Katerina Tsygourova vs Alisa Vasileva Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Tsygourova has a second serve point win rate of 34.81% in the last six months, while Vasileva leads slightly with 35.68%.
• Could second serve performance be the deciding factor? Given its correlation with match outcomes, Vasileva may have a marginal edge here.
• On return games, Tsygourova excels against second serves with a success rate of 51.39% compared to Vasileva's 50.79%.
• However, when facing first serves, Vasileva outperforms Tsygourova with a 37.07% success rate against 33.51%.
• Both players handle breakpoints well, but Vasileva has a higher rate of saving breakpoints at 45.54% versus Tsygourova’s 41.16%.
• Tsygourova has a better match win percentage over the past year at 54.84%, while Vasileva's win rate is 48%.
• Consideration of court surfaces: Tsygourova excels on indoor hard courts with a 58% win rate, contrasting with Vasileva's strongest performance on clay at 47%.
• Tsygourova demonstrates higher success at lower-tier tournaments, winning 69.7% of matches compared to Vasileva's 48% in the same category.
• Average ranking of opponents played by Tsygourova in the past year is 380.94, while Vasileva has faced tougher opponents averaging a rank of 49.96.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Vasileva may hold an advantage with a 60% win rate, whereas Tsygourova has won 54% of these sets.
• Looking at break point conversions, Vasileva slightly edges Tsygourova, converting 45.59% of opportunities as opposed to 44.62%.

Editorial Prediction (September 4, 2025, UTC):

As the upcoming match approaches, analyzing recent performance reveals intriguing differences between the two players. While Tsygourova boasts a superior match win rate over the past year, Vasileva shows consistent strength in pressure situations.

Second serve performance and break point stats slightly favor Vasileva, suggesting she could capitalize on critical moments during the match. Additionally, her ability to save breakpoints and excel against first serves grants her a competitive edge.

Tsygourova, on the other hand, has shown proficiency in winning matches in Futures-level tournaments and performs better on indoor hard surfaces. Yet, her opponent's recent form against top-level players could be a significant factor.

Considering these insights, Vasileva’s ability to handle pressure situations, coupled with her strong performance in high-stakes points, points towards a likely victory for her in this matchup.