Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve stats favor Jessica Pegula slightly, winning 43.27% of points compared to Elena Rybakina's 42.37%. Can a 1% difference make a crucial impact?
• Return game analysis suggests Jessica Pegula holds an advantage, winning 50.91% of opponents' second serve points, with Rybakina at 47.36%.
• First serve return stats also lean towards Pegula, capturing 29.54% compared to Rybakina’s 24.99%.
• Under pressure, Rybakina has a slight edge, saving 55.69% of breakpoints, narrowly surpassing Pegula's 53.51%.
• Performance over the past year gives Rybakina a higher win rate at 75.32% versus Pegula's 70.67%.
• Surface expertise shows Rybakina’s best performance on indoor hard courts at 74%, while Pegula excels similarly on hard surfaces at 74%.
• Both players have similar Masters series win rates in the past year, with Rybakina at 69.70% and Pegula closely trailing at 68.57%.
• Direct head-to-head indicates Pegula leads with 3 wins against Rybakina's 2, but Rybakina won their most recent encounter.
• Both players are competitive in deciding sets, with Pegula winning 60% and Rybakina 58% over the past year.
• Rybakina’s recent competition has been slightly lower ranked on average (64.78) than Pegula’s (48.63), perhaps giving Pegula more challenging recent practice.

Editorial Prediction (November 7, 2025, UTC):

Elena Rybakina and Jessica Pegula are set for a highly competitive match, with both players demonstrating formidable recent performances.

Jessica Pegula's slight edge in return statistics could prove critical, reflecting her ability to capitalize on opponents' weaker serves.

However, Elena Rybakina’s resilience under pressure and slightly superior overall win rate suggest she is capable of overcoming major challenges.

Both players have experienced similar success in deciding sets, indicating resilience and competitiveness in crucial moments.

While Pegula holds a lead in their head-to-head record, Rybakina's recent victory could provide her with a psychological advantage.

Considering these factors, Elena Rybakina is slightly favored to win this upcoming match, though the outcome is expected to be closely contested.