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Elise Mertens vs Elena Rybakina Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Mertens vs Rybakina analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Elise Mertens vs Elena Rybakina Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Mertens 1 - 5 Rybakina

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Mertens has won 46.63% of points on their second serve, while Rybakina has won 48.31%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Mertens, in recent form, has won 58.37% of their opponent's second serve points, while Rybakina has won 57.66%. The same stats for first serve returns are 34.66% and 36.66% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Mertens has saved 50.97% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Rybakina has saved 62.4% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Mertens has won 53.7% of matches played (W/L 29/ 25), with Rybakina winning 77.78% (W/L 49/ 14) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Mertens has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 66% (W/L 254/ 128), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 52% (W/L 32/ 29). Rybakina has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 74% (W/L 28/ 10), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 68% (W/L 149/ 70).
  • Player level: In the last year, Mertens has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 60.71% of matches (W/L 17/ 11), where as Rybakina has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 75% of matches (W/L 24/ 8). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 6 times before with Mertens winning 1 times and Rybakina being victorious 5 times. They have played 13 sets in total, with Mertens winning 3 and Rybakina winning 10. The last match between Mertens and Rybakina was at the French Open - Paris, 01-06-2024, Third, Clay with Elena Rybakina getting the victory 6-4 6-2.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:33:8.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Mertens and Rybakina have played a deciding set 1 times, with Mertens winning 0 times and Rybakina 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Mertens winning 1, and Rybakina 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Mertens has played against opponents with an average rank of 118.76 while Rybakina has played against players with an average rank of 70.46.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Mertens has won 47% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Rybakina has won 70% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Mertens has converted 48.03% of breakpoint opportunities, and Rybakina has converted 42.64% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Elise Mertens

19

Total

0

Mast

4

Chall

0

Slam

8

Main

7

Minor

32

Rank

12

High

28

Age

R

Plays

1

Total

5

0

Hard

4

1

Clay

1

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

4

Rank

3

High

25

Age

R

Plays

Elena Rybakina

12

Total

2

Mast

3

Chall

1

Slam

5

Main

1

Minor

1

Total

5

0

Hard

4

1

Clay

1

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

L L W L W W L L W L

Form

W W L W W W W L W L

63% (436-251)

Career Total W/L

70% (325-140)

53% (17-15)

YTD W/L

83% (35-7)

$8,102,583

Career Prize Money

$12,606,413

0

YTD Titles

3

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Mertens VS Rybakina H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Elise Mertens Elena Rybakina
All H2H Matches 1 5
Sets Won 3 10
Games Won 45 75
Aces (Total) 17 27
DFs Total 29 12
Avg Match Time 1:33:8 1:33:8
1st Serve % 58% (218/377) 65% (271/418)
1st Serve Win% 61% (134/218) 68% (184/271)
2nd Serve Win% 41% (65/159) 52% (76/147)
BPs Won% (Total) 30% (13/43) 47% (27/58)
Return Points W% 38% (158/418) 47% (178/377)
Best of 3 Sets W% 17% (1/6) 83% (5/6)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 100% (5/5)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 0% (5/0)
1st set L, W 0% (5/0) 0% (1/0)

Mertens VS Rybakina H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-4 6-2
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Elise Mertens
67% ( 36 of 54)
1st Serve %
62% ( 28 of 45)
3
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
3
75% ( 27 of 36)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 13 of 28)
44% ( 8 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 9 of 17)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
35% ( 19 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 23 of 45)
58
Total Points Won
41
6-1 6-0
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Elise Mertens
81% ( 34 of 42)
1st Serve %
67% ( 28 of 42)
4
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
79% ( 27 of 34)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 13 of 28)
50% ( 4 of 8)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 4 of 14)
33% ( 5 of 15)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
26% ( 11 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
60% ( 25 of 42)
56
Total Points Won
28
6-4 6-3
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Elise Mertens
60% ( 50 of 83)
1st Serve %
53% ( 36 of 68)
10
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
9
80% ( 40 of 50)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 27 of 36)
36% ( 12 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 10 of 32)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
37% ( 31 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 31 of 68)
83
Total Points Won
68
6-3 6-2
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Elise Mertens
63% ( 34 of 54)
1st Serve %
47% ( 22 of 47)
5
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
6
76% ( 26 of 34)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 16 of 22)
70% ( 14 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 12 of 25)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
26% ( 14 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 19 of 47)
59
Total Points Won
42
7-6(4) 7-5
cross
Elise Mertens
Player
Elena Rybakina
62% ( 56 of 90)
1st Serve %
64% ( 65 of 102)
4
Aces
5
5
Double Faults
4
63% ( 35 of 56)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 33 of 65)
44% ( 15 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 18 of 37)
30% ( 6 of 20)
Break Points Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
44% ( 40 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 51 of 102)
101
Total Points Won
91
6-4 4-6 6-2
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Elise Mertens
63% ( 52 of 83)
1st Serve %
56% ( 48 of 85)
0
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
5
60% ( 31 of 52)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 30 of 48)
65% ( 20 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 15 of 37)
86% ( 6 of 7)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
39% ( 32 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 40 of 85)
91
Total Points Won
77

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Elise Mertens Elena Rybakina
YTD W/L 53% (17/15) 83% (35/7)
Sets Win/Loss 53% (38/34) 73% (71/26)
Games Win/Loss 51% (315/308) 58% (537/384)
Hard Win/Loss 56% (9/7) 85% (22/4)
Clay Win/Loss 55% (6/5) 86% (12/2)
Indoor Hard W/L 50% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 33% (1/2) 50% (1/1)
Aces pg 0.3 0.59
Aces Total 91 267
DFs per game 0.44 0.2
DFs Total 133 91
Avg Match Time 1:36:21 1:41:50
Avg Opp Rank 110.94 78.29
1st Serve % 57% (1090/1920) 63% (1848/2941)
1st Serve W% 66% (720/1090) 72% (1332/1848)
2nd Serve W% 47% (387/830) 48% (528/1093)
BPs Won% Total 48% (110/229) 43% (165/387)
Return Pts W% 43% (861/2014) 44% (1341/3045)
Slam W/L 60% (3/2) 71% (5/2)
Masters W/L 40% (4/6) 83% (15/3)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 59% (10/7) 88% (15/2)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 53% (17/32) 85% (33/39)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 33% (1/3) 45% (5/11)
Deciding Set W% 50% (4/8) 81% (13/16)
1st set W, W 84% (19/16) 97% (32/31)
1st set W, L 16% (19/3) 3% (32/1)
1st set L, W 8% (13/1) 30% (10/3)

Elise Mertens Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R2
cross
Caroline Dolehide
Player
Elise Mertens
86% ( 30 of 35)
1st Serve %
63% ( 20 of 32)
1
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
3
77% ( 23 of 30)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 11 of 20)
80% ( 4 of 5)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 7 of 12)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
23% ( 8 of 35)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 14 of 32)
41
Total Points Won
26
L
6-3 3-0 ret. H2H
R1
cross
Elise Mertens
Player
Caroline Wozniacki
60% ( 29 of 48)
1st Serve %
67% ( 48 of 72)
7
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
2
79% ( 23 of 29)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 29 of 48)
47% ( 9 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
25% ( 6 of 24)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
33% ( 16 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 37 of 72)
69
Total Points Won
51
W
6-4 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Naomi Osaka
Player
Elise Mertens
57% ( 31 of 54)
1st Serve %
54% ( 26 of 48)
7
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
2
90% ( 28 of 31)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 18 of 26)
52% ( 12 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 10 of 22)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
26% ( 14 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 20 of 48)
60
Total Points Won
42
L
6-2 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Elise Mertens
67% ( 36 of 54)
1st Serve %
62% ( 28 of 45)
3
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
3
75% ( 27 of 36)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 13 of 28)
44% ( 8 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 9 of 17)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
35% ( 19 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 23 of 45)
58
Total Points Won
41
L
6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Elise Mertens
Player
Petra Martic
53% ( 32 of 60)
1st Serve %
63% ( 34 of 54)
3
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
4
81% ( 26 of 32)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 22 of 34)
54% ( 15 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 9 of 20)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
32% ( 19 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 23 of 54)
64
Total Points Won
50
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Elise Mertens
Player
Maria Lourdes Carle
59% ( 53 of 90)
1st Serve %
63% ( 52 of 82)
0
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
9
57% ( 30 of 53)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 30 of 52)
41% ( 15 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
23% ( 7 of 30)
70% ( 7 of 10)
Break Points Won
45% ( 5 of 11)
50% ( 45 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 45 of 82)
90
Total Points Won
82
W
6-3 7-6(8) H2H
R3
cross
Irina-Camelia Begu
Player
Elise Mertens
71% ( 34 of 48)
1st Serve %
40% ( 17 of 42)
0
Aces
0
6
Double Faults
6
71% ( 24 of 34)
1st Serve Won
41% ( 7 of 17)
36% ( 5 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 9 of 25)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
40% ( 19 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
62% ( 26 of 42)
55
Total Points Won
35
L
6-2 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Elise Mertens
Player
Katerina Siniakova
67% ( 41 of 61)
1st Serve %
67% ( 36 of 54)
4
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
3
59% ( 24 of 41)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 17 of 36)
60% ( 12 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 8 of 18)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
41% ( 25 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 29 of 54)
65
Total Points Won
50
W
6-1 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Sloane Stephens
Player
Elise Mertens
74% ( 70 of 95)
1st Serve %
58% ( 48 of 83)
0
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
6
67% ( 47 of 70)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 34 of 48)
56% ( 14 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 11 of 35)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
36% ( 34 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 38 of 83)
99
Total Points Won
79
L
3-6 6-3 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Elise Mertens
75% ( 48 of 64)
1st Serve %
53% ( 26 of 49)
1
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
2
65% ( 31 of 48)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 15 of 26)
50% ( 8 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 9 of 23)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
39% ( 25 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 25 of 49)
64
Total Points Won
49
L
6-3 6-4 H2H

Elena Rybakina Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
QF
cross
Victoria Azarenka
Player
Elena Rybakina
50% ( 8 of 16)
1st Serve %
38% ( 5 of 13)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
75% ( 6 of 8)
1st Serve Won
80% ( 4 of 5)
50% ( 4 of 8)
2nd Serve Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
50% ( 1 of 2)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
38% ( 6 of 16)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 7 of 13)
17
Total Points Won
12
L
3-1 ret. H2H
R2
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Veronika Kudermetova
65% ( 40 of 62)
1st Serve %
64% ( 49 of 77)
5
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
3
78% ( 31 of 40)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 32 of 49)
50% ( 11 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 11 of 28)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
32% ( 20 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 34 of 77)
76
Total Points Won
63
W
6-4 7-5 H2H
QF
cross
Jasmine Paolini
Player
Elena Rybakina
70% ( 65 of 93)
1st Serve %
67% ( 58 of 87)
1
Aces
10
1
Double Faults
3
57% ( 37 of 65)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 34 of 58)
64% ( 18 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 11 of 29)
44% ( 7 of 16)
Break Points Won
45% ( 5 of 11)
41% ( 38 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 42 of 87)
97
Total Points Won
83
L
6-2 4-6 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Elina Svitolina
54% ( 26 of 48)
1st Serve %
64% ( 38 of 59)
5
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
3
77% ( 20 of 26)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 23 of 38)
50% ( 11 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 8 of 21)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
35% ( 17 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 28 of 59)
59
Total Points Won
48
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Elise Mertens
67% ( 36 of 54)
1st Serve %
62% ( 28 of 45)
3
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
3
75% ( 27 of 36)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 13 of 28)
44% ( 8 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 9 of 17)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
35% ( 19 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 23 of 45)
58
Total Points Won
41
W
6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Arantxa Rus
74% ( 43 of 58)
1st Serve %
66% ( 33 of 50)
8
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
79% ( 34 of 43)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 22 of 33)
40% ( 6 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 7 of 17)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
31% ( 18 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 21 of 50)
61
Total Points Won
47
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Greetje Minnen
66% ( 39 of 59)
1st Serve %
47% ( 25 of 53)
5
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
2
69% ( 27 of 39)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 14 of 25)
30% ( 6 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
25% ( 7 of 28)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
44% ( 26 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
60% ( 32 of 53)
65
Total Points Won
47
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elena Rybakina
64% ( 56 of 88)
1st Serve %
61% ( 65 of 106)
4
Aces
9
4
Double Faults
3
77% ( 43 of 56)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 46 of 65)
50% ( 16 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 24 of 41)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
33% ( 29 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 36 of 106)
95
Total Points Won
99
L
1-6 7-5 7-6(5) H2H
QF
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Yulia Putintseva
61% ( 71 of 117)
1st Serve %
76% ( 84 of 110)
6
Aces
0
8
Double Faults
2
70% ( 50 of 71)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 53 of 84)
48% ( 22 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 16 of 26)
25% ( 3 of 12)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
38% ( 45 of 117)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 41 of 110)
113
Total Points Won
114
W
4-6 7-6(4) 7-5 H2H
R4
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Sara Bejlek
67% ( 46 of 69)
1st Serve %
60% ( 31 of 52)
0
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
6
61% ( 28 of 46)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 18 of 31)
48% ( 11 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
19% ( 4 of 21)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
13% ( 2 of 15)
43% ( 30 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 30 of 52)
69
Total Points Won
52
W
6-1 6-3 H2H

Mertens Vs Rybakina Prediction H2H Images To Share

More tennis photos of Mertens are available here and Rybakina photos here.


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