Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Jessica Pegula Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve performance shows Pegula has a slight edge, winning 44.84% of points compared to Cocciaretto's 40.92%. This statistic is often predictive of match outcomes. Could second serve performance dictate the match?
• In return games, both players have shown similar strength on opponents' second serves, with Cocciaretto winning 47.83% and Pegula 47.62%. However, Cocciaretto holds a slight advantage in first serve returns at 32.11% over Pegula's 29.14%.
• Under pressure, Pegula has been more resilient, saving 53.42% of breakpoints compared to Cocciaretto's 49.83%. How might this resilience under pressure impact the match dynamic?
• Performance over the last year highlights Pegula's dominance with a 73.33% win rate, while Cocciaretto trails with a 40.91% win rate.
• Surface preference indicates Cocciaretto excels on grass with a 65% win rate, whereas Pegula is strongest on hard courts with a 67% record.
• At the player level, Cocciaretto has a 40% win rate on the Main tour, and Pegula has a 68.57% success rate in Masters series.
• Historically, in direct encounters, Pegula has prevailed, winning their only past match against Cocciaretto.
• Match duration and deciding set stats show no matches between them have gone to a deciding set or tiebreak, offering little guidance for prolonged match predictions.
• Quality of opponents faced shows Pegula has played against higher-ranked players, averaging rank 51.11 compared to Cocciaretto's 119.16.
• If a match goes to a deciding set, Pegula tends to perform better, having won 65% of such sets, while Cocciaretto has won 46%.
• Both players are close in breakpoint conversion, with Cocciaretto at 36.65% and Pegula at 33.96%.

Editorial Prediction (June 30, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing recent performance, Jessica Pegula appears to have a consistent edge in key areas, particularly in second serve points and resilience under pressure. Her superior win rate over the past year and her dominance on hard courts further bolster her prospects.

Elisabetta Cocciaretto exhibits strength in first serve returns and grass court performance, but might struggle against a player like Pegula who has excelled on the current surface of play.

Given Pegula's historical success against Cocciaretto and her proven track record against high-caliber opponents, she is favored to win this upcoming match.