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Daria Kasatkina vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Kasatkina vs Pavlyuchenkova analysis and find out who is favored!

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Daria Kasatkina vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Kasatkina 5 - 2 Pavlyuchenkova

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Kasatkina has won 45.48% of points on their second serve, while Pavlyuchenkova has won 47.8%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Kasatkina, in recent form, has won 56.81% of their opponent's second serve points, while Pavlyuchenkova has won 52.49%. The same stats for first serve returns are 41.56% and 39.4% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Kasatkina has saved 55.49% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Pavlyuchenkova has saved 56.22% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Kasatkina has won 66.67% of matches played (W/L 46/ 23), with Pavlyuchenkova winning 56.52% (W/L 26/ 20) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Kasatkina has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 70% (W/L 131/ 55), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 58% (W/L 160/ 114). Pavlyuchenkova has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 67% (W/L 90/ 44), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 46% (W/L 26/ 30).
  • Player level: In the last year, Kasatkina has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 73.53% of matches (W/L 25/ 9), where as Pavlyuchenkova has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 59.09% of matches (W/L 13/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 7 times before with Kasatkina winning 5 times and Pavlyuchenkova being victorious 2 times. They have played 16 sets in total, with Kasatkina winning 11 and Pavlyuchenkova winning 5. The last match between Kasatkina and Pavlyuchenkova was at the Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid, 28-04-2024, Third, Clay with Daria Kasatkina getting the victory 7-6(5) 7-5.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:41:52.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Kasatkina and Pavlyuchenkova have played a deciding set 2 times, with Kasatkina winning 1 times and Pavlyuchenkova 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 3 tiebreaks against each other with Kasatkina winning 2, and Pavlyuchenkova 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Kasatkina has played against opponents with an average rank of 106.23 while Pavlyuchenkova has played against players with an average rank of 99.63.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Kasatkina has won 72% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Pavlyuchenkova has won 36% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Kasatkina has converted 50.14% of breakpoint opportunities, and Pavlyuchenkova has converted 44.59% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
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Daria Kasatkina

14

Total

0

Mast

6

Chall

0

Slam

7

Main

1

Minor

12

Rank

8

High

27

Age

R

Plays

5

Total

2

1

Hard

1

2

Clay

0

2

Indoor

1

0

Grass

0

32

Rank

11

High

33

Age

R

Plays

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova

17

Total

0

Mast

4

Chall

0

Slam

12

Main

1

Minor

5

Total

2

1

Hard

1

2

Clay

0

2

Indoor

1

0

Grass

0

W L W W W W W W W L

Form

L W L L L W L L W L

64% (373-208)

Career Total W/L

59% (498-347)

67% (28-14)

YTD W/L

57% (20-15)

$8,446,799

Career Prize Money

$9,433,781

1

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Kasatkina VS Pavlyuchenkova H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Daria Kasatkina Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
All H2H Matches 5 2
Sets Won 11 5
Games Won 85 70
Aces (Total) 10 13
DFs Total 25 24
Avg Match Time 1:41:52 1:41:52
1st Serve % 67% (338/501) 64% (319/502)
1st Serve Win% 62% (210/338) 55% (175/319)
2nd Serve Win% 43% (70/163) 44% (81/183)
BPs Won% (Total) 51% (36/71) 54% (30/56)
Return Points W% 49% (246/502) 44% (221/501)
Best of 3 Sets W% 71% (5/7) 29% (2/7)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 67% (2/3) 33% (1/3)
Deciding Set Win% 50% (1/2) 50% (1/2)
1st set W, W 80% (5/4) 50% (2/1)
1st set W, L 20% (5/1) 50% (2/1)
1st set L, W 50% (2/1) 20% (5/1)

Kasatkina VS Pavlyuchenkova H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
7-6(5) 7-5
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
77% ( 67 of 87)
1st Serve %
62% ( 48 of 77)
0
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
2
66% ( 44 of 67)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 29 of 48)
25% ( 5 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 12 of 29)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 4 of 8)
44% ( 38 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 36 of 77)
85
Total Points Won
79
6-2 7-6(2)
cross
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
Player
Daria Kasatkina
77% ( 56 of 73)
1st Serve %
59% ( 45 of 76)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
57% ( 32 of 56)
1st Serve Won
40% ( 18 of 45)
47% ( 8 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 16 of 31)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
25% ( 4 of 16)
45% ( 33 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 42 of 76)
82
Total Points Won
67
6-4 6-3
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
83% ( 50 of 60)
1st Serve %
62% ( 40 of 65)
0
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
7
66% ( 33 of 50)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 20 of 40)
30% ( 3 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 11 of 25)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
40% ( 24 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 34 of 65)
70
Total Points Won
55
2-6 6-1 6-4
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
63% ( 61 of 97)
1st Serve %
77% ( 49 of 64)
1
Aces
4
7
Double Faults
6
64% ( 39 of 61)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 26 of 49)
33% ( 12 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 6 of 15)
78% ( 7 of 9)
Break Points Won
55% ( 6 of 11)
47% ( 46 of 97)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 32 of 64)
83
Total Points Won
78
6-4 6-3
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
70% ( 37 of 53)
1st Serve %
53% ( 32 of 60)
1
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
2
68% ( 25 of 37)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 15 of 32)
38% ( 6 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
75% ( 6 of 8)
Break Points Won
57% ( 4 of 7)
42% ( 22 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 33 of 60)
64
Total Points Won
49
7-6(2) 6-1
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
49% ( 28 of 57)
1st Serve %
61% ( 43 of 70)
4
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
2
71% ( 20 of 28)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 23 of 43)
52% ( 15 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 10 of 27)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
39% ( 22 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 37 of 70)
72
Total Points Won
55
2-6 6-2 6-4
cross
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
Player
Daria Kasatkina
55% ( 51 of 93)
1st Serve %
70% ( 50 of 71)
2
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
0
59% ( 30 of 51)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 31 of 50)
52% ( 22 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 13 of 21)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
44% ( 41 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 27 of 71)
79
Total Points Won
85

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Daria Kasatkina Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
YTD W/L 67% (28/14) 57% (20/15)
Sets Win/Loss 60% (61/40) 58% (46/33)
Games Win/Loss 53% (506/443) 54% (397/342)
Hard Win/Loss 60% (12/8) 65% (13/7)
Clay Win/Loss 67% (8/4) 38% (3/5)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 75% (3/1)
Grass Win/Loss 80% (8/2) 33% (1/2)
Aces pg 0.14 0.26
Aces Total 63 95
DFs per game 0.42 0.34
DFs Total 194 123
Avg Match Time 1:49:4 1:40:25
Avg Opp Rank 111.55 107.91
1st Serve % 67% (2154/3204) 63% (1516/2392)
1st Serve W% 61% (1308/2154) 66% (1005/1516)
2nd Serve W% 44% (461/1050) 48% (419/876)
BPs Won% Total 49% (209/429) 43% (126/292)
Return Pts W% 47% (1519/3220) 44% (1084/2438)
Slam W/L 57% (4/3) 50% (3/3)
Masters W/L 50% (6/6) 64% (9/5)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 78% (18/5) 53% (8/7)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 67% (28/42) 56% (19/34)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 60% (6/10) 71% (5/7)
Deciding Set W% 71% (12/17) 30% (3/10)
1st set W, W 88% (24/21) 85% (20/17)
1st set W, L 13% (24/3) 15% (20/3)
1st set L, W 39% (18/7) 20% (15/3)

Daria Kasatkina Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R3
cross
Paula Badosa Gibert
Player
Daria Kasatkina
57% ( 73 of 127)
1st Serve %
65% ( 74 of 114)
8
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
6
59% ( 43 of 73)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 45 of 74)
57% ( 31 of 54)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 21 of 40)
22% ( 4 of 18)
Break Points Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
42% ( 53 of 127)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 48 of 114)
122
Total Points Won
119
L
7-6(6) 4-6 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Yuriko Miyazaki
61% ( 20 of 33)
1st Serve %
56% ( 22 of 39)
2
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
5
85% ( 17 of 20)
1st Serve Won
45% ( 10 of 22)
69% ( 9 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
12% ( 2 of 17)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
21% ( 7 of 33)
Rtn Points Won
69% ( 27 of 39)
53
Total Points Won
19
W
6-0 6-0 H2H
R1
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Shuai Zhang
50% ( 29 of 58)
1st Serve %
58% ( 31 of 53)
3
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
0
69% ( 20 of 29)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 15 of 31)
59% ( 17 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 9 of 22)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
36% ( 21 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 29 of 53)
66
Total Points Won
45
W
6-3 6-0 H2H
F
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Leylah Annie Fernandez
75% ( 65 of 87)
1st Serve %
75% ( 49 of 65)
1
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
3
63% ( 41 of 65)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 25 of 49)
41% ( 9 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 7 of 16)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
43% ( 37 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 33 of 65)
83
Total Points Won
69
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
SF
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Jasmine Paolini
67% ( 66 of 99)
1st Serve %
57% ( 55 of 97)
0
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
3
61% ( 40 of 66)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 35 of 55)
61% ( 20 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 19 of 42)
33% ( 5 of 15)
Break Points Won
29% ( 4 of 14)
39% ( 39 of 99)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 43 of 97)
103
Total Points Won
93
W
3-6 7-5 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Emma Raducanu
73% ( 37 of 51)
1st Serve %
70% ( 42 of 60)
1
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
2
70% ( 26 of 37)
1st Serve Won
43% ( 18 of 42)
36% ( 5 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 8 of 18)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
39% ( 20 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 34 of 60)
65
Total Points Won
46
W
6-2 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Yue Yuan
60% ( 44 of 73)
1st Serve %
47% ( 37 of 78)
3
Aces
1
6
Double Faults
2
68% ( 30 of 44)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 20 of 37)
45% ( 13 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
34% ( 14 of 41)
64% ( 7 of 11)
Break Points Won
80% ( 4 of 5)
41% ( 30 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 44 of 78)
87
Total Points Won
64
W
3-6 6-4 6-0 H2H
R1
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Xinyu Wang
56% ( 40 of 71)
1st Serve %
48% ( 26 of 54)
2
Aces
3
8
Double Faults
2
65% ( 26 of 40)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 12 of 26)
32% ( 10 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
70% ( 7 of 10)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
49% ( 35 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 32 of 54)
68
Total Points Won
57
W
6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Daria Kasatkina
54% ( 26 of 48)
1st Serve %
61% ( 28 of 46)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
3
73% ( 19 of 26)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 15 of 28)
68% ( 15 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
29% ( 14 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 22 of 46)
56
Total Points Won
38
L
6-1 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Marta Kostyuk
64% ( 84 of 132)
1st Serve %
60% ( 66 of 110)
4
Aces
1
8
Double Faults
10
61% ( 51 of 84)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 44 of 66)
50% ( 24 of 48)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 18 of 44)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
43% ( 57 of 132)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 48 of 110)
123
Total Points Won
119
W
4-6 7-6(6) 6-3 H2H

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R2
cross
Lin Zhu
Player
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
64% ( 36 of 56)
1st Serve %
69% ( 48 of 70)
3
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
2
58% ( 21 of 36)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 29 of 48)
80% ( 16 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 9 of 22)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
34% ( 19 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 32 of 70)
69
Total Points Won
57
L
6-4 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
Player
Taylor Townsend
67% ( 51 of 76)
1st Serve %
60% ( 31 of 52)
1
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
1
73% ( 37 of 51)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 19 of 31)
64% ( 16 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 13 of 21)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
30% ( 23 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 20 of 52)
73
Total Points Won
55
W
7-6(4) 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Magda Linette
Player
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
55% ( 48 of 87)
1st Serve %
67% ( 62 of 93)
6
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
7
69% ( 33 of 48)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 44 of 62)
54% ( 21 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 15 of 31)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
38% ( 33 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 34 of 93)
88
Total Points Won
92
L
1-6 7-6(4) 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Ana Bogdan
Player
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
63% ( 41 of 65)
1st Serve %
56% ( 34 of 61)
1
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
63% ( 26 of 41)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 21 of 34)
54% ( 13 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 11 of 27)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
40% ( 26 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 29 of 61)
68
Total Points Won
58
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
Player
Panna Udvardy
64% ( 48 of 75)
1st Serve %
56% ( 33 of 59)
2
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
2
60% ( 29 of 48)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 20 of 33)
48% ( 13 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 8 of 26)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
44% ( 33 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 31 of 59)
73
Total Points Won
61
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Anhelina Kalinina
Player
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
60% ( 58 of 96)
1st Serve %
53% ( 55 of 104)
2
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
9
66% ( 38 of 58)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 28 of 55)
37% ( 14 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 22 of 49)
35% ( 7 of 20)
Break Points Won
50% ( 6 of 12)
46% ( 44 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 54 of 104)
106
Total Points Won
94
L
6-3 3-6 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Player
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
80% ( 65 of 81)
1st Serve %
65% ( 60 of 92)
0
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
15
46% ( 30 of 65)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 39 of 60)
56% ( 9 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
25% ( 8 of 32)
54% ( 7 of 13)
Break Points Won
58% ( 7 of 12)
52% ( 42 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 45 of 92)
84
Total Points Won
89
L
6-3 1-6 7-5 H2H
R3
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
77% ( 67 of 87)
1st Serve %
62% ( 48 of 77)
0
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
2
66% ( 44 of 67)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 29 of 48)
25% ( 5 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 12 of 29)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 4 of 8)
44% ( 38 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 36 of 77)
85
Total Points Won
79
L
7-6(5) 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
Player
Daria Saville
66% ( 39 of 59)
1st Serve %
70% ( 45 of 64)
1
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
5
77% ( 30 of 39)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 24 of 45)
40% ( 8 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 8 of 19)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
36% ( 21 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 32 of 64)
70
Total Points Won
53
W
6-1 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Arantxa Rus
Player
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
73% ( 59 of 81)
1st Serve %
68% ( 63 of 92)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
6
53% ( 31 of 59)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 38 of 63)
36% ( 8 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
24% ( 7 of 29)
47% ( 7 of 15)
Break Points Won
46% ( 6 of 13)
52% ( 42 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 47 of 92)
86
Total Points Won
87
L
6-3 1-6 6-3 H2H

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