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Daniil Medvedev vs Novak Djokovic Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Medvedev vs Djokovic analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Daniil Medvedev vs Novak Djokovic Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Medvedev has won 49.22% of points on his second serve, while Djokovic has won 57.61%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Medvedev, in recent form, has won 54.48% of his opponent's second serve points, while Djokovic has won 55.37%. The same stats for first serve returns are 31.12% and 29.54% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Medvedev has saved 63.32% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Djokovic has saved 62.07% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Medvedev has won 73.97% of matches played (W/L 54/ 19), with Djokovic winning 85% (W/L 51/ 9) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Medvedev has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 76% (W/L 237/ 74), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 78/ 44). Djokovic has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 86% (W/L 119/ 20), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 79% (W/L 200/ 52).
  • Player level: In the last year, Medvedev has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 73.33% of matches (W/L 22/ 8), where as Djokovic has played most of their matches on the Grand Slam, winning 92.59% of matches (W/L 25/ 2). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 15 times before with Medvedev winning 5 times. They have played 42 sets in total, with Medvedev winning 17 and Djokovic winning 25. The last match between Medvedev and Djokovic was at the U.S. Open - New York, 10-09-2023, Final, Hard with Novak Djokovic getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:11:0.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Medvedev and Djokovic have played a deciding set 5 times, with Medvedev winning 2 times and Djokovic 3 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 5 tiebreaks against each other with Medvedev winning 2, and Djokovic 3.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Medvedev has played against opponents with an average rank of 92.59 while Djokovic has played against players with an average rank of 90.92.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Medvedev has won 65% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Djokovic has won 65% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Medvedev has converted 41.38% of breakpoint opportunities, and Djokovic has converted 40.64% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Medvedev 5 - 10 Djokovic

Daniil Medvedev

25

Total

6

Mast

1

Chall

1

Slam

12

Main

4

Minor

4

Rank

1

High

28

Age

R

Plays

5

Total

10

3

Hard

5

1

Clay

0

1

Indoor

4

0

Grass

1

1

Rank

1

High

36

Age

R

Plays

Novak Djokovic

103

Total

40

Mast

3

Chall

24

Slam

27

Main

2

Minor

5

Total

10

3

Hard

5

1

Clay

0

1

Indoor

4

0

Grass

1

W W L W W W W L W L

Form

W W W L W L W W W L

72% (508-202)

Career Total W/L

83% (1200-241)

79% (19-5)

YTD W/L

73% (11-4)

$28,877,260

Career Prize Money

$128,033,620

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Medvedev VS Djokovic H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Daniil Medvedev Novak Djokovic
All H2H Matches 5 10
Sets Won 17 25
Games Won 188 214
Aces (Total) 137 73
DFs (Total) 55 46
Avg Match Time 2:11:0 2:11:0
1st Serve % 62% (799/1286) 63% (828/1319)
1st Serve Win% 69% (555/799) 74% (613/828)
2nd Serve Win% 48% (235/487) 48% (234/491)
BPs Won% (Total) 38% (38/99) 48% (47/97)
Return Points W% 35% (467/1319) 38% (490/1286)
Best of 3 Sets W% 44% (4/9) 56% (5/9)
Best of 5 Sets W% 17% (1/6) 83% (5/6)
TBs Win% (Total) 40% (2/5) 60% (3/5)
Deciding Set Win% 40% (2/5) 60% (3/5)
1st set W, W 57% (7/4) 88% (8/7)
1st set W, L 29% (7/2) 13% (8/1)
1st set L, W 13% (8/1) 29% (7/2)

Medvedev VS Djokovic H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-3 7-6(5) 6-3
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Daniil Medvedev
54% ( 59 of 109)
1st Serve %
65% ( 69 of 106)
4
Aces
6
6
Double Faults
6
81% ( 48 of 59)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 49 of 69)
54% ( 27 of 50)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 14 of 37)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
31% ( 34 of 109)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 43 of 106)
118
Total Points Won
97
6-4 6-4
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Novak Djokovic
58% ( 36 of 62)
1st Serve %
69% ( 43 of 62)
8
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
1
78% ( 28 of 36)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 29 of 43)
50% ( 13 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 11 of 19)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
34% ( 21 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 22 of 62)
63
Total Points Won
61
6-3 6-4
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Daniil Medvedev
57% ( 35 of 61)
1st Serve %
65% ( 31 of 48)
5
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
2
89% ( 31 of 35)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 23 of 31)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 9 of 17)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
26% ( 16 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 16 of 48)
61
Total Points Won
48
6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(2)
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Daniil Medvedev
65% ( 85 of 131)
1st Serve %
74% ( 93 of 126)
9
Aces
16
3
Double Faults
2
79% ( 67 of 85)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 60 of 93)
48% ( 22 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 17 of 33)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
32% ( 42 of 131)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 49 of 126)
138
Total Points Won
119
4-6 7-6(6) 0-0 ret.
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Daniil Medvedev
63% ( 42 of 67)
1st Serve %
75% ( 49 of 65)
3
Aces
9
0
Double Faults
2
76% ( 32 of 42)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 36 of 49)
44% ( 11 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
63% ( 10 of 16)
33% ( 1 of 3)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
36% ( 24 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
29% ( 19 of 65)
62
Total Points Won
70
4-6 6-3 6-3
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Daniil Medvedev
66% ( 57 of 86)
1st Serve %
58% ( 51 of 88)
6
Aces
7
2
Double Faults
3
79% ( 45 of 57)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 30 of 51)
31% ( 9 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 18 of 37)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
37% ( 32 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 40 of 88)
94
Total Points Won
80
6-4 6-4 6-4
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Novak Djokovic
58% ( 52 of 90)
1st Serve %
54% ( 50 of 92)
16
Aces
6
9
Double Faults
3
81% ( 42 of 52)
1st Serve Won
80% ( 40 of 50)
58% ( 22 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 17 of 42)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
29% ( 26 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 35 of 92)
99
Total Points Won
83
7-5 6-2 6-2
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Daniil Medvedev
67% ( 52 of 78)
1st Serve %
64% ( 49 of 77)
3
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
4
73% ( 38 of 52)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 34 of 49)
58% ( 15 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 9 of 28)
64% ( 7 of 11)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
32% ( 25 of 78)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 34 of 77)
87
Total Points Won
68
6-3 6-3
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Novak Djokovic
68% ( 38 of 56)
1st Serve %
59% ( 40 of 68)
10
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
5
79% ( 30 of 38)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 27 of 40)
61% ( 11 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
27% ( 15 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 29 of 68)
70
Total Points Won
54
6-1 5-7 6-4
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Daniil Medvedev
68% ( 75 of 111)
1st Serve %
53% ( 57 of 108)
4
Aces
6
5
Double Faults
5
71% ( 53 of 75)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 35 of 57)
44% ( 16 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 25 of 51)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
27% ( 3 of 11)
38% ( 42 of 111)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 48 of 108)
117
Total Points Won
102
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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Daniil Medvedev Novak Djokovic
YTD W/L 79% (19/5) 73% (11/4)
Sets Win/Loss 68% (46/22) 68% (30/14)
Games Win/Loss 55% (362/299) 58% (240/176)
Hard Win/Loss 82% (18/4) 73% (8/3)
Clay Win/Loss 50% (1/1) 75% (3/1)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.46 0.56
Aces Total 149 114
DFs per game 0.33 0.14
DFs Total 107 28
Avg Match Time 2:11:38 2:22:24
Avg Opp Rank 93.71 104.33
1st Serve % 61% (1286/2094) 63% (785/1241)
1st Serve W% 72% (929/1286) 75% (589/785)
2nd Serve W% 50% (402/808) 57% (258/456)
BPs Won% Total 44% (98/225) 42% (60/143)
Return Pts W% 40% (866/2141) 41% (535/1299)
Slam W/L 86% (6/1) 83% (5/1)
Masters W/L 77% (10/3) 67% (4/2)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 75% (3/1) 67% (2/1)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 76% (13/17) 67% (6/9)
Best of 5 Sets W% 86% (6/7) 83% (5/6)
TBs Win% (Total) 80% (8/10) 67% (4/6)
Deciding Set W% 86% (6/7) 50% (2/4)
1st set W, W 93% (15/14) 100% (11/11)
1st set W, L 7% (15/1) 0% (11/0)
1st set L, W 56% (9/5) 0% (4/0)

Daniil Medvedev Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R3
cross
Karen Khachanov
Player
Daniil Medvedev
70% ( 45 of 64)
1st Serve %
60% ( 52 of 86)
1
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
8
80% ( 36 of 45)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 32 of 52)
32% ( 6 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 13 of 34)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 22 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 41 of 86)
83
Total Points Won
67
L
6-3 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Gael Monfils
48% ( 24 of 50)
1st Serve %
75% ( 48 of 64)
0
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
0
83% ( 20 of 24)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 25 of 48)
62% ( 16 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 7 of 16)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
28% ( 14 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 32 of 64)
68
Total Points Won
46
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
R1
L
bye H2H
SF
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Daniil Medvedev
64% ( 30 of 47)
1st Serve %
64% ( 32 of 50)
7
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 17 of 32)
59% ( 10 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 7 of 18)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
28% ( 13 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 26 of 50)
60
Total Points Won
37
L
6-1 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Nicolas Jarry
70% ( 45 of 64)
1st Serve %
60% ( 38 of 63)
6
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
1
80% ( 36 of 45)
1st Serve Won
79% ( 30 of 38)
58% ( 11 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 10 of 25)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
27% ( 17 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 23 of 63)
70
Total Points Won
57
W
6-2 7-6(7) H2H
R4
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Dominik Koepfer
71% ( 40 of 56)
1st Serve %
78% ( 54 of 69)
7
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
2
70% ( 28 of 40)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 32 of 54)
56% ( 9 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
27% ( 4 of 15)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
34% ( 19 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 33 of 69)
70
Total Points Won
55
W
7-6(5) 6-0 H2H
R3
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Cameron Norrie
58% ( 32 of 55)
1st Serve %
63% ( 40 of 64)
6
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
2
72% ( 23 of 32)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 22 of 40)
52% ( 12 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 10 of 24)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
36% ( 20 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 32 of 64)
67
Total Points Won
52
W
7-5 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Marton Fucsovics
67% ( 37 of 55)
1st Serve %
70% ( 33 of 47)
5
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
0
81% ( 30 of 37)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 24 of 33)
56% ( 10 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 4 of 14)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
27% ( 15 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 19 of 47)
59
Total Points Won
43
W
6-4 6-2 H2H
F
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Daniil Medvedev
65% ( 40 of 62)
1st Serve %
61% ( 48 of 79)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
75% ( 30 of 40)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 30 of 48)
68% ( 15 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 14 of 31)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
27% ( 17 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 35 of 79)
80
Total Points Won
61
L
7-6(5) 6-1 H2H
SF
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Tommy Paul
62% ( 64 of 103)
1st Serve %
53% ( 53 of 100)
2
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
3
59% ( 38 of 64)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 34 of 53)
41% ( 16 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 21 of 47)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
45% ( 5 of 11)
48% ( 49 of 103)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 45 of 100)
99
Total Points Won
104
W
1-6 7-6(3) 6-2 H2H

Novak Djokovic Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
SF
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Novak Djokovic
56% ( 44 of 78)
1st Serve %
58% ( 46 of 79)
4
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
2
64% ( 28 of 44)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 31 of 46)
47% ( 16 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 19 of 33)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
80% ( 4 of 5)
44% ( 34 of 78)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 29 of 79)
73
Total Points Won
84
L
6-4 1-6 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Alex De Minaur
66% ( 42 of 64)
1st Serve %
42% ( 30 of 71)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
64% ( 27 of 42)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 18 of 30)
59% ( 13 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 20 of 41)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
38% ( 24 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 33 of 71)
73
Total Points Won
62
W
7-5 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
69% ( 46 of 67)
1st Serve %
53% ( 33 of 62)
3
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
67% ( 31 of 46)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 20 of 33)
52% ( 11 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 12 of 29)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
37% ( 25 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 30 of 62)
72
Total Points Won
57
W
7-5 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Roman Safiullin
65% ( 22 of 34)
1st Serve %
43% ( 26 of 61)
1
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
77% ( 17 of 22)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 16 of 26)
92% ( 11 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 11 of 35)
26% ( 5 of 19)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
18% ( 6 of 34)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 34 of 61)
62
Total Points Won
33
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
R1
W
bye H2H
R3
cross
Luca Nardi
Player
Novak Djokovic
71% ( 64 of 90)
1st Serve %
60% ( 57 of 95)
6
Aces
4
7
Double Faults
1
69% ( 44 of 64)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 44 of 57)
50% ( 13 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 16 of 38)
27% ( 3 of 11)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
37% ( 33 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 35 of 95)
92
Total Points Won
93
L
6-4 3-6 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Aleksandar Vukic
61% ( 46 of 76)
1st Serve %
56% ( 56 of 100)
11
Aces
9
5
Double Faults
3
83% ( 38 of 46)
1st Serve Won
79% ( 44 of 56)
53% ( 16 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
27% ( 12 of 44)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
29% ( 22 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 44 of 100)
98
Total Points Won
78
W
6-2 5-7 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Novak Djokovic
58% ( 64 of 110)
1st Serve %
68% ( 79 of 116)
9
Aces
7
1
Double Faults
4
83% ( 53 of 64)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 53 of 79)
63% ( 29 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 17 of 37)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
25% ( 28 of 110)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 46 of 116)
128
Total Points Won
98
L
6-1 6-2 6-7(6) 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Taylor Fritz
63% ( 72 of 115)
1st Serve %
58% ( 90 of 154)
20
Aces
16
3
Double Faults
2
82% ( 59 of 72)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 59 of 90)
58% ( 25 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 31 of 64)
19% ( 4 of 21)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
27% ( 31 of 115)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 64 of 154)
148
Total Points Won
121
W
7-6(3) 4-6 6-2 6-3 H2H
R4
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Adrian Mannarino
70% ( 48 of 69)
1st Serve %
59% ( 34 of 58)
17
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
0
81% ( 39 of 48)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 17 of 34)
62% ( 13 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 8 of 24)
64% ( 7 of 11)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
25% ( 17 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 33 of 58)
85
Total Points Won
42
W
6-0 6-0 6-3 H2H

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