Jeong Moon vs Erika Sema Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In the last six months, Moon has had a stronger second serve, winning 41.35% of points, compared to Sema's 34.73%. Does this give Moon an edge? Yes, as better second serve performance is strongly linked to match outcomes.
• Sema has a superior return game in recent form, winning 58.44% of opponent's second serve points, while Moon wins 51.38%. This suggests Sema could capitalize on Moon's second serve.
• For first serve returns, Sema also leads, securing 41.18% of points compared to Moon's 38.39%. This advantage could tilt the match in Sema's favor.
• In pressure situations, Moon effectively saves breakpoints with a 51.11% success rate. However, Sema lags, saving just 39.8% under similar conditions.
• A broader look reveals Sema's better match win rate over the past year at 52.83% versus Moon's 46.43%, hinting at consistent performance.
• Both shine on hard courts, but Sema's win rate is a notable 55% compared to Moon's 46%, suggesting a surface advantage for Sema.
• The level of competition faced can influence stats. Moon has competed largely at Futures/ITF $10K levels, winning 47.83% of those matches, while Sema has contended in higher-level Challenger/ITF over $10K events, with a 54% win rate.
• Tackling high-ranking opponents, Moon's average opponent rank was 282, versus Sema at 398.02, indicating tougher matchups for Moon.
• If the match enters a deciding set, Sema has the upper hand, winning 56% of such sets, compared to Moon's 27% success rate.
• Sema's recent form includes a 44.63% success rate in breaking opponents' serve, surpassing Moon's 32.99%, which could be crucial for match dynamics.

Editorial Prediction (June 25, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Moon and Sema is expected to be competitive, with both players showcasing distinct strengths. Moon excels in second serve performance and resilience under pressure, converting these advantages into match wins against high-ranked opponents.

On the other hand, Sema demonstrates superior skills in return games and breakpoint conversions. Their prowess on hard courts, combined with a robust performance in deciding sets, suggests a strategic edge in this surface and format.

While Moon's challenging encounters with higher-ranked opponents speak to their grit, Sema's consistent performance at higher event levels is telling of their competitive edge.

Taking all factors into consideration, Sema is the more likely winner of this matchup, given their recent return game form and higher conversion on breakpoints.