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Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Sinner vs Medvedev analysis and find out who is favored!

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Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Sinner 6 - 7 Medvedev

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Sinner has won 56.93% of points on their second serve, while Medvedev has won 49.66%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Sinner, in recent form, has won 55.14% of their opponent's second serve points, while Medvedev has won 52.22%. The same stats for first serve returns are 32.43% and 32.09% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Sinner has saved 67.53% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Medvedev has saved 60.91% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Sinner has won 91.46% of matches played (W/L 75/ 7), with Medvedev winning 71.43% (W/L 50/ 20) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Sinner has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 79% (W/L 88/ 24), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 87/ 43). Medvedev has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 76% (W/L 241/ 77), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 88/ 48).
  • Player level: In the last year, Sinner has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 86.21% of matches (W/L 25/ 4), where as Medvedev has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 64% of matches (W/L 16/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 13 times before with Sinner winning 6 times and Medvedev being victorious 7 times. They have played 39 sets in total, with Sinner winning 19 and Medvedev winning 20. The last match between Sinner and Medvedev was at the U.S. Open - New York, 04-09-2024, Quarterfinals, Hard with Jannik Sinner getting the victory 6-2 1-6 6-1 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:17:30.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Sinner and Medvedev have played a deciding set 7 times, with Sinner winning 3 times and Medvedev 4 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 8 tiebreaks against each other with Sinner winning 5, and Medvedev 3.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Sinner has played against opponents with an average rank of 42.12 while Medvedev has played against players with an average rank of 33.3.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Sinner has won 76% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Medvedev has won 68% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Sinner has converted 41.65% of breakpoint opportunities, and Medvedev has converted 47.37% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
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Jannik Sinner

21

Total

3

Mast

3

Chall

2

Slam

11

Main

2

Minor

1

Rank

1

High

23

Age

R

Plays

6

Total

7

4

Hard

1

0

Clay

0

2

Indoor

5

0

Grass

1

5

Rank

1

High

28

Age

R

Plays

Daniil Medvedev

25

Total

6

Mast

1

Chall

1

Slam

12

Main

4

Minor

6

Total

7

4

Hard

1

0

Clay

0

2

Indoor

5

0

Grass

1

W W W W W W W W W W

Form

W W L L L W W W W L

73% (326-122)

Career Total W/L

71% (528-211)

92% (55-5)

YTD W/L

74% (39-14)

$21,139,690

Career Prize Money

$30,735,750

6

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Sinner VS Medvedev H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Jannik Sinner Daniil Medvedev
All H2H Matches 6 7
Sets Won 19 20
Games Won 183 190
Aces (Total) 80 115
DFs Total 17 52
Avg Match Time 2:17:30 2:17:30
1st Serve % 61% (725/1183) 66% (776/1178)
1st Serve Win% 72% (522/725) 74% (577/776)
2nd Serve Win% 52% (236/458) 47% (190/402)
BPs Won% (Total) 36% (31/87) 40% (37/93)
Return Points W% 35% (411/1178) 36% (425/1183)
Best of 3 Sets W% 40% (4/10) 60% (6/10)
Best of 5 Sets W% 67% (2/3) 33% (1/3)
TBs Win% (Total) 63% (5/8) 38% (3/8)
Deciding Set Win% 43% (3/7) 57% (4/7)
1st set W, W 63% (8/5) 80% (5/4)
1st set W, L 38% (8/3) 20% (5/1)
1st set L, W 20% (5/1) 38% (8/3)

Sinner VS Medvedev H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-2 1-6 6-1 6-4
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Daniil Medvedev
53% ( 51 of 97)
1st Serve %
56% ( 61 of 109)
4
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
6
76% ( 39 of 51)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 41 of 61)
61% ( 28 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 20 of 48)
33% ( 5 of 15)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
31% ( 30 of 97)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 48 of 109)
115
Total Points Won
91
6-7(7) 6-4 7-6(4) 2-6 6-3
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Jannik Sinner
68% ( 119 of 174)
1st Serve %
65% ( 97 of 150)
15
Aces
17
11
Double Faults
4
76% ( 91 of 119)
1st Serve Won
80% ( 78 of 97)
45% ( 25 of 55)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 28 of 53)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
33% ( 58 of 174)
Rtn Points Won
29% ( 44 of 150)
160
Total Points Won
164
6-1 6-2
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Daniil Medvedev
64% ( 30 of 47)
1st Serve %
64% ( 32 of 50)
7
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 17 of 32)
59% ( 10 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 7 of 18)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
28% ( 13 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 26 of 50)
60
Total Points Won
37
3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Daniil Medvedev
61% ( 88 of 144)
1st Serve %
68% ( 95 of 139)
14
Aces
11
5
Double Faults
3
74% ( 65 of 88)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 72 of 95)
54% ( 30 of 56)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 20 of 44)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
34% ( 49 of 144)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 47 of 139)
142
Total Points Won
141
6-3 6-7(4) 6-1
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Daniil Medvedev
58% ( 60 of 104)
1st Serve %
63% ( 55 of 88)
10
Aces
10
2
Double Faults
2
83% ( 50 of 60)
1st Serve Won
80% ( 44 of 55)
48% ( 21 of 44)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 12 of 33)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
32% ( 33 of 104)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 32 of 88)
103
Total Points Won
89
7-6(7) 4-6 6-3
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Daniil Medvedev
73% ( 86 of 118)
1st Serve %
67% ( 88 of 132)
5
Aces
13
0
Double Faults
8
64% ( 55 of 86)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 57 of 88)
50% ( 16 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 18 of 44)
25% ( 4 of 16)
Break Points Won
31% ( 4 of 13)
40% ( 47 of 118)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 57 of 132)
128
Total Points Won
122
7-6(2) 7-6(2)
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Daniil Medvedev
68% ( 51 of 75)
1st Serve %
73% ( 57 of 78)
3
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
4
82% ( 42 of 51)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 43 of 57)
71% ( 17 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 11 of 21)
0% ( 0 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
21% ( 16 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
31% ( 24 of 78)
83
Total Points Won
70
7-5 6-3
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Jannik Sinner
59% ( 37 of 63)
1st Serve %
56% ( 35 of 63)
9
Aces
6
6
Double Faults
0
86% ( 32 of 37)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 24 of 35)
46% ( 12 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 9 of 28)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
30% ( 19 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 30 of 63)
74
Total Points Won
52
5-7 6-2 6-2
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Jannik Sinner
69% ( 59 of 86)
1st Serve %
57% ( 55 of 96)
4
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
75% ( 44 of 59)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 34 of 55)
44% ( 12 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 19 of 41)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
35% ( 30 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 43 of 96)
99
Total Points Won
83
6-4 6-2
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Jannik Sinner
76% ( 37 of 49)
1st Serve %
53% ( 33 of 62)
7
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
0
81% ( 30 of 37)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 21 of 33)
50% ( 6 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 14 of 29)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
27% ( 13 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 27 of 62)
63
Total Points Won
48
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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Jannik Sinner Daniil Medvedev
YTD W/L 92% (55/5) 74% (39/14)
Sets Win/Loss 83% (139/29) 66% (100/52)
Games Win/Loss 60% (972/640) 54% (801/672)
Hard Win/Loss 94% (30/2) 76% (22/7)
Clay Win/Loss 85% (11/2) 69% (11/5)
Indoor Hard W/L 100% (5/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 90% (9/1) 75% (6/2)
Aces pg 0.56 0.5
Aces Total 440 365
DFs per game 0.16 0.33
DFs Total 126 240
Avg Match Time 2:8:1 2:8:12
Avg Opp Rank 46.33 38.92
1st Serve % 61% (2894/4746) 62% (2859/4633)
1st Serve W% 80% (2301/2894) 73% (2085/2859)
2nd Serve W% 58% (1065/1852) 50% (884/1772)
BPs Won% Total 43% (226/531) 45% (206/454)
Return Pts W% 41% (2181/5305) 40% (1897/4733)
Slam W/L 92% (23/2) 82% (18/4)
Masters W/L 88% (22/3) 68% (15/7)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 100% (10/0) 67% (4/2)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 91% (31/34) 71% (22/31)
Best of 5 Sets W% 92% (23/25) 80% (16/20)
TBs Win% (Total) 76% (19/25) 72% (18/25)
Deciding Set W% 67% (10/15) 77% (10/13)
1st set W, W 94% (51/48) 91% (33/30)
1st set W, L 6% (51/3) 9% (33/3)
1st set L, W 78% (9/7) 45% (20/9)

Jannik Sinner Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
F
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Taylor Fritz
51% ( 43 of 85)
1st Serve %
59% ( 53 of 90)
6
Aces
10
5
Double Faults
4
88% ( 38 of 43)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 36 of 53)
48% ( 20 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 16 of 37)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
32% ( 27 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 38 of 90)
96
Total Points Won
79
W
6-3 6-4 7-5 H2H
SF
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Jack Draper
65% ( 62 of 96)
1st Serve %
49% ( 64 of 131)
11
Aces
8
2
Double Faults
10
77% ( 48 of 62)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 43 of 64)
74% ( 25 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 32 of 67)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
24% ( 23 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 56 of 131)
129
Total Points Won
98
W
7-5 7-6(3) 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Daniil Medvedev
53% ( 51 of 97)
1st Serve %
56% ( 61 of 109)
4
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
6
76% ( 39 of 51)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 41 of 61)
61% ( 28 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 20 of 48)
33% ( 5 of 15)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
31% ( 30 of 97)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 48 of 109)
115
Total Points Won
91
W
6-2 1-6 6-1 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Tommy Paul
49% ( 48 of 98)
1st Serve %
60% ( 67 of 111)
10
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
3
81% ( 39 of 48)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 43 of 67)
56% ( 28 of 50)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 19 of 44)
29% ( 4 of 14)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
32% ( 31 of 98)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 49 of 111)
116
Total Points Won
93
W
7-6(3) 7-6(5) 6-1 H2H
R3
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Christopher O'Connell
65% ( 45 of 69)
1st Serve %
56% ( 45 of 80)
15
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
4
82% ( 37 of 45)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 26 of 45)
67% ( 16 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 15 of 35)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 16 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 39 of 80)
92
Total Points Won
57
W
6-1 6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Alex Michelsen
57% ( 37 of 65)
1st Serve %
59% ( 43 of 73)
3
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
5
81% ( 30 of 37)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 28 of 43)
54% ( 15 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
17% ( 5 of 30)
50% ( 8 of 16)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
31% ( 20 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 40 of 73)
85
Total Points Won
53
W
6-4 6-0 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Mackenzie Mcdonald
55% ( 52 of 94)
1st Serve %
58% ( 57 of 98)
11
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
6
75% ( 39 of 52)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 31 of 57)
50% ( 21 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 18 of 41)
53% ( 8 of 15)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
36% ( 34 of 94)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 49 of 98)
109
Total Points Won
83
W
2-6 6-2 6-1 6-2 H2H
F
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Frances Tiafoe
57% ( 33 of 58)
1st Serve %
55% ( 46 of 84)
13
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
2
85% ( 28 of 33)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 32 of 46)
76% ( 19 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 18 of 38)
25% ( 2 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
19% ( 11 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 34 of 84)
81
Total Points Won
61
W
7-6(4) 6-2 H2H
SF
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Alexander Zverev
62% ( 73 of 118)
1st Serve %
65% ( 82 of 127)
12
Aces
15
1
Double Faults
5
70% ( 51 of 73)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 59 of 82)
64% ( 29 of 45)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 24 of 45)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
32% ( 38 of 118)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 44 of 127)
124
Total Points Won
121
W
7-6(9) 5-7 7-6(4) H2H
QF
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Andrey Rublev
48% ( 43 of 90)
1st Serve %
59% ( 72 of 122)
10
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
7
84% ( 36 of 43)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 47 of 72)
43% ( 20 of 47)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 20 of 50)
38% ( 6 of 16)
Break Points Won
56% ( 5 of 9)
38% ( 34 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 55 of 122)
111
Total Points Won
101
W
4-6 7-5 6-4 H2H

Daniil Medvedev Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
QF
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Daniil Medvedev
53% ( 51 of 97)
1st Serve %
56% ( 61 of 109)
4
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
6
76% ( 39 of 51)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 41 of 61)
61% ( 28 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 20 of 48)
33% ( 5 of 15)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
31% ( 30 of 97)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 48 of 109)
115
Total Points Won
91
L
6-2 1-6 6-1 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Nuno Borges
63% ( 46 of 73)
1st Serve %
41% ( 37 of 90)
9
Aces
5
5
Double Faults
10
78% ( 36 of 46)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 20 of 37)
52% ( 14 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 19 of 53)
50% ( 8 of 16)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
32% ( 23 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 51 of 90)
101
Total Points Won
62
W
6-0 6-1 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Flavio Cobolli
55% ( 47 of 85)
1st Serve %
39% ( 37 of 96)
9
Aces
2
7
Double Faults
4
81% ( 38 of 47)
1st Serve Won
49% ( 18 of 37)
45% ( 17 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 29 of 59)
35% ( 7 of 20)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
35% ( 30 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 49 of 96)
104
Total Points Won
77
W
6-3 6-4 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Fabian Marozsan
47% ( 45 of 95)
1st Serve %
65% ( 64 of 99)
8
Aces
2
10
Double Faults
3
67% ( 30 of 45)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 41 of 64)
54% ( 27 of 50)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 10 of 35)
57% ( 8 of 14)
Break Points Won
67% ( 4 of 6)
40% ( 38 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 48 of 99)
105
Total Points Won
89
W
6-3 6-2 7-6(5) H2H
R1
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Dusan Lajovic
56% ( 70 of 125)
1st Serve %
65% ( 70 of 107)
14
Aces
1
11
Double Faults
2
76% ( 53 of 70)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 45 of 70)
47% ( 26 of 55)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 18 of 37)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
37% ( 46 of 125)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 44 of 107)
123
Total Points Won
109
W
6-3 3-6 6-3 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Jiri Lehecka
Player
Daniil Medvedev
63% ( 52 of 83)
1st Serve %
44% ( 29 of 66)
4
Aces
7
4
Double Faults
7
75% ( 39 of 52)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 21 of 29)
58% ( 18 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
68% ( 25 of 37)
25% ( 1 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 5)
31% ( 26 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
30% ( 20 of 66)
77
Total Points Won
72
L
7-6(2) 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Player
Daniil Medvedev
58% ( 45 of 77)
1st Serve %
63% ( 47 of 75)
3
Aces
9
5
Double Faults
4
64% ( 29 of 45)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 35 of 47)
50% ( 16 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 9 of 28)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
57% ( 4 of 7)
42% ( 32 of 77)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 31 of 75)
76
Total Points Won
76
L
6-4 1-6 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Daniil Medvedev
69% ( 43 of 62)
1st Serve %
70% ( 49 of 70)
9
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
3
88% ( 38 of 43)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 36 of 49)
53% ( 10 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 9 of 21)
25% ( 1 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 14 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 25 of 70)
73
Total Points Won
59
L
6-3 7-6(5) H2H
R2
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Sebastian Ofner
80% ( 37 of 46)
1st Serve %
53% ( 31 of 58)
6
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
0
73% ( 27 of 37)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 17 of 31)
78% ( 7 of 9)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 12 of 27)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
26% ( 12 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 29 of 58)
63
Total Points Won
41
W
6-2 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Rinky Hijikata
61% ( 25 of 41)
1st Serve %
61% ( 28 of 46)
3
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
0
76% ( 19 of 25)
1st Serve Won
32% ( 9 of 28)
57% ( 8 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 8 of 18)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
31% ( 12 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
63% ( 29 of 46)
57
Total Points Won
30
W
6-2 6-1 H2H

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