Carlos Alcaraz vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Alcaraz vs Nakashima analysis and find out who is favored!
Carlos Alcaraz vs Brandon Nakashima Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Alcaraz has won 56.97% of points on his second serve, while Nakashima has won 56.58%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Alcaraz, in recent form, has won 56.41% of his opponent's second serve points, while Nakashima has won 49.38%. The same stats for first serve returns are 35.3% and 31.06% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Alcaraz has saved 59.3% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Nakashima has saved 71.29% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Alcaraz has won 81.82% of matches played (W/L 63/ 14), with Nakashima winning 58.67% (W/L 44/ 31) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Alcaraz has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 16/ 2), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 57% (W/L 13/ 10). Nakashima has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 72% (W/L 54/ 21), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 48% (W/L 20/ 22).
- Player level: In the last year, Alcaraz has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 80% of matches (W/L 24/ 6), where as Nakashima has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 75% of matches (W/L 27/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 1 times before with Alcaraz winning 1 times. They have played 3 sets in total, with Alcaraz winning 2 and Nakashima winning 1. The last match between Alcaraz and Nakashima was at the Oeiras 3 Challenger, 19-05-2021, Second, Clay with Carlos Alcaraz getting the victory .
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:11:13.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Alcaraz and Nakashima have played a deciding set 1 times, with Alcaraz winning 1 times and Nakashima 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Alcaraz winning 0, and Nakashima 0.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Alcaraz has played against opponents with an average rank of 87.29 while Nakashima has played against players with an average rank of 233.71.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Alcaraz has won 76% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Nakashima has won 35% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Alcaraz has converted 41.84% of breakpoint opportunities, and Nakashima has converted 35.97% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Alcaraz 1 - 0 Nakashima
20
Total
5
Mast
4
Chall
2
Slam
6
Main
3
Minor
3
Rank
1
High
20
Age
R
Plays
1
Total0
0
Hard0
1
Clay0
0
Indoor0
0
Grass0
87
Rank
43
High
22
Age
R
Plays
7
Total
0
Mast
4
Chall
0
Slam
1
Main
2
Minor
Form
79% (245-67)
Career Total W/L
61% (184-116)
79% (15-4)
YTD W/L
72% (26-10)
$18,748,645
Career Prize Money
$1,608,265
1
YTD Titles
1
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
stats | Carlos Alcaraz | Brandon Nakashima |
---|---|---|
All H2H Matches | 1 | 0 |
Sets Won | 2 | 1 |
Games Won | 15 | 14 |
Aces (Total) | 1 | 3 |
DFs (Total) | 3 | 3 |
Avg Match Time | 2:11:13 | 2:11:13 |
1st Serve % | 71% (59/83) | 61% (57/94) |
1st Serve Win% | 61% (36/59) | 56% (32/57) |
2nd Serve Win% | 50% (12/24) | 54% (20/37) |
BPs Won% (Total) | 55% (6/11) | 71% (5/7) |
Return Points W% | 45% (42/94) | 42% (35/83) |
Best of 3 Sets W% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Deciding Set Win% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
1st set W, W | 0% (0/0) | 0% (1/0) |
1st set W, L | 0% (0/0) | 100% (1/1) |
1st set L, W | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/0) |
Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3-6 6-4 6-4 |
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Brandon Nakashima
71%
(
59 of
83)
1st Serve %
61%
(
57 of
94)
1
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
61%
(
36 of
59)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
32 of
57)
50%
(
12 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
54%
(
20 of
37)
55%
(
6 of
11)
Break Points Won
71%
(
5 of
7)
42%
(
35 of
83)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
42 of
94)
90
Total Points Won
87
|
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
stats | Carlos Alcaraz | Brandon Nakashima |
---|---|---|
YTD W/L | 79% (15/4) | 72% (26/10) |
Sets Win/Loss | 78% (35/10) | 68% (54/25) |
Games Win/Loss | 61% (248/159) | 55% (439/362) |
Hard Win/Loss | 87% (13/2) | 73% (11/4) |
Clay Win/Loss | 50% (2/2) | 67% (4/2) |
Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 73% (11/4) |
Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Aces pg | 0.3 | 0.71 |
Aces Total | 61 | 278 |
DFs per game | 0.15 | 0.13 |
DFs Total | 31 | 50 |
Avg Match Time | 1:44:44 | 1:44:40 |
Avg Opp Rank | 132.47 | 294.19 |
1st Serve % | 67% (802/1191) | 65% (1625/2494) |
1st Serve W% | 75% (598/802) | 75% (1222/1625) |
2nd Serve W% | 57% (222/389) | 57% (498/869) |
BPs Won% Total | 43% (68/159) | 34% (73/217) |
Return Pts W% | 44% (595/1361) | 37% (976/2634) |
Slam W/L | 80% (4/1) | 0% (0/1) |
Masters W/L | 90% (9/1) | 60% (3/2) |
Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Main Tour W/L | 50% (2/2) | 67% (4/2) |
Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 79% (19/5) |
Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Best of 3 Sets W% | 85% (11/13) | 71% (25/35) |
Best of 5 Sets W% | 80% (4/5) | 0% (0/0) |
TBs Win% (Total) | 63% (5/8) | 71% (12/17) |
Deciding Set W% | 100% (2/2) | 56% (5/9) |
1st set W, W | 100% (13/13) | 88% (25/22) |
1st set W, L | 0% (13/0) | 12% (25/3) |
1st set L, W | 40% (5/2) | 30% (10/3) |
Carlos Alcaraz Recent Matches Played
opponent | Score | H2H | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
QF |
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
63%
(
35 of
56)
1st Serve %
58%
(
34 of
59)
4
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
3
77%
(
27 of
35)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
19 of
34)
48%
(
10 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
13 of
25)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
34%
(
19 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
27 of
59)
64
Total Points Won
51
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
R4 |
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
64%
(
35 of
55)
1st Serve %
68%
(
40 of
59)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
0
74%
(
26 of
35)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
25 of
40)
55%
(
11 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
7 of
19)
36%
(
4 of
11)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
33%
(
18 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
27 of
59)
64
Total Points Won
50
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
R3 |
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Gael Monfils
81%
(
38 of
47)
1st Serve %
64%
(
30 of
47)
1
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
6
76%
(
29 of
38)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
20 of
30)
44%
(
4 of
9)
2nd Serve Won
18%
(
3 of
17)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
30%
(
14 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
24 of
47)
57
Total Points Won
37
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
71%
(
34 of
48)
1st Serve %
62%
(
33 of
53)
3
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
3
79%
(
27 of
34)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
19 of
33)
36%
(
5 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
30%
(
6 of
20)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
33%
(
16 of
48)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
28 of
53)
60
Total Points Won
41
|
6-2 6-1 | H2H | ||
F |
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Daniil Medvedev
65%
(
40 of
62)
1st Serve %
61%
(
48 of
79)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
75%
(
30 of
40)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
30 of
48)
68%
(
15 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
14 of
31)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
27%
(
17 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
35 of
79)
80
Total Points Won
61
|
7-6(5) 6-1 | H2H | ||
SF |
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jannik Sinner
65%
(
47 of
72)
1st Serve %
62%
(
46 of
74)
0
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
70%
(
33 of
47)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
30 of
46)
52%
(
13 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
54%
(
15 of
28)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
36%
(
26 of
72)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
29 of
74)
75
Total Points Won
71
|
1-6 6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
QF |
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Alexander Zverev
79%
(
31 of
39)
1st Serve %
78%
(
49 of
63)
1
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
2
87%
(
27 of
31)
1st Serve Won
51%
(
25 of
49)
75%
(
6 of
8)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
7 of
14)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
15%
(
6 of
39)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
31 of
63)
64
Total Points Won
38
|
6-3 6-1 | H2H | ||
R4 |
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Fabian Marozsan
63%
(
31 of
49)
1st Serve %
55%
(
32 of
58)
4
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
1
84%
(
26 of
31)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
23 of
32)
67%
(
12 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
10 of
26)
38%
(
3 of
8)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
22%
(
11 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
25 of
58)
63
Total Points Won
44
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
R3 |
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
73%
(
32 of
44)
1st Serve %
67%
(
35 of
52)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
5
78%
(
25 of
32)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
19 of
35)
67%
(
8 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
8 of
17)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
25%
(
11 of
44)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
25 of
52)
58
Total Points Won
38
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
57%
(
43 of
76)
1st Serve %
57%
(
52 of
92)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
86%
(
37 of
43)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
31 of
52)
55%
(
18 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
17 of
40)
46%
(
6 of
13)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
28%
(
21 of
76)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
44 of
92)
99
Total Points Won
69
|
6-7(5) 6-0 6-1 | H2H |
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Brandon Nakashima Recent Matches Played
opponent | Score | H2H | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
R3 |
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Player
Brandon Nakashima
67%
(
62 of
93)
1st Serve %
62%
(
77 of
125)
6
Aces
14
3
Double Faults
0
77%
(
48 of
62)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
53 of
77)
45%
(
14 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
54%
(
26 of
48)
17%
(
2 of
12)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
33%
(
31 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
46 of
125)
108
Total Points Won
110
|
3-6 7-6(5) 6-4 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Brandon Nakashima
Player
Andrey Rublev
55%
(
41 of
75)
1st Serve %
48%
(
38 of
79)
6
Aces
7
0
Double Faults
5
80%
(
33 of
41)
1st Serve Won
79%
(
30 of
38)
56%
(
19 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
56%
(
23 of
41)
11%
(
1 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
31%
(
23 of
75)
Rtn Points Won
33%
(
26 of
79)
78
Total Points Won
76
|
6-4 7-6(6) | H2H | ||
R1 |
Brandon Nakashima
Player
Daniel Evans
49%
(
33 of
68)
1st Serve %
60%
(
55 of
92)
3
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
5
64%
(
21 of
33)
1st Serve Won
49%
(
27 of
55)
63%
(
22 of
35)
2nd Serve Won
59%
(
22 of
37)
33%
(
4 of
12)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
37%
(
25 of
68)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
43 of
92)
86
Total Points Won
74
|
7-6(5) 6-2 | H2H | ||
QF |
Ben Shelton
Player
Brandon Nakashima
74%
(
70 of
94)
1st Serve %
78%
(
69 of
89)
6
Aces
8
2
Double Faults
3
74%
(
52 of
70)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
51 of
69)
63%
(
15 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
10 of
20)
17%
(
1 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
7)
29%
(
27 of
94)
Rtn Points Won
31%
(
28 of
89)
95
Total Points Won
88
|
7-5 7-6(9) | H2H | ||
R2 |
Brandon Nakashima
Player
Rinky Hijikata
70%
(
31 of
44)
1st Serve %
47%
(
23 of
49)
7
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
5
94%
(
29 of
31)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
17 of
23)
69%
(
9 of
13)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
11 of
26)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
14%
(
6 of
44)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
21 of
49)
59
Total Points Won
34
|
6-1 6-4 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Brandon Nakashima
Player
Duje Ajdukovic
58%
(
29 of
50)
1st Serve %
53%
(
25 of
47)
4
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
79%
(
23 of
29)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
15 of
25)
67%
(
14 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
59%
(
13 of
22)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
26%
(
13 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
19 of
47)
56
Total Points Won
41
|
6-1 6-4 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Alejandro Tabilo
Player
Brandon Nakashima
72%
(
71 of
98)
1st Serve %
67%
(
55 of
82)
13
Aces
12
2
Double Faults
1
72%
(
51 of
71)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
38 of
55)
33%
(
9 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
12 of
27)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
33%
(
3 of
9)
39%
(
38 of
98)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
32 of
82)
92
Total Points Won
88
|
6-4 3-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
QF |
Brandon Nakashima
Player
Terence Atmane
50%
(
4 of
8)
1st Serve %
43%
(
3 of
7)
0
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
0
75%
(
3 of
4)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
50%
(
2 of
4)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
0%
(
0 of
0)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
38%
(
3 of
8)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
3 of
7)
8
Total Points Won
7
|
1-1 ret. | H2H | ||
Q1 |
Brandon Nakashima
Player
Michael Mmoh
69%
(
55 of
80)
1st Serve %
55%
(
57 of
104)
19
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
8
76%
(
42 of
55)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
42 of
57)
60%
(
15 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
49%
(
23 of
47)
29%
(
2 of
7)
Break Points Won
75%
(
3 of
4)
29%
(
23 of
80)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
39 of
104)
96
Total Points Won
88
|
2-6 7-6(4) 6-4 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Jiri Lehecka
Player
Brandon Nakashima
66%
(
60 of
91)
1st Serve %
56%
(
50 of
89)
8
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
1
68%
(
41 of
60)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
31 of
50)
55%
(
17 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
56%
(
22 of
39)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
60%
(
3 of
5)
36%
(
33 of
91)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
36 of
89)
94
Total Points Won
86
|
3-6 6-3 6-4 | H2H |
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