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Holger Rune vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Rune vs Alcaraz analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Holger Rune vs Carlos Alcaraz Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Rune has won 54.45% of points on his second serve, while Alcaraz has won 56.97%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Rune, in recent form, has won 49.27% of his opponent's second serve points, while Alcaraz has won 56.41%. The same stats for first serve returns are 26.57% and 35.3% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Rune has saved 67.5% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Alcaraz has saved 59.3% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Rune has won 61.76% of matches played (W/L 42/ 26), with Alcaraz winning 82.05% (W/L 64/ 14) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Rune has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 73% (W/L 60/ 22), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 53% (W/L 40/ 35). Alcaraz has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 16/ 2), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 57% (W/L 13/ 10).
  • Player level: In the last year, Rune has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 72.41% of matches (W/L 21/ 8), where as Alcaraz has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 80% of matches (W/L 24/ 6). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Rune winning 0 times. They have played 4 sets in total, with Rune winning 1 and Alcaraz winning 3. The last match between Rune and Alcaraz was at the Wimbledon - London, 12-07-2023, Quarterfinals, Grass with Carlos Alcaraz getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:0:38.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Rune and Alcaraz have played a deciding set 0 times, with Rune winning 0 times and Alcaraz 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Rune winning 0, and Alcaraz 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Rune has played against opponents with an average rank of 130.18 while Alcaraz has played against players with an average rank of 88.86.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Rune has won 63% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Alcaraz has won 76% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Rune has converted 34.52% of breakpoint opportunities, and Alcaraz has converted 41.84% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Rune 1 - 1 Alcaraz

Holger Rune

13

Total

1

Mast

5

Chall

0

Slam

3

Main

4

Minor

12

Rank

4

High

20

Age

R

Plays

1

Total

1

0

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

1

3

Rank

1

High

20

Age

R

Plays

Carlos Alcaraz

20

Total

5

Mast

4

Chall

2

Slam

6

Main

3

Minor

1

Total

1

0

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

1

W W L W W L L W W L

Form

W W W W W W W W W L

66% (220-114)

Career Total W/L

79% (245-67)

65% (15-8)

YTD W/L

79% (15-4)

$5,630,010

Career Prize Money

$18,748,645

0

YTD Titles

1

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Rune VS Alcaraz H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Holger Rune Carlos Alcaraz
All H2H Matches 0 1
Sets Won 1 3
Games Won 26 28
Aces (Total) 7 7
DFs (Total) 6 3
Avg Match Time 2:0:38 2:0:38
1st Serve % 64% (109/169) 63% (95/152)
1st Serve Win% 75% (82/109) 80% (76/95)
2nd Serve Win% 57% (34/60) 65% (37/57)
BPs Won% (Total) 20% (1/5) 40% (2/5)
Return Points W% 26% (39/152) 31% (53/169)
Best of 3 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 0% (1/0)
1st set L, W 0% (1/0) 0% (1/0)

Rune VS Alcaraz H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
7-6(3) 6-4 6-4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Holger Rune
62% ( 57 of 92)
1st Serve %
58% ( 56 of 97)
4
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
79% ( 45 of 57)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 42 of 56)
71% ( 25 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 22 of 41)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
24% ( 22 of 92)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 33 of 97)
103
Total Points Won
86
6-3 6-6 ret.
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
74% ( 53 of 72)
1st Serve %
63% ( 38 of 60)
5
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
1
75% ( 40 of 53)
1st Serve Won
82% ( 31 of 38)
63% ( 12 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 12 of 22)
25% ( 1 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
28% ( 20 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
28% ( 17 of 60)
69
Total Points Won
63

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Holger Rune Carlos Alcaraz
YTD W/L 65% (15/8) 79% (15/4)
Sets Win/Loss 59% (35/24) 78% (35/10)
Games Win/Loss 52% (305/283) 61% (248/159)
Hard Win/Loss 67% (10/5) 87% (13/2)
Clay Win/Loss 67% (2/1) 50% (2/2)
Indoor Hard W/L 60% (3/2) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.59 0.3
Aces Total 170 61
DFs per game 0.2 0.15
DFs Total 59 31
Avg Match Time 2:4:2 1:44:44
Avg Opp Rank 165.96 132.47
1st Serve % 61% (1125/1858) 67% (802/1191)
1st Serve W% 74% (835/1125) 75% (598/802)
2nd Serve W% 55% (405/733) 57% (222/389)
BPs Won% Total 33% (49/149) 43% (68/159)
Return Pts W% 36% (663/1857) 44% (595/1361)
Slam W/L 50% (1/1) 80% (4/1)
Masters W/L 57% (4/3) 90% (9/1)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 71% (10/4) 50% (2/2)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 67% (14/21) 85% (11/13)
Best of 5 Sets W% 50% (1/2) 80% (4/5)
TBs Win% (Total) 86% (12/14) 63% (5/8)
Deciding Set W% 67% (6/9) 100% (2/2)
1st set W, W 93% (14/13) 100% (13/13)
1st set W, L 7% (14/1) 0% (13/0)
1st set L, W 22% (9/2) 40% (5/2)

Holger Rune Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
QF
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Holger Rune
59% ( 53 of 90)
1st Serve %
53% ( 50 of 95)
5
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
5
87% ( 46 of 53)
1st Serve Won
82% ( 41 of 50)
68% ( 25 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 22 of 45)
25% ( 2 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
21% ( 19 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 32 of 95)
103
Total Points Won
82
L
6-4 6-7(6) 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
70% ( 94 of 135)
1st Serve %
63% ( 74 of 117)
3
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
4
64% ( 60 of 94)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 54 of 74)
54% ( 22 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 20 of 43)
25% ( 1 of 4)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
39% ( 53 of 135)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 43 of 117)
125
Total Points Won
127
W
7-6(9) 3-6 7-6(2) H2H
R2
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Sumit Nagal
54% ( 38 of 70)
1st Serve %
63% ( 55 of 88)
3
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
5
82% ( 31 of 38)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 34 of 55)
56% ( 18 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 15 of 33)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
30% ( 21 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 39 of 88)
88
Total Points Won
70
W
6-3 3-6 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Fabian Marozsan
Player
Holger Rune
82% ( 41 of 50)
1st Serve %
61% ( 25 of 41)
4
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
2
76% ( 31 of 41)
1st Serve Won
40% ( 10 of 25)
33% ( 3 of 9)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 7 of 16)
100% ( 5 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
32% ( 16 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 24 of 41)
58
Total Points Won
33
L
6-1 6-1 H2H
QF
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Holger Rune
60% ( 44 of 73)
1st Serve %
56% ( 47 of 84)
4
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
6
68% ( 30 of 44)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 32 of 47)
62% ( 18 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 14 of 37)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
34% ( 25 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 38 of 84)
86
Total Points Won
71
L
7-5 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Taylor Fritz
56% ( 53 of 94)
1st Serve %
57% ( 52 of 91)
4
Aces
8
4
Double Faults
3
77% ( 41 of 53)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 36 of 52)
61% ( 25 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 24 of 39)
33% ( 1 of 3)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
30% ( 28 of 94)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 31 of 91)
97
Total Points Won
88
W
2-6 7-6(2) 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
64% ( 38 of 59)
1st Serve %
68% ( 46 of 68)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
2
82% ( 31 of 38)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 31 of 46)
71% ( 15 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 12 of 22)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
22% ( 13 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 25 of 68)
71
Total Points Won
56
W
6-2 7-6(5) H2H
R2
W
w/o H2H
SF
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Holger Rune
64% ( 56 of 88)
1st Serve %
49% ( 40 of 82)
5
Aces
10
1
Double Faults
3
75% ( 42 of 56)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 29 of 40)
44% ( 14 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 23 of 42)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
36% ( 32 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 30 of 82)
86
Total Points Won
84
L
3-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Dominik Koepfer
65% ( 52 of 80)
1st Serve %
57% ( 39 of 68)
7
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
4
77% ( 40 of 52)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 28 of 39)
46% ( 13 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 15 of 29)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
34% ( 27 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 25 of 68)
78
Total Points Won
70
W
7-6(2) 7-6(0) H2H

Carlos Alcaraz Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
QF
cross
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
63% ( 35 of 56)
1st Serve %
58% ( 34 of 59)
4
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
3
77% ( 27 of 35)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 19 of 34)
48% ( 10 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 13 of 25)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
34% ( 19 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 27 of 59)
64
Total Points Won
51
L
6-2 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
64% ( 35 of 55)
1st Serve %
68% ( 40 of 59)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
0
74% ( 26 of 35)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 25 of 40)
55% ( 11 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 7 of 19)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
33% ( 18 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 27 of 59)
64
Total Points Won
50
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Gael Monfils
81% ( 38 of 47)
1st Serve %
64% ( 30 of 47)
1
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
6
76% ( 29 of 38)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 20 of 30)
44% ( 4 of 9)
2nd Serve Won
18% ( 3 of 17)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
30% ( 14 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 24 of 47)
57
Total Points Won
37
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
71% ( 34 of 48)
1st Serve %
62% ( 33 of 53)
3
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
3
79% ( 27 of 34)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 19 of 33)
36% ( 5 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 6 of 20)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
33% ( 16 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 28 of 53)
60
Total Points Won
41
W
6-2 6-1 H2H
F
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Daniil Medvedev
65% ( 40 of 62)
1st Serve %
61% ( 48 of 79)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
75% ( 30 of 40)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 30 of 48)
68% ( 15 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 14 of 31)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
27% ( 17 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 35 of 79)
80
Total Points Won
61
W
7-6(5) 6-1 H2H
SF
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jannik Sinner
65% ( 47 of 72)
1st Serve %
62% ( 46 of 74)
0
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
70% ( 33 of 47)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 30 of 46)
52% ( 13 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 15 of 28)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
36% ( 26 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 29 of 74)
75
Total Points Won
71
W
1-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Alexander Zverev
79% ( 31 of 39)
1st Serve %
78% ( 49 of 63)
1
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
2
87% ( 27 of 31)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 25 of 49)
75% ( 6 of 8)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 7 of 14)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
15% ( 6 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 31 of 63)
64
Total Points Won
38
W
6-3 6-1 H2H
R4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Fabian Marozsan
63% ( 31 of 49)
1st Serve %
55% ( 32 of 58)
4
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
1
84% ( 26 of 31)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 23 of 32)
67% ( 12 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 10 of 26)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
22% ( 11 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 25 of 58)
63
Total Points Won
44
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
73% ( 32 of 44)
1st Serve %
67% ( 35 of 52)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
5
78% ( 25 of 32)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 19 of 35)
67% ( 8 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 8 of 17)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
25% ( 11 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 25 of 52)
58
Total Points Won
38
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
57% ( 43 of 76)
1st Serve %
57% ( 52 of 92)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
86% ( 37 of 43)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 31 of 52)
55% ( 18 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 17 of 40)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
28% ( 21 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 44 of 92)
99
Total Points Won
69
W
6-7(5) 6-0 6-1 H2H

Rune Vs Alcaraz Prediction H2H Images To Share

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