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Heather Watson vs Sofia Kenin Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Watson vs Kenin analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Heather Watson vs Sofia Kenin Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Watson 2 - 0 Kenin

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Watson has won 49.38% of points on their second serve, while Kenin has won 46.62%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Watson, in recent form, has won 54.61% of their opponent's second serve points, while Kenin has won 56.22%. The same stats for first serve returns are 34.33% and 34.83% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Watson has saved 55.15% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Kenin has saved 59.35% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Watson has won 43.18% of matches played (W/L 19/ 25), with Kenin winning 48.84% (W/L 21/ 22) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Watson has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 62% (W/L 73/ 44), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 50% (W/L 58/ 58). Kenin has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 67% (W/L 20/ 10), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 53% (W/L 16/ 14).
  • Player level: In the last year, Watson has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 55% of matches (W/L 11/ 9), where as Kenin has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 42.86% of matches (W/L 6/ 8). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Watson winning 2 times and Kenin being victorious 0 times. They have played 6 sets in total, with Watson winning 4 and Kenin winning 2. The last match between Watson and Kenin was at the Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi, 03-02-2024, Q1 round, Hard with Heather Watson getting the victory 3-6 6-1 6-1.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:54:28.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Watson and Kenin have played a deciding set 2 times, with Watson winning 2 times and Kenin 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Watson winning 0, and Kenin 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Watson has played against opponents with an average rank of 181 while Kenin has played against players with an average rank of 137.23.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Watson has won 33% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Kenin has won 50% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Watson has converted 45.78% of breakpoint opportunities, and Kenin has converted 44.31% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Heather Watson

11

Total

0

Mast

6

Chall

0

Slam

4

Main

1

Minor

198

Rank

38

High

32

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

0

2

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

46

Rank

4

High

25

Age

R

Plays

Sofia Kenin

9

Total

0

Mast

4

Chall

1

Slam

4

Main

0

Minor

2

Total

0

2

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

L L W L L L L W L L

Form

L W L W W L L W W L

54% (405-340)

Career Total W/L

60% (272-184)

41% (9-13)

YTD W/L

30% (6-14)

$2,533,484

Career Prize Money

$8,312,878

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Watson VS Kenin H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Heather Watson Sofia Kenin
All H2H Matches 2 0
Sets Won 4 2
Games Won 31 20
Aces (Total) 16 6
DFs Total 7 7
Avg Match Time 1:54:28 1:54:28
1st Serve % 60% (105/176) 66% (114/173)
1st Serve Win% 71% (75/105) 51% (58/114)
2nd Serve Win% 45% (32/71) 49% (29/59)
BPs Won% (Total) 63% (12/19) 35% (6/17)
Return Points W% 50% (86/173) 39% (69/176)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (2/2) 0% (0/2)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set Win% 100% (2/2) 0% (0/2)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 0% (1/0)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 100% (1/1)
1st set L, W 100% (1/1) 0% (1/0)

Watson VS Kenin H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
3-6 6-1 6-1
cross
Heather Watson
Player
Sofia Kenin
61% ( 40 of 66)
1st Serve %
71% ( 53 of 75)
7
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
1
78% ( 31 of 40)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 29 of 53)
62% ( 16 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 11 of 22)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
29% ( 19 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 35 of 75)
82
Total Points Won
59
6-3 4-6 6-3
cross
Heather Watson
Player
Sofia Kenin
59% ( 65 of 110)
1st Serve %
62% ( 61 of 98)
9
Aces
1
6
Double Faults
6
68% ( 44 of 65)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 29 of 61)
36% ( 16 of 45)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 18 of 37)
64% ( 7 of 11)
Break Points Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
45% ( 50 of 110)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 51 of 98)
111
Total Points Won
97

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Heather Watson Sofia Kenin
YTD W/L 41% (9/13) 30% (6/14)
Sets Win/Loss 46% (25/29) 35% (17/31)
Games Win/Loss 51% (259/252) 47% (220/253)
Hard Win/Loss 33% (3/6) 11% (1/8)
Clay Win/Loss 20% (1/4) 45% (5/6)
Indoor Hard W/L 80% (4/1) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 33% (1/2) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.34 0.09
Aces Total 84 22
DFs per game 0.3 0.29
DFs Total 76 67
Avg Match Time 1:46:13 1:52:13
Avg Opp Rank 214.91 148.35
1st Serve % 61% (991/1635) 67% (1122/1669)
1st Serve W% 66% (658/991) 59% (657/1122)
2nd Serve W% 49% (318/644) 47% (255/547)
BPs Won% Total 46% (76/166) 44% (74/167)
Return Pts W% 42% (683/1637) 43% (679/1589)
Slam W/L 0% (0/2) 50% (2/2)
Masters W/L 0% (0/3) 25% (2/6)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 50% (5/5) 17% (1/5)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 57% (4/3) 50% (1/1)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 41% (9/22) 30% (6/20)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 60% (3/5) 0% (0/6)
Deciding Set W% 30% (3/10) 38% (3/8)
1st set W, W 60% (10/6) 80% (5/4)
1st set W, L 40% (10/4) 20% (5/1)
1st set L, W 25% (12/3) 13% (15/2)

Heather Watson Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R1
cross
Marie Bouzkova
Player
Heather Watson
67% ( 69 of 103)
1st Serve %
58% ( 61 of 105)
3
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
4
61% ( 42 of 69)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 36 of 61)
47% ( 16 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 24 of 44)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
45% ( 5 of 11)
44% ( 45 of 103)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 45 of 105)
103
Total Points Won
105
L
3-6 6-4 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Karolina Pliskova
Player
Heather Watson
74% ( 55 of 74)
1st Serve %
62% ( 38 of 61)
13
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
2
62% ( 34 of 55)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 26 of 38)
53% ( 10 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
26% ( 6 of 23)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
41% ( 30 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 29 of 61)
73
Total Points Won
62
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Heather Watson
Player
Kayla Day
61% ( 46 of 76)
1st Serve %
68% ( 54 of 79)
6
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
2
80% ( 37 of 46)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 34 of 54)
50% ( 15 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 12 of 25)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
32% ( 24 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 33 of 79)
85
Total Points Won
70
W
4-6 6-0 6-4 H2H
Q1
cross
Antonia Ruzic
Player
Heather Watson
58% ( 49 of 85)
1st Serve %
54% ( 50 of 93)
2
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
7
55% ( 27 of 49)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 27 of 50)
56% ( 20 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 15 of 43)
57% ( 8 of 14)
Break Points Won
50% ( 5 of 10)
45% ( 38 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 51 of 93)
98
Total Points Won
80
L
6-3 5-7 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Elsa Jacquemot
Player
Heather Watson
59% ( 60 of 101)
1st Serve %
56% ( 64 of 114)
10
Aces
2
7
Double Faults
7
67% ( 40 of 60)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 37 of 64)
51% ( 21 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 22 of 50)
53% ( 8 of 15)
Break Points Won
50% ( 5 of 10)
40% ( 40 of 101)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 55 of 114)
116
Total Points Won
99
L
6-7(7) 6-3 6-3 H2H
Q1
cross
Bernarda Pera
Player
Heather Watson
63% ( 50 of 79)
1st Serve %
58% ( 46 of 80)
5
Aces
2
6
Double Faults
4
70% ( 35 of 50)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 27 of 46)
41% ( 12 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 15 of 34)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
41% ( 32 of 79)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 38 of 80)
85
Total Points Won
74
L
7-6(0) 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Daria Saville
Player
Heather Watson
69% ( 38 of 55)
1st Serve %
68% ( 40 of 59)
3
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
4
74% ( 28 of 38)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 25 of 40)
59% ( 10 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
26% ( 5 of 19)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
31% ( 17 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 29 of 59)
67
Total Points Won
47
L
6-3 6-2 H2H
Q1
cross
Heather Watson
Player
Alana Smith
57% ( 27 of 47)
1st Serve %
51% ( 22 of 43)
4
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
1
74% ( 20 of 27)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 14 of 22)
70% ( 14 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 6 of 21)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
28% ( 13 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 23 of 43)
57
Total Points Won
33
W
6-0 6-4 H2H
Q1
cross
Oceane Dodin
Player
Heather Watson
53% ( 38 of 72)
1st Serve %
66% ( 52 of 79)
8
Aces
11
9
Double Faults
6
68% ( 26 of 38)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 35 of 52)
44% ( 15 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 10 of 27)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
56% ( 5 of 9)
43% ( 31 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 34 of 79)
75
Total Points Won
76
L
6-4 1-6 6-3 H2H
Q1
cross
Taylah Preston
Player
Heather Watson
72% ( 61 of 85)
1st Serve %
59% ( 47 of 80)
1
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
6
66% ( 40 of 61)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 26 of 47)
42% ( 10 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 18 of 33)
75% ( 6 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 4 of 8)
41% ( 35 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 36 of 80)
86
Total Points Won
79
L
6-4 4-6 6-2 H2H

Sofia Kenin Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R3
cross
Clara Tauson
Player
Sofia Kenin
53% ( 36 of 68)
1st Serve %
64% ( 58 of 91)
6
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
8
69% ( 25 of 36)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 29 of 58)
50% ( 16 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 17 of 33)
33% ( 5 of 15)
Break Points Won
22% ( 2 of 9)
40% ( 27 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 45 of 91)
86
Total Points Won
73
L
6-2 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Sofia Kenin
Player
Caroline Garcia
81% ( 44 of 54)
1st Serve %
64% ( 49 of 77)
1
Aces
7
0
Double Faults
4
73% ( 32 of 44)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 31 of 49)
60% ( 6 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
30% ( 16 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 36 of 77)
74
Total Points Won
57
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Sofia Kenin
Player
Laura Siegemund
69% ( 57 of 83)
1st Serve %
61% ( 40 of 66)
0
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
9
63% ( 36 of 57)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 25 of 40)
62% ( 16 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 9 of 26)
86% ( 6 of 7)
Break Points Won
27% ( 3 of 11)
37% ( 31 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 32 of 66)
84
Total Points Won
65
W
4-6 6-2 6-2 H2H
Q1
cross
Chloe Paquet
Player
Sofia Kenin
48% ( 47 of 97)
1st Serve %
64% ( 54 of 84)
17
Aces
2
10
Double Faults
5
74% ( 35 of 47)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 29 of 54)
36% ( 18 of 50)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 13 of 30)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
45% ( 44 of 97)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 42 of 84)
95
Total Points Won
86
L
6-4 7-6(4) H2H
R3
cross
Rebecca Sramkova
Player
Sofia Kenin
67% ( 68 of 102)
1st Serve %
68% ( 62 of 91)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
60% ( 41 of 68)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 40 of 62)
50% ( 17 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 13 of 29)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
71% ( 5 of 7)
43% ( 44 of 102)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 38 of 91)
96
Total Points Won
97
L
6-4 4-6 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Sofia Kenin
Player
Ons Jabeur
58% ( 59 of 102)
1st Serve %
54% ( 61 of 114)
0
Aces
9
5
Double Faults
5
61% ( 36 of 59)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 39 of 61)
47% ( 20 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 21 of 53)
32% ( 6 of 19)
Break Points Won
50% ( 6 of 12)
45% ( 46 of 102)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 54 of 114)
110
Total Points Won
106
W
7-5 2-6 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Sofia Kenin
Player
Lucia Bronzetti
64% ( 45 of 70)
1st Serve %
55% ( 38 of 69)
0
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
6
67% ( 30 of 45)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 24 of 38)
48% ( 12 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
26% ( 8 of 31)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
20% ( 2 of 10)
40% ( 28 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 37 of 69)
79
Total Points Won
60
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Ashlyn Krueger
Player
Sofia Kenin
54% ( 67 of 124)
1st Serve %
57% ( 63 of 111)
7
Aces
0
14
Double Faults
12
63% ( 42 of 67)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 32 of 63)
33% ( 19 of 57)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 21 of 48)
43% ( 9 of 21)
Break Points Won
44% ( 8 of 18)
51% ( 63 of 124)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 58 of 111)
119
Total Points Won
116
L
6-3 5-7 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Sofia Kenin
Player
Irene Burillo Escorihuela
70% ( 51 of 73)
1st Serve %
69% ( 72 of 105)
0
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
47% ( 24 of 51)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 40 of 72)
45% ( 10 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
27% ( 9 of 33)
33% ( 8 of 24)
Break Points Won
89% ( 8 of 9)
53% ( 39 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 56 of 105)
90
Total Points Won
88
W
2-6 6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Anna Schmiedlova
Player
Sofia Kenin
67% ( 40 of 60)
1st Serve %
63% ( 30 of 48)
4
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
2
70% ( 28 of 40)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 17 of 30)
60% ( 12 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
33% ( 20 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 22 of 48)
62
Total Points Won
46
L
6-3 6-4 H2H

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