Aryna Sabalenka vs Sofia Kenin Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How do Kenin and Sabalenka compare in recent second serve performance? Kenin has a slight edge, winning 39.75% of second serve points in the past six months, compared to Sabalenka's 39.7%.
• Who has the advantage in return game stats? Sabalenka outperforms Kenin, winning 49.7% of her opponent's second serve points, while Kenin wins 47.87%. In first serve returns, Sabalenka also leads with 29.33% compared to Kenin's 28.83%.
• Which player displays better under pressure by saving breakpoints? Kenin saves 51.59% of breakpoints, slightly higher than Sabalenka's 51.03%, indicating Kenin's resilience could be crucial during key moments.
• When comparing their performance over the past year, who stands out? Sabalenka has a significant edge, winning 83.95% of her matches, whereas Kenin has a win rate of 56.14%, suggesting Sabalenka's recent form is superior.
• Looking at career surface performance, which player excels? Sabalenka shows stronger performance on Hard courts with a 74% winning rate, while Kenin's best is on Grass at 62%. However, both struggle on I.hard surfaces.
• In terms of player level over the last year, how do they compare? Sabalenka, playing mainly in the Masters series, won 83.67% of her matches, whereas Kenin, competing mostly on the Main tour, achieved a 60% win rate.
• What does the direct head-to-head record tell us? Sabalenka leads with three wins to Kenin's one. Their last encounter in the China Open saw Sabalenka secure a dominant victory of 6-1, 6-2.
• Who performs better in deciding sets against all players? Sabalenka has a slight edge, winning 59% of deciding sets compared to Kenin's 56% over the past year.
• Regarding opponent quality, who has faced tougher competition recently? Sabalenka's opponents had an average ranking of 36.42, stronger than Kenin's, whose opponents had an average ranking of 72.86.
• In recent form, how effective are they at converting break points? Kenin has a conversion rate of 38.3%, slightly higher than Sabalenka's 34.98%, indicating Kenin could capitalize better on opportunities.

Editorial Prediction (May 9, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing recent performances, both Kenin and Sabalenka exhibit strengths and weaknesses in key areas. Kenin slightly outperforms Sabalenka in some pressure situations, particularly in saving and converting breakpoints. However, Sabalenka’s robust return game and overall match-winning rate give her a distinct edge.

The head-to-head statistics favor Sabalenka, who has defeated Kenin in their last three encounters, showcasing consistent superiority. Moreover, Sabalenka's experience against higher-ranked opponents could play a pivotal role in navigating crucial match moments.

Considering the data, Aryna Sabalenka is more likely to emerge as the winner in their upcoming match, given her stronger overall form and ability to capitalize on key opportunities against formidable opponents.