Hanna Chang vs Lia Karatancheva Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When examining second serve performance over the past six months, Karatancheva has won 39.96% of points, slightly trailing Chang's 40.67%. Which player has the edge here? Chang, by a small margin.
• Considering return game stats, Chang shows a stronger performance, winning 51.76% of second serve return points compared to Karatancheva's 48.85%. However, Karatancheva comes out ahead in first serve returns, winning 38.1% against Chang's 31.97%.
• Under pressure, both players save similar percentages of breakpoints, with Karatancheva at 45.85% and Chang at 45.45%, showing slight parity in clutch situations.
• In terms of match outcomes over the last year, Chang has a marginally higher success rate, winning 57.75% of matches, compared to Karatancheva's 55.56%.
• Surface preference shows Karatancheva performs best on clay (55% win rate), while Chang excels on hard courts with a 61% win rate.
• Both players primarily compete in Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, where Chang boasts a superior win percentage of 62.3% compared to Karatancheva's 56.25%.
• In direct head-to-head encounters, Chang leads with two victories to Karatancheva's one, and the last meeting resulted in a straight-set victory for Chang.
• For matches extending into a deciding set, Chang is significantly more proficient, winning 68% of such sets over the past year, while Karatancheva has won only 32%.
• When it comes to converting breakpoints, Karatancheva is more efficient, capitalizing on 43.89% of opportunities, compared to Chang's 37.5%.
• In past contests, Chang has faced opponents with a higher average rank (321.35) than Karatancheva (373.46), pointing to potentially stronger competition.

Editorial Prediction (May 9, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Sesil Karatancheva and Hanna Chang presents a fascinating contest of strengths and weaknesses. While Karatancheva might hold an advantage on clay surfaces and in breakpoint conversion, the recent data favors Chang in several key areas.

Chang's slight edge in second serve points, return stats, past head-to-head performance, and ability to win deciding sets suggests a better aptitude for managing key points during intense matches. Her higher win percentage against stronger opponents further indicates resilience and capability to perform under pressure.

Considering these factors, Hanna Chang appears to be the favorite to win this upcoming match, barring any unforeseen changes in play style or conditions during the event.