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Fabio Fognini vs Rafael Nadal Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Fognini vs Nadal analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Fabio Fognini vs Rafael Nadal Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Fognini 4 - 14 Nadal

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Fognini has won 47% of points on their second serve, while Nadal has won 53.08%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Fognini, in recent form, has won 49.89% of their opponent's second serve points, while Nadal has won 53.23%. The same stats for first serve returns are 35.25% and 31.06% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Fognini has saved 56.47% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Nadal has saved 58.21% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Fognini has won 58.46% of matches played (W/L 38/ 27), with Nadal winning 58.33% (W/L 7/ 5) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Fognini has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 456/ 273), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 43% (W/L 43/ 58). Nadal has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 506/ 57), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/ 38).
  • Player level: In the last year, Fognini has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 62.22% of matches (W/L 28/ 17), where as Nadal has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 4/ 2). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 18 times before with Fognini winning 4 times and Nadal being victorious 14 times. They have played 48 sets in total, with Fognini winning 14 and Nadal winning 34. The last match between Fognini and Nadal was at the U.S. Open - New York, 01-09-2022, Second, Hard with Rafael Nadal getting the victory 2-6 6-4 6-2 6-1.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:5:20.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Fognini and Nadal have played a deciding set 6 times, with Fognini winning 2 times and Nadal 4 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 4 tiebreaks against each other with Fognini winning 1, and Nadal 3.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Fognini has played against opponents with an average rank of 203.94 while Nadal has played against players with an average rank of 95.92.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Fognini has won 68% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Nadal has won 67% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Fognini has converted 47.39% of breakpoint opportunities, and Nadal has converted 40.66% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Fabio Fognini

19

Total

1

Mast

7

Chall

0

Slam

8

Main

3

Minor

100

Rank

9

High

37

Age

R

Plays

4

Total

14

1

Hard

8

3

Clay

6

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

261

Rank

1

High

38

Age

L

Plays

Rafael Nadal

94

Total

36

Mast

2

Chall

22

Slam

33

Main

0

Minor

4

Total

14

1

Hard

8

3

Clay

6

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

L W L W L W W L W L

Form

L W L W W W L W L L

57% (668-508)

Career Total W/L

82% (1119-241)

53% (16-14)

YTD W/L

58% (7-5)

$10,622,273

Career Prize Money

$96,533,810

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Fognini VS Nadal H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Fabio Fognini Rafael Nadal
All H2H Matches 4 14
Sets Won 14 34
Games Won 189 258
Aces (Total) 47 61
DFs Total 52 32
Avg Match Time 2:5:20 2:5:20
1st Serve % 62% (970/1562) 68% (945/1380)
1st Serve Win% 61% (588/970) 68% (641/945)
2nd Serve Win% 44% (258/592) 51% (221/435)
BPs Won% (Total) 45% (58/130) 43% (89/208)
Return Points W% 38% (518/1380) 46% (716/1562)
Best of 3 Sets W% 21% (3/14) 79% (11/14)
Best of 5 Sets W% 25% (1/4) 75% (3/4)
TBs Win% (Total) 25% (1/4) 75% (3/4)
Deciding Set Win% 33% (2/6) 67% (4/6)
1st set W, W 33% (6/2) 83% (12/10)
1st set W, L 67% (6/4) 17% (12/2)
1st set L, W 17% (12/2) 67% (6/4)

Fognini VS Nadal H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
2-6 6-4 6-2 6-1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Fabio Fognini
61% ( 53 of 87)
1st Serve %
62% ( 61 of 99)
4
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
9
68% ( 36 of 53)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 32 of 61)
47% ( 16 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 14 of 38)
64% ( 9 of 14)
Break Points Won
60% ( 6 of 10)
40% ( 35 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 53 of 99)
105
Total Points Won
81
6-3 6-4 6-2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Fabio Fognini
60% ( 43 of 72)
1st Serve %
56% ( 56 of 100)
6
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
3
77% ( 33 of 43)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 36 of 56)
69% ( 20 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 18 of 44)
32% ( 6 of 19)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
26% ( 19 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 46 of 100)
99
Total Points Won
73
2-6 6-1 6-2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Fabio Fognini
57% ( 40 of 70)
1st Serve %
70% ( 47 of 67)
7
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
2
88% ( 35 of 40)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 29 of 47)
37% ( 11 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 8 of 20)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
34% ( 24 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 30 of 67)
76
Total Points Won
61
6-4 6-2
cross
Fabio Fognini
Player
Rafael Nadal
48% ( 24 of 50)
1st Serve %
69% ( 41 of 59)
1
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
2
63% ( 15 of 24)
1st Serve Won
44% ( 18 of 41)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 7 of 18)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
42% ( 21 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 34 of 59)
63
Total Points Won
46
4-6 6-1 6-2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Fabio Fognini
62% ( 46 of 74)
1st Serve %
66% ( 54 of 82)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
76% ( 35 of 46)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 33 of 54)
57% ( 16 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
31% ( 23 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 39 of 82)
90
Total Points Won
66
6-3 6-1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Fabio Fognini
78% ( 36 of 46)
1st Serve %
56% ( 24 of 43)
7
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
3
78% ( 28 of 36)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 16 of 24)
60% ( 6 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 7 of 19)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
26% ( 12 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 20 of 43)
54
Total Points Won
35
7-6(3) 3-6 6-4
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Fabio Fognini
63% ( 77 of 122)
1st Serve %
68% ( 76 of 111)
5
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
3
68% ( 52 of 77)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 50 of 76)
49% ( 22 of 45)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 15 of 35)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
25% ( 4 of 16)
39% ( 48 of 122)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 46 of 111)
120
Total Points Won
113
6-1 7-5
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Fabio Fognini
70% ( 35 of 50)
1st Serve %
55% ( 42 of 76)
6
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
6
83% ( 29 of 35)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 30 of 42)
80% ( 12 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 11 of 34)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
18% ( 9 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 35 of 76)
76
Total Points Won
50
6-2 7-6(1)
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Fabio Fognini
80% ( 52 of 65)
1st Serve %
69% ( 57 of 83)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
65% ( 34 of 52)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 33 of 57)
46% ( 6 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 8 of 26)
31% ( 5 of 16)
Break Points Won
100% ( 3 of 3)
38% ( 25 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 42 of 83)
82
Total Points Won
66
7-5 6-3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Fabio Fognini
74% ( 54 of 73)
1st Serve %
58% ( 45 of 78)
3
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
2
69% ( 37 of 54)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 24 of 45)
47% ( 9 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 19 of 33)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
37% ( 27 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 35 of 78)
81
Total Points Won
70
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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Fabio Fognini Rafael Nadal
YTD W/L 53% (16/14) 58% (7/5)
Sets Win/Loss 49% (37/39) 54% (15/13)
Games Win/Loss 50% (345/343) 54% (143/123)
Hard Win/Loss 44% (4/5) 67% (2/1)
Clay Win/Loss 57% (12/9) 56% (5/4)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.19 0.19
Aces Total 64 24
DFs per game 0.37 0.17
DFs Total 124 22
Avg Match Time 1:45:46 2:6:53
Avg Opp Rank 230.6 95.92
1st Serve % 60% (1287/2153) 69% (568/828)
1st Serve W% 67% (857/1287) 68% (387/568)
2nd Serve W% 47% (407/866) 53% (138/260)
BPs Won% Total 47% (109/230) 41% (37/91)
Return Pts W% 41% (901/2194) 39% (329/838)
Slam W/L 50% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Masters W/L 50% (2/2) 67% (4/2)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 67% (4/2) 60% (3/2)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 50% (9/9) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 54% (15/28) 64% (7/11)
Best of 5 Sets W% 50% (1/2) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 25% (2/8) 25% (1/4)
Deciding Set W% 71% (10/14) 67% (2/3)
1st set W, W 85% (13/11) 86% (7/6)
1st set W, L 15% (13/2) 14% (7/1)
1st set L, W 29% (17/5) 20% (5/1)

Fabio Fognini Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R2
cross
Riccardo Bonadio
Player
Fabio Fognini
69% ( 38 of 55)
1st Serve %
55% ( 27 of 49)
3
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
7
76% ( 29 of 38)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 19 of 27)
71% ( 12 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 8 of 22)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
25% ( 14 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 22 of 49)
63
Total Points Won
41
L
6-4 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Fabio Fognini
Player
Maxime Janvier
43% ( 20 of 47)
1st Serve %
45% ( 24 of 53)
0
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
6
75% ( 15 of 20)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 17 of 24)
63% ( 17 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
28% ( 8 of 29)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
32% ( 15 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 28 of 53)
60
Total Points Won
40
W
6-2 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Luciano Darderi
Player
Fabio Fognini
52% ( 22 of 42)
1st Serve %
69% ( 25 of 36)
4
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
82% ( 18 of 22)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 12 of 25)
60% ( 12 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
29% ( 12 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
61% ( 22 of 36)
52
Total Points Won
26
L
6-1 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Fabio Fognini
Player
Matteo Gigante
70% ( 52 of 74)
1st Serve %
65% ( 49 of 75)
0
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
1
67% ( 35 of 52)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 31 of 49)
64% ( 14 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 13 of 26)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
34% ( 25 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 31 of 75)
80
Total Points Won
69
W
6-4 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Fabio Fognini
Player
Enrico Dalla Valle
54% ( 39 of 72)
1st Serve %
71% ( 56 of 79)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
2
67% ( 26 of 39)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 27 of 56)
52% ( 17 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 12 of 23)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
40% ( 29 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 40 of 79)
83
Total Points Won
68
W
6-1 1-6 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Fabio Fognini
50% ( 31 of 62)
1st Serve %
58% ( 38 of 65)
7
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
2
77% ( 24 of 31)
1st Serve Won
39% ( 15 of 38)
71% ( 22 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 13 of 27)
64% ( 7 of 11)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
26% ( 16 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 37 of 65)
83
Total Points Won
44
L
6-1 6-0 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Fabio Fognini
Player
Botic Van De Zandschulp
59% ( 50 of 85)
1st Serve %
54% ( 41 of 76)
1
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
3
74% ( 37 of 50)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 24 of 41)
51% ( 18 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 10 of 35)
57% ( 8 of 14)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
35% ( 30 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 42 of 76)
97
Total Points Won
64
W
6-1 6-1 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Fabio Fognini
45% ( 25 of 55)
1st Serve %
54% ( 44 of 81)
3
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
4
68% ( 17 of 25)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 33 of 44)
70% ( 21 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 11 of 37)
20% ( 3 of 15)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
31% ( 17 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 37 of 81)
75
Total Points Won
61
L
6-3 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Fabio Fognini
Player
Giulio Zeppieri
62% ( 26 of 42)
1st Serve %
56% ( 29 of 52)
0
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
1
85% ( 22 of 26)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 18 of 29)
56% ( 9 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
26% ( 6 of 23)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
26% ( 11 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 28 of 52)
59
Total Points Won
35
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Taylor Fritz
Player
Fabio Fognini
56% ( 35 of 62)
1st Serve %
59% ( 30 of 51)
6
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
83% ( 29 of 35)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 23 of 30)
59% ( 16 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 10 of 21)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
27% ( 17 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 18 of 51)
63
Total Points Won
50
L
6-3 6-4 H2H

Rafael Nadal Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R1
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Rafael Nadal
77% ( 72 of 93)
1st Serve %
70% ( 78 of 111)
8
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
3
72% ( 52 of 72)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 45 of 78)
48% ( 10 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 16 of 33)
33% ( 6 of 18)
Break Points Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
33% ( 31 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 50 of 111)
112
Total Points Won
92
L
6-3 7-6(5) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Hubert Hurkacz
Player
Rafael Nadal
54% ( 30 of 56)
1st Serve %
72% ( 38 of 53)
9
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
83% ( 25 of 30)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 20 of 38)
62% ( 16 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 8 of 15)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
27% ( 15 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 25 of 53)
66
Total Points Won
43
L
6-1 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Zizou Bergs
62% ( 58 of 93)
1st Serve %
56% ( 44 of 78)
3
Aces
7
4
Double Faults
4
67% ( 39 of 58)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 30 of 44)
63% ( 22 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 21 of 34)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
22% ( 2 of 9)
34% ( 32 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 27 of 78)
88
Total Points Won
83
W
4-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Jiri Lehecka
Player
Rafael Nadal
71% ( 46 of 65)
1st Serve %
61% ( 44 of 72)
7
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
89% ( 41 of 46)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 30 of 44)
37% ( 7 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 14 of 28)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
26% ( 17 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 28 of 72)
76
Total Points Won
61
L
7-5 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Pedro Cachin
78% ( 59 of 76)
1st Serve %
61% ( 74 of 122)
0
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
3
64% ( 38 of 59)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 39 of 74)
35% ( 6 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 18 of 48)
50% ( 9 of 18)
Break Points Won
67% ( 4 of 6)
42% ( 32 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 65 of 122)
109
Total Points Won
89
W
6-1 6-7(5) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Alex De Minaur
73% ( 45 of 62)
1st Serve %
66% ( 44 of 67)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 29 of 44)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 12 of 23)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 21 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 26 of 67)
67
Total Points Won
62
W
7-6(6) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Darwin Blanch
62% ( 24 of 39)
1st Serve %
69% ( 27 of 39)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
79% ( 19 of 24)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 14 of 27)
73% ( 11 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
17% ( 2 of 12)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 9 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 23 of 39)
53
Total Points Won
25
W
6-1 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52% ( 28 of 54)
1st Serve %
68% ( 50 of 73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75% ( 21 of 28)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 29 of 50)
65% ( 17 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 16 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 36 of 73)
74
Total Points Won
53
L
7-5 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Flavio Cobolli
65% ( 32 of 49)
1st Serve %
49% ( 27 of 55)
0
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
78% ( 25 of 32)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 19 of 27)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
31% ( 15 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 26 of 55)
60
Total Points Won
44
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Jordan Thompson
Player
Rafael Nadal
61% ( 67 of 109)
1st Serve %
73% ( 79 of 108)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76% ( 51 of 67)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 58 of 79)
48% ( 20 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 13 of 29)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
35% ( 38 of 109)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 37 of 108)
108
Total Points Won
109
L
5-7 7-6(6) 6-3 H2H

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More tennis photos of Fognini are available here and Nadal photos here.


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