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Prediction of Casper Ruud [15th] vs Arthur Rinderknech [76th] Head-to-Head At The 2025 Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (04-25-25)

By Wojtek Kolan - April 23, 2025

Ruud is scheduled to play Rinderknech on Friday at 10:00 AM CET, in the Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid, Second round.

Ruud vs. Rinderknech Prediction

Calculated from the implied probability from the moneyline, Ruud has a 81.64% chance to win.

⚠️BE AWARE: Subscribe to the Matchstat.com tennis picks club to reveal implied and our accurate predictions to discover profitable bets in order to win big.

To Win

Match BOOKIE
PREDICTION
BOOKIE
ODDS
Arthur Rinderknech 18.36% +438
Casper Ruud 81.64% -476

Above is implied from odds. Login / Register to find out our expert predictions with edge / profit forecast.

To Win first set

Match BOOKIE
PREDICTION
BOOKIE
ODDS
Arthur Rinderknech 22.88% +318
Casper Ruud 77.12% -416

Above is implied from odds. Login / Register to find out our expert predictions with edge / profit forecast.

Head-2-Head: Ruud 3 - 0 Rinderknech

In their encounters, Ruud has won all 6 sets against Rinderknech, who has yet to win one. Their latest match was at the Abierto Mexicano Telcel in Acapulco on February 25, 2025, where Ruud triumphed 6-4, 6-3. Can Rinderknech turn the tables in their next clash?

Players Head-To-Head Match Wins
Casper Ruud 3
Arthur Rinderknech 0
Ruud vs Rinderknech H2H Profile
Ruud Stats Rinderknech
71% (15-6) YTD Win/Loss 28% (5-13)
3 Head-to-Head 0
15 Ranking 76
2 Highest Rank 42
26 Age 29
R Plays R
15 Titles 11
65% (424-231) Career Total W/L 59% (309-211)
$12,986,445 Career Prize Money $1,846,490
1 Hard H2H 0
2 Clay H2H 0

Recent Performance Stats (Last 6 Months)

Ruud VS Rinderknech H2H Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-4 6-3
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Arthur Rinderknech
79% ( 45 of 57)
1st Serve %
75% ( 51 of 68)
6
Aces
7
0
Double Faults
1
78% ( 35 of 45)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 29 of 51)
42% ( 5 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 8 of 17)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 17 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 31 of 68)
71
Total Points Won
54
6-4 6-0
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Arthur Rinderknech
73% ( 33 of 45)
1st Serve %
60% ( 21 of 35)
1
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
0
82% ( 27 of 33)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 14 of 21)
58% ( 7 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 4 of 14)
100% ( 4 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
24% ( 11 of 45)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 17 of 35)
51
Total Points Won
29
6-3 7-6(7)
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Arthur Rinderknech
62% ( 40 of 65)
1st Serve %
70% ( 53 of 76)
2
Aces
10
0
Double Faults
6
78% ( 31 of 40)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 40 of 53)
76% ( 19 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 7 of 23)
20% ( 1 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 15 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 29 of 76)
79
Total Points Won
62

Ruud VS Rinderknech H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Ruud Vs Rinderknech H2H Stats
Casper Ruud Ruud Stats Arthur Rinderknech Rinderknech
3 H2H Matches 0
6 Sets Won 0
37 Games Won 20
9 Aces (Total) 19
2 Total Double Faults 7
1:28:43 Average Match Time 1:28:43
71% (118/167) 1st Serve % 70% (125/179)
79% (93/118) 1st Serve Win % 66% (83/125)
63% (31/49) 2nd Serve Win % 35% (19/54)
44% (8/18) Break Points Won % (Total) 20% (1/5)
43% (77/179) Return Points Win % 26% (43/167)
100% (3/3) Best of 3 Sets Win % 0% (0/3)
0% (0/0) Best of 5 Sets Win % 0% (0/0)
100% (1/1) Tiebreaks Win % (Total) 0% (0/1)
0% (0/0) Deciding Set Win % 0% (0/0)
100% (3/3) 1st Set Won, Won Match 0% (0/0)
0% (3/0) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 0% (0/0)
0% (0/0) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 0% (3/0)

Current Event Stats

ESP

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

Clay
Ruud vs Rinderknech Current Event Stats
Casper Ruud Ruud Stats Arthur Rinderknech Rinderknech
1st Match Total Matches 1
1st Match Last Match 1:21:52
1st Match Total Time 1:21:52
1st Match Aces Per Game 0.7
1st Match Aces Total 7
1st Match Double Faults Per Game 0
1st Match Total Double Faults 0
1st Match 1st Serve % 74% (42/57)
1st Match 1st Serve Win % 88% (37/42)
1st Match 2nd Serve Win % 40% (6/15)
1st Match Total Break Points Won % 43% (3/7)
1st Match Total Break Points Saved 0% (0/1)
1st Match Service Hold (%) 90% (9/10)
1st Match Opponent Hold % 70% (7/10)
1st Match Return Points Win % 40% (26/65)
1st Match Total Points Won 57% (69/122)
1st Match Tiebreak Win % 100% (1/1)
1st Match Deciding Set Win % 0% (0/0)
1st Match Tiebreaks Per Match 1.00
1st Match 1st Set Won, Won Match 100% (1/1)
1st Match 1st Set Lost, Won Match 0% (0/0)

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

Casper Ruud vs Arthur Rinderknech Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Ruud 3 - 0 Rinderknech

Editorial Prediction:

As we delve into the realm of tennis predictions, it’s imperative to ask the right questions. When it comes to the recent performance in second serve points won, how do Casper Ruud and Arthur Rinderknech stack up against each other? Over the last six months, Ruud has secured 47.5% of points on his second serve, marginally outperforming Rinderknech who has won 46.8%. Such closely fought second serve statistics can heavily influence match predictions since they often correlate with overall performance during matches.

Examining their prowess in return games, Ruud seems to have a slight edge, winning 44.77% of his opponents' second serve points compared to Rinderknech’s 44.26%. Additionally, his return on first serves is superior at 25.12%, whereas Rinderknech lags slightly behind at 22.25%. These numbers play a critical role in determining who might be favored in head-to-head (H2H) matchups. Such stats are essential components when scrutinizing potential winners in tight encounters.

Tennis can often come down to performance under pressure. In recent form, Ruud and Rinderknech are almost neck and neck, saving 58.72% and 58.55% of breakpoints respectively. However, when broadening the performance overview to include match outcomes over the past year, Ruud has a higher win percentage, claiming victory in 60.66% of his matches, whereas Rinderknech stands at 45.16%. This indicates Ruud's consistent form when approaching the overall head-to-head analysis.

Surface preference and proficiency add another dimension to our prediction framework. Ruud shines brightest on clay courts, boasting a 69% win rate throughout his career. Contrarily, grass is where his performance wanes, presenting a modest record of 38%. On the other hand, Rinderknech finds his best footing on indoor hard courts with a 61% success rate, while his statistics on grass show a 48% win rate, indicating a gentle dip in his otherwise successful run on hard surfaces.

The level of tournaments played at is a vital aspect to consider too. Ruud has predominantly participated in Main tour events, where his win ratio stands at an impressive 66.67%. Meanwhile, Rinderknech, though having played many Main tour encounters, has recorded a 44.12% win rate. This suggests Ruud's superior experience and success in high-caliber competitions. In direct head-to-head confrontations, Ruud leads with a clear upper hand, having emerged victorious all three times they have crossed paths, winning every set in the process.

Average opponent rank is another substantial measure for assessing competitor caliber. Ruud's adversaries have averaged a ranking of 63.49, while Rinderknech's opponents have an average rank of 77.05, giving Ruud an edge in terms of higher-level competition faced. If this match extends to a deciding set, Ruud has the upper hand too, winning 68% of such scenarios in the last year as opposed to Rinderknech’s 42%. Furthermore, Ruud displays better breakpoint conversion by converting 27.93% of opportunities, gracefully edging out Rinderknech’s 25.56%.

In summary, based on the comprehensive evaluation of these statistics—from serve and return performance, under-pressure responses, surface preferences, and head-to-head superiority—Ruud appears to be the likelier contender to emerge victorious in this encounter. His consistent form and superior head-to-head record strongly point towards a triumph for the seasoned player.

Casper Ruud vs Arthur Rinderknech Best Odds For The Match

To Win
Rinderknech
+438
Ruud
-476
To Win first set
Rinderknech
+318
Ruud
-416
To win 2-0
Rinderknech
+1141
Ruud
-1999

Casper Ruud Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
QF
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Casper Ruud
53% ( 29 of 55)
1st Serve %
52% ( 30 of 58)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
79% ( 23 of 29)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 18 of 30)
50% ( 13 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 13 of 28)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
35% ( 19 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 27 of 58)
63
Total Points Won
50
L
6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Hamad Medjedovic
59% ( 55 of 93)
1st Serve %
66% ( 59 of 89)
3
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
1
62% ( 34 of 55)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 37 of 59)
55% ( 21 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 13 of 30)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
41% ( 38 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 39 of 89)
94
Total Points Won
88
W
7-5 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Daniel Elahi Galan
52% ( 27 of 52)
1st Serve %
65% ( 40 of 62)
3
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
3
78% ( 21 of 27)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 28 of 40)
76% ( 19 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 10 of 22)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 12 of 52)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 24 of 62)
64
Total Points Won
50
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Alexei Popyrin
Player
Casper Ruud
62% ( 73 of 117)
1st Serve %
69% ( 85 of 123)
4
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
2
74% ( 54 of 73)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 58 of 85)
43% ( 19 of 44)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 18 of 38)
20% ( 3 of 15)
Break Points Won
14% ( 2 of 14)
38% ( 44 of 117)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 47 of 123)
120
Total Points Won
120
L
6-4 3-6 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Roberto Bautista Agut
74% ( 29 of 39)
1st Serve %
61% ( 31 of 51)
6
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
1
86% ( 25 of 29)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 15 of 31)
70% ( 7 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 9 of 20)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
18% ( 7 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 27 of 51)
59
Total Points Won
31
W
6-2 6-1 H2H
R4
cross
Francisco Cerundolo
Player
Casper Ruud
70% ( 37 of 53)
1st Serve %
79% ( 52 of 66)
6
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
3
76% ( 28 of 37)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 28 of 52)
69% ( 11 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
64% ( 9 of 14)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
26% ( 14 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 29 of 66)
68
Total Points Won
51
L
6-4 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Alejandro Tabilo
63% ( 39 of 62)
1st Serve %
74% ( 55 of 74)
11
Aces
7
2
Double Faults
1
87% ( 34 of 39)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 37 of 55)
74% ( 17 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
68% ( 13 of 19)
25% ( 1 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
18% ( 11 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 24 of 74)
75
Total Points Won
61
W
6-4 7-6(4) H2H
R2
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Miomir Kecmanovic
72% ( 71 of 99)
1st Serve %
60% ( 49 of 81)
9
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
0
76% ( 54 of 71)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 36 of 49)
43% ( 12 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
63% ( 20 of 32)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
22% ( 2 of 9)
33% ( 33 of 99)
Rtn Points Won
31% ( 25 of 81)
91
Total Points Won
89
W
3-6 6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Marcos Giron
Player
Casper Ruud
61% ( 70 of 115)
1st Serve %
60% ( 61 of 101)
4
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
8
74% ( 52 of 70)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 47 of 61)
42% ( 19 of 45)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 14 of 40)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
27% ( 3 of 11)
38% ( 44 of 115)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 40 of 101)
111
Total Points Won
105
L
7-6(4) 3-6 6-2 H2H
R2
L
w/o H2H

Arthur Rinderknech Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R1
cross
Arthur Rinderknech
Player
Roman Safiullin
74% ( 42 of 57)
1st Serve %
62% ( 40 of 65)
7
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
88% ( 37 of 42)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 28 of 40)
40% ( 6 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 11 of 25)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
25% ( 14 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 26 of 65)
69
Total Points Won
53
W
7-6(4) 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Laslo Djere
Player
Arthur Rinderknech
68% ( 52 of 77)
1st Serve %
59% ( 52 of 88)
6
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
5
75% ( 39 of 52)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 36 of 52)
68% ( 17 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 15 of 36)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
27% ( 21 of 77)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 37 of 88)
93
Total Points Won
72
L
6-7(2) 6-1 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Jesper De Jong
Player
Arthur Rinderknech
57% ( 37 of 65)
1st Serve %
77% ( 48 of 62)
7
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
0
78% ( 29 of 37)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 30 of 48)
68% ( 19 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 8 of 14)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
26% ( 17 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 24 of 62)
72
Total Points Won
55
L
6-3 7-5 H2H
Q1
cross
Arthur Rinderknech
Player
Jozef Kovalik
61% ( 63 of 103)
1st Serve %
57% ( 58 of 101)
13
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
2
75% ( 47 of 63)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 35 of 58)
45% ( 18 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
63% ( 27 of 43)
22% ( 2 of 9)
Break Points Won
25% ( 3 of 12)
37% ( 38 of 103)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 39 of 101)
104
Total Points Won
100
W
7-6(2) 2-6 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Mariano Navone
Player
Arthur Rinderknech
60% ( 50 of 84)
1st Serve %
60% ( 60 of 100)
2
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
72% ( 36 of 50)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 38 of 60)
65% ( 22 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 12 of 40)
40% ( 6 of 15)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
31% ( 26 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 50 of 100)
108
Total Points Won
76
L
6-0 6-7(5) 6-1 H2H
Q1
cross
Arthur Rinderknech
Player
Luca Nardi
47% ( 28 of 59)
1st Serve %
49% ( 26 of 53)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
5
79% ( 22 of 28)
1st Serve Won
42% ( 11 of 26)
39% ( 12 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 15 of 27)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
42% ( 25 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 27 of 53)
61
Total Points Won
51
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Jaume Antoni Munar Clar
Player
Arthur Rinderknech
61% ( 43 of 71)
1st Serve %
68% ( 51 of 75)
3
Aces
13
2
Double Faults
3
79% ( 34 of 43)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 36 of 51)
50% ( 14 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 11 of 24)
20% ( 1 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
32% ( 23 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 28 of 75)
76
Total Points Won
70
L
6-3 7-6(5) H2H
R1
cross
Reilly Opelka
Player
Arthur Rinderknech
64% ( 78 of 122)
1st Serve %
67% ( 70 of 105)
26
Aces
11
3
Double Faults
3
72% ( 56 of 78)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 54 of 70)
52% ( 23 of 44)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 19 of 35)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
10% ( 1 of 10)
35% ( 43 of 122)
Rtn Points Won
30% ( 32 of 105)
111
Total Points Won
116
L
4-6 7-5 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Nuno Borges
Player
Arthur Rinderknech
72% ( 78 of 108)
1st Serve %
64% ( 67 of 104)
6
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
1
68% ( 53 of 78)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 37 of 67)
50% ( 15 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 18 of 37)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
15% ( 2 of 13)
37% ( 40 of 108)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 49 of 104)
117
Total Points Won
95
L
6-1 5-7 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Arthur Rinderknech
79% ( 45 of 57)
1st Serve %
75% ( 51 of 68)
6
Aces
7
0
Double Faults
1
78% ( 35 of 45)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 29 of 51)
42% ( 5 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 8 of 17)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 17 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 31 of 68)
71
Total Points Won
54
L
6-4 6-3 H2H

Where To Watch Ruud vs Rinderknech?

When the match starts we will have live scores and stats on this page. For live streaming at TV channels of this match, see our ATP and WTA worldwide viewing pages. Free trial live streaming of Ruud Vs Rinderknech is now available here.

Ruud Vs Rinderknech Prediction H2H Video

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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Ruud & Rinderknech Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
Casper Ruud Ruud Stats Arthur Rinderknech Rinderknech
69% (240/106) Win/Loss 60% (97/64)
65% (543/294) Sets Win/Loss 59% (231/163)
56% (4419/3515) Games Win/Loss 54% (2011/1738)
0.3 Aces Per Game 0.44
1160 Aces Total 815
0.19 Double Faults Per Game 0.21
719 Total Double Faults 390
1:39:15 Average Match Time 1:37:27
329.62 Average Opponent Rank 395.28
65% (15425/23723) 1st Serve % 61% (6150/10020)
70% (10801/15425) 1st Serve Win % 74% (4528/6150)
54% (4511/8298) 2nd Serve Win % 50% (1933/3870)
42% (1044/2462) Break Points Won % (Total) 40% (404/1011)
40% (9527/23717) Return Points Win % 39% (4011/10354)
69% (214/311) Best of 3 Sets Win % 63% (95/152)
77% (24/31) Best of 5 Sets Win % 29% (2/7)
54% (55/101) Tiebreaks Win % (Total) 52% (29/56)
62% (63/102) Deciding Set Win % 50% (32/64)
92% (223/206) 1st Set Won, Won Match 86% (91/78)
8% (223/17) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 13% (91/12)
28% (123/35) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 27% (70/19)

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Casper Ruud

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

Hurkacz vs Ruud H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

Bonzi vs Ruud H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

O'Connell vs Ruud H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

Fritz vs Ruud H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

Cina vs Ruud H2H, could play in The Third round

Korda vs Ruud H2H, could play in The Third round

View full predicted draw for Ruud in Madrid

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Arthur Rinderknech

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

Hurkacz vs Rinderknech H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

Bonzi vs Rinderknech H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

O'Connell vs Rinderknech H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

Fritz vs Rinderknech H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

Cina vs Rinderknech H2H, could play in The Third round

Korda vs Rinderknech H2H, could play in The Third round

View full predicted draw for Rinderknech in Madrid

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