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Jessica Pegula vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Pegula vs Ostapenko analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Jessica Pegula vs Jelena Ostapenko Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Pegula 3 - 2 Ostapenko

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Pegula has won 48.1% of points on their second serve, while Ostapenko has won 44.5%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Pegula, in recent form, has won 57.42% of their opponent's second serve points, while Ostapenko has won 58.2%. The same stats for first serve returns are 38.71% and 36.9% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Pegula has saved 58.79% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Ostapenko has saved 57.03% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Pegula has won 75% of matches played (W/L 45/ 15), with Ostapenko winning 67.19% (W/L 43/ 21) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Pegula has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 66% (W/L 233/ 121), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 56% (W/L 24/ 19). Ostapenko has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 70% (W/L 48/ 21), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 56% (W/L 136/ 107).
  • Player level: In the last year, Pegula has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 75% of matches (W/L 21/ 7), where as Ostapenko has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 56% of matches (W/L 14/ 11). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 5 times before with Pegula winning 3 times and Ostapenko being victorious 2 times. They have played 13 sets in total, with Pegula winning 7 and Ostapenko winning 6. The last match between Pegula and Ostapenko was at the China Open - Beijing, 04-10-2023, Third, Hard with Jelena Ostapenko getting the victory 6-4 6-2.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:41:25.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Pegula and Ostapenko have played a deciding set 3 times, with Pegula winning 2 times and Ostapenko 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Pegula winning 0, and Ostapenko 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Pegula has played against opponents with an average rank of 86.22 while Ostapenko has played against players with an average rank of 113.7.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Pegula has won 68% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Ostapenko has won 71% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Pegula has converted 45.7% of breakpoint opportunities, and Ostapenko has converted 45.76% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Jessica Pegula

5

Total

2

Mast

0

Chall

0

Slam

3

Main

0

Minor

5

Rank

3

High

30

Age

R

Plays

3

Total

2

2

Hard

1

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

1

1

Grass

0

13

Rank

5

High

27

Age

R

Plays

Jelena Ostapenko

15

Total

0

Mast

1

Chall

1

Slam

7

Main

6

Minor

3

Total

2

2

Hard

1

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

1

1

Grass

0

W L W W W L W W W L

Form

L W W L W W W L W L

63% (409-236)

Career Total W/L

63% (385-231)

68% (15-7)

YTD W/L

69% (25-11)

$8,331,386

Career Prize Money

$10,335,707

0

YTD Titles

2

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Pegula VS Ostapenko H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Jessica Pegula Jelena Ostapenko
All H2H Matches 3 2
Sets Won 7 6
Games Won 65 63
Aces (Total) 12 22
DFs (Total) 23 28
Avg Match Time 1:41:25 1:41:25
1st Serve % 61% (267/439) 60% (248/410)
1st Serve Win% 60% (160/267) 64% (158/248)
2nd Serve Win% 48% (83/172) 42% (68/162)
BPs Won% (Total) 51% (24/47) 46% (23/50)
Return Points W% 45% (184/410) 45% (196/439)
Best of 3 Sets W% 60% (3/5) 40% (2/5)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
Deciding Set Win% 67% (2/3) 33% (1/3)
1st set W, W 67% (3/2) 50% (2/1)
1st set W, L 33% (3/1) 50% (2/1)
1st set L, W 50% (2/1) 33% (3/1)

Pegula VS Ostapenko H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-4 6-2
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Jessica Pegula
64% ( 41 of 64)
1st Serve %
51% ( 31 of 61)
5
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
61% ( 25 of 41)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 15 of 31)
57% ( 13 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 14 of 30)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
41% ( 26 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 32 of 61)
70
Total Points Won
55
6-2 2-6 7-5
cross
Jessica Pegula
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
58% ( 57 of 99)
1st Serve %
67% ( 57 of 85)
0
Aces
5
5
Double Faults
6
61% ( 35 of 57)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 36 of 57)
55% ( 23 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 14 of 28)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
27% ( 3 of 11)
41% ( 41 of 99)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 35 of 85)
93
Total Points Won
91
6-2 7-5
cross
Jessica Pegula
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
63% ( 36 of 57)
1st Serve %
56% ( 32 of 57)
5
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
69% ( 25 of 36)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 21 of 32)
57% ( 12 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 9 of 25)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
35% ( 20 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 27 of 57)
64
Total Points Won
50
3-6 6-2 7-6(3)
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Jessica Pegula
54% ( 55 of 101)
1st Serve %
56% ( 54 of 96)
4
Aces
3
11
Double Faults
6
69% ( 38 of 55)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 31 of 54)
33% ( 15 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 18 of 42)
70% ( 7 of 10)
Break Points Won
43% ( 6 of 14)
48% ( 48 of 101)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 47 of 96)
100
Total Points Won
97
4-6 7-5 6-4
cross
Jessica Pegula
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
71% ( 89 of 126)
1st Serve %
61% ( 63 of 103)
3
Aces
7
9
Double Faults
8
61% ( 54 of 89)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 38 of 63)
43% ( 16 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 17 of 40)
58% ( 7 of 12)
Break Points Won
35% ( 6 of 17)
44% ( 56 of 126)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 48 of 103)
118
Total Points Won
111

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Jessica Pegula Jelena Ostapenko
YTD W/L 68% (15/7) 69% (25/11)
Sets Win/Loss 64% (35/20) 62% (53/32)
Games Win/Loss 55% (292/239) 54% (434/374)
Hard Win/Loss 69% (11/5) 68% (13/6)
Clay Win/Loss 75% (3/1) 62% (8/5)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 100% (4/0)
Grass Win/Loss 50% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.22 0.32
Aces Total 57 125
DFs per game 0.16 0.41
DFs Total 43 161
Avg Match Time 1:46:48 1:32:47
Avg Opp Rank 84.36 131.86
1st Serve % 60% (1039/1723) 59% (1411/2411)
1st Serve W% 67% (698/1039) 68% (953/1411)
2nd Serve W% 48% (329/684) 45% (445/1000)
BPs Won% Total 46% (101/221) 46% (135/295)
Return Pts W% 46% (819/1790) 45% (1080/2406)
Slam W/L 50% (1/1) 60% (3/2)
Masters W/L 60% (3/2) 60% (9/6)
Cups W/L 100% (2/0) 67% (2/1)
Main Tour W/L 69% (9/4) 85% (11/2)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 68% (15/22) 69% (25/36)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 56% (5/9) 75% (6/8)
Deciding Set W% 55% (6/11) 77% (10/13)
1st set W, W 85% (13/11) 95% (21/20)
1st set W, L 15% (13/2) 5% (21/1)
1st set L, W 44% (9/4) 33% (15/5)

Jessica Pegula Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Aleksandra Krunic
Player
Jessica Pegula
57% ( 69 of 121)
1st Serve %
62% ( 79 of 128)
0
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
2
81% ( 56 of 69)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 52 of 79)
46% ( 24 of 52)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 29 of 49)
21% ( 3 of 14)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
34% ( 41 of 121)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 47 of 128)
127
Total Points Won
122
L
7-6(3) 6-7(3) 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Jessica Pegula
Player
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
68% ( 30 of 44)
1st Serve %
65% ( 33 of 51)
0
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
4
73% ( 22 of 30)
1st Serve Won
45% ( 15 of 33)
57% ( 8 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 8 of 18)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
32% ( 14 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 28 of 51)
58
Total Points Won
37
W
6-2 6-2 H2H
Rubber 3
cross
Jessica Pegula
Player
Hanne Vandewinkel
61% ( 20 of 33)
1st Serve %
63% ( 29 of 46)
1
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
3
95% ( 19 of 20)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 15 of 29)
77% ( 10 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 5 of 17)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
12% ( 4 of 33)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 26 of 46)
55
Total Points Won
24
W
6-2 6-0 H2H
Rubber 1
cross
Jessica Pegula
Player
Sofia Costoulas
40% ( 35 of 88)
1st Serve %
58% ( 66 of 113)
0
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
9
71% ( 25 of 35)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 35 of 66)
47% ( 25 of 53)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 20 of 47)
35% ( 7 of 20)
Break Points Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
43% ( 38 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 58 of 113)
108
Total Points Won
93
W
4-6 6-2 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Jessica Pegula
71% ( 73 of 103)
1st Serve %
60% ( 75 of 125)
2
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
2
52% ( 38 of 73)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 45 of 75)
43% ( 13 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 19 of 50)
62% ( 8 of 13)
Break Points Won
73% ( 8 of 11)
50% ( 52 of 103)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 61 of 125)
112
Total Points Won
116
L
6-4 4-6 7-6(5) H2H
QF
cross
Jessica Pegula
Player
Victoria Azarenka
73% ( 70 of 96)
1st Serve %
62% ( 72 of 117)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
12
63% ( 44 of 70)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 45 of 72)
42% ( 11 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 20 of 45)
25% ( 5 of 20)
Break Points Won
42% ( 5 of 12)
43% ( 41 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 52 of 117)
107
Total Points Won
106
W
6-4 3-6 7-6(7) H2H
R3
cross
Jessica Pegula
Player
Magda Linette
55% ( 22 of 40)
1st Serve %
68% ( 30 of 44)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
1
82% ( 18 of 22)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 18 of 30)
78% ( 14 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 4 of 14)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
20% ( 8 of 40)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 22 of 44)
54
Total Points Won
30
W
6-2 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Jessica Pegula
Player
Amanda Anisimova
58% ( 55 of 95)
1st Serve %
63% ( 80 of 126)
7
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
6
71% ( 39 of 55)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 46 of 80)
48% ( 19 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 22 of 46)
27% ( 4 of 15)
Break Points Won
50% ( 4 of 8)
39% ( 37 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 58 of 126)
116
Total Points Won
105
W
3-6 6-4 7-6(3) H2H
QF
cross
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Player
Jessica Pegula
60% ( 56 of 94)
1st Serve %
67% ( 53 of 79)
3
Aces
1
7
Double Faults
3
79% ( 44 of 56)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 35 of 53)
34% ( 13 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 16 of 26)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
39% ( 37 of 94)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 28 of 79)
85
Total Points Won
88
L
3-6 6-4 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Jessica Pegula
Player
Emma Navarro
64% ( 50 of 78)
1st Serve %
67% ( 40 of 60)
4
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
0
66% ( 33 of 50)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 23 of 40)
61% ( 17 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
65% ( 13 of 20)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
36% ( 28 of 78)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 24 of 60)
74
Total Points Won
64
W
7-6(1) 6-3 H2H

Jelena Ostapenko Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Clara Tauson
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
50% ( 48 of 96)
1st Serve %
57% ( 64 of 113)
4
Aces
5
5
Double Faults
11
71% ( 34 of 48)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 38 of 64)
46% ( 22 of 48)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 21 of 49)
40% ( 6 of 15)
Break Points Won
60% ( 6 of 10)
42% ( 40 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 54 of 113)
110
Total Points Won
99
L
7-6(4) 4-6 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Jaqueline Cristian
53% ( 35 of 66)
1st Serve %
52% ( 34 of 65)
2
Aces
1
6
Double Faults
3
74% ( 26 of 35)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 18 of 34)
52% ( 16 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 14 of 31)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
36% ( 24 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 33 of 65)
75
Total Points Won
56
W
6-4 7-5 H2H
QF
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
76% ( 37 of 49)
1st Serve %
73% ( 46 of 63)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
81% ( 30 of 37)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 31 of 46)
50% ( 6 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 6 of 17)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
27% ( 13 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 26 of 63)
62
Total Points Won
50
L
6-2 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Rebecca Sramkova
57% ( 62 of 108)
1st Serve %
71% ( 82 of 116)
7
Aces
4
6
Double Faults
6
58% ( 36 of 62)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 43 of 82)
48% ( 22 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 18 of 34)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
40% ( 6 of 15)
46% ( 50 of 108)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 55 of 116)
113
Total Points Won
111
W
4-6 6-4 7-6(3) H2H
R3
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
58% ( 60 of 104)
1st Serve %
72% ( 69 of 96)
1
Aces
0
6
Double Faults
4
53% ( 32 of 60)
1st Serve Won
45% ( 31 of 69)
45% ( 20 of 44)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 11 of 27)
50% ( 9 of 18)
Break Points Won
50% ( 7 of 14)
50% ( 52 of 104)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 54 of 96)
106
Total Points Won
94
W
6-4 5-7 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Anastasia Potapova
51% ( 39 of 76)
1st Serve %
50% ( 30 of 60)
0
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
4
64% ( 25 of 39)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 15 of 30)
43% ( 16 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 13 of 30)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
46% ( 35 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 32 of 60)
73
Total Points Won
63
W
6-4 6-2 H2H
R4
cross
Ons Jabeur
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
52% ( 26 of 50)
1st Serve %
56% ( 28 of 50)
2
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
5
77% ( 20 of 26)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 18 of 28)
50% ( 12 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
18% ( 4 of 22)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
36% ( 18 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 28 of 50)
60
Total Points Won
40
L
6-0 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Maria Lourdes Carle
63% ( 34 of 54)
1st Serve %
77% ( 56 of 73)
1
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
4
56% ( 19 of 34)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 27 of 56)
45% ( 9 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
24% ( 4 of 17)
50% ( 7 of 14)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
48% ( 26 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 42 of 73)
70
Total Points Won
57
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
68% ( 34 of 50)
1st Serve %
68% ( 38 of 56)
2
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
2
71% ( 24 of 34)
1st Serve Won
39% ( 15 of 38)
31% ( 5 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
86% ( 6 of 7)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
42% ( 21 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 32 of 56)
61
Total Points Won
45
W
6-3 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Linda Noskova
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
60% ( 43 of 72)
1st Serve %
63% ( 24 of 38)
8
Aces
1
8
Double Faults
2
72% ( 31 of 43)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 12 of 24)
38% ( 11 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
7% ( 1 of 14)
100% ( 5 of 5)
Break Points Won
11% ( 1 of 9)
42% ( 30 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
66% ( 25 of 38)
67
Total Points Won
43
L
6-3 6-1 H2H

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