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Elise Mertens vs Maria Lourdes Carle Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Mertens vs Carle analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Elise Mertens vs Maria Lourdes Carle Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Mertens 1 - 0 Carle

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Mertens has won 46.63% of points on their second serve, while Carle has won 40.44%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Mertens, in recent form, has won 58.37% of their opponent's second serve points, while Carle has won 57.65%. The same stats for first serve returns are 34.66% and 45.29% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Mertens has saved 50.97% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Carle has saved 55.73% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Mertens has won 53.7% of matches played (W/L 29/ 25), with Carle winning 64.47% (W/L 49/ 27) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Mertens has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 66% (W/L 254/ 128), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 52% (W/L 32/ 29). Carle has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 67% (W/L 2/ 1), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 50% (W/L 3/ 3).
  • Player level: In the last year, Mertens has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 60.71% of matches (W/L 17/ 11), where as Carle has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 67.27% of matches (W/L 37/ 18). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 1 times before with Mertens winning 1 times and Carle being victorious 0 times. They have played 2 sets in total, with Mertens winning 2 and Carle winning 0. The last match between Mertens and Carle was at the French Open - Paris, 28-05-2024, First, Clay with Elise Mertens getting the victory 6-3 7-6(8).
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:24:0.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Mertens and Carle have played a deciding set 0 times, with Mertens winning 0 times and Carle 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Mertens winning 1, and Carle 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Mertens has played against opponents with an average rank of 118.76 while Carle has played against players with an average rank of 217.49.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Mertens has won 47% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Carle has won 57% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Mertens has converted 48.03% of breakpoint opportunities, and Carle has converted 52.28% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Elise Mertens

19

Total

0

Mast

4

Chall

0

Slam

8

Main

7

Minor

32

Rank

12

High

28

Age

R

Plays

1

Total

0

0

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

87

Rank

71

High

24

Age

Plays

Maria Lourdes Carle

14

Total

0

Mast

7

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

7

Minor

1

Total

0

0

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

L L W L W W L L W L

Form

W L W W L L W L L L

63% (436-251)

Career Total W/L

66% (274-142)

53% (17-15)

YTD W/L

70% (28-12)

$8,102,583

Career Prize Money

$213,238

0

YTD Titles

2

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Mertens VS Carle H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Elise Mertens Maria Lourdes Carle
All H2H Matches 1 0
Sets Won 2 0
Games Won 13 9
Aces (Total) 0 0
DFs Total 4 9
Avg Match Time 2:24:0 2:24:0
1st Serve % 59% (53/90) 63% (52/82)
1st Serve Win% 57% (30/53) 58% (30/52)
2nd Serve Win% 41% (15/37) 23% (7/30)
BPs Won% (Total) 70% (7/10) 45% (5/11)
Return Points W% 55% (45/82) 50% (45/90)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 0% (1/0)

Mertens VS Carle H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-3 7-6(8)
cross
Elise Mertens
Player
Maria Lourdes Carle
59% ( 53 of 90)
1st Serve %
63% ( 52 of 82)
0
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
9
57% ( 30 of 53)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 30 of 52)
41% ( 15 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
23% ( 7 of 30)
70% ( 7 of 10)
Break Points Won
45% ( 5 of 11)
50% ( 45 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 45 of 82)
90
Total Points Won
82

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Elise Mertens Maria Lourdes Carle
YTD W/L 53% (17/15) 70% (28/12)
Sets Win/Loss 53% (38/34) 63% (60/36)
Games Win/Loss 51% (315/308) 54% (487/409)
Hard Win/Loss 56% (9/7) 64% (7/4)
Clay Win/Loss 55% (6/5) 76% (19/6)
Indoor Hard W/L 50% (1/1) 67% (2/1)
Grass Win/Loss 33% (1/2) 0% (0/1)
Aces pg 0.3 0.02
Aces Total 91 9
DFs per game 0.44 0.4
DFs Total 133 175
Avg Match Time 1:36:21 1:56:9
Avg Opp Rank 110.94 158.57
1st Serve % 57% (1090/1920) 72% (2085/2901)
1st Serve W% 66% (720/1090) 59% (1231/2085)
2nd Serve W% 47% (387/830) 40% (330/816)
BPs Won% Total 48% (110/229) 52% (206/394)
Return Pts W% 43% (861/2014) 50% (1420/2866)
Slam W/L 60% (3/2) 0% (0/1)
Masters W/L 40% (4/6) 67% (8/4)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 100% (2/0)
Main Tour W/L 59% (10/7) 50% (1/1)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 74% (17/6)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 53% (17/32) 69% (27/39)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 33% (1/3) 44% (4/9)
Deciding Set W% 50% (4/8) 71% (12/17)
1st set W, W 84% (19/16) 87% (23/20)
1st set W, L 16% (19/3) 13% (23/3)
1st set L, W 8% (13/1) 47% (17/8)

Elise Mertens Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R2
cross
Caroline Dolehide
Player
Elise Mertens
86% ( 30 of 35)
1st Serve %
63% ( 20 of 32)
1
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
3
77% ( 23 of 30)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 11 of 20)
80% ( 4 of 5)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 7 of 12)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
23% ( 8 of 35)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 14 of 32)
41
Total Points Won
26
L
6-3 3-0 ret. H2H
R1
cross
Elise Mertens
Player
Caroline Wozniacki
60% ( 29 of 48)
1st Serve %
67% ( 48 of 72)
7
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
2
79% ( 23 of 29)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 29 of 48)
47% ( 9 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
25% ( 6 of 24)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
33% ( 16 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 37 of 72)
69
Total Points Won
51
W
6-4 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Naomi Osaka
Player
Elise Mertens
57% ( 31 of 54)
1st Serve %
54% ( 26 of 48)
7
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
2
90% ( 28 of 31)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 18 of 26)
52% ( 12 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 10 of 22)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
26% ( 14 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 20 of 48)
60
Total Points Won
42
L
6-2 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Elise Mertens
67% ( 36 of 54)
1st Serve %
62% ( 28 of 45)
3
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
3
75% ( 27 of 36)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 13 of 28)
44% ( 8 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 9 of 17)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
35% ( 19 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 23 of 45)
58
Total Points Won
41
L
6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Elise Mertens
Player
Petra Martic
53% ( 32 of 60)
1st Serve %
63% ( 34 of 54)
3
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
4
81% ( 26 of 32)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 22 of 34)
54% ( 15 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 9 of 20)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
32% ( 19 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 23 of 54)
64
Total Points Won
50
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Elise Mertens
Player
Maria Lourdes Carle
59% ( 53 of 90)
1st Serve %
63% ( 52 of 82)
0
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
9
57% ( 30 of 53)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 30 of 52)
41% ( 15 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
23% ( 7 of 30)
70% ( 7 of 10)
Break Points Won
45% ( 5 of 11)
50% ( 45 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 45 of 82)
90
Total Points Won
82
W
6-3 7-6(8) H2H
R3
cross
Irina-Camelia Begu
Player
Elise Mertens
71% ( 34 of 48)
1st Serve %
40% ( 17 of 42)
0
Aces
0
6
Double Faults
6
71% ( 24 of 34)
1st Serve Won
41% ( 7 of 17)
36% ( 5 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 9 of 25)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
40% ( 19 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
62% ( 26 of 42)
55
Total Points Won
35
L
6-2 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Elise Mertens
Player
Katerina Siniakova
67% ( 41 of 61)
1st Serve %
67% ( 36 of 54)
4
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
3
59% ( 24 of 41)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 17 of 36)
60% ( 12 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 8 of 18)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
41% ( 25 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 29 of 54)
65
Total Points Won
50
W
6-1 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Sloane Stephens
Player
Elise Mertens
74% ( 70 of 95)
1st Serve %
58% ( 48 of 83)
0
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
6
67% ( 47 of 70)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 34 of 48)
56% ( 14 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 11 of 35)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
36% ( 34 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 38 of 83)
99
Total Points Won
79
L
3-6 6-3 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Elise Mertens
75% ( 48 of 64)
1st Serve %
53% ( 26 of 49)
1
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
2
65% ( 31 of 48)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 15 of 26)
50% ( 8 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 9 of 23)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
39% ( 25 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 25 of 49)
64
Total Points Won
49
L
6-3 6-4 H2H

Maria Lourdes Carle Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R1
cross
Kamilla Rakhimova
Player
Maria Lourdes Carle
50% ( 52 of 104)
1st Serve %
72% ( 61 of 85)
5
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
6
62% ( 32 of 52)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 36 of 61)
44% ( 23 of 52)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 9 of 24)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
55% ( 6 of 11)
47% ( 49 of 104)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 40 of 85)
95
Total Points Won
94
L
3-6 6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Elise Mertens
Player
Maria Lourdes Carle
59% ( 53 of 90)
1st Serve %
63% ( 52 of 82)
0
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
9
57% ( 30 of 53)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 30 of 52)
41% ( 15 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
23% ( 7 of 30)
70% ( 7 of 10)
Break Points Won
45% ( 5 of 11)
50% ( 45 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 45 of 82)
90
Total Points Won
82
L
6-3 7-6(8) H2H
R2
cross
Mayar Sherif
Player
Maria Lourdes Carle
80% ( 44 of 55)
1st Serve %
77% ( 36 of 47)
0
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
4
70% ( 31 of 44)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 24 of 36)
45% ( 5 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
9% ( 1 of 11)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
35% ( 19 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 22 of 47)
58
Total Points Won
44
L
6-3 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Maria Lourdes Carle
Player
Arantxa Rus
71% ( 47 of 66)
1st Serve %
59% ( 29 of 49)
1
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
4
64% ( 30 of 47)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 17 of 29)
53% ( 10 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 7 of 20)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
39% ( 26 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 25 of 49)
65
Total Points Won
50
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Jule Niemeier
Player
Maria Lourdes Carle
66% ( 76 of 115)
1st Serve %
73% ( 66 of 90)
1
Aces
0
8
Double Faults
2
58% ( 44 of 76)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 33 of 66)
38% ( 15 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
25% ( 6 of 24)
47% ( 9 of 19)
Break Points Won
33% ( 6 of 18)
49% ( 56 of 115)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 51 of 90)
110
Total Points Won
95
L
6-4 4-6 6-0 H2H
R1
cross
Laura Siegemund
Player
Maria Lourdes Carle
82% ( 72 of 88)
1st Serve %
85% ( 77 of 91)
0
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
5
56% ( 40 of 72)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 42 of 77)
56% ( 9 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
21% ( 3 of 14)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
60% ( 6 of 10)
44% ( 39 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 46 of 91)
95
Total Points Won
84
L
2-6 6-4 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Maria Lourdes Carle
Player
Taylah Preston
65% ( 53 of 82)
1st Serve %
60% ( 51 of 85)
0
Aces
0
8
Double Faults
2
62% ( 33 of 53)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 24 of 51)
45% ( 13 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 14 of 34)
40% ( 8 of 20)
Break Points Won
45% ( 5 of 11)
44% ( 36 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 47 of 85)
93
Total Points Won
74
W
4-6 6-4 6-1 H2H
Q1
cross
Maria Lourdes Carle
Player
Emiliana Arango
75% ( 62 of 83)
1st Serve %
67% ( 60 of 90)
0
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
3
56% ( 35 of 62)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 30 of 60)
48% ( 10 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 13 of 30)
40% ( 6 of 15)
Break Points Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
46% ( 38 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 47 of 90)
92
Total Points Won
81
W
6-3 7-5 H2H
R3
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Maria Lourdes Carle
63% ( 34 of 54)
1st Serve %
77% ( 56 of 73)
1
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
4
56% ( 19 of 34)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 27 of 56)
45% ( 9 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
24% ( 4 of 17)
50% ( 7 of 14)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
48% ( 26 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 42 of 73)
70
Total Points Won
57
L
6-3 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Maria Lourdes Carle
Player
Veronika Kudermetova
73% ( 48 of 66)
1st Serve %
66% ( 57 of 87)
0
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
2
65% ( 31 of 48)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 29 of 57)
22% ( 4 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 13 of 30)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
57% ( 4 of 7)
47% ( 31 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 45 of 87)
80
Total Points Won
73
W
6-4 6-4 H2H

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