Jessika Ponchet vs Anastasiia Sobolieva Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In terms of second serve performance, Jessika Ponchet slightly edges out Anastasiia Sobolieva, winning 40.78% compared to 38.82% of points. Could this give Ponchet an upper hand?
• When it comes to return games, Sobolieva has a stronger performance on second serve returns, winning 52.96% of points, outdoing Ponchet's 49.83%.
• First serve return stats significantly favor Sobolieva as well, with her winning 34.69% of such points against Ponchet's 25.89%.
• Both players experience pressure differently, with Ponchet successfully saving 52.20% of breakpoints, slightly ahead of Sobolieva's 46.21%.
• Over the past year, Ponchet has a marginally better match-winning percentage (53.23%) compared to Sobolieva's 50.79%.
• Assessing surface capabilities, Ponchet excels on Hard courts with a 60% win rate, while Sobolieva favors Clay courts with an identical 60% win percentage.
• Both players mainly compete at the Challengers/ITF > $10K level, where Ponchet has a superior win rate of 57.14% over Sobolieva's 50.91%.
• During the last year, Ponchet has faced stronger competitors, with her average opponent ranking being 264.15, compared to Sobolieva's 304.95.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Ponchet has a higher success rate, winning 59% of deciding sets, while Sobolieva wins 53%.
• Sobolieva proves more adept at converting breakpoints, with a 46.41% success rate, compared to Ponchet's 37.23%.

Editorial Prediction (November 26, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Jessika Ponchet and Anastasiia Sobolieva presents a fascinating encounter with contrasting strengths and weaknesses.

Ponchet holds a minimal advantage in second serve success and excels in saving breakpoints, suggesting resilience under pressure. Additionally, her experience against higher-ranked opponents could prove advantageous.

Conversely, Sobolieva's superior return game performance, especially on the first serve, and better breakpoint conversion rate might provide her with critical opportunities to dictate play.

While each player showcases areas of strength, Ponchet's ability to handle pressure and consistent performance in high-stakes situations slightly positions her as the favorite. Therefore, Jessika Ponchet is most likely to win this upcoming tennis match, considering the overall statistics and nuances of their recent form.