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Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Swiatek vs Rybakina analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Swiatek 2 - 4 Rybakina

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Swiatek has won 55.2% of points on his second serve, while Rybakina has won 49.32%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Swiatek, in recent form, has won 60.15% of his opponent's second serve points, while Rybakina has won 57.85%. The same stats for first serve returns are 42.52% and 36.15% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Swiatek has saved 71.18% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Rybakina has saved 64.81% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Swiatek has won 89.66% of matches played (W/L 78/ 9), with Rybakina winning 78.69% (W/L 48/ 13) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Swiatek has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 88% (W/L 125/ 17), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 70% (W/L 16/ 7). Rybakina has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 75% (W/L 27/ 9), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 68% (W/L 149/ 70).
  • Player level: In the last year, Swiatek has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 91.67% of matches (W/L 44/ 4), where as Rybakina has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 75.76% of matches (W/L 25/ 8). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 6 times before with Swiatek winning 2 times. They have played 13 sets in total, with Swiatek winning 6 and Rybakina winning 7. The last match between Swiatek and Rybakina was at the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart, 20-04-2024, Semifinals, Clay with Elena Rybakina getting the victory 6-3 4-6 6-3.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:59:26.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Swiatek and Rybakina have played a deciding set 1 times, with Swiatek winning 0 times and Rybakina 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 3 tiebreaks against each other with Swiatek winning 2, and Rybakina 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Swiatek has played against opponents with an average rank of 72.92 while Rybakina has played against players with an average rank of 82.9.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Swiatek has won 63% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Rybakina has won 70% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Swiatek has converted 46.94% of breakpoint opportunities, and Rybakina has converted 40.65% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Swiatek 2 - 4 Rybakina

Iga Swiatek

29

Total

11

Mast

3

Chall

4

Slam

7

Main

4

Minor

1

Rank

1

High

22

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

4

1

Hard

2

0

Clay

2

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

4

Rank

3

High

24

Age

R

Plays

Elena Rybakina

12

Total

2

Mast

3

Chall

1

Slam

5

Main

1

Minor

2

Total

4

1

Hard

2

0

Clay

2

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W W W W W W W W W W

Form

L W W W W W W W W L

82% (323-71)

Career Total W/L

70% (320-138)

90% (38-4)

YTD W/L

86% (30-5)

$23,743,556

Career Prize Money

$12,191,413

5

YTD Titles

3

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Swiatek VS Rybakina H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Iga Swiatek Elena Rybakina
All H2H Matches 2 4
Sets Won 6 7
Games Won 64 67
Aces (Total) 7 38
DFs (Total) 19 22
Avg Match Time 1:59:26 1:59:26
1st Serve % 65% (278/429) 57% (267/465)
1st Serve Win% 64% (177/278) 70% (187/267)
2nd Serve Win% 48% (73/151) 43% (86/198)
BPs Won% (Total) 35% (17/49) 42% (19/45)
Return Points W% 41% (192/465) 42% (179/429)
Best of 3 Sets W% 40% (2/5) 60% (3/5)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 67% (2/3) 33% (1/3)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, W 67% (3/2) 100% (3/3)
1st set W, L 0% (3/0) 0% (3/0)
1st set L, W 0% (3/0) 0% (3/0)

Swiatek VS Rybakina H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-3 4-6 6-3
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Iga Swiatek
60% ( 63 of 105)
1st Serve %
57% ( 60 of 106)
10
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
7
70% ( 44 of 63)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 39 of 60)
45% ( 19 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 22 of 46)
20% ( 4 of 20)
Break Points Won
15% ( 2 of 13)
40% ( 42 of 105)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 45 of 106)
108
Total Points Won
103
7-6(8) 6-2
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Elena Rybakina
73% ( 63 of 86)
1st Serve %
54% ( 42 of 78)
2
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
2
57% ( 36 of 63)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 26 of 42)
48% ( 11 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 13 of 36)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
45% ( 39 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 39 of 78)
86
Total Points Won
78
2-6 7-6(3) 2-2 ret.
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Iga Swiatek
56% ( 54 of 96)
1st Serve %
62% ( 45 of 73)
10
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
3
74% ( 40 of 54)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 34 of 45)
40% ( 17 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 15 of 28)
100% ( 1 of 1)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
41% ( 39 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 24 of 73)
81
Total Points Won
88
6-2 6-2
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Iga Swiatek
61% ( 34 of 56)
1st Serve %
65% ( 28 of 43)
7
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
82% ( 28 of 34)
1st Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
41% ( 9 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 6 of 15)
100% ( 5 of 5)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
34% ( 19 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 25 of 43)
62
Total Points Won
37
6-4 6-4
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Iga Swiatek
56% ( 30 of 54)
1st Serve %
63% ( 35 of 56)
6
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 20 of 35)
46% ( 11 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 12 of 21)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
35% ( 19 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 24 of 56)
59
Total Points Won
51
7-6(5) 6-2
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Elena Rybakina
72% ( 47 of 65)
1st Serve %
58% ( 44 of 76)
1
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
8
77% ( 36 of 47)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 25 of 44)
39% ( 7 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 17 of 32)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
34% ( 22 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 34 of 76)
77
Total Points Won
64

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Iga Swiatek Elena Rybakina
YTD W/L 90% (38/4) 86% (30/5)
Sets Win/Loss 86% (78/13) 72% (60/23)
Games Win/Loss 66% (517/272) 58% (463/331)
Hard Win/Loss 88% (22/3) 85% (22/4)
Clay Win/Loss 93% (14/1) 89% (8/1)
Indoor Hard W/L 100% (2/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.16 0.59
Aces Total 60 229
DFs per game 0.17 0.2
DFs Total 65 76
Avg Match Time 1:37:56 1:47:24
Avg Opp Rank 62.74 85.74
1st Serve % 67% (1722/2559) 63% (1601/2560)
1st Serve W% 69% (1189/1722) 72% (1155/1601)
2nd Serve W% 55% (462/837) 49% (473/959)
BPs Won% Total 47% (184/392) 41% (137/337)
Return Pts W% 49% (1304/2638) 44% (1159/2652)
Slam W/L 67% (2/1) 50% (1/1)
Masters W/L 93% (27/2) 83% (15/3)
Cups W/L 100% (2/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 88% (7/1) 93% (14/1)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 90% (38/42) 85% (28/33)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 80% (4/5) 45% (5/11)
Deciding Set W% 71% (5/7) 87% (13/15)
1st set W, W 97% (36/35) 96% (27/26)
1st set W, L 3% (36/1) 4% (27/1)
1st set L, W 50% (6/3) 38% (8/3)

Iga Swiatek Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
F
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
54% ( 31 of 57)
1st Serve %
59% ( 32 of 54)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
74% ( 23 of 31)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 18 of 32)
62% ( 16 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 9 of 22)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
32% ( 18 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 27 of 54)
66
Total Points Won
45
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Cori Gauff
65% ( 36 of 55)
1st Serve %
54% ( 45 of 83)
1
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
72% ( 26 of 36)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 29 of 45)
53% ( 10 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 14 of 38)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
35% ( 19 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 40 of 83)
76
Total Points Won
62
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Madison Keys
75% ( 48 of 64)
1st Serve %
56% ( 23 of 41)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
71% ( 34 of 48)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 14 of 23)
56% ( 9 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 8 of 18)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 10)
33% ( 21 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 19 of 41)
62
Total Points Won
43
W
6-1 6-3 H2H
R4
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Angelique Kerber
73% ( 45 of 62)
1st Serve %
62% ( 43 of 69)
2
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
6
67% ( 30 of 45)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 26 of 43)
71% ( 12 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 11 of 26)
31% ( 4 of 13)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
32% ( 20 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 32 of 69)
74
Total Points Won
57
W
7-5 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Yulia Putintseva
62% ( 45 of 73)
1st Serve %
74% ( 45 of 61)
0
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
2
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 30 of 45)
61% ( 17 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 5 of 16)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
33% ( 24 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 26 of 61)
75
Total Points Won
59
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Bernarda Pera
58% ( 30 of 52)
1st Serve %
64% ( 39 of 61)
0
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
3
70% ( 21 of 30)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 20 of 39)
59% ( 13 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
27% ( 6 of 22)
40% ( 6 of 15)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
35% ( 18 of 52)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 35 of 61)
69
Total Points Won
44
W
6-0 6-2 H2H
R1
W
bye H2H
F
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
66% ( 78 of 119)
1st Serve %
58% ( 68 of 118)
2
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
4
67% ( 52 of 78)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 46 of 68)
51% ( 21 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 24 of 50)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
38% ( 5 of 13)
39% ( 46 of 119)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 48 of 118)
121
Total Points Won
116
W
7-5 4-6 7-6(7) H2H
SF
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Madison Keys
72% ( 36 of 50)
1st Serve %
62% ( 28 of 45)
0
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
0
69% ( 25 of 36)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 15 of 28)
79% ( 11 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 6 of 17)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
28% ( 14 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 24 of 45)
60
Total Points Won
35
W
6-1 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Beatriz Haddad Maia
70% ( 49 of 70)
1st Serve %
66% ( 63 of 96)
0
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
6
63% ( 31 of 49)
1st Serve Won
44% ( 28 of 63)
62% ( 13 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 16 of 33)
39% ( 7 of 18)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
37% ( 26 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 52 of 96)
96
Total Points Won
70
W
4-6 6-0 6-2 H2H

Elena Rybakina Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
SF
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elena Rybakina
64% ( 56 of 88)
1st Serve %
61% ( 65 of 106)
4
Aces
9
4
Double Faults
3
77% ( 43 of 56)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 46 of 65)
50% ( 16 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 24 of 41)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
33% ( 29 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 36 of 106)
95
Total Points Won
99
L
1-6 7-5 7-6(5) H2H
QF
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Yulia Putintseva
61% ( 71 of 117)
1st Serve %
76% ( 84 of 110)
6
Aces
0
8
Double Faults
2
70% ( 50 of 71)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 53 of 84)
48% ( 22 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 16 of 26)
25% ( 3 of 12)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
38% ( 45 of 117)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 41 of 110)
113
Total Points Won
114
W
4-6 7-6(4) 7-5 H2H
R4
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Sara Bejlek
67% ( 46 of 69)
1st Serve %
60% ( 31 of 52)
0
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
6
61% ( 28 of 46)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 18 of 31)
48% ( 11 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
19% ( 4 of 21)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
13% ( 2 of 15)
43% ( 30 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 30 of 52)
69
Total Points Won
52
W
6-1 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Mayar Sherif
49% ( 26 of 53)
1st Serve %
68% ( 47 of 69)
1
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
1
85% ( 22 of 26)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 26 of 47)
59% ( 16 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 11 of 22)
23% ( 3 of 13)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
28% ( 15 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 32 of 69)
70
Total Points Won
52
W
6-1 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Lucia Bronzetti
56% ( 32 of 57)
1st Serve %
50% ( 24 of 48)
6
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
4
72% ( 23 of 32)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 18 of 24)
52% ( 13 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 7 of 24)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
37% ( 21 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 23 of 48)
59
Total Points Won
46
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
F
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Marta Kostyuk
64% ( 37 of 58)
1st Serve %
52% ( 25 of 48)
0
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
6
81% ( 30 of 37)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 14 of 25)
48% ( 10 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 10 of 23)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
31% ( 18 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 24 of 48)
64
Total Points Won
42
W
6-2 6-2 H2H
SF
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Iga Swiatek
60% ( 63 of 105)
1st Serve %
57% ( 60 of 106)
10
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
7
70% ( 44 of 63)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 39 of 60)
45% ( 19 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 22 of 46)
20% ( 4 of 20)
Break Points Won
15% ( 2 of 13)
40% ( 42 of 105)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 45 of 106)
108
Total Points Won
103
W
6-3 4-6 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Jasmine Paolini
62% ( 51 of 82)
1st Serve %
67% ( 68 of 101)
7
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
1
65% ( 33 of 51)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 43 of 68)
58% ( 18 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 13 of 33)
40% ( 6 of 15)
Break Points Won
57% ( 4 of 7)
38% ( 31 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 45 of 101)
96
Total Points Won
87
W
6-3 5-7 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Veronika Kudermetova
63% ( 64 of 101)
1st Serve %
62% ( 58 of 93)
9
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
2
66% ( 42 of 64)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 40 of 58)
38% ( 14 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 15 of 35)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
45% ( 5 of 11)
45% ( 45 of 101)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 38 of 93)
94
Total Points Won
100
W
7-6(3) 1-6 6-4 H2H
F
cross
Danielle Rose Collins
Player
Elena Rybakina
62% ( 59 of 95)
1st Serve %
53% ( 33 of 62)
4
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
0
75% ( 44 of 59)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 23 of 33)
42% ( 15 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 16 of 29)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
9% ( 1 of 11)
38% ( 36 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 23 of 62)
82
Total Points Won
75
L
7-5 6-3 H2H

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