Jasmine Paolini vs Iga Swiatek Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How do their recent second serve performances compare? Jasmine Paolini has outperformed Iga Swiatek, winning 43.58% of her points compared to Swiatek's 38.53%.
• Regarding return game statistics, we see Jasmine Paolini slightly ahead on second serve returns, with 48.04% compared to Iga Swiatek's 47.82%. On first serve returns, Paolini again shows an advantage with 34.86% versus Swiatek's 27.12%.
• When it comes to saving breakpoints, Jasmine Paolini has a slight edge, saving 48.92% compared to Iga Swiatek’s 47.49%.
• Iga Swiatek has a stronger performance overview, winning 81.48% of her matches in the past year, while Jasmine Paolini has won 70.15%.
• Both players excel on clay surfaces, each winning 64% of their matches, but Swiatek has a significantly better win percentage on grass with 76%, compared to Paolini's 49%.
• Considering player level, Swiatek has surpassed Paolini in the Masters series with a 76.92% win rate against Paolini's 71.05%.
• Direct head-to-head statistics heavily favor Iga Swiatek. She has won all 6 matches against Jasmine Paolini, capturing 12 of the 13 sets played between them.
• Jasmine Paolini has competed against players with an average rank of 62.1 over the last year, while Iga Swiatek's opponents had a higher average rank of 49.28.
• In deciding set performances, Swiatek also leads, winning 72% over the last year, while Paolini has won 61%.

Editorial Prediction (October 9, 2025, UTC):

Iga Swiatek and Jasmine Paolini face off once again, with their head-to-head record strongly favoring Swiatek. She has consistently outperformed Paolini in their previous matches, demonstrating dominance on multiple occasions.

Both players show prowess on clay courts; however, Swiatek's overall consistency, especially on grass surfaces, indicates a broader versatility. This provides her with a significant edge in their matchup, and her ability to win against stronger, higher-ranked opponents further amplifies her competitive advantage.

While Paolini holds a slight edge in some recent performance metrics, Swiatek's history of winning crucial points and greater experience at higher-level events suggests she is better prepared for this challenge.

Based on the presented facts and historical performances, Iga Swiatek is the likely winner for the upcoming tennis match against Jasmine Paolini.