Karen Khachanov vs Holger Rune Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

The upcoming tennis clash between Rune and Khachanov promises to be a tightly contested affair, with statistical analysis providing valuable insights into potential outcomes. Historically, Rune has demonstrated superior second serve success, achieving 48.19% points won compared to Khachanov's 42.2% over the past six months. Such a disparity is significant, as second serve performance heavily influences match predictions.

Focusing on return game capabilities, Khachanov holds a slight edge in winning 45.1% of his opponent's second serve points, marginally surpassing Rune's 43.26%. However, when considering first serve return statistics, both players exhibit remarkable parity with Rune at 23.62% and Khachanov at 23.47%. These figures often play a crucial role in head-to-head matchups when evaluating the likely victor.

Another aspect of tennis that often dictates the flow of matches is how players perform under pressure. Khachanov appears slightly more adept in saving breakpoints, achieving 58.82% compared to Rune’s 53.77%, marking an important indicator for in-game betting.

Examining overall match performance, Rune stands out with an impressive win rate over the past year, securing 63.64% of his matches (42 wins and 24 losses). In contrast, Khachanov holds a win rate of 56.6% (30 wins and 23 losses), providing a broader prediction overview of their encounter.

Surface proficiency further delineates their capabilities, with both players favoring Indoor hard courts. Rune boasts a 71% win rate on this surface, while Khachanov maintains a career win percentage of 61%. When venturing onto standard Hard courts, Rune’s success rate decreases to 57%, whereas Khachanov's drops marginally to 60%.

In terms of player levels, Rune predominantly participated in the Masters series over the last year, securing a 67.86% win rate (19 wins and 9 losses). On the other hand, Khachanov focused on the Main Tour, winning 58.33% of his matches (14 wins and 10 losses). This distinction profoundly affects statistical comparisons, as it relates to the relative event levels each player is accustomed to.

The quality of opposition offers yet another dimension for forecasting. Within the past 12 months, Rune faced opponents with an average rank of 64.86, while Khachanov encountered adversaries ranked at an average of 78.11. Furthermore, should the match progress to a deciding set, Rune holds a commanding advantage, having won 70% of such sets in the last year, as opposed to Khachanov's 40% success rate.

Finally, when examining break point conversion in recent form, both players exhibit closely matched statistics, with Khachanov converting 34.56% of opportunities and Rune at 34.43%. Given these comprehensive analyses and statistical insights, Rune emerges as the favorite to win this closely matched encounter.