Casper Ruud vs Alexander Bublik Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent form, Ruud outperforms Bublik in second serve points won, registering 47.21% compared to Bublik's 45.01%. How significant is this margin? The correlation to match outcome suggests it could be pivotal.
• Regarding return game, Ruud again leads with 45.47% success on opponent's second serves, slightly better than Bublik's 44.1%. Furthermore, Ruud's first-serve return success is higher at 25.68%, with Bublik at 22.99%.
• Under pressure, Bublik edges out Ruud by saving 61.5% of breakpoints compared to Ruud's 58.65%. This might indicate Bublik's ability to handle crucial moments slightly better.
• In a performance overview, Ruud is notably more consistent, winning 65.08% of matches in the last year, while Bublik won just 44%.
• Surface preferences show: Bublik excels on indoor hard courts (62% win rate), whereas Ruud is dominant on clay (70% win rate). Noteworthy, as match surface affects player performance.
• Within the Main tour over the past year, Ruud has a strong win rate of 66.67%, significantly higher than Bublik's 39.13%.
• Historically, Ruud leads their direct meetings, winning 6 out of 7 matches. Have they ever played close matches? They’ve played 17 sets, with Ruud winning 13.
• In matches going the distance, Ruud again holds the advantage, winning 2 out of 3 deciding sets against Bublik.
• Regarding extreme pressure situations, such as tiebreaks, Ruud is slightly ahead, winning 2 to Bublik's 1.
• Ruud has faced tougher competition on average, facing opponents ranked 62.08 compared to Bublik's 77.98 over the last year.
• If the match goes into a deciding set, Ruud is more reliable, capturing 74% of such sets in the past year, compared to Bublik’s 40%.
• In terms of break point conversion, Bublik has recently been more efficient, converting 31.86% of opportunities, while Ruud is at 25.53%.

Editorial Prediction (May 10, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the head-to-head data between Bublik and Ruud, Ruud emerges as the more consistent performer. His advantage in second serve and return game stats suggest a solid framework to control the match.

Ruud's historical success against Bublik, winning 6 out of 7 encounters, adds weight to his favor, showing a pattern of dominance. His ability to thrive under pressure, especially in matches that extend to deciding sets, further cements his role as the favorite.

While Bublik's slightly better breakpoint conversion and ability to save breakpoints show his potential for disruption, Ruud’s consistent performance on the Main tour and success against higher-ranked opponents highlight his readiness to capitalize.

Considering these factors, Casper Ruud is likely to be the victor in the upcoming match against Alexander Bublik.