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Federico Gaio vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Gaio vs Arnaldi analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Federico Gaio vs Matteo Arnaldi Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Gaio has won 48.88% of points on his second serve, while Arnaldi has won 50.84%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Gaio, in recent form, has won 48.35% of his opponent's second serve points, while Arnaldi has won 48.01%. The same stats for first serve returns are 25.03% and 29.65% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Gaio has saved 58.7% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Arnaldi has saved 60.54% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Gaio has won 44.44% of matches played (W/L 24/ 30), with Arnaldi winning 65.71% (W/L 46/ 24) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Gaio has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 56% (W/L 323/ 250), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 36% (W/L 5/ 9). Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 118/ 57), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 12/ 19).
  • Player level: In the last year, Gaio has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 46.67% of matches (W/L 21/ 24), where as Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 59.26% of matches (W/L 16/ 11). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Gaio winning 0 times. They have played 4 sets in total, with Gaio winning 0 and Arnaldi winning 4. The last match between Gaio and Arnaldi was at the Wimbledon - London, 28-06-2023, Q2 round, Grass with Matteo Arnaldi getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:20:44.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Gaio and Arnaldi have played a deciding set 0 times, with Gaio winning 0 times and Arnaldi 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Gaio winning 0, and Arnaldi 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Gaio has played against opponents with an average rank of 265.15 while Arnaldi has played against players with an average rank of 170.16.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Gaio has won 56% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Arnaldi has won 58% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Gaio has converted 32.29% of breakpoint opportunities, and Arnaldi has converted 34.74% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Gaio 0 - 2 Arnaldi

Federico Gaio

13

Total

0

Mast

4

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

9

Minor

254

Rank

124

High

32

Age

R

Plays

0

Total

2

0

Hard

0

0

Clay

1

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

1

36

Rank

35

High

23

Age

Plays

Matteo Arnaldi

6

Total

0

Mast

4

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

2

Minor

0

Total

2

0

Hard

0

0

Clay

1

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

1

L L W L L L W L L L

Form

L W W W L L W W W L

54% (515-433)

Career Total W/L

63% (200-115)

21% (3-11)

YTD W/L

57% (13-10)

$392,005

Career Prize Money

$1,162,145

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Gaio VS Arnaldi H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Federico Gaio Matteo Arnaldi
All H2H Matches 0 2
Sets Won 0 4
Games Won 12 25
Aces (Total) 6 7
DFs (Total) 5 1
Avg Match Time 1:20:44 1:20:44
1st Serve % 63% (82/131) 60% (64/106)
1st Serve Win% 65% (53/82) 80% (51/64)
2nd Serve Win% 49% (24/49) 74% (31/42)
BPs Won% (Total) 0% (0/3) 50% (6/12)
Return Points W% 23% (24/106) 41% (54/131)
Best of 3 Sets W% 0% (0/2) 100% (2/2)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 0% (0/0) 100% (2/2)
1st set W, L 0% (0/0) 0% (2/0)
1st set L, W 0% (2/0) 0% (0/0)

Gaio VS Arnaldi H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
7-6(5) 6-4
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Federico Gaio
59% ( 41 of 69)
1st Serve %
63% ( 50 of 80)
5
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
4
78% ( 32 of 41)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 38 of 50)
79% ( 22 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 16 of 30)
33% ( 1 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
22% ( 15 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 26 of 80)
80
Total Points Won
69
6-2 6-0
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Federico Gaio
62% ( 23 of 37)
1st Serve %
63% ( 32 of 51)
2
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
1
83% ( 19 of 23)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 15 of 32)
64% ( 9 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 8 of 19)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
24% ( 9 of 37)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 28 of 51)
56
Total Points Won
32

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Federico Gaio Matteo Arnaldi
YTD W/L 21% (3/11) 57% (13/10)
Sets Win/Loss 24% (8/25) 54% (31/26)
Games Win/Loss 40% (123/182) 50% (290/289)
Hard Win/Loss 22% (2/7) 56% (10/8)
Clay Win/Loss 20% (1/4) 60% (3/2)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.38 0.59
Aces Total 56 168
DFs per game 0.35 0.22
DFs Total 52 62
Avg Match Time 1:40:26 2:7:54
Avg Opp Rank 237.07 181.83
1st Serve % 56% (538/965) 56% (1061/1882)
1st Serve W% 67% (359/538) 72% (766/1061)
2nd Serve W% 47% (200/427) 50% (414/821)
BPs Won% Total 31% (22/71) 36% (62/174)
Return Pts W% 33% (326/977) 37% (706/1891)
Slam W/L 50% (1/1) 50% (1/1)
Masters W/L 0% (0/1) 57% (4/3)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 0% (0/1) 57% (8/6)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 20% (2/8) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 15% (2/13) 55% (11/20)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 50% (1/2)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/2) 67% (8/12)
Deciding Set W% 50% (2/4) 45% (5/11)
1st set W, W 0% (0/0) 75% (12/9)
1st set W, L 0% (0/0) 25% (12/3)
1st set L, W 21% (14/3) 30% (10/3)

Federico Gaio Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
Q1
cross
Ignacio Buse
Player
Federico Gaio
76% ( 38 of 50)
1st Serve %
67% ( 33 of 49)
3
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
0
79% ( 30 of 38)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 19 of 33)
33% ( 4 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 7 of 16)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
32% ( 16 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 23 of 49)
57
Total Points Won
42
L
6-4 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Player
Federico Gaio
66% ( 44 of 67)
1st Serve %
47% ( 35 of 75)
5
Aces
6
5
Double Faults
6
80% ( 35 of 44)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 27 of 35)
57% ( 13 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 16 of 40)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
28% ( 19 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 32 of 75)
80
Total Points Won
62
L
7-5 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Player
Federico Gaio
67% ( 44 of 66)
1st Serve %
46% ( 27 of 59)
4
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
10
75% ( 33 of 44)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 18 of 27)
45% ( 10 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 12 of 32)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
35% ( 23 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 29 of 59)
72
Total Points Won
53
L
7-5 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Federico Gaio
Player
Blaise Bicknell
56% ( 55 of 98)
1st Serve %
58% ( 44 of 76)
7
Aces
9
6
Double Faults
6
67% ( 37 of 55)
1st Serve Won
80% ( 35 of 44)
56% ( 24 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 19 of 32)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
38% ( 37 of 98)
Rtn Points Won
29% ( 22 of 76)
83
Total Points Won
91
W
3-6 6-4 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Stefan Kozlov
Player
Federico Gaio
67% ( 64 of 95)
1st Serve %
66% ( 57 of 87)
0
Aces
5
7
Double Faults
1
69% ( 44 of 64)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 35 of 57)
55% ( 17 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 15 of 30)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
27% ( 3 of 11)
36% ( 34 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 37 of 87)
98
Total Points Won
84
L
6-4 4-6 6-2 H2H
Q1
cross
Jurij Rodionov
Player
Federico Gaio
50% ( 29 of 58)
1st Serve %
53% ( 21 of 40)
1
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
3
79% ( 23 of 29)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 12 of 21)
55% ( 16 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 8 of 19)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
33% ( 19 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 20 of 40)
59
Total Points Won
39
L
6-1 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Enrico Dalla Valle
Player
Federico Gaio
74% ( 50 of 68)
1st Serve %
55% ( 29 of 53)
3
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
3
68% ( 34 of 50)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 16 of 29)
56% ( 10 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
63% ( 15 of 24)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
35% ( 24 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 22 of 53)
66
Total Points Won
55
L
7-6(5) 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Federico Gaio
Player
Karan Singh
43% ( 38 of 89)
1st Serve %
63% ( 60 of 95)
5
Aces
10
6
Double Faults
5
74% ( 28 of 38)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 44 of 60)
61% ( 31 of 51)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 13 of 35)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
34% ( 30 of 89)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 38 of 95)
97
Total Points Won
87
W
3-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Mukund Sasikumar
Player
Federico Gaio
81% ( 34 of 42)
1st Serve %
59% ( 30 of 51)
12
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
1
85% ( 29 of 34)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 19 of 30)
88% ( 7 of 8)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 9 of 21)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
14% ( 6 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 23 of 51)
59
Total Points Won
34
L
6-3 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Andre Ilagan
Player
Federico Gaio
77% ( 44 of 57)
1st Serve %
60% ( 38 of 63)
0
Aces
7
0
Double Faults
3
70% ( 31 of 44)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 26 of 38)
62% ( 8 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 10 of 25)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
32% ( 18 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 27 of 63)
66
Total Points Won
54
L
6-2 7-5 H2H

Matteo Arnaldi Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
QF
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
75% ( 50 of 67)
1st Serve %
53% ( 27 of 51)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
60% ( 30 of 50)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 15 of 27)
71% ( 12 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 11 of 24)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
37% ( 25 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 25 of 51)
67
Total Points Won
51
L
6-4 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Marco Trungelliti
55% ( 26 of 47)
1st Serve %
61% ( 38 of 62)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
85% ( 22 of 26)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 21 of 38)
67% ( 14 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 9 of 24)
29% ( 4 of 14)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
23% ( 11 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 32 of 62)
68
Total Points Won
41
W
6-3 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Sebastian Baez
55% ( 52 of 95)
1st Serve %
66% ( 83 of 125)
11
Aces
0
9
Double Faults
5
71% ( 37 of 52)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 46 of 83)
44% ( 19 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 21 of 42)
38% ( 6 of 16)
Break Points Won
83% ( 5 of 6)
41% ( 39 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 58 of 125)
114
Total Points Won
106
W
5-7 7-6(8) 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Arthur Cazaux
60% ( 24 of 40)
1st Serve %
69% ( 24 of 35)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
0
71% ( 17 of 24)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 13 of 24)
31% ( 5 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 5 of 11)
100% ( 2 of 2)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
45% ( 18 of 40)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 17 of 35)
39
Total Points Won
36
W
5-5 ret. H2H
R1
cross
Sumit Nagal
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
64% ( 64 of 100)
1st Serve %
55% ( 53 of 97)
1
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
6
55% ( 35 of 64)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 36 of 53)
72% ( 26 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 19 of 44)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
39% ( 39 of 100)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 42 of 97)
103
Total Points Won
94
L
5-7 6-2 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Tomas Machac
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
63% ( 38 of 60)
1st Serve %
65% ( 31 of 48)
1
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
2
71% ( 27 of 38)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 22 of 31)
64% ( 14 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 7 of 17)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
32% ( 19 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 19 of 48)
60
Total Points Won
48
L
6-3 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Denis Shapovalov
60% ( 44 of 73)
1st Serve %
59% ( 35 of 59)
5
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
0
73% ( 32 of 44)
1st Serve Won
80% ( 28 of 35)
62% ( 18 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 12 of 24)
100% ( 2 of 2)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
32% ( 23 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 19 of 59)
69
Total Points Won
63
W
6-3 7-6(7) H2H
R2
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Alexander Bublik
58% ( 36 of 62)
1st Serve %
59% ( 35 of 59)
6
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
5
75% ( 27 of 36)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 24 of 35)
50% ( 13 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 7 of 24)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
35% ( 22 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 28 of 59)
68
Total Points Won
53
W
6-4 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Arthur Fils
59% ( 29 of 49)
1st Serve %
59% ( 42 of 71)
5
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
93% ( 27 of 29)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 30 of 42)
70% ( 14 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 12 of 29)
20% ( 2 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
16% ( 8 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 29 of 71)
70
Total Points Won
50
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
57% ( 43 of 76)
1st Serve %
57% ( 52 of 92)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
86% ( 37 of 43)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 31 of 52)
55% ( 18 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 17 of 40)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
28% ( 21 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 44 of 92)
99
Total Points Won
69
L
6-7(5) 6-0 6-1 H2H

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