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Prediction of Elias Ymer vs Nicolas Jarry Head-to-Head, Best Odds & Picks At Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

Recent Form Stats

Elias Ymer vs Nicolas Jarry Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Ymer 0 - 2 Jarry

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Ymer has won 48.28% of points on their second serve, while Jarry has won 48.39%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Ymer, in recent form, has won 48.33% of their opponent's second serve points, while Jarry has won 41.77%. The same stats for first serve returns are 30.43% and 22.56% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Ymer has saved 63.77% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Jarry has saved 66.67% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Ymer has won 43.1% of matches played (W/L 25/ 33), with Jarry winning 44.19% (W/L 19/ 24) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Ymer has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 60% (W/L 225/ 148), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 45% (W/L 78/ 96). Jarry has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 296/ 160), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 34% (W/L 11/ 21).
  • Player level: In the last year, Ymer has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 44.74% of matches (W/L 17/ 21), where as Jarry has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 50% of matches (W/L 9/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Ymer winning 0 times and Jarry being victorious 2 times. They have played 5 sets in total, with Ymer winning 1 and Jarry winning 4. The last match between Ymer and Jarry was at the BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm, 15-10-2024, First, I.hard with Nicolas Jarry getting the victory 2-6 6-4 7-6(7).
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:47:52.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Ymer and Jarry have played a deciding set 1 times, with Ymer winning 0 times and Jarry 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Ymer winning 0, and Jarry 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Ymer has played against opponents with an average rank of 223.29 while Jarry has played against players with an average rank of 99.79.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Ymer has won 36% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Jarry has won 55% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Ymer has converted 42.36% of breakpoint opportunities, and Jarry has converted 33.33% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
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The Best Odds For Elias Ymer vs Nicolas Jarry For Any Market:

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Ymer VS Jarry H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Elias Ymer Nicolas Jarry
All H2H Matches 0 2
Sets Won 1 4
Games Won 22 27
Aces (Total) 17 14
DFs Total 5 4
Avg Match Time 1:47:52 1:47:52
1st Serve % 68% (99/146) 70% (102/145)
1st Serve Win% 71% (70/99) 75% (77/102)
2nd Serve Win% 51% (24/47) 63% (27/43)
BPs Won% (Total) 25% (3/12) 63% (5/8)
Return Points W% 28% (41/145) 36% (52/146)
Best of 3 Sets W% 0% (0/2) 100% (2/2)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, W 0% (1/0) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, L 100% (1/1) 0% (1/0)
1st set L, W 0% (1/0) 100% (1/1)

Ymer VS Jarry H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
2-6 6-4 7-6(7)
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Elias Ymer
69% ( 66 of 96)
1st Serve %
69% ( 67 of 97)
8
Aces
12
4
Double Faults
3
74% ( 49 of 66)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 46 of 67)
60% ( 18 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
60% ( 18 of 30)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
30% ( 29 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 33 of 97)
100
Total Points Won
93
6-2 6-4
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Elias Ymer
73% ( 36 of 49)
1st Serve %
65% ( 32 of 49)
6
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
2
78% ( 28 of 36)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 24 of 32)
69% ( 9 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 6 of 17)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
24% ( 12 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 19 of 49)
56
Total Points Won
42

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Elias Ymer Nicolas Jarry
YTD W/L 42% (22/30) 44% (19/24)
Sets Win/Loss 46% (56/65) 44% (49/63)
Games Win/Loss 50% (592/584) 48% (552/597)
Hard Win/Loss 28% (5/13) 42% (8/11)
Clay Win/Loss 40% (6/9) 50% (9/9)
Indoor Hard W/L 53% (8/7) 40% (2/3)
Grass Win/Loss 75% (3/1) 0% (0/1)
Aces pg 0.48 0.67
Aces Total 277 378
DFs per game 0.28 0.17
DFs Total 163 99
Avg Match Time 1:43:45 2:12:37
Avg Opp Rank 230.62 99.79
1st Serve % 59% (2185/3689) 63% (2226/3536)
1st Serve W% 71% (1547/2185) 74% (1655/2226)
2nd Serve W% 47% (711/1504) 50% (660/1310)
BPs Won% Total 42% (132/313) 33% (81/244)
Return Pts W% 38% (1353/3600) 33% (1175/3562)
Slam W/L 43% (3/4) 0% (0/4)
Masters W/L 0% (0/2) 50% (9/9)
Cups W/L 75% (3/1) 50% (1/1)
Main Tour W/L 29% (2/5) 50% (9/9)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 44% (14/18) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 42% (20/48) 47% (18/38)
Best of 5 Sets W% 50% (1/2) 0% (0/4)
TBs Win% (Total) 21% (4/19) 46% (12/26)
Deciding Set W% 31% (5/16) 55% (11/20)
1st set W, W 69% (26/18) 81% (16/13)
1st set W, L 31% (26/8) 19% (16/3)
1st set L, W 15% (26/4) 19% (27/5)

Elias Ymer Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R1
cross
Bu Yunchaokete
Player
Elias Ymer
66% ( 35 of 53)
1st Serve %
68% ( 40 of 59)
3
Aces
8
0
Double Faults
4
74% ( 26 of 35)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 29 of 40)
83% ( 15 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 8 of 19)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 12 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 22 of 59)
63
Total Points Won
49
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Elias Ymer
Player
Masamichi Imamura
54% ( 26 of 48)
1st Serve %
55% ( 37 of 67)
6
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
0
73% ( 19 of 26)
1st Serve Won
41% ( 15 of 37)
59% ( 13 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 17 of 30)
33% ( 5 of 15)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
33% ( 16 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 35 of 67)
67
Total Points Won
48
W
6-4 6-1 H2H
Q1
cross
Elias Ymer
Player
Hikaru Shiraishi
46% ( 31 of 68)
1st Serve %
65% ( 45 of 69)
12
Aces
0
6
Double Faults
3
90% ( 28 of 31)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 30 of 45)
43% ( 16 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 7 of 24)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
35% ( 24 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 32 of 69)
76
Total Points Won
61
W
6-4 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Kokoro Isomura
Player
Elias Ymer
60% ( 53 of 89)
1st Serve %
56% ( 59 of 105)
1
Aces
10
5
Double Faults
5
68% ( 36 of 53)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 41 of 59)
61% ( 22 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 20 of 46)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
35% ( 31 of 89)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 44 of 105)
102
Total Points Won
92
L
6-3 5-7 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Elias Ymer
Player
Rei Sakamoto
70% ( 51 of 73)
1st Serve %
48% ( 29 of 61)
5
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
3
84% ( 43 of 51)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 22 of 29)
45% ( 10 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 15 of 32)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 5)
27% ( 20 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 24 of 61)
77
Total Points Won
57
W
6-1 7-6(3) H2H
R1
cross
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
Player
Elias Ymer
52% ( 65 of 125)
1st Serve %
62% ( 74 of 120)
9
Aces
11
8
Double Faults
2
78% ( 51 of 65)
1st Serve Won
80% ( 59 of 74)
52% ( 31 of 60)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 15 of 46)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
17% ( 2 of 12)
34% ( 43 of 125)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 46 of 120)
128
Total Points Won
117
L
7-6(4) 6-7(5) 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Elias Ymer
69% ( 66 of 96)
1st Serve %
69% ( 67 of 97)
8
Aces
12
4
Double Faults
3
74% ( 49 of 66)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 46 of 67)
60% ( 18 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
60% ( 18 of 30)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
30% ( 29 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 33 of 97)
100
Total Points Won
93
L
2-6 6-4 7-6(7) H2H
R1
cross
Jerome Kym
Player
Elias Ymer
68% ( 55 of 81)
1st Serve %
71% ( 53 of 75)
14
Aces
9
2
Double Faults
4
82% ( 45 of 55)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 39 of 53)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 12 of 22)
14% ( 1 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
27% ( 22 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 24 of 75)
83
Total Points Won
73
L
7-6(5) 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Elias Ymer
Player
Jakub Paul
63% ( 55 of 88)
1st Serve %
64% ( 62 of 97)
9
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
2
76% ( 42 of 55)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 38 of 62)
55% ( 18 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
60% ( 21 of 35)
27% ( 3 of 11)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
32% ( 28 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 38 of 97)
98
Total Points Won
87
W
4-6 6-4 6-3 H2H
Q1
cross
Elias Ymer
Player
Kenny de Schepper
62% ( 40 of 65)
1st Serve %
75% ( 54 of 72)
4
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
3
80% ( 32 of 40)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 35 of 54)
52% ( 13 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 10 of 18)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
31% ( 20 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 27 of 72)
72
Total Points Won
65
W
6-4 6-4 H2H

Nicolas Jarry Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Nicolas Jarry
70% ( 42 of 60)
1st Serve %
59% ( 34 of 58)
9
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
1
76% ( 32 of 42)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 22 of 34)
50% ( 9 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 10 of 24)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
32% ( 19 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 26 of 58)
67
Total Points Won
51
L
7-5 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Lorenzo Sonego
63% ( 46 of 73)
1st Serve %
66% ( 35 of 53)
7
Aces
9
2
Double Faults
1
76% ( 35 of 46)
1st Serve Won
83% ( 29 of 35)
74% ( 20 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
67% ( 12 of 18)
50% ( 1 of 2)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 8)
25% ( 18 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
23% ( 12 of 53)
67
Total Points Won
59
W
7-6(4) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Nicolas Jarry
63% ( 38 of 60)
1st Serve %
61% ( 38 of 62)
9
Aces
11
4
Double Faults
4
89% ( 34 of 38)
1st Serve Won
87% ( 33 of 38)
64% ( 14 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 11 of 24)
50% ( 1 of 2)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
20% ( 12 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
29% ( 18 of 62)
66
Total Points Won
56
L
6-4 7-6(3) H2H
R2
cross
Miomir Kecmanovic
Player
Nicolas Jarry
72% ( 70 of 97)
1st Serve %
68% ( 67 of 98)
4
Aces
14
1
Double Faults
2
76% ( 53 of 70)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 51 of 67)
48% ( 13 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 13 of 31)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
32% ( 31 of 97)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 34 of 98)
100
Total Points Won
95
L
6-4 4-6 7-6(2) H2H
R1
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Elias Ymer
69% ( 66 of 96)
1st Serve %
69% ( 67 of 97)
8
Aces
12
4
Double Faults
3
74% ( 49 of 66)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 46 of 67)
60% ( 18 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
60% ( 18 of 30)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
30% ( 29 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 33 of 97)
100
Total Points Won
93
W
2-6 6-4 7-6(7) H2H
R2
cross
Yibing Wu
Player
Nicolas Jarry
63% ( 31 of 49)
1st Serve %
67% ( 29 of 43)
2
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
94% ( 29 of 31)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 17 of 29)
39% ( 7 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
21% ( 3 of 14)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
27% ( 13 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 23 of 43)
59
Total Points Won
33
L
6-2 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Nicolas Jarry
68% ( 45 of 66)
1st Serve %
67% ( 52 of 78)
1
Aces
12
1
Double Faults
2
82% ( 37 of 45)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 40 of 52)
67% ( 14 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
19% ( 5 of 26)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
23% ( 15 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 33 of 78)
84
Total Points Won
60
L
4-6 6-3 6-1 H2H
QF
cross
Alibek Kachmazov
Player
Nicolas Jarry
39% ( 22 of 56)
1st Serve %
56% ( 32 of 57)
3
Aces
11
0
Double Faults
1
95% ( 21 of 22)
1st Serve Won
78% ( 25 of 32)
62% ( 21 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 9 of 25)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
25% ( 14 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 23 of 57)
65
Total Points Won
48
L
6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Lukas Klein
68% ( 63 of 93)
1st Serve %
73% ( 68 of 93)
19
Aces
8
2
Double Faults
1
79% ( 50 of 63)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 50 of 68)
43% ( 13 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 13 of 25)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
32% ( 30 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 30 of 93)
93
Total Points Won
93
W
7-6(2) 3-6 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Christopher O'Connell
Player
Nicolas Jarry
51% ( 58 of 114)
1st Serve %
60% ( 71 of 118)
11
Aces
13
4
Double Faults
7
79% ( 46 of 58)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 55 of 71)
57% ( 32 of 56)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 23 of 47)
25% ( 4 of 16)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
32% ( 36 of 114)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 40 of 118)
118
Total Points Won
114
L
6-4 6-3 4-6 6-3 H2H

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