Prediction of Ivan Nedelko vs Adrian Andreev at M15 Antalya 12-02-25

• Ivan Nedelko's recent second serve points won stands at 42.17%, slightly lower than Adrian Andreev's 43.75%. Could this influence the match outcome? A subtle edge leans towards Andreev.
• Both players have similar stats for winning points on opponents' second serves, with Andreev at 48.87% and Nedelko at 48.66%, indicating closely matched return skills.
• First serve return points also show a narrow gap, with Andreev's 27.50% edging out Nedelko's 27.29%. Does this signal a marginal advantage for Andreev?
• Under pressure, Nedelko saves 48.19% of breakpoints, outperforming Andreev's 45.28%, a crucial edge in crucial game moments.
• When it comes to overall match wins over the past year, Nedelko's win rate is 54.84%, significantly higher than Andreev's 22.22%. Could this broader success indicate a probable favorite?
• Both players excel on clay, each having a 65% career win rate; however, they both struggle on grass with 0% wins. How might this affect their adaptability on different surfaces?
• Last year, Nedelko was more successful at the Futures/Satellites/ITF level with a 60.87% win rate, whereas Andreev struggled in higher-tier tournaments with a 14.29% win record.
• Their head-to-head history reveals Andreev won their sole encounter, suggesting he holds an advantage in direct competition.
• When facing stronger opponents, Andreev has faced an average rank of 241.06 compared to Nedelko's 314.03, indicating Andreev's experience against tougher competition.
• Should the match reach a deciding set, Andreev has a better track record, winning 67% compared to Nedelko's 50% in such scenarios.

Editorial Prediction (December 2, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming tennis match between Ivan Nedelko and Adrian Andreev promises to be a tightly contested affair. Statistical analysis suggests both players possess closely matched skills, particularly in their return games. Andreev's slightly higher percentages in second serve performance may provide a small advantage, but Nedelko demonstrates more composure under pressure by saving a higher percentage of breakpoints.

Nedelko's overall win rate over the last year, along with his success rate on clay, positions him as a formidable contender. Despite this, Andreev's proficiency in deciding sets and experience against higher-ranked opponents may prove crucial in swinging the match in his favor.

Considering these dynamics, Adrian Andreev is anticipated to emerge victorious in this match, leveraging his track record in direct encounters and ability to navigate high-pressure moments.