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Daria Kasatkina vs Aryna Sabalenka Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Kasatkina vs Sabalenka analysis and find out who is favored!

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Daria Kasatkina vs Aryna Sabalenka Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Kasatkina 2 - 7 Sabalenka

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Kasatkina has won 45.47% of points on their second serve, while Sabalenka has won 50.24%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Kasatkina, in recent form, has won 56.96% of their opponent's second serve points, while Sabalenka has won 54.79%. The same stats for first serve returns are 41.4% and 37.77% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Kasatkina has saved 55.42% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Sabalenka has saved 58.42% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Kasatkina has won 66.67% of matches played (W/L 46/ 23), with Sabalenka winning 75% (W/L 45/ 15) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Kasatkina has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 70% (W/L 131/ 55), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 58% (W/L 160/ 114). Sabalenka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 71% (W/L 237/ 95), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 83/ 47).
  • Player level: In the last year, Kasatkina has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 73.53% of matches (W/L 25/ 9), where as Sabalenka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 68.75% of matches (W/L 22/ 10). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 9 times before with Kasatkina winning 2 times and Sabalenka being victorious 7 times. They have played 19 sets in total, with Kasatkina winning 4 and Sabalenka winning 15. The last match between Kasatkina and Sabalenka was at the Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin, 20-06-2024, Second, Grass with Aryna Sabalenka getting the victory 6-1 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:30:28.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Kasatkina and Sabalenka have played a deciding set 1 times, with Kasatkina winning 1 times and Sabalenka 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 3 tiebreaks against each other with Kasatkina winning 1, and Sabalenka 2.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Kasatkina has played against opponents with an average rank of 106.23 while Sabalenka has played against players with an average rank of 76.62.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Kasatkina has won 72% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Sabalenka has won 53% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Kasatkina has converted 50.28% of breakpoint opportunities, and Sabalenka has converted 46.67% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Daria Kasatkina

14

Total

0

Mast

6

Chall

0

Slam

7

Main

1

Minor

12

Rank

8

High

27

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

7

2

Hard

4

0

Clay

2

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

1

3

Rank

1

High

26

Age

R

Plays

Aryna Sabalenka

20

Total

5

Mast

4

Chall

2

Slam

7

Main

2

Minor

2

Total

7

2

Hard

4

0

Clay

2

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

1

W L W W W W W W W L

Form

W W L W W W W L W L

64% (373-208)

Career Total W/L

68% (398-184)

67% (28-14)

YTD W/L

77% (30-9)

$8,446,799

Career Prize Money

$20,189,224

1

YTD Titles

1

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Kasatkina VS Sabalenka H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Daria Kasatkina Aryna Sabalenka
All H2H Matches 2 7
Sets Won 4 15
Games Won 71 107
Aces (Total) 10 30
DFs Total 41 50
Avg Match Time 1:30:28 1:30:28
1st Serve % 68% (414/610) 57% (324/572)
1st Serve Win% 55% (226/414) 68% (220/324)
2nd Serve Win% 39% (76/196) 47% (117/248)
BPs Won% (Total) 42% (28/66) 52% (45/86)
Return Points W% 41% (235/572) 50% (308/610)
Best of 3 Sets W% 22% (2/9) 78% (7/9)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 33% (1/3) 67% (2/3)
Deciding Set Win% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 88% (8/7)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 13% (8/1)
1st set L, W 13% (8/1) 0% (1/0)

Kasatkina VS Sabalenka H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-1 6-4
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Daria Kasatkina
54% ( 26 of 48)
1st Serve %
61% ( 28 of 46)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
3
73% ( 19 of 26)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 15 of 28)
68% ( 15 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
29% ( 14 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 22 of 46)
56
Total Points Won
38
6-1 6-4
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Daria Kasatkina
62% ( 38 of 61)
1st Serve %
65% ( 39 of 60)
4
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
5
79% ( 30 of 38)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 26 of 39)
43% ( 10 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
19% ( 4 of 21)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
34% ( 21 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 30 of 60)
70
Total Points Won
51
6-1 6-3
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Daria Kasatkina
58% ( 23 of 40)
1st Serve %
72% ( 49 of 68)
0
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
5
70% ( 16 of 23)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 23 of 49)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
21% ( 4 of 19)
64% ( 7 of 11)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
38% ( 15 of 40)
Rtn Points Won
60% ( 41 of 68)
66
Total Points Won
42
6-3 6-3
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Daria Kasatkina
69% ( 33 of 48)
1st Serve %
78% ( 49 of 63)
2
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
2
73% ( 24 of 33)
1st Serve Won
49% ( 24 of 49)
60% ( 9 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 6 of 14)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
31% ( 15 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 33 of 63)
66
Total Points Won
45
4-6 7-5 6-0
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
59% ( 58 of 98)
1st Serve %
52% ( 46 of 89)
2
Aces
1
13
Double Faults
20
57% ( 33 of 58)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 27 of 46)
48% ( 19 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 14 of 43)
56% ( 9 of 16)
Break Points Won
35% ( 6 of 17)
47% ( 46 of 98)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 48 of 89)
100
Total Points Won
87
6-3 6-3
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Daria Kasatkina
56% ( 36 of 64)
1st Serve %
65% ( 41 of 63)
1
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
2
75% ( 27 of 36)
1st Serve Won
49% ( 20 of 41)
50% ( 14 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 11 of 22)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
36% ( 23 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 32 of 63)
73
Total Points Won
54
7-6(5) 6-3
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Daria Kasatkina
57% ( 37 of 65)
1st Serve %
63% ( 41 of 65)
7
Aces
1
6
Double Faults
4
65% ( 24 of 37)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 24 of 41)
46% ( 13 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 11 of 24)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
43% ( 28 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 30 of 65)
67
Total Points Won
63
7-6(6) 6-0
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Daria Kasatkina
55% ( 37 of 67)
1st Serve %
75% ( 50 of 67)
4
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
2
59% ( 22 of 37)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 24 of 50)
43% ( 13 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
12% ( 2 of 17)
78% ( 7 of 9)
Break Points Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
48% ( 32 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
61% ( 41 of 67)
76
Total Points Won
58
6-4 7-6(5)
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
74% ( 59 of 80)
1st Serve %
53% ( 48 of 90)
0
Aces
8
5
Double Faults
9
63% ( 37 of 59)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 31 of 48)
48% ( 10 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 20 of 42)
27% ( 4 of 15)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
41% ( 33 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 39 of 90)
86
Total Points Won
84

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Daria Kasatkina Aryna Sabalenka
YTD W/L 67% (28/14) 77% (30/9)
Sets Win/Loss 60% (61/40) 72% (65/25)
Games Win/Loss 53% (506/443) 59% (485/344)
Hard Win/Loss 60% (12/8) 78% (14/4)
Clay Win/Loss 67% (8/4) 79% (15/4)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 80% (8/2) 50% (1/1)
Aces pg 0.14 0.42
Aces Total 63 170
DFs per game 0.42 0.27
DFs Total 194 109
Avg Match Time 1:49:4 1:38:12
Avg Opp Rank 111.55 90.1
1st Serve % 67% (2154/3204) 63% (1647/2604)
1st Serve W% 61% (1308/2154) 70% (1161/1647)
2nd Serve W% 44% (461/1050) 50% (479/957)
BPs Won% Total 49% (209/429) 47% (156/330)
Return Pts W% 47% (1519/3220) 45% (1211/2690)
Slam W/L 57% (4/3) 92% (11/1)
Masters W/L 50% (6/6) 72% (13/5)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 78% (18/5) 67% (6/3)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 67% (28/42) 78% (29/37)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 100% (1/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 60% (6/10) 70% (7/10)
Deciding Set W% 71% (12/17) 54% (7/13)
1st set W, W 88% (24/21) 86% (28/24)
1st set W, L 13% (24/3) 11% (28/3)
1st set L, W 39% (18/7) 45% (11/5)

Daria Kasatkina Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R3
cross
Paula Badosa Gibert
Player
Daria Kasatkina
57% ( 73 of 127)
1st Serve %
65% ( 74 of 114)
8
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
6
59% ( 43 of 73)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 45 of 74)
57% ( 31 of 54)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 21 of 40)
22% ( 4 of 18)
Break Points Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
42% ( 53 of 127)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 48 of 114)
122
Total Points Won
119
L
7-6(6) 4-6 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Yuriko Miyazaki
61% ( 20 of 33)
1st Serve %
56% ( 22 of 39)
2
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
5
85% ( 17 of 20)
1st Serve Won
45% ( 10 of 22)
69% ( 9 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
12% ( 2 of 17)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
21% ( 7 of 33)
Rtn Points Won
69% ( 27 of 39)
53
Total Points Won
19
W
6-0 6-0 H2H
R1
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Shuai Zhang
50% ( 29 of 58)
1st Serve %
58% ( 31 of 53)
3
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
0
69% ( 20 of 29)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 15 of 31)
59% ( 17 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 9 of 22)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
36% ( 21 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 29 of 53)
66
Total Points Won
45
W
6-3 6-0 H2H
F
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Leylah Annie Fernandez
75% ( 65 of 87)
1st Serve %
75% ( 49 of 65)
1
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
3
63% ( 41 of 65)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 25 of 49)
41% ( 9 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 7 of 16)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
43% ( 37 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 33 of 65)
83
Total Points Won
69
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
SF
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Jasmine Paolini
67% ( 66 of 99)
1st Serve %
57% ( 55 of 97)
0
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
3
61% ( 40 of 66)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 35 of 55)
61% ( 20 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 19 of 42)
33% ( 5 of 15)
Break Points Won
29% ( 4 of 14)
39% ( 39 of 99)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 43 of 97)
103
Total Points Won
93
W
3-6 7-5 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Emma Raducanu
73% ( 37 of 51)
1st Serve %
70% ( 42 of 60)
1
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
2
70% ( 26 of 37)
1st Serve Won
43% ( 18 of 42)
36% ( 5 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 8 of 18)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
39% ( 20 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 34 of 60)
65
Total Points Won
46
W
6-2 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Yue Yuan
60% ( 44 of 73)
1st Serve %
47% ( 37 of 78)
3
Aces
1
6
Double Faults
2
68% ( 30 of 44)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 20 of 37)
45% ( 13 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
34% ( 14 of 41)
64% ( 7 of 11)
Break Points Won
80% ( 4 of 5)
41% ( 30 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 44 of 78)
87
Total Points Won
64
W
3-6 6-4 6-0 H2H
R1
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Xinyu Wang
56% ( 40 of 71)
1st Serve %
48% ( 26 of 54)
2
Aces
3
8
Double Faults
2
65% ( 26 of 40)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 12 of 26)
32% ( 10 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
70% ( 7 of 10)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
49% ( 35 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 32 of 54)
68
Total Points Won
57
W
6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Daria Kasatkina
54% ( 26 of 48)
1st Serve %
61% ( 28 of 46)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
3
73% ( 19 of 26)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 15 of 28)
68% ( 15 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
29% ( 14 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 22 of 46)
56
Total Points Won
38
L
6-1 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Marta Kostyuk
64% ( 84 of 132)
1st Serve %
60% ( 66 of 110)
4
Aces
1
8
Double Faults
10
61% ( 51 of 84)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 44 of 66)
50% ( 24 of 48)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 18 of 44)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
43% ( 57 of 132)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 48 of 110)
123
Total Points Won
119
W
4-6 7-6(6) 6-3 H2H

Aryna Sabalenka Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
QF
cross
Anna Kalinskaya
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
60% ( 15 of 25)
1st Serve %
47% ( 8 of 17)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
80% ( 12 of 15)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 5 of 8)
40% ( 4 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
22% ( 2 of 9)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
36% ( 9 of 25)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 10 of 17)
26
Total Points Won
16
L
5-1 ret. H2H
R2
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Daria Kasatkina
54% ( 26 of 48)
1st Serve %
61% ( 28 of 46)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
3
73% ( 19 of 26)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 15 of 28)
68% ( 15 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
29% ( 14 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 22 of 46)
56
Total Points Won
38
W
6-1 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Mirra Andreeva
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
49% ( 46 of 93)
1st Serve %
53% ( 57 of 107)
4
Aces
3
7
Double Faults
6
57% ( 26 of 46)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 30 of 57)
49% ( 23 of 47)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 24 of 50)
57% ( 8 of 14)
Break Points Won
100% ( 6 of 6)
47% ( 44 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 53 of 107)
102
Total Points Won
98
L
6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Emma Navarro
60% ( 26 of 43)
1st Serve %
73% ( 45 of 62)
7
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
2
85% ( 22 of 26)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 28 of 45)
65% ( 11 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
18% ( 3 of 17)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 10 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 31 of 62)
64
Total Points Won
41
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Paula Badosa Gibert
69% ( 35 of 51)
1st Serve %
60% ( 40 of 67)
0
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
63% ( 22 of 35)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 20 of 40)
50% ( 8 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 10 of 27)
39% ( 7 of 18)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
41% ( 21 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 37 of 67)
67
Total Points Won
51
W
7-5 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Moyuka Uchijima
62% ( 29 of 47)
1st Serve %
74% ( 39 of 53)
2
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
3
76% ( 22 of 29)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 21 of 39)
72% ( 13 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
26% ( 12 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 27 of 53)
62
Total Points Won
38
W
6-2 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Erika Andreeva
64% ( 32 of 50)
1st Serve %
59% ( 23 of 39)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
72% ( 23 of 32)
1st Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
56% ( 10 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 8 of 16)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
34% ( 17 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 23 of 39)
56
Total Points Won
33
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
F
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
54% ( 31 of 57)
1st Serve %
59% ( 32 of 54)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
74% ( 23 of 31)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 18 of 32)
62% ( 16 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 9 of 22)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
32% ( 18 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 27 of 54)
66
Total Points Won
45
L
6-2 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Danielle Rose Collins
60% ( 35 of 58)
1st Serve %
53% ( 33 of 62)
4
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
5
74% ( 26 of 35)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 22 of 33)
57% ( 13 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 12 of 29)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
33% ( 19 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 28 of 62)
67
Total Points Won
53
W
7-5 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
76% ( 37 of 49)
1st Serve %
73% ( 46 of 63)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
81% ( 30 of 37)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 31 of 46)
50% ( 6 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 6 of 17)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
27% ( 13 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 26 of 63)
62
Total Points Won
50
W
6-2 6-4 H2H

Kasatkina Vs Sabalenka Prediction H2H Images To Share

More tennis photos of Kasatkina are available here and Sabalenka photos here.


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