Prediction of Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Belinda Bencic at Wimbledon (07-07-25)
By Wojtek Kolan - July 6, 2025
Alexandrova is scheduled to play Bencic on Monday at 01:00 PM CET, in the Wimbledon - London, Fourth round.
Form
W W W L W W L W W W
Form
L W W W L L L W W WAlexandrova vs Bencic Prediction
Calculated from the implied probability from the match winner, Bencic has a 36.29% chance to win this match. Login / Register to find out our expert prediction.
⚠️TAKE NOTE: Join the Matchstat.com tennis picks club to reveal implied vs our expert predictions to discover edge in order to unlock winning bets.
To Win
| Match | BOOKIE PREDICTION |
BOOKIE ODDS |
|---|---|---|
| Belinda Bencic | 36.29% | +167 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | 63.71% | -192 |
| Above is implied from odds. Login / Register to find out our expert predictions with edge / profit forecast. |
Games
| MARKET | BOOKIE PROBABILITY |
Bookie ODDS |
|---|---|---|
| Over 20 Games | 34.72% | +188 |
| Above is implied from odds. Login / Register to find out our expert predictions with edge / profit forecast. |
H2H: Alexandrova 4 - 4 Bencic
The total number of sets played between the two stands at 18, with both Bencic and Alexandrova securing 9 victories each. Their most recent encounter took place at the Bad Homburg Open in Bad Homburg on June 23, 2025, during the first round on a grass surface. In this match, Ekaterina Alexandrova triumphed with a score of 6-1, 6-2.
| Players | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | 4 |
| Belinda Bencic | 4 |
LAST H2H MATCH: Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg(23-06-2025)
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Belinda Bencic
6
1
6
2
| Alexandrova | Stats | Bencic |
|---|---|---|
| 68% (28-13) | YTD Win/Loss | 71% (24-10) |
| 4 | Head-to-Head | 4 |
| 17 | Ranking | 35 |
| 15 | Highest Rank | 4 |
| 30 | Age | 28 |
| R | Plays | R |
| 15 | Titles | 16 |
| 63% (479-284) | Career Total W/L | 66% (426-216) |
| $5,860,857 | Career Prize Money | $10,325,456 |
| 1 | YTD Titles | 1 |
| 1 | Hard H2H | 1 |
| 1 | Clay H2H | 2 |
| 2 | Grass H2H | 1 |
Recent Performance Stats (Last 6 Months)
Alexandrova VS Bencic H2H Matches played
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-1 6-2 |
Stats 
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Player
Belinda Bencic
63%
(
37 of
59)
1st Serve %
66%
(
31 of
47)
8
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
4
73%
(
27 of
37)
1st Serve Won
45%
(
14 of
31)
45%
(
10 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
6 of
16)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
13%
(
1 of
8)
37%
(
22 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
57%
(
27 of
47)
64
Total Points Won
42
|
||||
| 6-3 6-3 |
Stats
Belinda Bencic
Player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
67%
(
35 of
52)
1st Serve %
54%
(
34 of
63)
3
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
6
77%
(
27 of
35)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
20 of
34)
41%
(
7 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
31%
(
9 of
29)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
100%
(
2 of
2)
35%
(
18 of
52)
Rtn Points Won
54%
(
34 of
63)
68
Total Points Won
47
|
||||
| 7-6(8) 6-3 |
Stats
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Player
Belinda Bencic
64%
(
48 of
75)
1st Serve %
52%
(
41 of
79)
8
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
7
71%
(
34 of
48)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
29 of
41)
63%
(
17 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
17 of
38)
22%
(
2 of
9)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
32%
(
24 of
75)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
33 of
79)
84
Total Points Won
70
|
||||
| 6-4 6-3 |
Stats
Belinda Bencic
Player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
65%
(
36 of
55)
1st Serve %
68%
(
36 of
53)
5
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
75%
(
27 of
36)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
25 of
36)
68%
(
13 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
6 of
17)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
27%
(
15 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
22 of
53)
62
Total Points Won
46
|
||||
| 6-4 4-6 7-6(4) |
Stats
Belinda Bencic
Player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
56%
(
57 of
101)
1st Serve %
54%
(
56 of
103)
9
Aces
15
5
Double Faults
3
75%
(
43 of
57)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
41 of
56)
48%
(
21 of
44)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
21 of
47)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
44%
(
4 of
9)
37%
(
37 of
101)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
41 of
103)
105
Total Points Won
99
|
||||
| 6-1 7-5 |
Stats
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Player
Belinda Bencic
58%
(
32 of
55)
1st Serve %
66%
(
44 of
67)
12
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
4
88%
(
28 of
32)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
26 of
44)
48%
(
11 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
9 of
23)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
29%
(
16 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
32 of
67)
71
Total Points Won
51
|
||||
| 6-7(6) 6-2 6-3 |
Stats
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Player
Belinda Bencic
50%
(
52 of
105)
1st Serve %
59%
(
59 of
100)
9
Aces
2
8
Double Faults
7
71%
(
37 of
52)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
42 of
59)
49%
(
26 of
53)
2nd Serve Won
24%
(
10 of
41)
50%
(
6 of
12)
Break Points Won
33%
(
3 of
9)
40%
(
42 of
105)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
48 of
100)
111
Total Points Won
94
|
||||
| 6-4 6-2 |
Stats
Belinda Bencic
Player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
67%
(
47 of
70)
1st Serve %
60%
(
25 of
42)
3
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
5
62%
(
29 of
47)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
14 of
25)
48%
(
11 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
12%
(
2 of
17)
86%
(
6 of
7)
Break Points Won
21%
(
3 of
14)
43%
(
30 of
70)
Rtn Points Won
62%
(
26 of
42)
66
Total Points Won
46
|
||||
Alexandrova VS Bencic H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 4 | H2H Matches | 4 |
| 9 | Sets Won | 9 |
| 91 | Games Won | 83 |
| 60 | Aces (Total) | 28 |
| 37 | Total Double Faults | 35 |
| 1:36:19 | Average Match Time | 1:36:19 |
| 58% (320/555) | 1st Serve % | 61% (350/571) |
| 71% (226/320) | 1st Serve Win % | 68% (237/350) |
| 43% (102/235) | 2nd Serve Win % | 43% (94/221) |
| 40% (27/68) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 45% (24/53) |
| 42% (240/571) | Return Points Win % | 41% (227/555) |
| 50% (4/8) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 50% (4/8) |
| 33% (1/3) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 67% (2/3) |
| 50% (1/2) | Deciding Set Win % | 50% (1/2) |
| 100% (3/3) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 80% (5/4) |
| 0% (3/0) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 20% (5/1) |
| 20% (5/1) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (3/0) |
Current Event Stats
Wimbledon - London
Grass| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Total Matches | 3 |
| 1:24:00 | Last Match | 2:58:00 |
| 3:43:00 | Total Time | 6:06:00 |
| 0.59 | Aces Per Game | 0.11 |
| 17 | Aces Total | 4 |
| 0.41 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.06 |
| 12 | Total Double Faults | 2 |
| 72% (121/169) | 1st Serve % | 71% (156/220) |
| 75% (91/121) | 1st Serve Win % | 67% (104/156) |
| 38% (18/48) | 2nd Serve Win % | 63% (40/64) |
| 83% (15/18) | Total Break Points Won % | 52% (13/25) |
| 22% (2/9) | Total Break Points Saved | 50% (5/10) |
| 76% (22/29) | Service Hold (%) | 86% (31/36) |
| 48% (14/29) | Opponent Hold % | 64% (23/36) |
| 52% (91/175) | Return Points Win % | 43% (108/249) |
| 58% (200/344) | Total Points Won | 54% (252/469) |
| 100% (1/1) | Tiebreak Win % | 100% (1/1) |
| 0% (0/0) | Deciding Set Win % | 100% (2/2) |
| 0.33 | Tiebreaks Per Match | 0.33 |
| 100% (3/3) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 100% (2/2) |
| 0% (0/0) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 100% (1/1) |
Currently displayed stats include matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer. Who do you back to make it through to the next round? We have predictions for every match in Wimbledon - London.
Alexandrova vs Bencic Match Preview Wimbledon - London:
- Second serve success is vital in tennis. Recently, Alexandrova has been superior, winning 41.39% of points on her second serve compared to Bencic's 37.55%.
- How do they fare in return games recently? Bencic wins 50.22% of her opponent's second serve points, slightly trailing Alexandrova, who wins 51.62%.
- How about first serve returns? Bencic has the edge, winning 30.79% of first serve returns versus Alexandrova's 30.37%.
- Under pressure, both players show similar resilience, with Bencic saving 48.21% of breakpoints and Alexandrova saving 48.59%.
- In the past year, Bencic has been more consistent, winning 72.73% of her matches, compared to Alexandrova's 63.16%.
- Both players thrive on grass, showing equal career win rates of 69% on this surface. Alexandrova's weaker surface is hard courts, with a 55% win rate, while Bencic's is clay, with 62%.
- What about the level of their competition? Bencic faces average-ranked opponents of 106.61, while Alexandrova faces higher-ranked adversaries with an average rank of 51.72.
- In H2H encounters, it’s neck and neck, with both players having won four matches each. They have also split their deciding set encounters evenly.
- In tiebreak scenarios, Bencic holds an edge, winning two out of three against Alexandrova.
- Bencic excels in converting breakpoints, with a rate of 37.87%, while Alexandrova has a 32.46% conversion rate.
- If the match extends to a deciding set, Bencic boasts a higher success rate, winning 71% compared to Alexandrova’s 60%.
Editorial Prediction (July 6, 2025, UTC):
The comparison of recent performances in second serve effectiveness gives Alexandrova a slight edge. However, Bencic counters this with her marginally better breakpoint conversion statistics.
Analyzing their head-to-head record reveals a balanced rivalry, with neither player holding a significant advantage in previous encounters. In high-pressure situations like tiebreaks, Bencic has the upper hand slightly.
When considering competition level, while Alexandrova plays higher-ranked opponents, Bencic has a better overall win rate and outshines in converting breakpoints and excelling in deciding sets.
Given these facts and Bencic's superior breakpoint conversion, she seems more likely to win this upcoming match against Alexandrova.
Alexandrova vs Bencic Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Belinda Bencic Best Odds For The Match
To Win
Bencic
+167
Alexandrova
-192
Games
> 20
+188
Ekaterina Alexandrova Recent Matches Played
Before:
| OPPONENT | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R3 |
Stats
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Player
Zeynep Sonmez
69%
(
46 of
67)
1st Serve %
68%
(
47 of
69)
3
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
5
76%
(
35 of
46)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
30 of
47)
43%
(
9 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
27%
(
6 of
22)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
60%
(
3 of
5)
34%
(
23 of
67)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
33 of
69)
77
Total Points Won
59
|
6-3 7-6(1) | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Player
Suzan Lamens
79%
(
34 of
43)
1st Serve %
49%
(
20 of
41)
6
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
5
79%
(
27 of
34)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
10 of
20)
44%
(
4 of
9)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
7 of
21)
83%
(
5 of
6)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
28%
(
12 of
43)
Rtn Points Won
59%
(
24 of
41)
55
Total Points Won
29
|
6-4 6-0 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Player
Priscilla Hon
69%
(
41 of
59)
1st Serve %
58%
(
38 of
65)
8
Aces
6
7
Double Faults
3
71%
(
29 of
41)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
23 of
38)
28%
(
5 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
30%
(
8 of
27)
100%
(
6 of
6)
Break Points Won
100%
(
3 of
3)
42%
(
25 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
34 of
65)
68
Total Points Won
56
|
6-2 7-5 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
57%
(
44 of
77)
1st Serve %
59%
(
42 of
71)
5
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
2
75%
(
33 of
44)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
30 of
42)
55%
(
18 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
55%
(
16 of
29)
33%
(
2 of
6)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
34%
(
26 of
77)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
25 of
71)
76
Total Points Won
72
|
6-4 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Player
Maria Sakkari
64%
(
71 of
111)
1st Serve %
62%
(
53 of
85)
13
Aces
7
6
Double Faults
5
77%
(
55 of
71)
1st Serve Won
83%
(
44 of
53)
55%
(
22 of
40)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
16 of
32)
67%
(
2 of
3)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
8)
31%
(
34 of
111)
Rtn Points Won
29%
(
25 of
85)
102
Total Points Won
94
|
6-3 6-7(2) 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Player
Belinda Bencic
63%
(
37 of
59)
1st Serve %
66%
(
31 of
47)
8
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
4
73%
(
27 of
37)
1st Serve Won
45%
(
14 of
31)
45%
(
10 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
6 of
16)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
13%
(
1 of
8)
37%
(
22 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
57%
(
27 of
47)
64
Total Points Won
42
|
6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Elise Mertens
Player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
61%
(
73 of
120)
1st Serve %
51%
(
53 of
103)
7
Aces
5
10
Double Faults
6
59%
(
43 of
73)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
39 of
53)
57%
(
27 of
47)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
23 of
50)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
24%
(
5 of
21)
42%
(
50 of
120)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
41 of
103)
111
Total Points Won
112
|
2-6 7-6(7) 6-4 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Player
Veronika Kudermetova
57%
(
53 of
93)
1st Serve %
62%
(
56 of
91)
9
Aces
6
10
Double Faults
2
74%
(
39 of
53)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
35 of
56)
28%
(
11 of
40)
2nd Serve Won
29%
(
10 of
35)
62%
(
8 of
13)
Break Points Won
43%
(
6 of
14)
46%
(
43 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
46 of
91)
96
Total Points Won
88
|
5-7 6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
view more
Belinda Bencic Recent Matches Played
Before:
| OPPONENT | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R3 |
Stats
Belinda Bencic
Player
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
72%
(
76 of
106)
1st Serve %
65%
(
73 of
112)
4
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
5
64%
(
49 of
76)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
50 of
73)
63%
(
19 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
59%
(
23 of
39)
50%
(
2 of
4)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
36%
(
38 of
106)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
39 of
112)
107
Total Points Won
111
|
6-4 3-6 7-6(7) | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Belinda Bencic
Player
Elsa Jacquemot
74%
(
55 of
74)
1st Serve %
52%
(
45 of
87)
0
Aces
8
0
Double Faults
4
65%
(
36 of
55)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
30 of
45)
53%
(
10 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
14 of
42)
40%
(
6 of
15)
Break Points Won
100%
(
3 of
3)
38%
(
28 of
74)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
43 of
87)
89
Total Points Won
72
|
4-6 6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Belinda Bencic
Player
Alycia Parks
63%
(
25 of
40)
1st Serve %
38%
(
19 of
50)
0
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
8
76%
(
19 of
25)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
12 of
19)
73%
(
11 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
12 of
31)
83%
(
5 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
25%
(
10 of
40)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
26 of
50)
56
Total Points Won
34
|
6-0 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Player
Belinda Bencic
63%
(
37 of
59)
1st Serve %
66%
(
31 of
47)
8
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
4
73%
(
27 of
37)
1st Serve Won
45%
(
14 of
31)
45%
(
10 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
6 of
16)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
13%
(
1 of
8)
37%
(
22 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
57%
(
27 of
47)
64
Total Points Won
42
|
6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Maria Sakkari
Player
Belinda Bencic
63%
(
12 of
19)
1st Serve %
55%
(
12 of
22)
1
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
83%
(
10 of
12)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
7 of
12)
86%
(
6 of
7)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
5 of
10)
67%
(
2 of
3)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
16%
(
3 of
19)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
10 of
22)
26
Total Points Won
15
|
6-2 ret. | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Cori Gauff
Player
Belinda Bencic
57%
(
26 of
46)
1st Serve %
78%
(
52 of
67)
2
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
0
85%
(
22 of
26)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
31 of
52)
65%
(
13 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
27%
(
4 of
15)
29%
(
4 of
14)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
24%
(
11 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
32 of
67)
67
Total Points Won
46
|
6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Belinda Bencic
Player
Beatriz Haddad Maia
72%
(
74 of
103)
1st Serve %
68%
(
73 of
107)
4
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
5
64%
(
47 of
74)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
42 of
73)
34%
(
10 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
14 of
34)
41%
(
7 of
17)
Break Points Won
46%
(
6 of
13)
45%
(
46 of
103)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
51 of
107)
108
Total Points Won
102
|
6-3 4-6 7-6(2) | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Belinda Bencic
Player
Clara Tauson
70%
(
55 of
79)
1st Serve %
52%
(
33 of
63)
3
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
6
71%
(
39 of
55)
1st Serve Won
82%
(
27 of
33)
54%
(
13 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
13 of
30)
100%
(
3 of
3)
Break Points Won
14%
(
1 of
7)
34%
(
27 of
79)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
23 of
63)
75
Total Points Won
67
|
7-5 7-5 | H2H | ||
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Where To Watch Alexandrova vs Bencic?
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Alexandrova Vs Bencic Prediction H2H Video
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 69% (46/21) | Win/Loss | 69% (59/27) |
| 66% (100/52) | Sets Win/Loss | 62% (125/76) |
| 54% (812/679) | Games Win/Loss | 54% (1014/849) |
| 0.58 | Aces Per Game | 0.25 |
| 423 | Aces Total | 228 |
| 0.4 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.29 |
| 289 | Total Double Faults | 263 |
| 1:23:21 | Average Match Time | 1:20:4 |
| 205.55 | Average Opponent Rank | 346.17 |
| 59% (2558/4338) | 1st Serve % | 64% (3498/5468) |
| 73% (1864/2558) | 1st Serve Win % | 69% (2426/3498) |
| 47% (831/1780) | 2nd Serve Win % | 47% (920/1970) |
| 51% (221/436) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 43% (263/607) |
| 42% (1888/4460) | Return Points Win % | 42% (2412/5677) |
| 69% (46/67) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 68% (57/84) |
| 0% (0/0) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 100% (1/1) |
| 55% (12/22) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 69% (18/26) |
| 56% (10/18) | Deciding Set Win % | 72% (21/29) |
| 91% (43/39) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 89% (53/47) |
| 9% (43/4) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 11% (53/6) |
| 29% (24/7) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 36% (33/12) |
Alexandrova vs. Bencic Prediction Form Trend:
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Ekaterina Alexandrova
View full predicted draw for Alexandrova in London
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Belinda Bencic
View full predicted draw for Bencic in London
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