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Jelena Ostapenko vs Karolina Pliskova Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Ostapenko vs Pliskova analysis and find out who is favored!

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Jelena Ostapenko vs Karolina Pliskova Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Ostapenko 6 - 5 Pliskova

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Ostapenko has won 41.82% of points on their second serve, while Pliskova has won 43.15%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Ostapenko, in recent form, has won 57.81% of their opponent's second serve points, while Pliskova has won 50.91%. The same stats for first serve returns are 38.44% and 33.93% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Ostapenko has saved 53.71% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Pliskova has saved 57.32% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Ostapenko has won 60.71% of matches played (W/L 34/ 22), with Pliskova winning 55.56% (W/L 20/ 16) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Ostapenko has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 69% (W/L 53/ 24), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 55% (W/L 137/ 111). Pliskova has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 65% (W/L 65/ 35), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 57% (W/L 133/ 102).
  • Player level: In the last year, Ostapenko has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 56.52% of matches (W/L 13/ 10), where as Pliskova has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 61.11% of matches (W/L 11/ 7). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 11 times before with Ostapenko winning 6 times and Pliskova being victorious 5 times. They have played 29 sets in total, with Ostapenko winning 16 and Pliskova winning 13. The last match between Ostapenko and Pliskova was at the Brisbane International - Brisbane, 04-01-2024, Third, Hard with Jelena Ostapenko getting the victory 6-2 4-6 6-3.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:50:13.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Ostapenko and Pliskova have played a deciding set 7 times, with Ostapenko winning 3 times and Pliskova 4 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 2 tiebreaks against each other with Ostapenko winning 1, and Pliskova 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Ostapenko has played against opponents with an average rank of 71.91 while Pliskova has played against players with an average rank of 74.33.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Ostapenko has won 65% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Pliskova has won 47% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Ostapenko has converted 50.97% of breakpoint opportunities, and Pliskova has converted 44.93% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
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Jelena Ostapenko

15

Total

0

Mast

1

Chall

1

Slam

7

Main

6

Minor

12

Rank

5

High

27

Age

R

Plays

6

Total

5

4

Hard

2

1

Clay

3

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

42

Rank

1

High

32

Age

R

Plays

Karolina Pliskova

27

Total

2

Mast

9

Chall

0

Slam

15

Main

1

Minor

6

Total

5

4

Hard

2

1

Clay

3

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W W W L L W L L L L

Form

W L L L W L W L W L

62% (391-239)

Career Total W/L

63% (619-362)

62% (31-19)

YTD W/L

56% (20-16)

$10,774,341

Career Prize Money

$18,587,453

2

YTD Titles

1

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Ostapenko VS Pliskova H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Jelena Ostapenko Karolina Pliskova
All H2H Matches 6 5
Sets Won 16 13
Games Won 148 140
Aces (Total) 40 118
DFs Total 82 55
Avg Match Time 1:50:13 1:50:13
1st Serve % 57% (531/937) 62% (585/941)
1st Serve Win% 67% (355/531) 67% (394/585)
2nd Serve Win% 44% (177/406) 38% (137/356)
BPs Won% (Total) 41% (51/124) 48% (48/100)
Return Points W% 44% (410/941) 43% (405/937)
Best of 3 Sets W% 55% (6/11) 45% (5/11)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 50% (1/2) 50% (1/2)
Deciding Set Win% 43% (3/7) 57% (4/7)
1st set W, W 56% (9/5) 50% (2/1)
1st set W, L 44% (9/4) 50% (2/1)
1st set L, W 50% (2/1) 44% (9/4)

Ostapenko VS Pliskova H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-2 4-6 6-3
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Karolina Pliskova
63% ( 65 of 104)
1st Serve %
58% ( 58 of 100)
4
Aces
18
5
Double Faults
3
63% ( 41 of 65)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 42 of 58)
54% ( 21 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 13 of 42)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
27% ( 3 of 11)
40% ( 42 of 104)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 45 of 100)
107
Total Points Won
97
1-6 6-3 6-4
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Karolina Pliskova
49% ( 37 of 75)
1st Serve %
63% ( 60 of 95)
4
Aces
13
10
Double Faults
8
65% ( 24 of 37)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 39 of 60)
32% ( 12 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
20% ( 7 of 35)
47% ( 7 of 15)
Break Points Won
58% ( 7 of 12)
52% ( 39 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 49 of 95)
85
Total Points Won
85
6-1 6-3
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Karolina Pliskova
60% ( 31 of 52)
1st Serve %
70% ( 33 of 47)
1
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
3
74% ( 23 of 31)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 18 of 33)
52% ( 11 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 4 of 14)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
35% ( 18 of 52)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 25 of 47)
59
Total Points Won
40
4-6 7-5 7-6(1)
cross
Karolina Pliskova
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
60% ( 68 of 113)
1st Serve %
59% ( 63 of 106)
9
Aces
2
13
Double Faults
6
66% ( 45 of 68)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 38 of 63)
40% ( 18 of 45)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 18 of 43)
54% ( 7 of 13)
Break Points Won
39% ( 7 of 18)
44% ( 50 of 113)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 50 of 106)
113
Total Points Won
106
6-7(7) 6-4 6-3
cross
Karolina Pliskova
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
66% ( 69 of 104)
1st Serve %
58% ( 68 of 117)
21
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
9
70% ( 48 of 69)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 43 of 68)
54% ( 19 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 24 of 49)
31% ( 4 of 13)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
36% ( 37 of 104)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 50 of 117)
117
Total Points Won
104
6-4 6-2
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Karolina Pliskova
56% ( 30 of 54)
1st Serve %
49% ( 29 of 59)
2
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
4
73% ( 22 of 30)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 18 of 29)
54% ( 13 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 9 of 30)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
35% ( 19 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 32 of 59)
67
Total Points Won
46
7-5 3-6 7-5
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Karolina Pliskova
49% ( 55 of 113)
1st Serve %
63% ( 74 of 117)
10
Aces
10
25
Double Faults
7
80% ( 44 of 55)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 43 of 74)
29% ( 17 of 58)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 20 of 43)
25% ( 6 of 24)
Break Points Won
67% ( 6 of 9)
46% ( 52 of 113)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 54 of 117)
115
Total Points Won
115
5-7 7-5 6-4
cross
Karolina Pliskova
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
68% ( 71 of 104)
1st Serve %
66% ( 72 of 109)
14
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
8
69% ( 49 of 71)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 51 of 72)
42% ( 14 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 13 of 37)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
39% ( 41 of 104)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 45 of 109)
108
Total Points Won
105
6-3 6-1
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Karolina Pliskova
49% ( 24 of 49)
1st Serve %
58% ( 35 of 60)
2
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
5
63% ( 15 of 24)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 20 of 35)
72% ( 18 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 9 of 25)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
33% ( 16 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 31 of 60)
64
Total Points Won
45
4-6 6-0 10-8
cross
Karolina Pliskova
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
74% ( 65 of 88)
1st Serve %
58% ( 63 of 108)
19
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
6
83% ( 54 of 65)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 40 of 63)
35% ( 8 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 18 of 45)
47% ( 7 of 15)
Break Points Won
67% ( 4 of 6)
30% ( 26 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 50 of 108)
112
Total Points Won
84
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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Jelena Ostapenko Karolina Pliskova
YTD W/L 62% (31/19) 56% (20/16)
Sets Win/Loss 58% (67/49) 56% (50/39)
Games Win/Loss 53% (577/516) 51% (441/429)
Hard Win/Loss 58% (14/10) 50% (10/10)
Clay Win/Loss 57% (8/6) 25% (1/3)
Indoor Hard W/L 100% (4/0) 100% (5/0)
Grass Win/Loss 63% (5/3) 57% (4/3)
Aces pg 0.37 0.59
Aces Total 195 250
DFs per game 0.49 0.56
DFs Total 259 240
Avg Match Time 1:32:22 1:44:15
Avg Opp Rank 70.74 74.33
1st Serve % 58% (1973/3419) 65% (1884/2911)
1st Serve W% 66% (1310/1973) 68% (1285/1884)
2nd Serve W% 44% (633/1444) 42% (432/1027)
BPs Won% Total 47% (189/399) 44% (128/291)
Return Pts W% 45% (1487/3319) 41% (1172/2853)
Slam W/L 64% (7/4) 20% (1/4)
Masters W/L 56% (10/8) 62% (8/5)
Cups W/L 67% (2/1) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 67% (12/6) 61% (11/7)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 62% (31/50) 57% (20/35)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 67% (8/12) 64% (9/14)
Deciding Set W% 69% (11/16) 47% (9/19)
1st set W, W 93% (27/25) 71% (21/15)
1st set W, L 7% (27/2) 29% (21/6)
1st set L, W 26% (23/6) 36% (14/5)

Jelena Ostapenko Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R2
cross
Marina Stakusic
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
58% ( 73 of 125)
1st Serve %
48% ( 57 of 120)
5
Aces
10
17
Double Faults
17
64% ( 47 of 73)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 37 of 57)
40% ( 21 of 52)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 22 of 63)
44% ( 8 of 18)
Break Points Won
44% ( 7 of 16)
46% ( 57 of 125)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 61 of 120)
129
Total Points Won
116
L
6-3 5-7 7-6(0) H2H
R1
W
bye H2H
R1
cross
Naomi Osaka
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
60% ( 30 of 50)
1st Serve %
62% ( 31 of 50)
9
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
6
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 19 of 31)
75% ( 15 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 9 of 19)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
22% ( 11 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 22 of 50)
61
Total Points Won
39
L
6-3 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Elina Avanesyan
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
71% ( 46 of 65)
1st Serve %
55% ( 42 of 76)
1
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
7
46% ( 21 of 46)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 21 of 42)
63% ( 12 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 12 of 34)
62% ( 8 of 13)
Break Points Won
86% ( 6 of 7)
49% ( 32 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 43 of 76)
76
Total Points Won
65
L
2-6 6-2 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Taylor Townsend
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
73% ( 29 of 40)
1st Serve %
54% ( 32 of 59)
5
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
5
76% ( 22 of 29)
1st Serve Won
41% ( 13 of 32)
55% ( 6 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 10 of 27)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 12 of 40)
Rtn Points Won
61% ( 36 of 59)
64
Total Points Won
35
L
6-2 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Paula Badosa Gibert
55% ( 51 of 92)
1st Serve %
59% ( 55 of 93)
3
Aces
9
12
Double Faults
9
67% ( 34 of 51)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 38 of 55)
41% ( 17 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 12 of 38)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
57% ( 4 of 7)
45% ( 41 of 92)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 43 of 93)
94
Total Points Won
91
W
3-6 7-6(3) 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
61% ( 36 of 59)
1st Serve %
65% ( 61 of 94)
1
Aces
4
6
Double Faults
4
64% ( 23 of 36)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 33 of 61)
38% ( 8 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 12 of 31)
43% ( 6 of 14)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
46% ( 26 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 47 of 92)
81
Total Points Won
72
L
6-4 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Barbora Krejcikova
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
73% ( 47 of 64)
1st Serve %
49% ( 41 of 84)
5
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
5
81% ( 38 of 47)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 25 of 41)
47% ( 8 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 24 of 43)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
28% ( 18 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 35 of 84)
81
Total Points Won
67
L
6-4 7-6(4) H2H
R4
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Yulia Putintseva
60% ( 41 of 68)
1st Serve %
55% ( 24 of 44)
3
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
2
63% ( 26 of 41)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 13 of 24)
48% ( 13 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 7 of 20)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
43% ( 29 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 24 of 44)
63
Total Points Won
49
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Bernarda Pera
52% ( 24 of 46)
1st Serve %
46% ( 24 of 52)
2
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
4
83% ( 20 of 24)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 12 of 24)
45% ( 10 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
22% ( 2 of 9)
35% ( 16 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 30 of 52)
60
Total Points Won
38
W
6-1 6-3 H2H

Karolina Pliskova Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R2
L
0-0 ret. H2H
R1
cross
Karolina Pliskova
Player
Mayar Sherif
56% ( 49 of 88)
1st Serve %
58% ( 63 of 109)
6
Aces
4
7
Double Faults
8
59% ( 29 of 49)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 40 of 63)
41% ( 16 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 18 of 46)
33% ( 6 of 18)
Break Points Won
60% ( 6 of 10)
49% ( 43 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 51 of 109)
96
Total Points Won
101
W
6-3 0-6 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Mirra Andreeva
Player
Karolina Pliskova
61% ( 25 of 41)
1st Serve %
54% ( 49 of 91)
6
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
12
80% ( 20 of 25)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 30 of 49)
81% ( 13 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 18 of 42)
31% ( 4 of 13)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
20% ( 8 of 41)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 43 of 91)
76
Total Points Won
56
L
6-2 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Karolina Pliskova
Player
Viktoriya Tomova
64% ( 50 of 78)
1st Serve %
49% ( 42 of 85)
6
Aces
1
8
Double Faults
8
64% ( 32 of 50)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 26 of 42)
39% ( 11 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 20 of 43)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 5 of 10)
45% ( 35 of 78)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 39 of 85)
82
Total Points Won
81
W
7-6(3) 7-6(3) H2H
R2
cross
Jessica Pegula
Player
Karolina Pliskova
55% ( 41 of 74)
1st Serve %
57% ( 40 of 70)
2
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
8
66% ( 27 of 41)
1st Serve Won
78% ( 31 of 40)
48% ( 16 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
17% ( 5 of 30)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
42% ( 31 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 34 of 70)
77
Total Points Won
67
L
7-5 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Karolina Pliskova
Player
Nadia Podoroska
65% ( 58 of 89)
1st Serve %
60% ( 48 of 80)
7
Aces
5
5
Double Faults
3
69% ( 40 of 58)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 33 of 48)
52% ( 16 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 16 of 32)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
37% ( 33 of 89)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 31 of 80)
87
Total Points Won
82
W
6-4 7-6(10) H2H
R1
cross
Yafan Wang
Player
Karolina Pliskova
58% ( 47 of 81)
1st Serve %
49% ( 47 of 95)
2
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
13
70% ( 33 of 47)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 26 of 47)
56% ( 19 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 21 of 48)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
36% ( 29 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 48 of 95)
100
Total Points Won
76
L
5-7 6-3 6-0 H2H
R1
cross
Diana Shnaider
Player
Karolina Pliskova
58% ( 65 of 112)
1st Serve %
58% ( 67 of 115)
4
Aces
9
3
Double Faults
6
69% ( 45 of 65)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 46 of 67)
49% ( 23 of 47)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 23 of 48)
25% ( 4 of 16)
Break Points Won
25% ( 3 of 12)
39% ( 44 of 112)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 46 of 115)
114
Total Points Won
113
L
4-6 6-4 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Caroline Dolehide
Player
Karolina Pliskova
78% ( 80 of 103)
1st Serve %
67% ( 58 of 86)
1
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
5
63% ( 50 of 80)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 41 of 58)
39% ( 9 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
45% ( 5 of 11)
43% ( 44 of 103)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 33 of 86)
92
Total Points Won
97
L
2-6 6-3 7-6(5) H2H
SF
cross
Karolina Pliskova
Player
Diane Parry
75% ( 75 of 100)
1st Serve %
54% ( 60 of 112)
4
Aces
11
10
Double Faults
6
71% ( 53 of 75)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 39 of 60)
52% ( 13 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 21 of 52)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
34% ( 34 of 100)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 52 of 112)
118
Total Points Won
94
W
6-7(9) 6-1 6-4 H2H

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