 27 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
31% ( 26 of 84)
90
Total Points Won
85
7-6(5) 3-6 6-0
cross
Kei Nishikori
Player
Milos Raonic
64% ( 50 of 78)
1st Serve %
63% ( 65 of 104)
0
Aces
14
2
Double Faults
3
66% ( 33 of 50)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 46 of 65)
75% ( 21 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 15 of 39)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
31% ( 24 of 78)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 43 of 104)
97
Total Points Won
85

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Kei Nishikori Milos Raonic
YTD W/L 25% (1/3) 60% (6/4)
Sets Win/Loss 36% (5/9) 59% (13/9)
Games Win/Loss 44% (65/82) 52% (119/108)
Hard Win/Loss 0% (0/1) 50% (1/1)
Clay Win/Loss 50% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 67% (2/1)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/1) 60% (3/2)
Aces pg 0.08 1.5
Aces Total 6 167
DFs per game 0.15 0.29
DFs Total 11 32
Avg Match Time 2:45:10 1:34:27
Avg Opp Rank 204.25 68.7
1st Serve % 68% (338/498) 62% (398/644)
1st Serve W% 61% (205/338) 84% (333/398)
2nd Serve W% 57% (92/160) 56% (138/246)
BPs Won% Total 31% (10/32) 23% (14/61)
Return Pts W% 33% (145/445) 32% (234/721)
Slam W/L 33% (1/2) 0% (0/1)
Masters W/L 0% (0/1) 100% (1/0)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 0% (0/0) 63% (5/3)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 0% (0/2) 75% (6/8)
Best of 5 Sets W% 50% (1/2) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 67% (2/3) 50% (3/6)
Deciding Set W% 50% (1/2) 100% (2/2)
1st set W, W 50% (2/1) 80% (5/4)
1st set W, L 50% (2/1) 20% (5/1)
1st set L, W 0% (2/0) 40% (5/2)

Kei Nishikori Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R1
cross
Arthur Rinderknech
Player
Kei Nishikori
69% ( 97 of 140)
1st Serve %
71% ( 124 of 175)
33
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
5
75% ( 73 of 97)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 76 of 124)
65% ( 28 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 31 of 51)
30% ( 6 of 20)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
28% ( 39 of 140)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 68 of 175)
169
Total Points Won
146
L
5-7 6-4 6-7(2) 6-3 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Ben Shelton
Player
Kei Nishikori
65% ( 48 of 74)
1st Serve %
69% ( 60 of 87)
9
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
3
79% ( 38 of 48)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 39 of 60)
50% ( 13 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 14 of 27)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
31% ( 23 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 34 of 87)
85
Total Points Won
76
L
7-6(7) 6-4 ret. H2H
R1
cross
Kei Nishikori
Player
Gabriel Diallo
65% ( 117 of 179)
1st Serve %
68% ( 115 of 168)
1
Aces
15
3
Double Faults
5
58% ( 68 of 117)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 80 of 115)
53% ( 33 of 62)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 22 of 53)
33% ( 6 of 18)
Break Points Won
57% ( 8 of 14)
44% ( 78 of 179)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 66 of 168)
167
Total Points Won
180
W
7-5 7-6(3) 3-6 1-6 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Sebastian Ofner
Player
Kei Nishikori
59% ( 37 of 63)
1st Serve %
65% ( 37 of 57)
9
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
0
81% ( 30 of 37)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 22 of 37)
62% ( 16 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
70% ( 14 of 20)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
27% ( 17 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 21 of 57)
67
Total Points Won
53
L
6-3 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Taylor Fritz
Player
Kei Nishikori
63% ( 29 of 46)
1st Serve %
66% ( 38 of 58)
7
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
86% ( 25 of 29)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 26 of 38)
76% ( 13 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 9 of 20)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
17% ( 8 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 23 of 58)
61
Total Points Won
43
L
6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Kei Nishikori
Player
Juncheng Shang
66% ( 40 of 61)
1st Serve %
67% ( 42 of 63)
4
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
2
78% ( 31 of 40)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 25 of 42)
62% ( 13 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 13 of 21)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
28% ( 17 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 25 of 63)
69
Total Points Won
55
W
6-4 7-6(3) H2H
R1
cross
Kei Nishikori
Player
Jordan Thompson
71% ( 65 of 91)
1st Serve %
58% ( 52 of 89)
0
Aces
9
3
Double Faults
2
75% ( 49 of 65)
1st Serve Won
81% ( 42 of 52)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 18 of 37)
0% ( 0 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
31% ( 28 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 29 of 89)
92
Total Points Won
88
W
7-6(5) 7-6(5) H2H
QF
cross
Alex Michelsen
Player
Kei Nishikori
58% ( 61 of 105)
1st Serve %
64% ( 68 of 107)
7
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
3
67% ( 41 of 61)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 46 of 68)
61% ( 27 of 44)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 18 of 39)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
25% ( 3 of 12)
35% ( 37 of 105)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 43 of 107)
111
Total Points Won
101
L
7-6(13) 3-6 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Kei Nishikori
Player
Skander Mansouri
65% ( 41 of 63)
1st Serve %
65% ( 60 of 93)
1
Aces
10
2
Double Faults
3
85% ( 35 of 41)
1st Serve Won
78% ( 47 of 60)
68% ( 15 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 10 of 33)
13% ( 1 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
21% ( 13 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 36 of 93)
86
Total Points Won
70
W
7-6(1) 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Kei Nishikori
Player
Alexis Galarneau
71% ( 41 of 58)
1st Serve %
61% ( 31 of 51)
3
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
2
73% ( 30 of 41)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 20 of 31)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 7 of 20)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
33% ( 19 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 24 of 51)
63
Total Points Won
46
W
7-6(3) 6-1 H2H

Milos Raonic Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R2
cross
Taylor Fritz
Player
Milos Raonic
66% ( 43 of 65)
1st Serve %
58% ( 34 of 59)
11
Aces
9
0
Double Faults
3
81% ( 35 of 43)
1st Serve Won
79% ( 27 of 34)
64% ( 14 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
72% ( 18 of 25)
100% ( 1 of 1)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
25% ( 16 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
24% ( 14 of 59)
63
Total Points Won
61
L
7-6(5) 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Milos Raonic
Player
Cameron Norrie
69% ( 76 of 110)
1st Serve %
74% ( 75 of 102)
47
Aces
12
6
Double Faults
2
86% ( 65 of 76)
1st Serve Won
80% ( 60 of 75)
56% ( 19 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 16 of 27)
25% ( 1 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
24% ( 26 of 110)
Rtn Points Won
25% ( 26 of 102)
110
Total Points Won
102
W
6-7(6) 6-3 7-6(9) H2H
QF
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Milos Raonic
52% ( 30 of 58)
1st Serve %
58% ( 34 of 59)
3
Aces
8
2
Double Faults
3
77% ( 23 of 30)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 26 of 34)
61% ( 17 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
24% ( 6 of 25)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
31% ( 18 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 27 of 59)
67
Total Points Won
50
L
7-5 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Milos Raonic
Player
Roberto Bautista Agut
60% ( 44 of 73)
1st Serve %
64% ( 53 of 83)
25
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
2
89% ( 39 of 44)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 37 of 53)
62% ( 18 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 16 of 30)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
22% ( 16 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 30 of 83)
87
Total Points Won
69
W
4-6 6-2 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Milos Raonic
Player
Jordan Thompson
77% ( 37 of 48)
1st Serve %
59% ( 48 of 81)
14
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
3
89% ( 33 of 37)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 30 of 48)
64% ( 7 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 16 of 33)
17% ( 2 of 12)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
17% ( 8 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 35 of 81)
75
Total Points Won
54
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
L
w/o H2H
R1
cross
Milos Raonic
Player
Sumit Nagal
51% ( 34 of 67)
1st Serve %
60% ( 38 of 63)
9
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
2
76% ( 26 of 34)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 24 of 38)
52% ( 17 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 12 of 25)
25% ( 3 of 12)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
36% ( 24 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 27 of 63)
70
Total Points Won
60
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Milos Raonic
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve %
76% ( 29 of 38)
3
Aces
11
0
Double Faults
0
81% ( 26 of 32)
1st Serve Won
79% ( 23 of 29)
54% ( 7 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
67% ( 6 of 9)
100% ( 1 of 1)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
27% ( 12 of 45)
Rtn Points Won
24% ( 9 of 38)
42
Total Points Won
41
L
7-6(4) 1-1 ret. H2H
R2
cross
Milos Raonic
Player
Alexander Bublik
61% ( 33 of 54)
1st Serve %
63% ( 41 of 65)
12
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
4
85% ( 28 of 33)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 27 of 41)
67% ( 14 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 14 of 24)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
22% ( 12 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 24 of 65)
66
Total Points Won
53
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Milos Raonic
Player
Jesper De Jong
56% ( 37 of 66)
1st Serve %
56% ( 44 of 79)
20
Aces
7
7
Double Faults
4
97% ( 36 of 37)
1st Serve Won
84% ( 37 of 44)
52% ( 15 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 17 of 35)
13% ( 1 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
23% ( 15 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 25 of 79)
76
Total Points Won
69
W
7-6(5) 6-4 H2H

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