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Kei Nishikori vs Juan Pablo Varillas Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Nishikori vs Varillas analysis and find out who is favored!

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Kei Nishikori vs Juan Pablo Varillas Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Nishikori 1 - 0 Varillas

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Nishikori has won 56.76% of points on their second serve, while Varillas has won 51.8%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Nishikori, in recent form, has won 55.13% of their opponent's second serve points, while Varillas has won 51.45%. The same stats for first serve returns are 30.32% and 33.67% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Nishikori has saved 61.32% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Varillas has saved 58.01% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Nishikori has won 60% of matches played (W/L 9/ 6), with Varillas winning 48.33% (W/L 29/ 31) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Nishikori has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 71% (W/L 101/ 41), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 63% (W/L 48/ 28). Varillas has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 62% (W/L 384/ 235), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 0% (W/L 0/ 3).
  • Player level: In the last year, Nishikori has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 80% of matches (W/L 4/ 1), where as Varillas has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 62.5% of matches (W/L 20/ 12). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 1 times before with Nishikori winning 1 times and Varillas being victorious 0 times. They have played 2 sets in total, with Nishikori winning 2 and Varillas winning 0. The last match between Nishikori and Varillas was at the Genova Challenger, 05-09-2024, Second, Clay with Kei Nishikori getting the victory 6-2 6-3.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:36:52.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Nishikori and Varillas have played a deciding set 0 times, with Nishikori winning 0 times and Varillas 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Nishikori winning 0, and Varillas 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Nishikori has played against opponents with an average rank of 124.53 while Varillas has played against players with an average rank of 223.7.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Nishikori has won 50% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Varillas has won 52% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Nishikori has converted 40.35% of breakpoint opportunities, and Varillas has converted 39.03% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
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Kei Nishikori

20

Total

0

Mast

7

Chall

0

Slam

12

Main

1

Minor

205

Rank

4

High

34

Age

R

Plays

1

Total

0

0

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

179

Rank

60

High

28

Age

R

Plays

Juan Pablo Varillas

11

Total

0

Mast

6

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

5

Minor

1

Total

0

0

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W W L W W W W W L W

Form

W W W L W L L W L L

68% (571-264)

Career Total W/L

60% (422-284)

60% (9-6)

YTD W/L

47% (22-25)

$18,724,050

Career Prize Money

$740,685

0

YTD Titles

1

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Nishikori VS Varillas H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Kei Nishikori Juan Pablo Varillas
All H2H Matches 1 0
Sets Won 2 0
Games Won 12 5
Aces (Total) 2 0
DFs Total 5 3
Avg Match Time 1:36:52 1:36:52
1st Serve % 56% (32/57) 63% (49/78)
1st Serve Win% 63% (20/32) 57% (28/49)
2nd Serve Win% 52% (13/25) 24% (7/29)
BPs Won% (Total) 33% (6/18) 29% (2/7)
Return Points W% 55% (43/78) 42% (24/57)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 0% (1/0)

Nishikori VS Varillas H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-2 6-3
cross
Kei Nishikori
Player
Juan Pablo Varillas
56% ( 32 of 57)
1st Serve %
63% ( 49 of 78)
2
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
3
63% ( 20 of 32)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 28 of 49)
52% ( 13 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
24% ( 7 of 29)
33% ( 6 of 18)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
42% ( 24 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 43 of 78)
76
Total Points Won
59

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Kei Nishikori Juan Pablo Varillas
YTD W/L 60% (9/6) 47% (22/25)
Sets Win/Loss 58% (22/16) 47% (54/61)
Games Win/Loss 52% (190/178) 50% (563/572)
Hard Win/Loss 67% (4/2) 0% (0/5)
Clay Win/Loss 63% (5/3) 54% (22/19)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.12 0.32
Aces Total 22 178
DFs per game 0.18 0.17
DFs Total 32 93
Avg Match Time 1:49:2 2:2:53
Avg Opp Rank 124.53 224.49
1st Serve % 64% (718/1125) 60% (2072/3481)
1st Serve W% 63% (453/718) 69% (1422/2072)
2nd Serve W% 57% (231/407) 51% (725/1409)
BPs Won% Total 40% (46/114) 39% (139/359)
Return Pts W% 40% (446/1128) 39% (1419/3604)
Slam W/L 33% (1/2) 0% (0/3)
Masters W/L 60% (3/2) 0% (0/1)
Cups W/L 100% (1/0) 0% (0/3)
Main Tour W/L 0% (0/0) 36% (4/7)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 80% (4/1) 62% (18/11)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 62% (8/13) 48% (22/46)
Best of 5 Sets W% 50% (1/2) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 67% (2/3) 56% (10/18)
Deciding Set W% 50% (2/4) 50% (10/20)
1st set W, W 80% (10/8) 70% (27/19)
1st set W, L 20% (10/2) 30% (27/8)
1st set L, W 20% (5/1) 15% (20/3)

Kei Nishikori Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
Rubber 2
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Jaume Antoni Munar Clar
Player
Kei Nishikori
63% ( 57 of 91)
1st Serve %
54% ( 50 of 93)
0
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
1
65% ( 37 of 57)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 29 of 50)
44% ( 15 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 23 of 43)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
42% ( 5 of 12)
43% ( 39 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 41 of 93)
93
Total Points Won
91
L
2-6 7-5 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Kei Nishikori
Player
Juan Pablo Varillas
56% ( 32 of 57)
1st Serve %
63% ( 49 of 78)
2
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
3
63% ( 20 of 32)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 28 of 49)
52% ( 13 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
24% ( 7 of 29)
33% ( 6 of 18)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
42% ( 24 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 43 of 78)
76
Total Points Won
59
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Kei Nishikori
Player
Matthew Dellavedova
63% ( 32 of 51)
1st Serve %
69% ( 52 of 75)
2
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
2
63% ( 20 of 32)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 32 of 52)
58% ( 11 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
26% ( 6 of 23)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
39% ( 20 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 37 of 75)
68
Total Points Won
58
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
QF
L
w/o H2H
R2
cross
Kei Nishikori
Player
Nikoloz Basilashvili
44% ( 17 of 39)
1st Serve %
66% ( 19 of 29)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
65% ( 11 of 17)
1st Serve Won
37% ( 7 of 19)
77% ( 17 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
28% ( 11 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
62% ( 18 of 29)
46
Total Points Won
22
W
6-1 3-1 ret. H2H
R1
cross
Kei Nishikori
Player
Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
62% ( 29 of 47)
1st Serve %
36% ( 18 of 50)
1
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
5
79% ( 23 of 29)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 11 of 18)
67% ( 12 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 13 of 32)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
26% ( 12 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 26 of 50)
61
Total Points Won
36
W
6-2 6-1 H2H
R3
cross
Kei Nishikori
Player
Nuno Borges
64% ( 46 of 72)
1st Serve %
57% ( 30 of 53)
2
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
72% ( 33 of 46)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 17 of 30)
38% ( 10 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 12 of 23)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
20% ( 2 of 10)
40% ( 29 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 24 of 53)
67
Total Points Won
58
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Kei Nishikori
48% ( 35 of 73)
1st Serve %
68% ( 52 of 76)
5
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
1
74% ( 26 of 35)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 30 of 52)
45% ( 17 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 13 of 24)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
41% ( 30 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 33 of 76)
76
Total Points Won
73
L
6-4 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Kei Nishikori
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
61% ( 34 of 56)
1st Serve %
72% ( 39 of 54)
2
Aces
9
1
Double Faults
1
79% ( 27 of 34)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 29 of 39)
50% ( 11 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 6 of 15)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
32% ( 18 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 19 of 54)
57
Total Points Won
53
W
6-4 6-4 H2H

Juan Pablo Varillas Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
Rubber 2
L
6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Kei Nishikori
Player
Juan Pablo Varillas
56% ( 32 of 57)
1st Serve %
63% ( 49 of 78)
2
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
3
63% ( 20 of 32)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 28 of 49)
52% ( 13 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
24% ( 7 of 29)
33% ( 6 of 18)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
42% ( 24 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 43 of 78)
76
Total Points Won
59
L
6-2 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Juan Pablo Varillas
Player
Gianluca Cadenasso
60% ( 52 of 86)
1st Serve %
61% ( 62 of 101)
3
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
2
73% ( 38 of 52)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 35 of 62)
56% ( 19 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 19 of 39)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
34% ( 29 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 47 of 101)
104
Total Points Won
83
W
4-6 7-5 6-1 H2H
Q1
cross
Hugo Grenier
Player
Juan Pablo Varillas
69% ( 29 of 42)
1st Serve %
46% ( 26 of 57)
9
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
1
83% ( 24 of 29)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 16 of 26)
69% ( 9 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 13 of 31)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
21% ( 9 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 28 of 57)
61
Total Points Won
38
L
6-0 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Henry Bernet
Player
Juan Pablo Varillas
52% ( 32 of 61)
1st Serve %
59% ( 32 of 54)
6
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
3
75% ( 24 of 32)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 21 of 32)
62% ( 18 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 13 of 22)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
31% ( 19 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 20 of 54)
62
Total Points Won
53
L
7-5 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Juan Pablo Varillas
Player
Remy Bertola
71% ( 49 of 69)
1st Serve %
57% ( 37 of 65)
4
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
5
67% ( 33 of 49)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 24 of 37)
50% ( 10 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 13 of 28)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
38% ( 26 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 28 of 65)
71
Total Points Won
63
W
7-5 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Fabio Fognini
Player
Juan Pablo Varillas
56% ( 55 of 99)
1st Serve %
57% ( 61 of 107)
2
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
1
73% ( 40 of 55)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 36 of 61)
48% ( 21 of 44)
2nd Serve Won
65% ( 30 of 46)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
31% ( 4 of 13)
38% ( 38 of 99)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 41 of 107)
102
Total Points Won
104
L
3-6 7-6(5) 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Juan Pablo Varillas
Player
Dominic Thiem
60% ( 73 of 122)
1st Serve %
57% ( 54 of 95)
7
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
2
77% ( 56 of 73)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 39 of 54)
47% ( 23 of 49)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 24 of 41)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
25% ( 3 of 12)
35% ( 43 of 122)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 32 of 95)
111
Total Points Won
106
W
6-3 5-7 7-6(4) H2H
QF
cross
Juan Pablo Varillas
Player
Jerome Kym
59% ( 63 of 107)
1st Serve %
61% ( 53 of 87)
3
Aces
15
1
Double Faults
5
65% ( 41 of 63)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 38 of 53)
64% ( 28 of 44)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 13 of 34)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
36% ( 38 of 107)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 36 of 87)
105
Total Points Won
89
W
7-6(4) 4-6 6-1 H2H
Q1
cross
Juan Pablo Varillas
Player
Clement Tabur
63% ( 30 of 48)
1st Serve %
60% ( 30 of 50)
6
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 17 of 30)
78% ( 14 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
60% ( 12 of 20)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
21% ( 10 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 21 of 50)
59
Total Points Won
39
W
6-4 6-2 H2H

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