Gastao Elias vs Cannon Kingsley Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

In an upcoming tennis match, a thorough analysis shows subtle differences in performance metrics between Kingsley and Elias, suggesting potential outcomes. Over the past six months, Elias has a slight edge in second serve points, winning 42.19%, compared to Kingsley's 41.89%. This small variance can be significant, as this statistic has a strong correlation with match outcome predictions.

When examining return game statistics, Elias holds an advantage over Kingsley, capturing 49.85% of second serve return points, whereas Kingsley claims only 39.54%. This difference is also evident in first serve return points, where Elias leads with 27.18% compared to Kingsley's 24.09%. Such figures provide insight into potential winners in head-to-head matchups.

Under pressure, Kingsley has shown greater resilience, saving 50.57% of breakpoints compared to Elias's 48.54%. Nonetheless, the performance overview over the last year doesn't distinctly favor either player, as Kingsley has won 55.32% of their matches (W/L 26/21), closely trailing Elias who has won 55.56% (W/L 40/32). This closely matches their head-to-head record, where Elias claimed victory in their lone encounter.

Their preferred surfaces can also influence the match's outcome. While Kingsley boasts a career win rate of 64% on clay surfaces, Elias has a 57% win rate on the same surface. Hard surfaces appear less favorable for Kingsley with a 56% win rate, whereas grass is less favorable for Elias, who has a 25% win rate.

Analyzing the level of tournament play, Kingsley has participated primarily in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments, securing wins 63.33% of the time (W/L 19/11), while Elias has predominantly competed at the Challengers/ITF level with a 50.85% win rate (W/L 30/29). Relative to the event level, this factor can also affect performance predictions.

Given their previous meeting at the M25 Quinta do Lago, Elias emerged victorious in a match lasting an average of 2 hours and 39 minutes across three sets, indicating Elias's capacity to endure longer matches. Therefore, if this match extends to a deciding set, Elias's record of winning 55% of such sets, combined with a conversion rate of 36.89% in breakpoint opportunities, could be advantageous over Kingsley, who has a 63% deciding set win rate but lower breakpoint conversion of 31.51%.

Considering all statistical indicators, Elias appears slightly favored to win this upcoming encounter, particularly if the match is tightly contested or extended to three sets. However, Kingsley's resilience and specific tactical performance can influence the outcome as well, maintaining a competitive tension throughout the contest.