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Prediction of Jessica Pegula vs Karolina Muchova Head-to-Head, Best Odds & Picks At Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Pegula vs Muchova analysis and find out who is favored!

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Jessica Pegula vs Karolina Muchova Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Pegula 2 - 0 Muchova

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Pegula has won 50.11% of points on their second serve, while Muchova has won 49.58%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Pegula, in recent form, has won 56.55% of their opponent's second serve points, while Muchova has won 54.37%. The same stats for first serve returns are 36.73% and 39.71% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Pegula has saved 58.8% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Muchova has saved 61.78% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Pegula has won 74.58% of matches played (W/L 44/ 15), with Muchova winning 75% (W/L 18/ 6) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Pegula has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 67% (W/L 251/ 125), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 58% (W/L 29/ 21). Muchova has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 70% (W/L 118/ 50), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 59% (W/L 19/ 13).
  • Player level: In the last year, Pegula has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 76% of matches (W/L 19/ 6), where as Muchova has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 77.78% of matches (W/L 7/ 2). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Pegula winning 2 times and Muchova being victorious 0 times. They have played 6 sets in total, with Pegula winning 4 and Muchova winning 2. The last match between Pegula and Muchova was at the U.S. Open - New York, 05-09-2024, Semifinals, Hard with Jessica Pegula getting the victory 1-6 6-4 6-2.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:14:36.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Pegula and Muchova have played a deciding set 2 times, with Pegula winning 2 times and Muchova 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Pegula winning 0, and Muchova 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Pegula has played against opponents with an average rank of 59.58 while Muchova has played against players with an average rank of 59.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Pegula has won 64% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Muchova has won 33% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Pegula has converted 47.74% of breakpoint opportunities, and Muchova has converted 46.53% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
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Jessica Pegula

7

Total

3

Mast

0

Chall

0

Slam

4

Main

0

Minor

4

Rank

3

High

30

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

0

2

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

29

Rank

8

High

28

Age

R

Plays

Karolina Muchova

3

Total

0

Mast

0

Chall

0

Slam

1

Main

2

Minor

2

Total

0

2

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W W W W L W W L W L

Form

W W L W W W W W W L

64% (433-243)

Career Total W/L

67% (297-144)

74% (39-14)

YTD W/L

75% (18-6)

$11,320,751

Career Prize Money

$7,220,087

2

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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The Best Odds For Jessica Pegula vs Karolina Muchova For Any Market:

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Pegula VS Muchova H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Jessica Pegula Karolina Muchova
All H2H Matches 2 0
Sets Won 4 2
Games Won 30 25
Aces (Total) 3 9
DFs Total 1 8
Avg Match Time 2:14:36 2:14:36
1st Serve % 64% (109/171) 55% (101/184)
1st Serve Win% 59% (64/109) 63% (64/101)
2nd Serve Win% 60% (37/62) 45% (37/83)
BPs Won% (Total) 39% (11/28) 38% (8/21)
Return Points W% 45% (83/184) 41% (70/171)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (2/2) 0% (0/2)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set Win% 100% (2/2) 0% (0/2)
1st set W, W 0% (0/0) 0% (2/0)
1st set W, L 0% (0/0) 100% (2/2)
1st set L, W 100% (2/2) 0% (0/0)

Pegula VS Muchova H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
1-6 6-4 6-2
cross
Jessica Pegula
Player
Karolina Muchova
67% ( 59 of 88)
1st Serve %
62% ( 53 of 86)
1
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
3
58% ( 34 of 59)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 34 of 53)
52% ( 15 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 14 of 33)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
44% ( 39 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 38 of 86)
87
Total Points Won
87
5-7 6-4 6-2
cross
Jessica Pegula
Player
Karolina Muchova
60% ( 50 of 83)
1st Serve %
49% ( 48 of 98)
2
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
5
60% ( 30 of 50)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 30 of 48)
67% ( 22 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 23 of 50)
40% ( 6 of 15)
Break Points Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
37% ( 31 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 45 of 98)
97
Total Points Won
84
w/o

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Jessica Pegula Karolina Muchova
YTD W/L 74% (39/14) 75% (18/6)
Sets Win/Loss 67% (86/42) 74% (39/14)
Games Win/Loss 55% (688/557) 58% (276/202)
Hard Win/Loss 76% (29/9) 80% (12/3)
Clay Win/Loss 67% (4/2) 67% (4/2)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 67% (6/3) 67% (2/1)
Aces pg 0.24 0.37
Aces Total 145 87
DFs per game 0.16 0.23
DFs Total 99 53
Avg Match Time 1:30:46 1:41:26
Avg Opp Rank 64.83 59
1st Serve % 62% (2132/3458) 62% (951/1546)
1st Serve W% 67% (1431/2132) 68% (651/951)
2nd Serve W% 50% (667/1326) 50% (295/595)
BPs Won% Total 46% (203/440) 47% (94/202)
Return Pts W% 45% (1662/3661) 45% (726/1600)
Slam W/L 73% (8/3) 71% (5/2)
Masters W/L 75% (15/5) 78% (7/2)
Cups W/L 100% (2/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 70% (14/6) 75% (6/2)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 74% (39/53) 74% (17/23)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 60% (12/20) 86% (6/7)
Deciding Set W% 64% (14/22) 33% (2/6)
1st set W, W 89% (35/31) 89% (19/17)
1st set W, L 11% (35/4) 11% (19/2)
1st set L, W 44% (18/8) 20% (5/1)

Jessica Pegula Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R3
cross
Xinyu Wang
Player
Jessica Pegula
67% ( 40 of 60)
1st Serve %
70% ( 57 of 81)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
3
73% ( 29 of 40)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 35 of 57)
60% ( 12 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 8 of 24)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
32% ( 19 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 38 of 81)
79
Total Points Won
62
L
6-3 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Jessica Pegula
Player
Anastasia Potapova
58% ( 14 of 24)
1st Serve %
63% ( 20 of 32)
0
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
64% ( 9 of 14)
1st Serve Won
30% ( 6 of 20)
50% ( 5 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
25% ( 3 of 12)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
42% ( 10 of 24)
Rtn Points Won
72% ( 23 of 32)
37
Total Points Won
19
W
6-2 2-0 ret. H2H
R4
cross
Paula Badosa Gibert
Player
Jessica Pegula
38% ( 19 of 50)
1st Serve %
61% ( 25 of 41)
0
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
0
95% ( 18 of 19)
1st Serve Won
44% ( 11 of 25)
48% ( 15 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 6 of 16)
100% ( 5 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
34% ( 17 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 24 of 41)
57
Total Points Won
34
L
6-4 6-0 H2H
R3
cross
Jessica Pegula
Player
Veronika Kudermetova
63% ( 60 of 95)
1st Serve %
62% ( 59 of 95)
5
Aces
5
6
Double Faults
5
70% ( 42 of 60)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 33 of 59)
51% ( 18 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 16 of 36)
78% ( 7 of 9)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
37% ( 35 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 46 of 95)
106
Total Points Won
84
W
6-7(9) 6-1 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Jessica Pegula
Player
Diane Parry
74% ( 46 of 62)
1st Serve %
60% ( 50 of 83)
5
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
3
67% ( 31 of 46)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 35 of 50)
69% ( 11 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
27% ( 9 of 33)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
32% ( 20 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 39 of 83)
81
Total Points Won
64
W
6-1 7-6(4) H2H
F
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jessica Pegula
60% ( 49 of 82)
1st Serve %
67% ( 57 of 85)
6
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
4
65% ( 32 of 49)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 37 of 57)
42% ( 14 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
21% ( 6 of 28)
40% ( 6 of 15)
Break Points Won
57% ( 4 of 7)
44% ( 36 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 42 of 85)
88
Total Points Won
79
L
7-5 7-5 H2H
SF
cross
Jessica Pegula
Player
Karolina Muchova
67% ( 59 of 88)
1st Serve %
62% ( 53 of 86)
1
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
3
58% ( 34 of 59)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 34 of 53)
52% ( 15 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 14 of 33)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
44% ( 39 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 38 of 86)
87
Total Points Won
87
W
1-6 6-4 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Jessica Pegula
Player
Iga Swiatek
65% ( 35 of 54)
1st Serve %
68% ( 41 of 60)
0
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
2
77% ( 27 of 35)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 23 of 41)
53% ( 10 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 9 of 19)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
31% ( 17 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 28 of 60)
65
Total Points Won
49
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Jessica Pegula
Player
Diana Shnaider
53% ( 35 of 66)
1st Serve %
63% ( 44 of 70)
6
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
3
80% ( 28 of 35)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 26 of 44)
39% ( 12 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 10 of 26)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
22% ( 2 of 9)
39% ( 26 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 34 of 70)
74
Total Points Won
62
W
6-4 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Jessica Pegula
Player
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
57% ( 28 of 49)
1st Serve %
58% ( 35 of 60)
3
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
6
89% ( 25 of 28)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 18 of 35)
57% ( 12 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 12 of 25)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
24% ( 12 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 30 of 60)
67
Total Points Won
42
W
6-3 6-3 H2H

Karolina Muchova Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
F
cross
Cori Gauff
Player
Karolina Muchova
70% ( 33 of 47)
1st Serve %
56% ( 29 of 52)
6
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
3
85% ( 28 of 33)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 18 of 29)
43% ( 6 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
17% ( 4 of 23)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
28% ( 13 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 30 of 52)
64
Total Points Won
35
L
6-1 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Karolina Muchova
Player
Qinwen Zheng
68% ( 39 of 57)
1st Serve %
54% ( 33 of 61)
3
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
7
79% ( 31 of 39)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 25 of 33)
61% ( 11 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 11 of 28)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
26% ( 15 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 25 of 61)
67
Total Points Won
51
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Karolina Muchova
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
60% ( 62 of 104)
1st Serve %
63% ( 65 of 103)
5
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
3
66% ( 41 of 62)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 40 of 65)
52% ( 22 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 22 of 38)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 4 of 8)
39% ( 41 of 104)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 41 of 103)
104
Total Points Won
103
W
7-6(5) 2-6 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Karolina Muchova
Player
Cristina Bucsa
50% ( 18 of 36)
1st Serve %
58% ( 38 of 65)
2
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
3
94% ( 17 of 18)
1st Serve Won
42% ( 16 of 38)
61% ( 11 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 13 of 27)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
22% ( 8 of 36)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 36 of 65)
64
Total Points Won
37
W
6-2 6-0 H2H
R3
cross
Karolina Muchova
Player
Jaqueline Cristian
64% ( 32 of 50)
1st Serve %
49% ( 25 of 51)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
5
78% ( 25 of 32)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 15 of 25)
56% ( 10 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 10 of 26)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
30% ( 15 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 26 of 51)
61
Total Points Won
40
W
6-1 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Karolina Muchova
Player
Yue Yuan
56% ( 31 of 55)
1st Serve %
48% ( 25 of 52)
3
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
71% ( 22 of 31)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 12 of 25)
46% ( 11 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 12 of 27)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
40% ( 22 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 28 of 52)
61
Total Points Won
46
W
6-3 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Karolina Muchova
Player
Anna Blinkova
60% ( 26 of 43)
1st Serve %
67% ( 30 of 45)
4
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
85% ( 22 of 26)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 14 of 30)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
20% ( 3 of 15)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
28% ( 12 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
62% ( 28 of 45)
59
Total Points Won
29
W
6-1 6-1 H2H
SF
cross
Jessica Pegula
Player
Karolina Muchova
67% ( 59 of 88)
1st Serve %
62% ( 53 of 86)
1
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
3
58% ( 34 of 59)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 34 of 53)
52% ( 15 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 14 of 33)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
44% ( 39 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 38 of 86)
87
Total Points Won
87
L
1-6 6-4 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Karolina Muchova
Player
Beatriz Haddad Maia
76% ( 37 of 49)
1st Serve %
64% ( 34 of 53)
2
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
1
78% ( 29 of 37)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 18 of 34)
42% ( 5 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 10 of 19)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
31% ( 15 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 25 of 53)
59
Total Points Won
43
W
6-1 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Karolina Muchova
Player
Jasmine Paolini
64% ( 28 of 44)
1st Serve %
70% ( 37 of 53)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
0
82% ( 23 of 28)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 21 of 37)
69% ( 11 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 8 of 16)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
23% ( 10 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 24 of 53)
58
Total Points Won
39
W
6-3 6-3 H2H

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