Federica Urgesi vs Aleksandra Mateva Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second serve effectiveness: Federica Urgesi has significantly performed better with a success rate of 36.88% compared to Aleksandra Mateva's 22.36% in recent months. Is this a crucial factor for match predictions? Yes, it often determines match outcomes.
• Return game proficiency: In recent months, Urgesi has secured 55.93% of points on opponents' second serves, slightly higher than Mateva's 55.64%. However, Urgesi outperforms on first serves with a 38.51% success rate against Mateva’s 31.05%.
• Pressure handling: Urgesi has a better breakpoint saving rate at 48.35% compared to Mateva’s 37.97%, which may indicate stronger mental resilience in crucial game moments.
• Overall match success: Over the past year, Urgesi has a winning percentage of 53.13%, which surpasses Mateva’s 41.38%. Does this reflect current player form? It suggests Urgesi has been more consistent.
• Preferred surfaces: Urgesi's best results come from indoor hard courts with a 63% success, while Mateva excels on clay with the same 63% win rate. Both players struggle on hard surfaces, but Mateva is particularly weaker at 13%.
• Level of competition: Urgesi has mostly played in higher-tier matches (Challengers/ITF), winning 53.97% of them, while Mateva has participated mostly in lower-tier tournaments (Futures/Satellites), with a winning rate of 42%.
• Quality of opponents: Urgesi faced opponents with an average rank of 472.31, whereas Mateva's opponents averaged a rank of 94.38, indicating Mateva’s experiences may have come against tougher competition.
• Deciding set proficiency: Mateva historically performs better in deciding sets, winning 67%, compared to Urgesi's 57%. Could this impact live match predictions? It might if the match reaches crucial final sets.
• Current form in event: Check for any ongoing form indicators from the current event as these can provide clues on their current performance levels.

Editorial Prediction (October 21, 2025, UTC):

Federica Urgesi appears to hold several advantages over Aleksandra Mateva based on their recent form and statistical comparisons. Her performance on second serve points, along with a slightly better breakpoint save percentage, suggests she is more stable under pressure. Urgesi has also shown higher efficiency in return games, particularly on the first serve, which might give her an edge.

Despite Mateva’s competence in deciding sets, Urgesi’s stronger match success rate and the ability to face high-ranked opponents could be significant. However, Mateva's experience against tougher competition should not be underestimated, potentially making matches challenging especially on clay courts, her preferred surface.

Considering these factors, Federica Urgesi is marginally favored to win the upcoming match, given her consistent overall performance and strengths in crucial match statistics.