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Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Sabalenka vs Swiatek analysis and find out who is favored!
Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Sabalenka has won 47.43% of points on his second serve, while Swiatek has won 54.11%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Sabalenka, in recent form, has won 57.89% of his opponent's second serve points, while Swiatek has won 61.75%. The same stats for first serve returns are 37.13% and 41.8% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Sabalenka has saved 59.29% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Swiatek has saved 69.4% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Sabalenka has won 75.81% of matches played (W/L 47/ 15), with Swiatek winning 87.06% (W/L 74/ 11) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Sabalenka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 71% (W/L 237/ 95), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 61% (W/L 69/ 44). Swiatek has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 87% (W/L 113/ 17), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 70% (W/L 16/ 7).
- Player level: In the last year, Sabalenka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 18/ 9), where as Swiatek has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 86.96% of matches (W/L 40/ 6). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 9 times before with Sabalenka winning 3 times. They have played 22 sets in total, with Sabalenka winning 7 and Swiatek winning 15. The last match between Sabalenka and Swiatek was at the WTA Finals - Cancun, 05-11-2023, Semifinals, Hard with Iga Swiatek getting the victory .
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:49:41.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Sabalenka and Swiatek have played a deciding set 4 times, with Sabalenka winning 3 times and Swiatek 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Sabalenka winning 0, and Swiatek 0.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Sabalenka has played against opponents with an average rank of 62.66 while Swiatek has played against players with an average rank of 75.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Sabalenka has won 44% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Swiatek has won 58% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Sabalenka has converted 46% of breakpoint opportunities, and Swiatek has converted 48.24% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Sabalenka 3 - 6 Swiatek
2
Rank
1
High
25
Age
R
Plays
3
Total6
2
Hard3
1
Clay3
0
Indoor0
0
Grass0
1
Rank
1
High
22
Age
R
Plays
W
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
L
Form
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
68% (383-180)
Career Total W/L
81% (311-71)
75% (15-5)
YTD W/L
87% (26-4)
$18,896,949
Career Prize Money
$22,080,641
1
YTD Titles
3
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
| stats | Aryna Sabalenka | Iga Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Sets Won | 7 | 15 |
| Games Won | 79 | 109 |
| Aces (Total) | 38 | 9 |
| DFs (Total) | 53 | 22 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:49:41 | 1:49:41 |
| 1st Serve % | 60% (386/647) | 65% (377/578) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 62% (241/386) | 68% (257/377) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 39% (103/261) | 49% (99/201) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 41% (23/56) | 51% (39/77) |
| Return Points W% | 38% (222/578) | 47% (303/647) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 33% (3/9) | 67% (6/9) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 75% (3/4) | 25% (1/4) |
| 1st set W, W | 67% (3/2) | 83% (6/5) |
| 1st set W, L | 33% (3/1) | 17% (6/1) |
| 1st set L, W | 17% (6/1) | 33% (3/1) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-3 6-2 |
Stats 
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
68%
(
36 of
53)
1st Serve %
66%
(
40 of
61)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
81%
(
29 of
36)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
28 of
40)
65%
(
11 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
7 of
21)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
25%
(
13 of
53)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
26 of
61)
66
Total Points Won
48
|
||||
| 6-3 3-6 6-3 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Iga Swiatek
61%
(
57 of
94)
1st Serve %
63%
(
50 of
79)
5
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
1
63%
(
36 of
57)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
31 of
50)
57%
(
21 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
59%
(
17 of
29)
33%
(
4 of
12)
Break Points Won
50%
(
3 of
6)
39%
(
37 of
94)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
31 of
79)
88
Total Points Won
85
|
||||
| 6-3 6-4 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
66%
(
40 of
61)
1st Serve %
69%
(
49 of
71)
1
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
2
78%
(
31 of
40)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
33 of
49)
57%
(
12 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
8 of
22)
33%
(
2 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
30%
(
18 of
61)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
30 of
71)
73
Total Points Won
59
|
||||
| 6-2 2-6 6-1 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Iga Swiatek
59%
(
44 of
74)
1st Serve %
65%
(
53 of
82)
12
Aces
1
9
Double Faults
6
68%
(
30 of
44)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
28 of
53)
40%
(
12 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
13 of
29)
46%
(
6 of
13)
Break Points Won
40%
(
4 of
10)
43%
(
32 of
74)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
41 of
82)
83
Total Points Won
73
|
||||
| 3-6 6-1 6-4 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
73%
(
57 of
78)
1st Serve %
54%
(
48 of
89)
2
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
7
65%
(
37 of
57)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
32 of
48)
29%
(
6 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
24%
(
10 of
41)
70%
(
7 of
10)
Break Points Won
50%
(
5 of
10)
45%
(
35 of
78)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
47 of
89)
90
Total Points Won
77
|
||||
| 6-2 6-1 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
59%
(
26 of
44)
1st Serve %
56%
(
31 of
55)
0
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
3
73%
(
19 of
26)
1st Serve Won
29%
(
9 of
31)
56%
(
10 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
12 of
24)
40%
(
6 of
15)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
34%
(
15 of
44)
Rtn Points Won
62%
(
34 of
55)
63
Total Points Won
36
|
||||
| 6-2 6-2 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
67%
(
36 of
54)
1st Serve %
51%
(
26 of
51)
0
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
6
78%
(
28 of
36)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
16 of
26)
44%
(
8 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
10 of
25)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
33%
(
18 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
25 of
51)
61
Total Points Won
44
|
||||
| 6-2 6-3 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
67%
(
28 of
42)
1st Serve %
73%
(
44 of
60)
0
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
3
68%
(
19 of
28)
1st Serve Won
41%
(
18 of
44)
36%
(
5 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
7 of
16)
88%
(
7 of
8)
Break Points Won
75%
(
3 of
4)
43%
(
18 of
42)
Rtn Points Won
58%
(
35 of
60)
59
Total Points Won
43
|
||||
| 2-6 6-2 7-5 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Iga Swiatek
51%
(
47 of
92)
1st Serve %
60%
(
51 of
85)
8
Aces
2
16
Double Faults
3
83%
(
39 of
47)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
35 of
51)
36%
(
16 of
45)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
17 of
34)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
43%
(
3 of
7)
40%
(
37 of
92)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
33 of
85)
88
Total Points Won
89
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Aryna Sabalenka | Iga Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 75% (15/5) | 87% (26/4) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 73% (33/12) | 83% (54/11) |
| Games Win/Loss | 59% (240/165) | 64% (362/202) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 78% (14/4) | 88% (22/3) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 50% (1/1) | 67% (2/1) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 100% (2/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.54 | 0.18 |
| Aces Total | 105 | 50 |
| DFs per game | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| DFs Total | 64 | 48 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:33:17 | 1:37:27 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 76.35 | 68.67 |
| 1st Serve % | 63% (802/1274) | 68% (1238/1822) |
| 1st Serve W% | 72% (578/802) | 69% (854/1238) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 48% (226/472) | 53% (311/584) |
| BPs Won% Total | 46% (80/174) | 47% (126/269) |
| Return Pts W% | 46% (605/1310) | 49% (916/1870) |
| Slam W/L | 100% (7/0) | 67% (2/1) |
| Masters W/L | 50% (3/3) | 88% (15/2) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 100% (2/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 71% (5/2) | 88% (7/1) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 74% (14/19) | 87% (26/30) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 80% (4/5) | 75% (3/4) |
| Deciding Set W% | 20% (1/5) | 60% (3/5) |
| 1st set W, W | 81% (16/13) | 96% (25/24) |
| 1st set W, L | 13% (16/2) | 4% (25/1) |
| 1st set L, W | 25% (4/1) | 40% (5/2) |
Aryna Sabalenka Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QF |
Stats
Marketa Vondrousova
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
62%
(
59 of
95)
1st Serve %
56%
(
44 of
78)
5
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
9
58%
(
34 of
59)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
27 of
44)
47%
(
17 of
36)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
13 of
34)
88%
(
7 of
8)
Break Points Won
40%
(
6 of
15)
46%
(
44 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
38 of
78)
89
Total Points Won
84
|
3-6 6-3 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Paula Badosa Gibert
66%
(
70 of
106)
1st Serve %
66%
(
59 of
90)
4
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
5
70%
(
49 of
70)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
40 of
59)
44%
(
16 of
36)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
15 of
31)
33%
(
3 of
9)
Break Points Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
39%
(
41 of
106)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
35 of
90)
100
Total Points Won
96
|
7-6(4) 4-6 3-3 ret. | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Anhelina Kalinina
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
67%
(
55 of
82)
1st Serve %
66%
(
50 of
76)
1
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
6
60%
(
33 of
55)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
31 of
50)
37%
(
10 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
31%
(
8 of
26)
55%
(
6 of
11)
Break Points Won
45%
(
5 of
11)
48%
(
39 of
82)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
37 of
76)
80
Total Points Won
78
|
6-4 1-6 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Paula Badosa Gibert
76%
(
39 of
51)
1st Serve %
59%
(
44 of
74)
3
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
4
77%
(
30 of
39)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
27 of
44)
58%
(
7 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
14 of
30)
38%
(
3 of
8)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
27%
(
14 of
51)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
33 of
74)
70
Total Points Won
55
|
6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Emma Navarro
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
60%
(
54 of
90)
1st Serve %
58%
(
42 of
73)
2
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
4
65%
(
35 of
54)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
26 of
42)
56%
(
20 of
36)
2nd Serve Won
61%
(
19 of
31)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
39%
(
35 of
90)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
28 of
73)
83
Total Points Won
80
|
6-3 3-6 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Emma Raducanu
63%
(
47 of
75)
1st Serve %
62%
(
36 of
58)
8
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
4
74%
(
35 of
47)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
24 of
36)
54%
(
15 of
28)
2nd Serve Won
55%
(
12 of
22)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
10%
(
1 of
10)
33%
(
25 of
75)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
22 of
58)
72
Total Points Won
61
|
6-3 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Peyton Stearns
61%
(
67 of
109)
1st Serve %
64%
(
75 of
117)
10
Aces
3
9
Double Faults
4
76%
(
51 of
67)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
47 of
75)
43%
(
18 of
42)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
19 of
42)
50%
(
6 of
12)
Break Points Won
40%
(
4 of
10)
37%
(
40 of
109)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
51 of
117)
120
Total Points Won
106
|
6-7(2) 6-2 7-6(6) | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Donna Vekic
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
54%
(
59 of
109)
1st Serve %
57%
(
52 of
91)
14
Aces
8
5
Double Faults
8
63%
(
37 of
59)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
31 of
52)
54%
(
27 of
50)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
16 of
39)
70%
(
7 of
10)
Break Points Won
21%
(
3 of
14)
41%
(
45 of
109)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
44 of
91)
108
Total Points Won
92
|
6-7(5) 6-3 6-0 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Qinwen Zheng
67%
(
38 of
57)
1st Serve %
53%
(
27 of
51)
3
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
6
84%
(
32 of
38)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
20 of
27)
42%
(
8 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
9 of
24)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
4)
30%
(
17 of
57)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
22 of
51)
62
Total Points Won
46
|
6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Cori Gauff
76%
(
50 of
66)
1st Serve %
57%
(
48 of
84)
4
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
8
70%
(
35 of
50)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
31 of
48)
50%
(
8 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
14 of
36)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
75%
(
3 of
4)
35%
(
23 of
66)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
39 of
84)
82
Total Points Won
68
|
7-6(2) 6-4 | H2H | ||
view more
Iga Swiatek Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF |
Stats
Elena Rybakina
Player
Iga Swiatek
60%
(
63 of
105)
1st Serve %
57%
(
60 of
106)
10
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
7
70%
(
44 of
63)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
39 of
60)
45%
(
19 of
42)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
22 of
46)
20%
(
4 of
20)
Break Points Won
15%
(
2 of
13)
40%
(
42 of
105)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
45 of
106)
108
Total Points Won
103
|
6-3 4-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Emma Raducanu
66%
(
40 of
61)
1st Serve %
65%
(
57 of
88)
1
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
2
75%
(
30 of
40)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
36 of
57)
67%
(
14 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
12 of
31)
27%
(
3 of
11)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
28%
(
17 of
61)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
40 of
88)
84
Total Points Won
65
|
7-6(2) 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Elise Mertens
75%
(
48 of
64)
1st Serve %
53%
(
26 of
49)
1
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
2
65%
(
31 of
48)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
15 of
26)
50%
(
8 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
9 of
23)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
39%
(
25 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
25 of
49)
64
Total Points Won
49
|
6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| Rubber 3 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Celine Naef
77%
(
40 of
52)
1st Serve %
54%
(
30 of
56)
0
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
2
73%
(
29 of
40)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
16 of
30)
33%
(
4 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
11 of
26)
45%
(
5 of
11)
Break Points Won
60%
(
3 of
5)
37%
(
19 of
52)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
29 of
56)
62
Total Points Won
46
|
6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
| Rubber 1 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Simona Waltert
68%
(
36 of
53)
1st Serve %
60%
(
31 of
52)
1
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
2
75%
(
27 of
36)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
16 of
31)
53%
(
9 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
29%
(
6 of
21)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
14%
(
1 of
7)
32%
(
17 of
53)
Rtn Points Won
58%
(
30 of
52)
66
Total Points Won
39
|
6-3 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Player
Iga Swiatek
59%
(
34 of
58)
1st Serve %
71%
(
40 of
56)
8
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
1
76%
(
26 of
34)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
25 of
40)
58%
(
14 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
7 of
16)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
31%
(
18 of
58)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
24 of
56)
64
Total Points Won
50
|
6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Linda Noskova
74%
(
73 of
98)
1st Serve %
56%
(
55 of
99)
2
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
4
67%
(
49 of
73)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
37 of
55)
56%
(
14 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
22 of
44)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
38%
(
3 of
8)
36%
(
35 of
98)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
40 of
99)
103
Total Points Won
94
|
6-7(7) 6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Camila Giorgi
62%
(
26 of
42)
1st Serve %
60%
(
29 of
48)
2
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
9
77%
(
20 of
26)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
17 of
29)
69%
(
11 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
26%
(
5 of
19)
45%
(
5 of
11)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
4)
26%
(
11 of
42)
Rtn Points Won
54%
(
26 of
48)
57
Total Points Won
33
|
6-1 6-1 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Maria Sakkari
67%
(
29 of
43)
1st Serve %
61%
(
27 of
44)
2
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
76%
(
22 of
29)
1st Serve Won
44%
(
12 of
27)
64%
(
9 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
7 of
17)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
28%
(
12 of
43)
Rtn Points Won
57%
(
25 of
44)
56
Total Points Won
31
|
6-4 6-0 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Marta Kostyuk
74%
(
29 of
39)
1st Serve %
50%
(
26 of
52)
0
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
4
83%
(
24 of
29)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
16 of
26)
50%
(
5 of
10)
2nd Serve Won
31%
(
8 of
26)
83%
(
5 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
26%
(
10 of
39)
Rtn Points Won
54%
(
28 of
52)
57
Total Points Won
34
|
6-2 6-1 | H2H | ||
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