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Aryna Sabalenka vs Tatjana Maria Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Sabalenka vs Maria analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Aryna Sabalenka vs Tatjana Maria Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Sabalenka 3 - 0 Maria

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Sabalenka has won 49.07% of points on his second serve, while Maria has won 43.85%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Sabalenka, in recent form, has won 55.74% of his opponent's second serve points, while Maria has won 53.86%. The same stats for first serve returns are 36.67% and 38.59% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Sabalenka has saved 60.42% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Maria has saved 44.44% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Sabalenka has won 76.12% of matches played (W/L 51/ 16), with Maria winning 50.77% (W/L 33/ 32) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Sabalenka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 71% (W/L 237/ 95), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 79/ 46). Maria has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 66% (W/L 63/ 32), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 50% (W/L 196/ 193).
  • Player level: In the last year, Sabalenka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 68.75% of matches (W/L 22/ 10), where as Maria has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 48.39% of matches (W/L 15/ 16). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Sabalenka winning 3 times. They have played 8 sets in total, with Sabalenka winning 6 and Maria winning 2. The last match between Sabalenka and Maria was at the Shenzhen Open - Shenzhen, 31-12-2018, First, Hard with Aryna Sabalenka getting the victory 3-6 6-3 6-1.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:43:5.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Sabalenka and Maria have played a deciding set 2 times, with Sabalenka winning 2 times and Maria 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Sabalenka winning 0, and Maria 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Sabalenka has played against opponents with an average rank of 67.88 while Maria has played against players with an average rank of 169.25.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Sabalenka has won 52% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Maria has won 44% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Sabalenka has converted 45.99% of breakpoint opportunities, and Maria has converted 47.39% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Sabalenka 3 - 0 Maria

Aryna Sabalenka

20

Total

5

Mast

4

Chall

2

Slam

7

Main

2

Minor

2

Rank

1

High

26

Age

R

Plays

3

Total

0

2

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

64

Rank

42

High

36

Age

R

Plays

Tatjana Maria

21

Total

0

Mast

17

Chall

0

Slam

3

Main

1

Minor

3

Total

0

2

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W W W L W W W W W L

Form

L W W L W L W L W L

68% (393-182)

Career Total W/L

56% (616-483)

78% (25-7)

YTD W/L

46% (12-14)

$19,774,224

Career Prize Money

$2,333,842

1

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Sabalenka VS Maria H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Aryna Sabalenka Tatjana Maria
All H2H Matches 3 0
Sets Won 6 2
Games Won 44 27
Aces (Total) 7 10
DFs (Total) 8 12
Avg Match Time 1:43:5 1:43:5
1st Serve % 61% (141/230) 51% (127/247)
1st Serve Win% 70% (98/141) 64% (81/127)
2nd Serve Win% 51% (45/89) 38% (46/120)
BPs Won% (Total) 57% (17/30) 44% (8/18)
Return Points W% 49% (120/247) 38% (87/230)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (3/3) 0% (0/3)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set Win% 100% (2/2) 0% (0/2)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 0% (2/0)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 100% (2/2)
1st set L, W 100% (2/2) 0% (1/0)

Sabalenka VS Maria H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
3-6 6-3 6-1
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Tatjana Maria
61% ( 49 of 80)
1st Serve %
61% ( 48 of 79)
1
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
4
59% ( 29 of 49)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 29 of 48)
52% ( 16 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 9 of 31)
64% ( 7 of 11)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
44% ( 35 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 41 of 79)
86
Total Points Won
73
4-6 6-1 6-2
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Tatjana Maria
67% ( 54 of 81)
1st Serve %
52% ( 43 of 83)
2
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
3
76% ( 41 of 54)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 28 of 43)
48% ( 13 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 16 of 40)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
33% ( 27 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 39 of 83)
93
Total Points Won
71
6-3 7-5
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Tatjana Maria
55% ( 38 of 69)
1st Serve %
42% ( 36 of 85)
4
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
5
74% ( 28 of 38)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 24 of 36)
52% ( 16 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 21 of 49)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
36% ( 25 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 40 of 85)
84
Total Points Won
70

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Aryna Sabalenka Tatjana Maria
YTD W/L 78% (25/7) 46% (12/14)
Sets Win/Loss 71% (54/22) 45% (28/34)
Games Win/Loss 58% (408/298) 47% (262/293)
Hard Win/Loss 78% (14/4) 43% (6/8)
Clay Win/Loss 79% (11/3) 50% (5/5)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 50% (1/1)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.44 0.32
Aces Total 152 87
DFs per game 0.29 0.29
DFs Total 100 78
Avg Match Time 1:43:26 1:46:20
Avg Opp Rank 74.13 165.23
1st Serve % 64% (1434/2241) 55% (1004/1825)
1st Serve W% 71% (1018/1434) 62% (624/1004)
2nd Serve W% 49% (396/807) 44% (360/821)
BPs Won% Total 46% (126/274) 47% (100/211)
Return Pts W% 44% (1018/2305) 44% (798/1827)
Slam W/L 100% (7/0) 50% (1/1)
Masters W/L 72% (13/5) 40% (4/6)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 100% (1/0)
Main Tour W/L 71% (5/2) 50% (6/6)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 77% (24/31) 44% (11/25)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 67% (6/9) 38% (3/8)
Deciding Set W% 58% (7/12) 55% (6/11)
1st set W, W 86% (22/19) 67% (12/8)
1st set W, L 9% (22/2) 33% (12/4)
1st set L, W 50% (10/5) 21% (14/3)

Aryna Sabalenka Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
F
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
54% ( 31 of 57)
1st Serve %
59% ( 32 of 54)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
74% ( 23 of 31)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 18 of 32)
62% ( 16 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 9 of 22)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
32% ( 18 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 27 of 54)
66
Total Points Won
45
L
6-2 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Danielle Rose Collins
60% ( 35 of 58)
1st Serve %
53% ( 33 of 62)
4
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
5
74% ( 26 of 35)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 22 of 33)
57% ( 13 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 12 of 29)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
33% ( 19 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 28 of 62)
67
Total Points Won
53
W
7-5 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
76% ( 37 of 49)
1st Serve %
73% ( 46 of 63)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
81% ( 30 of 37)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 31 of 46)
50% ( 6 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 6 of 17)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
27% ( 13 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 26 of 63)
62
Total Points Won
50
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elina Svitolina
72% ( 85 of 118)
1st Serve %
52% ( 44 of 85)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
6
58% ( 49 of 85)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 29 of 44)
48% ( 16 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 15 of 41)
86% ( 6 of 7)
Break Points Won
28% ( 5 of 18)
45% ( 53 of 118)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 41 of 85)
106
Total Points Won
97
W
4-6 6-1 7-6(7) H2H
R3
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Dayana Yastremska
66% ( 33 of 50)
1st Serve %
60% ( 42 of 70)
1
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
4
76% ( 25 of 33)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 26 of 42)
76% ( 13 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 14 of 28)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
24% ( 12 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 30 of 70)
68
Total Points Won
52
W
6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Katie Volynets
69% ( 68 of 98)
1st Serve %
78% ( 73 of 94)
3
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
3
63% ( 43 of 68)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 37 of 73)
40% ( 12 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 9 of 21)
54% ( 7 of 13)
Break Points Won
31% ( 5 of 16)
44% ( 43 of 98)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 48 of 94)
103
Total Points Won
89
W
4-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
F
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
66% ( 78 of 119)
1st Serve %
58% ( 68 of 118)
2
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
4
67% ( 52 of 78)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 46 of 68)
51% ( 21 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 24 of 50)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
38% ( 5 of 13)
39% ( 46 of 119)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 48 of 118)
121
Total Points Won
116
L
7-5 4-6 7-6(7) H2H
SF
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elena Rybakina
64% ( 56 of 88)
1st Serve %
61% ( 65 of 106)
4
Aces
9
4
Double Faults
3
77% ( 43 of 56)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 46 of 65)
50% ( 16 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 24 of 41)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
33% ( 29 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 36 of 106)
95
Total Points Won
99
W
1-6 7-5 7-6(5) H2H
QF
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Mirra Andreeva
65% ( 34 of 52)
1st Serve %
53% ( 31 of 58)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
79% ( 27 of 34)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 20 of 31)
61% ( 11 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 11 of 27)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
27% ( 14 of 52)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 27 of 58)
65
Total Points Won
45
W
6-1 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Danielle Rose Collins
66% ( 60 of 91)
1st Serve %
52% ( 48 of 93)
4
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
4
68% ( 41 of 60)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 33 of 48)
45% ( 14 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 18 of 45)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
40% ( 36 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 42 of 93)
97
Total Points Won
87
W
4-6 6-4 6-3 H2H

Tatjana Maria Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Tatjana Maria
71% ( 51 of 72)
1st Serve %
51% ( 32 of 63)
1
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
1
59% ( 30 of 51)
1st Serve Won
44% ( 14 of 32)
38% ( 8 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 10 of 31)
53% ( 8 of 15)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
47% ( 34 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
62% ( 39 of 63)
77
Total Points Won
58
L
7-5 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Tatjana Maria
Player
Linda Fruhvirtova
54% ( 51 of 95)
1st Serve %
60% ( 54 of 90)
5
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
6
55% ( 28 of 51)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 26 of 54)
45% ( 20 of 44)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 16 of 36)
82% ( 9 of 11)
Break Points Won
73% ( 8 of 11)
49% ( 47 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 48 of 90)
96
Total Points Won
89
W
7-6(5) 3-6 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Victoria Azarenka
Player
Tatjana Maria
68% ( 38 of 56)
1st Serve %
51% ( 27 of 53)
2
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
1
63% ( 24 of 38)
1st Serve Won
44% ( 12 of 27)
61% ( 11 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 8 of 26)
75% ( 6 of 8)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
38% ( 21 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
62% ( 33 of 53)
68
Total Points Won
41
L
6-3 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Tatjana Maria
Player
Peyton Stearns
58% ( 66 of 114)
1st Serve %
75% ( 85 of 114)
9
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
1
76% ( 50 of 66)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 44 of 85)
38% ( 18 of 48)
2nd Serve Won
69% ( 20 of 29)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
40% ( 46 of 114)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 50 of 114)
118
Total Points Won
110
W
6-7(4) 6-2 7-6(5) H2H
R1
cross
Elise Mertens
Player
Tatjana Maria
56% ( 35 of 62)
1st Serve %
56% ( 35 of 62)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
80% ( 28 of 35)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 19 of 35)
41% ( 11 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 8 of 27)
80% ( 8 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
37% ( 23 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 35 of 62)
74
Total Points Won
50
L
6-1 4-6 6-0 H2H
Rubber 2
cross
Tatjana Maria
Player
Laura Pigossi
61% ( 48 of 79)
1st Serve %
75% ( 75 of 100)
4
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
2
65% ( 31 of 48)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 43 of 75)
42% ( 13 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 9 of 25)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
75% ( 6 of 8)
44% ( 35 of 79)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 48 of 100)
92
Total Points Won
87
W
2-6 6-4 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
Player
Tatjana Maria
65% ( 51 of 78)
1st Serve %
54% ( 45 of 83)
0
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
5
61% ( 31 of 51)
1st Serve Won
49% ( 22 of 45)
33% ( 9 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 17 of 38)
54% ( 7 of 13)
Break Points Won
54% ( 7 of 13)
49% ( 38 of 78)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 44 of 83)
84
Total Points Won
77
L
1-6 6-3 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Tatjana Maria
Player
Julia Riera
65% ( 59 of 91)
1st Serve %
56% ( 38 of 68)
1
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
9
56% ( 33 of 59)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 18 of 38)
50% ( 16 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 11 of 30)
70% ( 7 of 10)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
46% ( 42 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 39 of 68)
88
Total Points Won
71
W
2-6 6-0 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Tatjana Maria
Player
Anna Bondar
38% ( 29 of 76)
1st Serve %
40% ( 19 of 47)
2
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
3
55% ( 16 of 29)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 11 of 19)
60% ( 28 of 47)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 11 of 28)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
42% ( 32 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 25 of 47)
69
Total Points Won
54
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Anna Bondar
Player
Tatjana Maria
56% ( 63 of 113)
1st Serve %
58% ( 56 of 97)
6
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
0
65% ( 41 of 63)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 39 of 56)
54% ( 27 of 50)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 24 of 41)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
40% ( 45 of 113)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 34 of 97)
102
Total Points Won
108
L
0-6 7-6(3) 7-5 H2H

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