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Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Korda Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Medvedev vs Korda analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Korda Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Medvedev has won 49.22% of points on his second serve, while Korda has won 47.16%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Medvedev, in recent form, has won 54.48% of his opponent's second serve points, while Korda has won 52.56%. The same stats for first serve returns are 31.12% and 28.77% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Medvedev has saved 63.32% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Korda has saved 56.12% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Medvedev has won 73.97% of matches played (W/L 54/ 19), with Korda winning 53.85% (W/L 28/ 24) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Medvedev has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 76% (W/L 237/ 74), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 78/ 44). Korda has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 61% (W/L 37/ 24), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 58% (W/L 76/ 54).
  • Player level: In the last year, Medvedev has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 73.33% of matches (W/L 22/ 8), where as Korda has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 59.26% of matches (W/L 16/ 11). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Medvedev winning 2 times. They have played 11 sets in total, with Medvedev winning 4 and Korda winning 7. The last match between Medvedev and Korda was at the BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells, 11-03-2024, Third, Hard with Daniil Medvedev getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:12:3.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Medvedev and Korda have played a deciding set 2 times, with Medvedev winning 2 times and Korda 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 3 tiebreaks against each other with Medvedev winning 0, and Korda 3.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Medvedev has played against opponents with an average rank of 92.59 while Korda has played against players with an average rank of 113.25.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Medvedev has won 65% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Korda has won 53% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Medvedev has converted 41.38% of breakpoint opportunities, and Korda has converted 42.11% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Medvedev 2 - 2 Korda

Daniil Medvedev

25

Total

6

Mast

1

Chall

1

Slam

12

Main

4

Minor

4

Rank

1

High

28

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

2

1

Hard

2

0

Clay

0

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

26

Rank

23

High

23

Age

R

Plays

Sebastian Korda

3

Total

0

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

1

Main

0

Minor

2

Total

2

1

Hard

2

0

Clay

0

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W W L W W W W L W L

Form

W W L W L W L W L L

72% (508-202)

Career Total W/L

60% (218-147)

79% (19-5)

YTD W/L

52% (11-10)

$28,877,260

Career Prize Money

$3,488,420

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Medvedev VS Korda H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Daniil Medvedev Sebastian Korda
All H2H Matches 2 2
Sets Won 4 7
Games Won 56 57
Aces (Total) 24 12
DFs (Total) 20 14
Avg Match Time 2:12:3 2:12:3
1st Serve % 63% (219/345) 64% (251/394)
1st Serve Win% 71% (155/219) 66% (166/251)
2nd Serve Win% 45% (57/126) 44% (63/143)
BPs Won% (Total) 42% (18/43) 64% (16/25)
Return Points W% 42% (165/394) 39% (133/345)
Best of 3 Sets W% 67% (2/3) 33% (1/3)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/3) 100% (3/3)
Deciding Set Win% 100% (2/2) 0% (0/2)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 67% (3/2)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 33% (3/1)
1st set L, W 33% (3/1) 0% (1/0)

Medvedev VS Korda H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-4 5-7 6-3
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Sebastian Korda
51% ( 44 of 87)
1st Serve %
56% ( 68 of 121)
2
Aces
3
10
Double Faults
5
70% ( 31 of 44)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 43 of 68)
42% ( 18 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 17 of 53)
41% ( 9 of 22)
Break Points Won
78% ( 7 of 9)
44% ( 38 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 61 of 121)
110
Total Points Won
98
7-6(8) 6-2
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Daniil Medvedev
76% ( 53 of 70)
1st Serve %
68% ( 41 of 60)
4
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
4
72% ( 38 of 53)
1st Serve Won
80% ( 33 of 41)
76% ( 13 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 9 of 19)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
27% ( 19 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
30% ( 18 of 60)
69
Total Points Won
61
7-6(7) 6-3 7-6(4)
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Daniil Medvedev
63% ( 74 of 118)
1st Serve %
64% ( 78 of 122)
3
Aces
9
5
Double Faults
3
72% ( 53 of 74)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 52 of 78)
43% ( 19 of 44)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 19 of 44)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
67% ( 4 of 6)
39% ( 46 of 118)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 51 of 122)
123
Total Points Won
117
4-6 6-1 6-3
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Sebastian Korda
74% ( 56 of 76)
1st Serve %
66% ( 56 of 85)
7
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
4
70% ( 39 of 56)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 32 of 56)
55% ( 11 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 14 of 29)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
34% ( 26 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 39 of 85)
89
Total Points Won
72

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Daniil Medvedev Sebastian Korda
YTD W/L 79% (19/5) 52% (11/10)
Sets Win/Loss 68% (46/22) 50% (26/26)
Games Win/Loss 55% (362/299) 51% (252/243)
Hard Win/Loss 82% (18/4) 57% (8/6)
Clay Win/Loss 50% (1/1) 33% (1/2)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 50% (2/2)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.46 0.78
Aces Total 149 188
DFs per game 0.33 0.17
DFs Total 107 42
Avg Match Time 2:11:38 1:40:1
Avg Opp Rank 93.71 101.81
1st Serve % 61% (1286/2094) 60% (927/1533)
1st Serve W% 72% (929/1286) 74% (684/927)
2nd Serve W% 50% (402/808) 47% (285/606)
BPs Won% Total 44% (98/225) 42% (61/145)
Return Pts W% 40% (866/2141) 38% (595/1563)
Slam W/L 86% (6/1) 67% (2/1)
Masters W/L 77% (10/3) 50% (3/3)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 100% (1/0)
Main Tour W/L 75% (3/1) 45% (5/6)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 76% (13/17) 50% (9/18)
Best of 5 Sets W% 86% (6/7) 67% (2/3)
TBs Win% (Total) 80% (8/10) 38% (3/8)
Deciding Set W% 86% (6/7) 67% (4/6)
1st set W, W 93% (15/14) 100% (10/10)
1st set W, L 7% (15/1) 0% (10/0)
1st set L, W 56% (9/5) 9% (11/1)

Daniil Medvedev Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R3
cross
Karen Khachanov
Player
Daniil Medvedev
70% ( 45 of 64)
1st Serve %
60% ( 52 of 86)
1
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
8
80% ( 36 of 45)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 32 of 52)
32% ( 6 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 13 of 34)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 22 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 41 of 86)
83
Total Points Won
67
L
6-3 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Gael Monfils
48% ( 24 of 50)
1st Serve %
75% ( 48 of 64)
0
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
0
83% ( 20 of 24)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 25 of 48)
62% ( 16 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 7 of 16)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
28% ( 14 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 32 of 64)
68
Total Points Won
46
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
SF
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Daniil Medvedev
64% ( 30 of 47)
1st Serve %
64% ( 32 of 50)
7
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 17 of 32)
59% ( 10 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 7 of 18)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
28% ( 13 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 26 of 50)
60
Total Points Won
37
L
6-1 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Nicolas Jarry
70% ( 45 of 64)
1st Serve %
60% ( 38 of 63)
6
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
1
80% ( 36 of 45)
1st Serve Won
79% ( 30 of 38)
58% ( 11 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 10 of 25)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
27% ( 17 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 23 of 63)
70
Total Points Won
57
W
6-2 7-6(7) H2H
R4
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Dominik Koepfer
71% ( 40 of 56)
1st Serve %
78% ( 54 of 69)
7
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
2
70% ( 28 of 40)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 32 of 54)
56% ( 9 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
27% ( 4 of 15)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
34% ( 19 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 33 of 69)
70
Total Points Won
55
W
7-6(5) 6-0 H2H
R3
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Cameron Norrie
58% ( 32 of 55)
1st Serve %
63% ( 40 of 64)
6
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
2
72% ( 23 of 32)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 22 of 40)
52% ( 12 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 10 of 24)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
36% ( 20 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 32 of 64)
67
Total Points Won
52
W
7-5 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Marton Fucsovics
67% ( 37 of 55)
1st Serve %
70% ( 33 of 47)
5
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
0
81% ( 30 of 37)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 24 of 33)
56% ( 10 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 4 of 14)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
27% ( 15 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 19 of 47)
59
Total Points Won
43
W
6-4 6-2 H2H
F
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Daniil Medvedev
65% ( 40 of 62)
1st Serve %
61% ( 48 of 79)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
75% ( 30 of 40)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 30 of 48)
68% ( 15 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 14 of 31)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
27% ( 17 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 35 of 79)
80
Total Points Won
61
L
7-6(5) 6-1 H2H
SF
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Tommy Paul
62% ( 64 of 103)
1st Serve %
53% ( 53 of 100)
2
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
3
59% ( 38 of 64)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 34 of 53)
41% ( 16 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 21 of 47)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
45% ( 5 of 11)
48% ( 49 of 103)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 45 of 100)
99
Total Points Won
104
W
1-6 7-6(3) 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Holger Rune
60% ( 44 of 73)
1st Serve %
56% ( 47 of 84)
4
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
6
68% ( 30 of 44)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 32 of 47)
62% ( 18 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 14 of 37)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
34% ( 25 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 38 of 84)
86
Total Points Won
71
W
7-5 6-4 H2H

Sebastian Korda Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Gregoire Barrere
Player
Sebastian Korda
70% ( 42 of 60)
1st Serve %
54% ( 28 of 52)
1
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
0
57% ( 24 of 42)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 16 of 28)
44% ( 8 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 10 of 24)
75% ( 6 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 4 of 8)
47% ( 28 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 26 of 52)
58
Total Points Won
54
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Sebastian Korda
49% ( 21 of 43)
1st Serve %
52% ( 32 of 62)
2
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
95% ( 20 of 21)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 16 of 32)
55% ( 12 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 13 of 30)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
26% ( 11 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 33 of 62)
65
Total Points Won
40
L
6-1 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
67% ( 36 of 54)
1st Serve %
74% ( 37 of 50)
8
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
72% ( 26 of 36)
1st Serve Won
43% ( 16 of 37)
44% ( 8 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 6 of 13)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
37% ( 20 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 28 of 50)
62
Total Points Won
42
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Hubert Hurkacz
Player
Sebastian Korda
69% ( 69 of 100)
1st Serve %
69% ( 70 of 102)
15
Aces
11
1
Double Faults
0
86% ( 59 of 69)
1st Serve Won
84% ( 59 of 70)
71% ( 22 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 17 of 32)
50% ( 1 of 2)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
19% ( 19 of 100)
Rtn Points Won
25% ( 26 of 102)
107
Total Points Won
95
L
7-6(5) 6-7(5) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Roberto Bautista Agut
71% ( 65 of 92)
1st Serve %
74% ( 70 of 95)
21
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
0
82% ( 53 of 65)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 47 of 70)
48% ( 13 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 14 of 25)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
28% ( 26 of 92)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 34 of 95)
100
Total Points Won
87
W
6-7(2) 6-3 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Sebastian Korda
51% ( 44 of 87)
1st Serve %
56% ( 68 of 121)
2
Aces
3
10
Double Faults
5
70% ( 31 of 44)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 43 of 68)
42% ( 18 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 17 of 53)
41% ( 9 of 22)
Break Points Won
78% ( 7 of 9)
44% ( 38 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 61 of 121)
110
Total Points Won
98
L
6-4 5-7 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Roman Safiullin
55% ( 33 of 60)
1st Serve %
54% ( 29 of 54)
6
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
3
64% ( 21 of 33)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 17 of 29)
70% ( 19 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 12 of 25)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
33% ( 20 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 25 of 54)
65
Total Points Won
49
W
6-4 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Sebastian Korda
48% ( 23 of 48)
1st Serve %
56% ( 29 of 52)
2
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
1
74% ( 17 of 23)
1st Serve Won
83% ( 24 of 29)
56% ( 14 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
26% ( 6 of 23)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
35% ( 17 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 22 of 52)
53
Total Points Won
47
L
6-4 4-3 ret. H2H
R2
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Botic Van De Zandschulp
66% ( 25 of 38)
1st Serve %
58% ( 18 of 31)
10
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
88% ( 22 of 25)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
46% ( 6 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
8% ( 1 of 13)
100% ( 5 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
26% ( 10 of 38)
Rtn Points Won
68% ( 21 of 31)
49
Total Points Won
20
W
6-1 6-0 H2H
R1
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Pavel Kotov
72% ( 28 of 39)
1st Serve %
62% ( 26 of 42)
7
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
2
79% ( 22 of 28)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 12 of 26)
45% ( 5 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
13% ( 2 of 16)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
31% ( 12 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
67% ( 28 of 42)
55
Total Points Won
26
W
6-0 6-2 H2H

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