Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Wojtek Kolan

HEAD TO HEAD

C. Alcaraz vs M. Arnaldi

Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz

Flag ESP ESP

l
w
w
w
w
w
w
l
w
w
Matteo Arnaldi
Matteo Arnaldi

Flag ITA ITA

w
l
w
l
l
w
w
w
l
l

2

Win

2

Played

0

Win

22
Age
24
6'1" (185 cm)
Height
-
1
C. Rank
63
1
Best Rank
30
25
Total Titles
0
8
YTD Titles
0
$39.9M
Career Money
$2.5M
Right-Handed
Plays
-

Head-to-head: Alcaraz 2 - 0 Arnaldi

They have played 6 sets in total, with Carlos Alcaraz winning 5 and Matteo Arnaldi winning 1. The last match between Carlos Alcaraz and Matteo Arnaldi was at the BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells, 08-03-2024, Round: R2, Surface: Hard, with Carlos Alcaraz getting the victory 6-7(5) 6-0 6-1.

PlayersHead To Head Match Wins
Alcaraz2
Arnaldi0
Last 2 H2H Matches:

(R2BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells(03-08-24)

Hard
ESP Flag
Carlos Alcaraz
6
6
6
ITA Flag
Matteo Arnaldi
7
0
1

(R4U.S. Open - New York(09-04-23)

Hard
ESP Flag
Carlos Alcaraz
6
6
6
ITA Flag
Matteo Arnaldi
3
3
4

C. Alcaraz vs M. Arnaldi H2H Profile

Stats
$39,913,030Career Prize Money$2,532,865
81.00% (358-84)Career Total W/L59.90% (239-160)
2Hard0
32Titles6
2Total H2H Matches0
89.61% (69-8)YTD Win/Loss45.45% (20-24)
8YTD Titles0

C. Alcaraz vs M. Arnaldi Match Preview:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Carlos Alcaraz has won 46.13% of points on their second serve, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 48.53%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Carlos Alcaraz, in recent form, has won 41.98% of their opponent's second serve points, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 44.59%. The same stats for first serve returns are 24.51% and 25.15% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Carlos Alcaraz has saved 54.93% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Matteo Arnaldi has saved 61.04% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Carlos Alcaraz has won 88.75% of matches played (W/L 71/9), with Matteo Arnaldi winning 46.94% (W/L 23/26) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Carlos Alcaraz has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 90% (W/L 35/4), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 69% (W/L 33/15). Matteo Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 132/70), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 18/28).
  • Player level: In the last year, Carlos Alcaraz has played most of their matches on the Grand Slam, winning 92.31% of matches (W/L 24/2), where as Matteo Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 50.00% of matches (W/L 13/13). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Carlos Alcaraz winning 2 times and Matteo Arnaldi being victorious 0 times. They have played 6 sets in total, with Carlos Alcaraz winning 5 and Matteo Arnaldi winning 1.
  • The last match between Carlos Alcaraz and Matteo Arnaldi was at the BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells, 08-03-2024, Round: R2, Surface: Hard, with Carlos Alcaraz getting the victory 6-7(5) 6-0 6-1.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:5:42.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Carlos Alcaraz has played against opponents with an average rank of 48.49 while Matteo Arnaldi has played against players with an average rank of 62.22.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Carlos Alcaraz has won 80% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 47% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Carlos Alcaraz has converted 30.88% of breakpoint opportunities, and Matteo Arnaldi has converted 25.83% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

C. Alcaraz vs M. Arnaldi H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Stats
2H2H Matches Won0
5Sets Won1
36Games Won18
4Aces (Total)7
4Total Double Faults3
2:5:42Average Match Time2:5:42
61% (92/150)1st Serve %60% (109/182)
82% (75/92)1st Serve Win %62% (68/109)
57% (33/58)2nd Serve Win %42% (31/73)
44% (11/25)Break Pts Won %40% (2/5)
46% (83/182)Return Points Win %28% (42/150)
100% (1/1)Best‑of‑3 Win %0% (0/1)
100% (1/1)Best‑of‑5 Win %0% (0/1)
100% (1/1)Deciding Set Win %0% (0/1)
100% (1/1)1st Set Won, Won Match0% (0/1)
0% (0/1)1st Set Won, Lost Match100% (1/1)
100% (1/1)1st Set Lost, Won Match0% (0/1)

Recent Performance Stats

2nd Serve Win %: Alcaraz 57%, Arnaldi 51%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Alcaraz 54%, Arnaldi 47%.
Break Points Saved %: Alcaraz 67%, Arnaldi 65%.

C. Alcaraz Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
I.hardNitto ATP Finals - Turin - 10-11-2025

Robin

USAT. Fritz
W
6-7(2) 7-5 6-3

Robin

AUSA. De
W
7-6(5) 6-2
I.hardRolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025

R2

GBRC. Norrie
L
4-6 6-3 6-4
HardJapan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo - 22-09-2025

F

USAT. Fritz
W
6-4 6-4

SF

NORC. Ruud
W
3-6 6-3 6-4

M. Arnaldi Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
I.hardRolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025

Q1

GBRJ. Fearnley
L
7-5 6-2
I.hardErste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025

R2

GERA. Zverev
L
6-4 6-4

R1

USAA. Kovacevic
W
7-5 6-4

Q3

AUST. Schoolkate
W
7-6(5) 6-3

Q1

NEDJ. De
W
6-4 7-6(5)
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C. Alcaraz vs M. Arnaldi Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Stats
81.00% (358/84)YTD Win/Loss59.90% (239/160)
73.35% (845/307)Sets Win/Loss57.91% (560/407)
57.54% (6354/4689)Games Win/Loss52.58% (4842/4366)
81.17% (125/29)Hard Win/Loss60.71% (85/55)
82.09% (165/36)Clay Win/Loss65.35% (132/70)
68.75% (33/15)Indoor Hard W/L38.30% (18/29)
89.74% (35/4)Grass Win/Loss40.00% (4/6)
0.3Aces Per Game0.36
1635Aces Total1621
0.19Double Faults Per Game0.25
1038Total Double Faults1126
1:57:17Average Match Time1:45:46
189.25Average Opponent Rank302.44
65% (21842/33403)1st Serve %59% (16488/28035)
71% (15401/21842)1st Serve Win %68% (11281/16488)
56% (6429/11561)2nd Serve Win %50% (5794/11542)
43% (1695/3972)Break Points Won % (Total)43% (1155/2712)
42% (14953/35464)Return Points Win %40% (10868/27336)
86.54% (90/14)Slam W/L56.25% (18/14)
78.18% (86/24)Masters W/L54.39% (31/26)
83.33% (10/2)Cups W/L80.00% (4/1)
81.03% (94/22)Main Tour W/L48.57% (34/36)
55.56% (5/4)Tour Finals W/L0% (0/0)
77.08% (37/11)Challenger W/L59.84% (73/49)
83.78% (31/6)Futures W/L70.27% (78/33)
79% (268/338)Best of 3 Sets Win %61% (223/367)
88% (87/99)Best of 5 Sets Win %43% (12/28)
65% (118/182)Tiebreaks Win % (Total)58% (76/131)
72% (93/130)Deciding Set Win %51% (68/133)
93% (326/303)1st Set Won, Won Match83% (242/200)
7% (326/23)1st Set Won, Lost Match17% (242/42)
46% (114/53)1st Set Lost, Won Match24% (156/37)

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